DE30 trade ideas
DEX to FALL and retest its previous highs to make it a VALID RunGerman DEX has made its higher highs and as per the technicals, every chart has to retest its previous highs. Coming week DEX will restart its correction and will retest FIX61 and may as well go back to 170000 where the run was started. TRUMP TERIFFS COMING to haunt German Economey it will add more tax and it will slows down the production. German Elections coming on 23rd feb.
Dax Short 4HGood Day, Trading View friends!
I'm excited to share my latest trading insights with you. This setup is all about those trusty Fibonacci and psychological levels. Right now, the DAX is testing a 4-hour midline, and we’re typically seeing a pullback at this point. If the DAX can hold 21,500 and 21,550 as a demand area, based on our earlier 4-hour wave, we're aiming for the next level at 21,965 to 22,000.
I’m on the lookout for a rejection near 22,000, followed by an M pattern with a lower high on the second peak for that perfect entry confirmation.
Also, be cautious today as we have the FOMC meeting. Make sure to factor that into your strategies!
Feel free to check out my previous setups to get a feel for how I approach things. I can’t wait to hear what you think and keep the conversation going!
Trading Channels The Dax is having an impressive run...
It broke out of a weekly ascending channel and hasn't looked back since.
No signs of bears year, but this could be an interesting resistance zone
DAX MARKET Continued monitoring of the IFO business Climate Index and PMI data will be crucial. A sustained decline could signal deeper economic issues, potentially leading to a technical recession.
The upcoming snap elections in February may result in policy shifts that could impact investor sentiment and market stability
The performance of major economies, particularly the US and China, will affect demand for German exports.
shorts set-upLooking at taking selling opportunities as price is over bought this will take place very swiftly during the early hours of the US sessions
#202506 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I still think we will top out around 22000 but I also think we won’t go down for meaningful points before we have printed that price. We now have made 7 consecutive green weeks and the odds of a pull-back are far better than another strong move beyond 22000. I will decide on Monday on swing shorts for at least 21k and will continue to scale in and out of shorts for this.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last weeks, market needs to take a breather)
key levels: 20500 - 22100
bull case: Bulls want to print 22000 and then continue. As long as bears are not stepping in, bulls will continue because it has been profitable for 3 months straight. My base case for the bulls has not changed since last Sunday. We are at the top or have broken above multiple bullish patterns and I think the upside will probably be very limited. Bulls know that buying new highs in hopes of higher ones is unsustainable and we are close to the point where the bull wedge breaks and bulls will wait for pull-backs to buy.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears have a red bar on Friday, wooo ducking hooo. The bull wedge looks like it can break on Monday but bears know that 22k is the price to print, so I think they will be cautious. Only a big gap down on futures open and then follow-through below 21500 could change that. Bears can’t expect either the bull trend line nor the daily 20ema to just break on the next touch. They still have nothing until we see much bigger selling pressure. Anything below 21500 next week, would be a huge surprise for the bears.
Invalidation is above 22200.
short term: Neutral until we break below 21700. Below 21700 we will likely close the gap down to 21585 and test the lower wedge bull line.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full ducking bear mode.
current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts with stop 22300.
chart update: Adjusted bull wedge and bear targets.
#006 Trust The Process DE30EUR Buy 1207SGT 17022025Buying DE30.
I am able to buy on Oanda now despite the market being closed now, I think it is because of some market maker privileges on Oanda's side, such as being the one who is taking the orders instead of pushing the orders to the live market.
I want to take DE30EUR on FTMO too, but I am not sure if I am able to enter on a Buy Limit or not. I will try.
Even if we are taking correlated pairs, ie. EURUSD which I have open positions from last week, and taking DE30EUR now which also has EUR in it, I think I will be ok as long as I keep my stop loss wide so that I would not get whipped out that easily.
And also another reason why I think it is ok is, I am not taking the positions together at the same time. Just like investing, you DCA regardless of if the market is your portfolio's favour or not, market highs or lows, etc. Due to this difference in time reason, their fate would be different, and we allow the fate of our positions to play out by giving it a huge enough stop loss.
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TLDR; Buying DE30EUR despite us having positions in correlated pair, EURUSD, which we entered on last week.
We will be ok even if we take correlated pairs, due to two reasons.
1st - Our stop loss is wide, allowing us to ride the whips and waves and not getting closed out that easily.
2nd - Trade like a DCA investor. We buy when we need to, rather than timing the market. Eventually, our portfolio will work balance itself out.
--- Adding on before I post ---
We fail or pass doesn't matter, what we need is data. We could take both buy and sell on different accounts and be right one way or another. Even if our original strategy is a losing one, and we lose 70% of the time, we still made 70% on the other account.
