Nvidia Posts Another Blowout Quarter. What Can Slow It Down?Hint: Not much.
🚀 Earnings So Good You Can’t Ignore ‘Em
Another quarter, another jaw-dropper from Nvidia NVDA . In what has basically become a quarterly ritual at this point (congrats to all who celebrate!), Jensen Huang’s silicon empire posted revenue of $44.1 billion , soaring past the $43.3 billion consensus.
That’s a 69% year-over-year gain, in case anyone’s still doing the math. Adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share also easily crushed expectations.
Shares popped 5% in after-hours trading Wednesday and then pulled back a little bit during the cash session on Thursday — not quite a moonshot, but a confirmation that even if Nvidia’s guidance was meh, this earnings report was meh’gnificent.
So what exactly is fueling this unstoppable juggernaut? And is there anything that could actually throw a wrench in the gears? Grab your chips (there’s your pun), let’s break it down.
💾 Data Centers: The Company’s Cash Cow
If Nvidia is famous for anything, it’s that it’s really able to see the trend before the crowds pick it up. From gaming, to crypto… and now? The star of the show now is data centers. But there's not just any growth. We’re talking $39.1 billion in data center revenue, up 73% from last year. That’s nearly 90% of Nvidia’s entire business. Not exactly fans of revenue diversification, are we?
Big Tech is gorging on Nvidia’s AI chips like it’s an all-you-can-eat GPU buffet. Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Google NASDAQ:GOOGL , and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT alone account for nearly half of that segment.
Basically, if you’re building anything with the words “large language model,” “AI agent,” or “sovereign compute,” you’re probably writing big checks to Nvidia.
🇨🇳 About That $10.5 Billion Problem
Thanks to Trump’s H20 export ban, Nvidia’s revenue from China is expected to take a $10.5 billion hit over two quarters. That’s an $8 billion crater forecasted for the current quarter, on top of a $2.5 billion gap in the previous one.
Is that bad? Maybe. Does anyone care right now? Not really.
Because here’s the kicker: demand outside China is so nuclear that even subtracting ten billion bucks over six months doesn’t materially derail the bullish narrative. Nvidia’s still forecasting $45 billion in revenue this quarter, which is basically flat — but considering what’s missing, that’s a win in disguise.
📦 Blackwell to the Rescue
The forward guidance may have missed the Street’s expectations — Nvidia projected Q2 revenue of $44–$46 billion, versus the $45.9 billion consensus — but CEO Jensen Huang already served the antidote: Blackwell Ultra.
These next-gen chips are already shipping to early customers. They promise to be leaner, meaner, and more power-efficient — basically, think McLaren but for AI accelerators. And they’re expected to ramp up aggressively in the back half of the year.
That means Nvidia has a new growth lever just waiting to be pulled. Some overly bullish analysts say it could eclipse the H100’s success.
💡 The Real Moat? It’s Not Just the Chips
What makes Nvidia such a rare beast isn’t just its hardware. It’s the ecosystem — CUDA, software stacks, developer tools, APIs, vertical integrations. It’s like Apple, but for the AI industrial complex.
Everyone wants to build an AI empire, but good luck doing it without Nvidia’s infrastructure. It’s not just expensive — it’s essential.
In the meantime, AMD NASDAQ:AMD and Intel NASDAQ:INTC are trying. There’s chatter about custom silicon from OpenAI (still a private company) and Meta $META. But for now, the moat around Nvidia looks more like a canyon.
🧨 So What Could Slow It Down?
But let’s not get carried away — there are still some real risks on the radar. Here’s what might actually trip up the AI king:
Geopolitical shocks: More export bans? Chinese retaliation? Taiwan tension? Any of these could make markets twitchy.
Supply chain constraints: As demand grows, so does pressure on foundries like TSMC 2330 . Any hiccups in advanced packaging or wafer starts could pinch margins.
Rising competition: AMD’s MI300 is no slouch. And Big Tech is building in-house chips to lessen reliance on Nvidia.
