DXY - 125 within reach if 112 is piercedChoosing to ditch some of my gold longs based on perceived $$$ strength in the coming quarters. The fibonacci fan has worked well to trade the medium-long moves in the DXY.
DOLLARINDEX trade ideas
DeGRAM | DXY pullback from resistanceThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has fallen under the resistance level, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
We expect a pullback in the index.
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DeGRAM | DXY testing the trend lineDXY is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel, has successfully held above the support and is now testing the lower trend line.
We expect a rebound after consolidation above the dynamic support.
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Temporarily bearishness on DXYThis is as a result of it touching premium arrays and now need stop take out internal liquidity, on top of that there's liquidity void that was created due to FOMC MEETING
US Index Bullish after the FOMC Fed rate Cut off to 4.5US index bulish after the FOMC Fed rate cut.
Now the Price is still at 108.133 and the last resistance was break on the current level and wait for the confirmations
The next level will be 109.156 and 109.954.
The USD positive impact will have a negative impact on major pairs and gold; be careful when opening the trades.
*Note:
When the USD idex is strongly bullish and sentiments also show the data will impact after the gold bullish recovery.
DXY ANALYSISWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in DXY's price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#DXY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
DXY (THE DOLLAR INDEX)1. If the Dollar Breaks Out Above Resistance
This scenario indicates bullish momentum, meaning the dollar could strengthen further.
Implications:
Continuation of Uptrend: Breaking resistance often signals strong buying interest or positive sentiment.
Next Target: The price may move toward the next resistance level or a new high.
Market Sentiment: This could result from strong economic data, higher interest rate expectations, or geopolitical factors favoring the dollar.
Traders’ Actions:
Enter long (buy) positions after confirming the breakout.
Set stop-loss orders just below the breakout level to manage risk.
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2. If the Dollar Fails to Break Resistance
This scenario indicates a potential reversal or consolidation below the resistance level.
Implications:
Reversal to Downtrend: Failure to break resistance often signals profit-taking or bearish sentiment.
Support Retest: The price might fall to test lower support levels.
Market Sentiment: This could occur due to weak economic data, dovish central bank policies, or stronger foreign currencies.
Traders’ Actions:
Consider short (sell) positions if rejection at resistance is confirmed.
Monitor for bearish patterns (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing candles).
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Confirmation is Key
Volume Analysis: A breakout with high volume is more reliable, while rejection with high selling volume confirms resistance.
Economic Data Events: Major announcements like interest rate decisions or employment data can influence the direction.
Would you like help with specific dollar pairs or technical analysis?
DXY STRUCTURE Hi Guys its Dr Trade again, your number one multi-dimensional analyst, from my DXY previous post when I stated that I will be waiting for the market to show me its hand before I commit to the market, well I have seen the hand of the market, the target high is taken out which has turned into a BOS now i will look for pull backs to trade higher, I will keep you guys fully updated, stay tuned fore more updates, do well to like share and follow.
USDX, DXYUSDX price is in a correction phase. Currently, the price is near the support zone of 105.61-104.70. If the price cannot break through the 104.70 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Identifying big moves on the horizon in the marketIdeas on to use the Liquididty sentiment indicator to spot big market moves, here's the DXY getting very illiquid
DXY Weekly - Dollar IndexSimple Trading - Wyckoff Event
If the event has started then the dollar index will have one heck of a year coming into Q1 and Q2.
Watch for volume change on the intraday day time frame and expect the trend to continue bullish.
Long story short the DXY is growing strong with the rise of BTC and Donald Trump being elected President.
Targets:
109.40 - previous support
111.50 - .616 Fibb level
113.80 - .50 Fibb level
DXY SELL US Dollar rises after Fed's cut and hawkish outlook
DXY trades rose above 107.80, reacting to the Fed’s anticipated rate cut. Markets parse new rate projections for 2025 and 2026. Traders assess Powell’s cautious yet hawkish remarksThe US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
US Dollar Index on Wikipedia
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.
More about the basics of the Dollar index!
ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX
The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:
Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.
WANT TO LEARN MORE ON US DOLLAR INDEX?
The US Dollar Index
Steve Misic Steve Misic
Online Trading Academy
When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.
The Dollar Index – It Makes Sense Until it Closes
Don Dawson Don Dawson
Online Trading Academy
Have you watched the US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures contract trade during the day? Do you notice that with each price change the intervals are always a minimum tick of .005? And then at the end of the day when you look at your daily candle of the USDX you see a closing price like 97.197.