And, if the winds of change blows in our favour, and our original account suddenly becomes a winning one, then, we make more than we lost.
I think that this is where the beauty of funded accounts come into play. But I am not getting one yet. I need to work on myself first.
Besides, not all funded accounts providers are good. Stick to the popular ones. But before that, prove to yourself that you are able to balance yourself while standing up straight during the storm on a small boat while holding onto a tray of drinks.
It's not that difficult, really.
Another thing to add is, people talk alot about techniques, how to time the markets etc. Don't spend too much time on those. Those are poisonous chicken soup(like, chicken soup for the soul, but poisonous).
You might be immune to poison, but you won't be thriving unless if you are a nepo kid or trust fund baby or have some unspoken conditions that help you keep your head above the water.
For every good to come, there are abundant of unspoken conditions that has to be met. That those who made it won't tell you. Or, they don't even realise.
Two persons of similar backgrounds, one succeeding and the other still barely surviving. Don't judge the succeeding one with thoughts like, they are hardworking etc too quickly(it might be true they are hardworking). Neither judge the one who is barely surviving too harshly.
Reason being, if the one who is succeeding has all the exact conditions that the barely surviving person has, they would also be stuck at where at the same exact place as the barely surviving one.
This fact about unspoken conditions, takes ton of suffering and immersive experiences on a day to day basis for years, decades, centuries and more brew and appreciate.
Just like those bone broth sold with boat noodles in Thailand. They just top up the broth, and doesn't wash the gigantic pot.
In western "language", its called, Rome isn't build in a single day.
1228SGT 17022025
GER40-BUY/SELL strategy 90 MIN chartOver all I feel we will see 21,400 test and lower. However, short-term it is oversold, so the choice is BUY current or SELL when some recovery.
Strategy is BUY current 22,400-22,550 and TP near 23,000
Strategy SELL @ 22,750-22,950 and TP 21,467 for now.
ShortUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
Final update d30How are you friends
I posted in my profile from dates from the beginning of January
And this is the same drawing
The trend was up and the target was the end of 22600 and the end of the blue line is 22750 as the final point of the blue line and now it seems we still have an uptrend as I told you I will update
But there is no doubt that the trend will head to much higher areas at least 23k
I will update again
DE30 UpdateHow are you my friends
This chart is on January 17th in my profile and this simple channel was set and targets up to 22600 and today we crossed 22600
I hope everyone benefits from the updates and we will monitor again and make new updates
To follow more updates on DE30 and other markets please follow me and I will be happy to analyze any market you want as well
Divergence Trading Explained For Beginners -DAX Pullback TradeTrading divergence in the Forex or Stock market can be an important tool. Learn how to identify divergences & practically apply them to your technical analysis to increase your edge & profits in the financial markets.
In this video you'll learn
What is a bullish and bearish divergence
How to use divergence to spot potential reversals in the market
How to use volume to identify key levels of reversals
How to measure out a "Kill Zone"
What are tweezer tops & tweezer bottoms & why they are important
How to use the Fibonacci retracement tool
How to use the Relative Strength Index (RSI Indicator)
Your Trading Coach - Akil
GER40-SELL strategy 6 hourly chartOverall I have no change in view, and at different levels, we remain overbought. The market re-tested previous highs and this spooked the market a bit, I feel. However, medium term I see a return to 20,850 area, based on longer term charts.
Short-term it is a tug of war game.
Strategy SELL @ 21,750- 22,000 and take profit at 20,950 for now.
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (21250.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 21500.00 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
First Target 20800.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target 20300.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Neutral (there is a high chance for Bearish trend)., driven by several key factors.
🟠Fundamental Analysis
1. Earnings Growth: The Germany 40 index has experienced a decline in earnings growth, with a 5-year average earnings growth rate of 5%.
2. Dividend Yield: The dividend yield of the Germany 40 index is currently 2.5%, which is relatively low compared to historical standards.
3. Valuation: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Germany 40 index is currently 15.6, which is slightly above its historical average.
⚪Macro Analysis
1. GDP Growth: The German economy has experienced a slowdown in GDP growth, with a 2022 growth rate of 1.4%.
2. Inflation: The inflation rate in Germany has remained relatively low, with a 2022 inflation rate of 1.4%.
3. Interest Rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth.
🟢COT Analysis
1. Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, have increased their short positions in the Germany 40 index, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
2. Commercial Traders: Commercial traders, such as banks and brokerages, have decreased their long positions in the Germany 40 index, with a net long exposure of 5,000 contracts.
⚫Sentiment Analysis
1. Retail Trader Sentiment: Retail traders have a bearish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 55% being bearish.