AI fatigue: If the AI hype cycle fizzles out or hits a plateau (remember the metaverse?), that could cool capital spending. It only takes 3-4 tech titans to pull their capex and Nvidia’s reign is over.
But until any of that materializes, the narrative for many is "Buy the dip — Jensen’s grip won’t slip."
💫 What’s Priced In?
The stock’s P/E is still sky-high, and the multiple implies several more years of 50–60% annual revenue growth. That’s hard to sustain indefinitely. But then again, so was becoming the second-largest company in the world… (and the biggest one, if only for a while ) and here we are.
Nvidia’s valuation is steep, but not unjustified — as long as it keeps executing. And judging by any of the previous quarters going back to 2023, execution isn’t a problem.
👩🏻🚀 More Than a Stock — Macro Theme
At this point, Nvidia has transcended chipmaker status. It’s now a macro story. Betting on Nvidia is betting on AI. It’s betting on infrastructure. It’s betting on the next industrial revolution in software, automation, and language models.
So… what can stop it? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
0R1I trade ideas
Nvidia - The breakout will eventually follow!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - will break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the course of the past couple of days, we saw a quite strong rally of +50% on Nvidia. Considering the market cap of this company, such a move is quite impressive. Following this overall very strong bullish momentum, an all time high breakout is quite likely to happen soon.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
$NVDA - head and shoulders + possible bull shark harmonicOn my chart, NVDA appears to be potentially forming a head and shoulders pattern.
At the same time, an almost perfect bullish shark harmonic woukd comple around the target for the head and shoulders pattern.
Could be something, could be nothing.
But I'll be careful and not spend my money on NVDA just yet.
Positive earnings might invalidate this idea and send NASDAQ:NVDA to the moon instead.
Let's see what happens.
NVIDIA Massive Cup and Handle targets $200.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is pulling back aggressively following yet another positive Earnings report, where they beat the estimates again but the market is reacting with selling. That has been a 'norm' in the past 12 months but even from a technical standpoint, the price reached the 143.60 Resistance level (made of the February 18 High), so profit taking is technically normal market behavior here.
On the longer term however, this Resistance test potentially forms the top f a very powerful pattern, the Cup and Handle (C&H). At the moment, the market has the support of both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Handle, which has just started, has some room to safely consolidate for a while before the pattern break-out upwards.
Technically, C&H patterns reach their 2.0 Fibonacci extensions after the break-out, so our medium-term Target is set at $200.
Notice also the Bearish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which is similar to that of late October 2024. A break below the 1D MA50 risks the bullish structure on this pattern.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
SHORT Nvidia, Bearish Chart Setup, Resistance ConfirmedThe resistance from 21-May has been confirmed 28-May.
The same level has been working as resistance since 14-May.
After two weeks, this resistance level continues to hold and it is now confirmed.
In November 2024 NVDA produced a high.
Later in January 2025 NVDA produced an all-time high.
18-February 2025 NVDA went to produced a lower high; a rejection that led to a major drop.
The major drop resulted in a recovery and the recovery found resistance earlier this month. This resistance, the same from 14-May, 21 and 28-May, is also a lower high compared to the previous levels just mentioned.
The signal here is double: (1) Resistance confirmed and (2) a lower high.
There is one more. 28-May produced a volume breakout day. The day ended up closing red. So, Nvidia is confirmed bearish now.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
SPX Bullish Patterns Emerging ahead of NVIDIA EarningsThe SP:SPX has taken out some major pivots and recaptured the ever so important daily 200 MA.
across multiple time frames some very interesting bullish patterns are emerging.
All eyes will be in NASDAQ:NVDA earnings tonight after the bell.
If NVIDIA beats and guides it will breakout of an epic bull flag pattern that will likely casue this market to trend to new All time highs.
Probabilities from a technical pattern standpoint are pointing towards higher price action.
We have already broken out and back tested key support levels and the buying is clearly being observed.
We remain net long with positions already in profit.
