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Dollar Plunge To 97.921: Trump’s Tariff Tsunami Erodes DollarDollar Index fell to 97.921, its lowest since April 2025, as Trump’s aggressive tariffs on critical minerals and China trade retaliation spooked investors. Analysts warn the dollar’s status as a reserve currency is under threat, with foreign holdings of U.S. assets declining sharply. However in the short-term, dollar might see appreciation up into premium PD arrays, namely the weekly fair value gap outlined.
TVC:DXYLong
by LegendSince
USD Week 3 of Gains - 23.6% Fibonacci RetracementThis week has been the third consecutive week of gains for DXY and this comes in stark contrast to the bearish trend that drove price in early-April trade. This week was of course a lift from the FOMC rate decision, and next week brings inflation back to center-stage with the Tuesday release of CPI. In DXY, we've only seen a mere 23.6% retracement of the 2025 sell-off so this move is still very much in the early stages. We also can't rule out sellers taking another shot here, as the oversold RSI reading from a few weeks ago often doesn't mark the exact low - because trends can usually take some time before they actually turn. What will probably weigh on the matter is EUR/USD and whether a larger pullback can show there, but for now, it's the 1.1200 handle that's led to a bounce for this week. In DXY, there's key support at 100.22, 100 and then 99.18 for bulls to defend into next week. And key resistance is around the 102.00 handle in DXY. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 101.39 1st Support: 99.91 1st Resistance: 102.58 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
Dxy bullish idea for next week - MMBMThis is a bullish possibility for DXY price action for next week. Monthly: - Price took a swing low confluent with a bearish breaker in discount and closed above the level; Weekly: - Price Took a swing below monthly swing with a bullish reaction. If this week closes with above previous weeks high, it confirms a bullish weekly swing; Daily: - Monday printed the likelly low of the week - A daily fair value gap is open allow with a volume imballance around monday open signalling bullish price action - a retrace to these levels would be a good buying opportunity. 4h: - there is a market maker buy model in play. - as of now, price already printed an intermidiate term low signalling that low risk buy myght have happened. News forecast: - I expect NFP to either retrace price to daily fvg or daily volume imbalance and leave a bullish reaction. - FOMC next week might bring the volatility to complete the mmbm Thank you for reading
TVC:DXYLong
by josefreis
1
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of DXY (Dollar Index) with you. Looking at the DXY chart, I expect a price increase towards 101.267. After reaching this level, I anticipate a decline to around 96.00. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Price increases towards 101.267. Bearish Scenario: After reaching 101.267, a decline to 96.00. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 101.267 Support: 96.00 💬 What are your thoughts on DXY this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
TVC:DXYShort
by PouyanTradeFX
1
Why I'm Bullish on the DXY: A Fundamental Approach!Powell continues to take a cautious tone, emphasizing a wait-and-see approach while acknowledging rising inflation risks, which suggests there's no urgency to cut rates. This leans slightly hawkish, especially compared to the market’s more dovish expectations, and could support some near-term Dollar strength. However, a more sustained move in the USD likely hinges on progress in upcoming trade discussions—particularly with China. Today's FOMC outcome is just one part of the broader picture; the next key signal may come with developments in the coming days. For now, the bias remains USD bullish heading into the London session. Technically, the DXY has broken its downtrend, signaling a potential shift in momentum. I’ll be watching for a possible retracement toward the 99.700 area, which could serve as a key support level before any further upside continuation.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
4
DXY is entering the Smart Money play — Are you ready Temporary selling pressure is unfolding, but a powerful bullish reversal zone is on the horizon! Don’t miss this key USD cycle setup The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently breaking down for a temporary selling phase, approaching a high-probability demand zone between 96.40–98.00. According to the Smart Money Concept, institutional players are clearing liquidity before driving price back towards the higher supply zone (106–110). Key Insights: – Temporary Sell-Off: Price is moving toward the demand zone – Bullish Reversal Expected: Watch for signs of accumulation around 96.40–98.00 – Next Target: Supply zone near 106+ levels – Strategy: Monitor for bullish confirmation before longing Stay ahead with clean Smart Money setups —
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Greenfireforex
"DXY is building a textbook bullish flag — here’s exactly where For Traders (technical + confident) DXY bulls gearing up for a double-leg rally” 1. Context & Market Structure: After a sharp impulsive drop (green falling wedge), DXY has begun corrective accumulation in an ascending channel. Current price 99.531 is consolidating inside a broadening bullish flag pattern. Key Zones: Major supply zone: 100.500 – 101.000 (highlighted yellow box) Short-term resistance: 99.700 Short-term support: 98.8Projected Path (2 bullish legs): First push (red path): Minor pullback → break to ~100.100 Second push (blue path): Consolidation → breakout towards 100.500–101.000 (target zone) 00–98.500 Bias: Short-term bullish → Targeting supply zone around 100.5–101.0 Invalidation level: Clear break below 98.500 (would negate bullish setup) > Trade Idea: Buy on dips within the ascending flag, targeting 100.100 and 100.500 Watch reaction near supply zone for possible reversal or continuation
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Greenfireforex
DXY Analysis: Rising Dollar and Market ImplicationsAnalyzing the recent DXY chart, we observe a significant upward movement following a demand build-up. This article explores the implications of a rising U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on currency pairs and major indices like the SP 500 and NASDAQ, aligning with current market dynamics. DXY Chart Breakdown: The chart highlights a strong weekly/daily demand level at 98,500, with an internal structural shift marking a pivot point. A demand build-up preceded a sharp rise, tapping the extreme level of the last point of supply at 100.385, suggesting bullish momentum. The DXY currently stands at 99.915, with potential to test previous supply levels around 101.850. Impact on Currency Pairs: A rising DXY typically strengthens the USD, influencing forex markets: • XXXUSD Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD): These pairs are likely to decline as fewer dollars are needed to purchase foreign currencies, reflecting the USD’s increased value. • USDXXX Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, USDCAD): These pairs are expected to climb, as a stronger USD buys more of the counterpart currency. Exceptions may arise due to region-specific economic data or central bank policies. Effects on Major Indices: The strengthening dollar has broader market implications: • SP 500: Multinational companies may face pressure from reduced overseas earnings, while higher interest rates (often linked to a rising DXY) could lower valuations, potentially leading to declines. • NASDAQ: Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, the NASDAQ may underperform due to its sensitivity to a stronger USD and rising borrowing costs, especially for firms with global revenue. However, a risk-off sentiment or strong U.S. economic data could counter these effects, supporting both indices. Conclusion: The DXY’s upward trajectory signals a robust USD, likely pressuring XXXUSD pairs downward and lifting USDXXX pairs. For indices, the SP 500 and NASDAQ may face headwinds, though context like economic releases or global sentiment will play a key role. Traders should monitor these levels closely for strategic entries and exits. Trump’s speech today may create short-term volatility for the DXY. A focus on tariffs could push it toward 101.850.
TVC:DXY
by Apexfx_Alpha