A Look at the US Dollar Index
Sam Evans Sam Evans
Online Trading Academy
Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over
DXY Bullish trend continue**Monthly Chart**
The Sept 24 candle formed an inside candle after it swept the liquidity from the previous candle low and tested the low of the July 2023 monthly candle at the midpoint of April 22 Fair Bullish Value Gap (IPA).
The Oct 24 candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle, suggesting a strong bullish move for DXY in the next few months.
This month's candle (which is still active) continued the strong bullish move for the DXY and took the liquidity above 106.49 and 107.34. I am still expecting DXY to at least move to test 110.00 before looking for any bearish structure.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week's candle closed bullish after swept liquidity above 107.348 level. Since DXY already took the liquidity. For Now, for DXY to continue the upward trend, it needs to form a bullish structure on smaller time frames for one more bush higher at least to test the low of 24 Oct 2022 weekly candle at 109.535 level.
**Daily Chart**
I would like to see DXY retrace lower at least to test 0.50 or 0.618 Fibs levels and FVG on the daily chart and form bullish confirmation for another push higher this week.
This means a bearish continuation for opposite pairs to USD. Such as GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD..etc.
Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
US Dollar pushing resistance ahead of the FOMCIntraday Update: The DXY pushed to recent highs at 107.20 and bias chart resistance ahead of the FOMC. Today, this will be a key breakout point for the US Dollar post FOMC.
Possibility of correction A downward trend is expected to form up to the specified support range. Then, according to the behavior of the index in the support range, the continuation of the movement process will proceed according to the specified paths
DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 106.958.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.013 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
dxy drops to $88Gm.
It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands.
Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via:
We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year.
While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection.
If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
Dxy to the 111-113See if we ant get the dxy to the 111-113 area where we’re several patterns complete
DXY Bias 24/12/18Last week pretty much ended green, so base on my bias, this is what i'd expect this cool guy to do these
DOLLAR INDEXdollar index must go bearish after sweeping the yearly liquidity, and targeting the GAP left open at lower levels
Rising Global Liquidity: Deflationary Dollar & Rallying EquitiesWhile it's uncommon for the dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and equities (S&P 500) to rise simultaneously, historical instances illustrate that it can occur under specific economic conditions.
I think those conditions may be upon us!
Historical Examples:
1995:
DXY Movement: Strengthening
S&P 500 Movement: Rising
Context: Strong economic growth and corporate earnings propelled equities higher.
2001-2002:
DXY Movement: Strengthening
S&P 500 Movement: Rising
Context: Economic recovery following the tech bubble burst.
2011:
DXY Movement: Strengthening
S&P 500 Movement: Rising
Context: Safe-haven buying of the dollar amid European debt concerns, while stocks benefited from robust corporate earnings.
March 2020:
DXY Movement: Strengthening
S&P 500 Movement: Rising (post-COVID)
Context: Initial flight to safety due to uncertainty, followed by stimulus-driven stock market recovery.
Mid-Late 2025 - Crescendo:
DXY Movement: Potential strength driven by deflationary AI Pressure cheapening productivity & labor cycles
S&P 500 Movement: Rising markets as all assets rally as a result of increased liquidity from stimulus
Context: it takes a few months for stimulus to reach assets- the next few *years* might have stimulus coming. Inflate the debt away while the dollar rises?
These historical instances suggest that a strengthening dollar *can* coexist with rising equities, particularly in environments characterized by global liquidity increases.
Given the chart, we have a convergence of two long term trend lines, first in the ascending channel on the ‘short term’ (1yr candles, in top photo ascending channel).
Then for the longer term ‘cup’ trend going back decades (ref bottom RSI momentum dating back to 1980s), *that* might show that we truly are on the cusp of incredible amounts of stimulus.
What do you think? Is it possible that the dollar goes higher while we receive trillions in stimulus? Is this the fuel for the ‘everything rally’?
The DXY is extremely important.
**“In my opinion, the Dollar Index (DXY) has always been the key determinant of market sentiment and direction, and it still is.
Today, with the distance created from China, everything is more tied to the DXY than ever before.
I truly can’t tell you whether the drop will start from the 106-107 range, because my mind is intensely occupied with the 111-112 range.
However, I can say with certainty that in 2025, the 103-104 range will be touched first, and then we’ll move toward two other specified levels.
This aligns perfectly with an explosion in cryptocurrency and altcoins.
You just need to stay on the field, as wrestlers say — eventually, you’ll strike a winning blow somewhere.”**