NVIDIA: 4H Golden Cross starting new Channel Up Leg.NVIDIA is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.736, MACD = 5.860, ADX = 49.646) as it has established and maintained a Channel Up since its April bottom. The completion of a 4H Golden Cross has validated the start of the pattern's new bullish wave. The previous one topped at +30.58%. With the price already rebounding, we are bullish, aiming for a new HH (TP = 169.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NVDA Short time is Now using fractal geometry calculations This analysis suggests that NVDA may be entering a bearish phase based on recent price action. After an extended bullish run, the stock appears to be losing momentum, with signs of distribution emerging on the chart
. This could mark the beginning of a short-term or intermediate correction.
NVDA - 140 Quasimodo?Well NVDA has exceeded the 120 PoC from the last year, and other than the head and shoulders developing it looks rather bullish above that 120. But I would sell 140, or at least not buy.
And if I'm buying I'd probably wait for 112. Think I will wait forever? 😂
Will update after we get some more data.
NVDA Waiting for the Right DipAfter posting record earnings and riding the AI momentum wave, NVIDIA has finally started to cool off a bit and honestly, it’s healthy. The stock had a massive run, and now we’re seeing some consolidation, which could set up the next solid entry for those of us who didn’t chase the highs.
Here’s how I’m planning to approach it:
📍 Entry levels I’m watching:
Around $130 if we see a quick bounce off that zone.
If it dips further, I’m eyeing the $125–$118 area—lots of previous interest there.
And if things get really spicy, $112-108 would be a gift level for a strong entry.
🎯 Profit targets on the bounce:
$140 – First take profit, solid and realistic.
$145 – Next key level where sellers could show up.
$150 – Full recovery and possible breakout if momentum kicks back in.
I’m not in a rush to jump in. Let it come to the levels, confirm the move, and then ride it up. NVDA remains a beast long-term, but short-term patience pays.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice—just sharing my personal trading game plan. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NVDA 4-hr Outlook1. Swept Weekly High with draw back into 4-hr gap up.
2. If price breaks below here, my target becomes the re-test of the 4-hr break due to the impulse move through that high.
a. WARNING: Need to watch for support on Weekly FVG and CE of 4-hr wick and support off .382 fib.
b. If target breaks below, then I would like long puts or sell calls into re-test of break as it shows rejection on the .25 fib line.
3. As we re-test this area I would like to see full support into the .50 fib/FVG.
a. Why? Confluence with FVG and Fib
b. Want to see a hammer style candle indicating support
$NVDA – Earnings Super Bubble?🚨 Nvidia is reporting earnings tomorrow, and the market is waiting with bated breath.
While analysts pile on with hyper-bullish predictions extrapolating the AI super bubble, they seem to ignore one glaring fact:
👉 The last time Nvidia beat earnings, the stock crashed -45% shortly after.
Technical view:
We’re near resistance at the previous post-earnings high.
RSI sits at 63.80, hinting at possible exhaustion.
Volume spikes hint at indecision, not confirmation.
This could be a make or break moment for NASDAQ:NVDA and by extension, the entire Tech sector.
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector.
The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence.
📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation.
🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows.
Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market.
Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140.
The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print.
🔴 Downside risk scenario:
In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support.
💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea
ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy.
Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option.
Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing:
-Support (squeeze zone) around $125
-Call resistance around $140
-A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150
These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive.
How would I personally start this:
Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops.
If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares.
Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium.
If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV.
👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession.
I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well.
💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
What’s Happening with Nvidia (NVDA) Ahead of Earnings?What’s Happening with Nvidia (NVDA) Ahead of Earnings?
After an extended weekend due to Veterans Day in the US (observed on Monday), financial markets are returning to active trading. The highlight of the week will be Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings report, scheduled for Wednesday after the close of the main trading session.
What You Need to Know Ahead of Nvidia’s Earnings
According to media reports, market participants are concerned about:
→ escalating trade tensions between the US and China;
→ increasing competition;
→ Nvidia’s premium pricing at a time when the GPU market is shifting towards more affordable alternatives;
→ downward revisions to earnings per share, which some interpret as a sign that Nvidia’s report may fall short of expectations.