2. Institutional Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors have decreased their bullish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 50% being bullish.
3. Hedge Fund Sentiment: Hedge funds have increased their bearish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 60% being bearish.
🟤Positioning Analysis
1. Long Positions: Long positions in the Germany 40 index have decreased, with a net long exposure of 50,000 contracts.
2. Short Positions: Short positions in the Germany 40 index have increased, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
3. Open Interest: Open interest in the Germany 40 index has decreased, with a current open interest of 500,000 contracts.
🟣Based on this analysis, the Germany 40 index is expected to trend bearish in the short term, with a 60% chance of a downtrend and a 30% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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DAX: Channel Up, Bullish Cross targeting 22,500DAX turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.428, MACD = 367.400, ADX = 47.746) which is signalling a strong uptrend ahead, especially with the 4H RSI rising on a Bullish Cross. The last time the Channel Up pattern traded on those numbers it was on January 15th, again after a 4H MACD Bullish Cross and a bottom bounce. That time it increased by +7.50%. That is again our medium term target (TP = 22,500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GER40-SELL strategy 3D chartIt has gone back almost to square one, and as unexpected as it is, it does not change the overall view. The expected overall move is correction back towards 20,900 to remove the ovebrought state it is in. we are trading above regression channel and almost in most cases this will not last.
Strategy SELL @ 21,550-21,700 (and beyond) and take profit near 21,950 for now.
Endless Growth: Why the Stock Market Will Always RiseThe stock market is an ever-growing ecosystem, driven by progress, innovation, and human resilience. As illustrated in the chart, the market has consistently overcome challenges, such as the Dotcom Bubble, the 2008 Financial Crisis, and even the unforeseen global pandemic (COVID-19), emerging stronger with each recovery. These events, although disruptive, highlight an inherent truth: growth is the ultimate natural force.
Every major market correction is followed by an upward movement, as companies innovate, adapt, and evolve in response to change. The rapid recovery after crises exemplifies the resilience of both markets and businesses, which continue to create value, discover new solutions, and open doors to new opportunities.
Furthermore, the long-term trend shows that the market does not just bounce back—it accelerates. Technology advances, industries expand, and populations grow. Each new development or breakthrough fosters additional growth, creating even more wealth and opportunities. The market, by its nature, is fueled by this perpetual drive to expand, evolve, and improve.
Thus, despite periodic downturns, the overarching trend remains clear: the stock market will always grow. Growth is not just an eventuality; it is the essential force driving the economy and the future of investing.
German DAX Holding Strong Above SupportChart Analysis:
The DAX Index continues its bullish trajectory, maintaining a steady uptrend with prices hovering near recent highs. Despite a minor pullback, the overall trend remains intact, supported by key technical levels.
1️⃣ Uptrend Intact with Rising Support:
The trendline (blue) continues to provide dynamic support.
A shallow retracement suggests buyers remain in control.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Support:
50-day SMA (blue): 20,368.88, providing a reliable support zone.
200-day SMA (red): 19,066.15, reinforcing the long-term bullish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Reflect Strength:
RSI: At 67.70, showing strong momentum but approaching overbought levels.
MACD: Trending higher, confirming continued upside momentum.
What to Watch:
A sustained move above 21,500 could trigger further upside toward 22,000+.
A break below the trendline or the 50-day SMA could signal deeper consolidation before another leg higher.
RSI nearing overbought conditions suggests traders should watch for potential short-term pullbacks.
The DAX Index remains bullish, with rising moving averages and trendline support reinforcing the momentum. Traders should monitor price action near key support levels for potential buying opportunities.
-MW
Decoding German DAX: Crucial Levels and Emerging PatternsFX:GER30
Current Market Overview
Explore the latest insights into the German DAX index with a focus on pivotal support, resistance levels, and potential trading patterns.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support at €21,105: This level acts as a critical neckline for a potential Head and Shoulders pattern formation. We should watch closely for any breaks below this level, as it could signal further downside movement.
Resistance at €21,557: A new resistance level has formed close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This resistance may contribute to forming the right shoulder of a reversal pattern.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a key technical formation to watch for:
Formation Details: If the DAX breaks below the neckline/support at €21,105, it could confirm the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern.
Target Projection: A break below the neckline suggests a potential downside target around €20,452. This level aligns with the weekly fractal resistance previously breached at €20,529, which could act as support.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
GER40-SELL strategy 12 hourly chartIt will be a rough ride either way, but overall think we respect 22,000 and even close 21,825 for now. The corrective action may be towards 20,875 and considering tariffs plans, or at least the possibility of it, we should see lower levels over time.
Strategy SELL @ 21,350-21,450 and take profit near 20,950.