On the other hand, Reuters reports that Nvidia is set to unveil a new processor that:
→ is designed specifically for AI applications;
→ is based on the Blackwell architecture;
→ will not be subject to US export restrictions on chips sent to China;
→ is expected to be cost-effective.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Stock
Today’s NVDA price chart suggests that the descending channel (marked in red) may be forming a large bullish flag — a continuation pattern that typically indicates a potential resumption of the uptrend after a corrective phase.
Price action in Nvidia stock has slowed near the upper boundary of the channel — a sign of temporary equilibrium between supply and demand (this could also be interpreted as traders adopting a wait-and-see stance ahead of the earnings release).
Given that the earnings report is a potentially strong price catalyst, a breakout from the bullish flag cannot be ruled out. Such a move could signal the start of a new phase in NVDA’s long-term upward trend (as indicated by the arrow on the chart).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nvidia Stock Price Rises Over 4% Following Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Rises Over 4% Following Earnings Report
Yesterday, after the main trading session, Nvidia released its quarterly earnings report, which exceeded analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $0.81, forecast = $0.73
→ Revenue: actual = $44 billion, forecast = $43.3 billion
Additionally, according to media reports, Nvidia issued a strong forecast for the next period, although CEO Jensen Huang noted difficulties in accessing the Chinese market, which he estimates to be worth $50 billion.
Nevertheless, market participants reacted positively. According to Google, in after-hours trading the NVDA stock price rose by more than 4%, surpassing the $140 level.
It is reasonable to assume that this initial positive reaction could continue during today’s main trading session.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Chart
As we mentioned earlier this week, NVDA stock in 2025 has formed a broad descending channel (shown in red), and just before the earnings release, the price was consolidating near the upper boundary of this channel.
We also suggested a scenario in which the bulls might attempt to break through the upper boundary of the channel. Given the positive earnings report and the stock market rally following the Federal Court’s decision declaring Trump tariffs invalid, the likelihood of this scenario increases.
This, in turn, means that:
→ the upper boundary of the channel, once broken, may act as support;
→ we may once again see the key psychological resistance level of $150 come into play — a level we have highlighted multiple times before.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nvidia - The bullish consolidation flag!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is still quite bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Nvidia retested a major horizontal support just last month, we witnessed an extremely strong bullish reversal candle which resulted in a strong +50% rally. Considering the bullish flag consolidation, a breakout is much more likely, but not in the immediate future.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVIDIA/USD 4 HR./ CORRECTIVE WAVE B NORTH IS LIKELY OVER!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 123! 2). Risk Assets are Weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline is intersecting with target fib. level 100% TOWARDS 123! 6). Corrective wave C is likely dropping to complete wave 4. 7). At the bottom of wave 4 we will look for a long (Buy) position!
NVIDIA: Is Wall Street's AI Darling Still a Good Investment?When you hear the name NVIDIA, what comes to mind?
Chances are, you're thinking of gaming graphics cards, or perhaps the explosive rise of Artificial Intelligence. And you're not wrong — NVIDIA powers everything from ChatGPT to Tesla's self-driving tech. But behind all the hype, there's a more important question serious investors should ask:
“Is NVIDIA still a smart investment at this price?”
As a value investor who combines deep fundamental analysis with AI-powered tools, I’m going to walk you through a comprehensive breakdown of NVIDIA from a true value lens — one that strips away the hype and reveals the numbers that actually matter.
Whether you're a beginner trying to learn how to value stocks or a seasoned investor looking for clarity, this guide will change the way you think about investing in companies like NVDA.
Let’s dive in.
🧩 First: What Even Is NVIDIA?
To understand whether NVIDIA is a good buy, you first need to understand what it actually does — and why it’s considered one of the most powerful companies of our time.
👇 TL;DR – NVIDIA in 3 Sentences:
💲It builds the GPUs (Graphics Processing Units) that power video games, AI models like ChatGPT, and high-performance computing in data centers.
💲It dominates the AI infrastructure market, which is growing faster than nearly any other tech vertical.
💲It's now worth over $3 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies in human history.
NVIDIA has become the "picks and shovels" of the AI gold rush. But just because a company is great… doesn’t mean it’s a great investment at any price.
🧠 Understanding Value: What Makes a Stock Undervalued or Overvalued?
Before we dive into numbers, let’s get one thing straight:
Value investing is not about buying cheap stocks. It’s about buying great businesses for less than they’re worth.
To determine whether NVIDIA is undervalued, I ran it through six professional-grade valuation models and created a weighted average fair value, factoring in both upside potential and risk.
These models include:
✅ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
✅ Price-to-Earnings Multiples
✅ PEG Ratios
✅ Graham Formula
✅ Dividend Discount Model
✅ Forward Earnings Forecasts
Sound complicated? It is. But I’ll walk you through every step — in plain English.
💵 Market Snapshot (as of June 2, 2025)
Current Stock Price: $137.38
Consensus Price Target (from analysts): $171.62
My Fair Value Estimate (weighted model): $152.83
Upside Potential: ~11% conservatively, up to 27% if analyst targets are correct
📊 Let’s Break Down the Valuation Models — One by One
1️⃣ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
Think of this like saying:
“If I owned the entire company, how much cash would it make me in the future — and what is that worth today?”
Assumptions:
Revenue grows at 5% annually (very conservative)
We use a 10% discount rate (standard)
Future cash flows are modeled out 10 years
📈 Fair Value from DCF: $140.00
2️⃣ P/E Multiples (Price-to-Earnings)
This method compares NVIDIA’s earnings to its price — kind of like asking, “How many dollars do I pay for each $1 in profit?”
The S&P 500’s average P/E is ~20–25. NVIDIA’s is higher because it’s a growth company.
📈 Fair Value from P/E: $160.00
Based on applying an industry-adjusted multiple
3️⃣ Forward P/E Valuation
Instead of looking backward at past earnings, this looks forward at projected earnings.
If a company is growing fast, this method often shows better value.
📈 Fair Value from Forward P/E: $150.00
4️⃣ Graham Formula (Ben Graham’s Classic Approach)
Ben Graham, Warren Buffett’s mentor, created this formula to calculate intrinsic value based on growth and earnings. You can read about Graham's formular here
We applied very conservative growth assumptions to avoid overestimating.
📈 Fair Value from Graham Formula: $145.00
5️⃣ PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings/Growth)
This tells us if the company’s price is justified based on how fast it’s growing. A PEG of 1.0 is considered fairly valued.
📈 NVIDIA PEG Ratio: 0.98
📈 Fair Value Estimate: $155.00
👉 Translation: It’s priced just right for its explosive growth
6️⃣ Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
This is only useful for mature companies that pay dividends. NVIDIA reinvests most of its profits, so this model gives a low valuation.
📉 Fair Value from DDM: $130.00
But we’ll only weight this lightly, since the dividend is tiny.
📊 Final Verdict: Average Fair Value = $152.83 (weighted by models)
Current price = $137.38
Undervalued by ~11% under conservative modeling
⚖️ How I Weighed the Models (And Why It Matters)
Not every valuation model should be treated equally. Some are better suited for mature, dividend-paying companies. Others shine when analyzing high-growth innovators like NVIDIA. That’s why I didn’t just average all six models — I assigned weights based on relevance and reliability for this specific company.
Here’s the logic behind each one:
🔹 Discounted Cash Flow (20%)
NVIDIA generates massive free cash flow and has excellent visibility into future earnings — which makes DCF one of the most grounded ways to assess its intrinsic value.
🔹 Price-to-Earnings Multiple (20%)
With strong profits and high margins, NVIDIA deserves comparison against peers in the semiconductor space. The P/E model helps anchor valuation in current profitability.
🔹 Forward P/E (10%)
Because NVIDIA is growing rapidly, it's important to consider how the market is pricing in future earnings. However, since forward estimates can be speculative, I assigned it a lighter weight.
🔹 Graham Formula (20%)
This classic value investing formula focuses on earnings and growth with a built-in margin of safety. It’s perfect for assessing quality businesses like NVIDIA using conservative assumptions.
🔹 PEG Ratio (15%)
NVIDIA is growing earnings at a blistering pace. The PEG ratio adjusts the P/E multiple based on growth, giving us a powerful signal of whether the stock is expensive or not — especially for growth companies.
🔹 Dividend Discount Model (15%)
Although NVIDIA pays a small dividend, it's not central to its investment case. I included the DDM for completeness, but gave it the lowest weighting because the company reinvests most of its profits into growth, not shareholder payouts.
By applying these weights, I wasn’t just looking for a single “right” answer — I was building a balanced, multi-lens perspective on fair value. The result? A composite intrinsic value of $152.83, backed by a methodology that respects both fundamentals and growth dynamics.
Now let’s zoom out and look at bigger signals of strength.
📚 Book Value Growth: The Hidden Gem Most People Miss
Let’s talk about something almost every retail investor overlooks — Book Value Per Share (BVPS).
Think of BVPS as the company’s “net worth per share.” It’s the raw value of what shareholders would receive if NVIDIA liquidated all its assets and paid off its debts. While most growth investors are obsessed with flashy revenue numbers and AI headlines, I always take time to peek under the hood — and what I found with NVIDIA is quietly impressive.
Over the past five years, NVIDIA has steadily built shareholder value. In 2020, its book value per share sat at just $5.00. But by 2024, it had grown to $12.50. That’s not a fluke — it’s a 20% compounded annual growth rate. That’s the kind of consistent, behind-the-scenes compounding that Warren Buffett dreams about.
Looking ahead, if that same growth trend continues, we could see BVPS hit around $31.00 by 2029. Apply a reasonable price-to-book multiple, and you’re staring at a potential valuation of $341.00 per share — a full 2.5x from today’s levels.
🔹 This isn’t hype. It’s quiet, compounding strength.
🔹 It’s what great businesses do while the world’s distracted by headlines.
🔍 The Metrics That Matter
Metrics are just numbers — until you know what they actually mean. Here’s how I interpret NVIDIA’s financial DNA.
🔹 P/E Ratio at 44.31 — Yes, it’s high. But when you’re growing earnings 40% per year, that multiple starts to make sense. Growth is expensive — but NVIDIA is earning its premium.
🔹 Forward P/E at 28.33 — This reflects what investors are willing to pay based on projected future earnings. It signals that Wall Street still sees upside.
🔹 Return on Equity (ROE) at 106.92% — That’s not a typo. NVIDIA is generating more than double its net income for every dollar of shareholder equity. This is an elite business, deploying capital like few others.
🔹 Debt-to-Equity Ratio at 0.50 — Leverage is low, which means less risk. NVIDIA isn’t overextending itself, even as it scales aggressively.
🔹 Earnings Growth of 40% over 5 years — Very few large-cap companies are compounding at this rate. This is what separates a fast mover from a long-term compounder.
🔹 Free Cash Flow of $30B — Cash is king. And NVIDIA is sitting on a throne. This level of liquidity gives them options — to reinvest, acquire, or return capital to shareholders.
These aren’t just stats to admire. They’re signals — and they all point in one direction: strength.
📰 What’s Happening Right Now?
In the short term, NVIDIA has had some turbulence, but its fundamentals remain rock-solid. Here's what’s shaping its current narrative:
🔹 Record-breaking Q1 Revenue: $44.1 billion — up 69% year-over-year. Yes, you read that right. That kind of acceleration is unheard of at this scale.
🔹 The Blackwell Era Begins: Their new generation of chips is designed for “reasoning AI,” setting the stage for a whole new wave of demand.
🔹 Geopolitical Friction: Export controls and restrictions on China are projected to cost NVIDIA roughly $8 billion in lost sales. That’s real. But it’s also being offset by explosive growth in other global markets.
🔹 Inventory Write-Down: A $4.5 billion hit due to inventory adjustments. It's a short-term bruise, not a structural fracture.
🔹 Still Crushing Expectations: Even with these headwinds, NVIDIA continues to beat estimates and outperform peers.
This is what execution looks like under pressure. The headlines might look shaky — but the engine is still roaring.
📈 Technicals: What Do the Charts Say?
Even if you're a fundamentals-first investor like me, it pays to respect the chart. Momentum reflects psychology — and right now, sentiment is riding high.
🔹 Key support level at $130 — buyers step in here consistently.
🔹 Resistance zones at $143 and $150 — breaking above these could trigger further momentum.
🔹 50-day moving average at $135 — the stock is trading above this line, suggesting strength.
🔹 Golden Cross + Bull Flag — classic technical signals of an uptrend continuation. Bulls are still in control.
When price action and fundamentals align — that’s when conviction turns into action.
🧠 Bottom Line: Should You Buy NVIDIA?
Let’s get honest.
NVIDIA is not a value trap. It’s a compounder — a business with the financials, growth, and market position to continue dominating for years.
Is it risky? Yes. All growth stories are.
But the data doesn’t lie:
✅ Strong balance sheet
✅ Massive cash flow
✅ Global AI leadership
✅ Undervalued by multiple models
Even conservative valuation models suggest NVIDIA is trading below its true worth.
🚀 Want To Analyze Stocks Like This Without Doing All the Math?
I built Wallstreet Alchemist AI to help investors do this kind of deep analysis — in seconds. It’s designed for people who want to think like Warren Buffett but move like a quant.
🎯 You can try it for free.
Let AI do the heavy lifting — while you make sharper, conviction-driven decisions.
What stock do you want me to break down next? Drop a comment or DM me.
This is the kind of investing edge I wish I had when I started. Let’s level up together.
NVDA Just Broke Structure – Bounce or Breakdown Incoming?📊 NVDA GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Overview)
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) closed at $135.13, down nearly 3% on Friday, and has now pulled back from the gamma resistance cluster between 140–145. GEX sentiment is cooling, and the chart shows we just lost the HVL (High Volume Level) around 137.5, putting bulls in a tricky spot.
GEX Levels to Know:
* 🟢 Positive gamma stack at 140 → 145 → 150, with 143.9 as the next key magnet IF price recovers.
* 🟥 Heavy dealer put interest below 134 → 130 → 125; GEX sharply negative down there.
* 🧊 IVR 10.2 = super cheap options → ideal setup for directional trades using debit spreads.
💡 Options Strategy:
* Bullish: If NVDA reclaims 137.5, play for bounce back to 140–143. Look at Jul 19 140c or 137.5/145c spread.
* Bearish: If it fails to reclaim 135 and breaks 133.25, play toward 130–131. Look at Jul 19 132p/125p vertical.
Dealers may flip short under 133, increasing the chance of acceleration if support breaks.
🕵️♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing/Intraday View)
The 1-hour chart tells a clear story: NVDA broke short-term structure with CHoCH and BOS under 135, and is now channeling downward with a falling wedge-type pattern. The SMC supply at 143–145 held strong.
Key Notes:
* ⚠️ Breakdown from rising structure, now forming new bearish channel.
* 🟩 Short-term CHoCH support near 133.25 is key — if lost, opens 130 fast.
* 🟣 Momentum + RSI screaming overbought → likely a lower high if it bounces to 138 area.
📈 Swing Setup:
* Short bias while under 137.5.
* Entry: rejection near 136–137
* Target: 133.2, then 130.4
* Bull case only resumes if we reclaim 138 clean → invalidates the breakdown.
📊 Intraday Playbook:
* Short bounce into 136.25–137.5 (previous BOS zone).
* Long scalp bounce off 133.25, but only for short-term risk-controlled play.
Bias = Bearish unless 137.5 is reclaimed. Don’t fight the momentum.
🧠 Final Thoughts
NVDA has shifted from leader to potential drag — at least near term. The structure is broken, and GEX is aligning with downside momentum. IV is cheap, making this a great week for defined-risk option plays, whether you’re looking to fade pops or scalp breakdowns.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.