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DXY | Major Cycle Peak – Is the Dollar Losing Its Grip?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be following a well-defined historical cycle, marking major peaks approximately every 15–20 years. If history repeats, the 2022 peak near 114 could signal the beginning of a multi-year dollar decline, impacting global markets, commodities, and currency pairs like EUR/USD. Historical Peaks & Reversals Examining past DXY cycles, we see: 969 Peak (~120): Followed by a prolonged decline into the 1970s. 1985 Peak (~165): Marked by the Plaza Accord, triggering a sharp dollar downtrend. 2001 Peak (~120): Led to a multi-year decline as the Fed shifted policies. 2022 Peak (~114): The most recent high—could it mark the next major reversal? Each peak historically aligns with aggressive Fed tightening cycles, followed by a shift towards easing policies, leading to a weaker dollar. With U.S. interest rates expected to plateau or decline, this pattern suggests a potential long-term bearish trend for the dollar. Implications of a Weaker Dollar Bullish for EUR/USD – A declining DXY typically strengthens the euro. Boost for Commodities – Gold, oil, and other dollar-denominated assets could rally. Stronger Emerging Markets – A softer dollar eases financial conditions globally. With DXY showing signs of a historical cycle peak, investors and traders should watch for confirmation of a multi-year downtrend, potentially reshaping global markets.
TVC:DXYShort
by adiyatcoto
Dollar I Monday CLS, KL - Order Block, Model 1Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
TVC:DXYLong
by David_Perk
1
DXY DTF AnalysisDXY DTF Analysis DXY is currently in a downtrend, creating lower highs and lower lows. Price has recently broken below a minor key level at 103.300, followed by a retracement that targeted stop losses from sellers. This retracement has created liquidity at the liquidity zone, further validating the bearish sentiment. With the break below the minor support level, we are expecting the downtrend to continue. Outlook and Key Technical Levels : 🔹 Minor Key Support: 103.300 (Break below signals bearish continuation) 🔹 Minor Key Resistance: 103.090 (Retracement level for sell limit order entry) 🔹 Next Minor Support: 99.850 (Downside target for sellers) Fundamental Insight and Market Sentiment 📉 U.S. Dollar Weakness: The U.S. dollar has been under pressure recently due to growing concerns over tariffs, which have created uncertainty in the markets. This has fueled fears of a potential economic slowdown, with tariffs negatively impacting investor sentiment. The ongoing trade tensions and global uncertainties have resulted in a weaker outlook for the dollar, aligning with the technical breakdown in the DXY. 📈 Global Market Dynamics: Meanwhile, global risk sentiment remains mixed, with market participants seeking safer assets like gold, further weighing on the dollar. The negative impact from U.S. trade policies, combined with a shift in investor confidence, is contributing to a bearish outlook for the DXY. Given the technical setup and broader market sentiment, we are closely monitoring DXY for potential sell opportunities, especially if price retraces within the identified levels for a better entry point. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RebornFXTrader
2
DXY April 3 Analysis DXY April 3 Analysis *My parent bias is bear *News 8:30 & 10 *Previous session price is in a discount the and in a discount on current trading range. April 2 Analysis Fantastic sell off that I was suspecting in NY. Price did not reach for the buy side I suspected however, In Asia Price did take very minor buy side at the 3 macro London and starting selling from a Premium. Retraced before NY open. And continued to sell off. Nice silver bullet at 10 macro, coming into the hourly FVG. Small retracement at 12 and small consolidation. At 16:00 huge retracement and wick sell off to make the low of the week I was again looking for. Notice how Price took weeks of sell side in 1 day. Great delivery. April 3 Idea I could see Price in Asia and London continue to sell off completing the rebalancing of the hourly FVG and seek the clean equal lows. Reassess for NY after that. That said there are 2 new drivers in NY to be open to reading what the chart gives me. Stay humble to what Price prints and don't get stuck in any idea yet be nimble.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY:Expect an uptrend based on the daily chart supportOn Tuesday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally fluctuated in a range. The price reached a daily high of 104.345, a low of 103.99, and closed at 104.19. Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index on Tuesday, after the morning opening, the price initially fell under short-term pressure. Subsequently, it halted its decline and resumed its upward movement above the daily support level, but the overall range was limited. The price rose in a volatile manner, and finally closed with a bullish doji. From a weekly perspective, continue to focus on the 106.60 level, which is a key level for the medium-term trend. Below this level, the medium-term trend is bearish, and the price increase is temporarily regarded as a correction within the medium-term decline. Meanwhile, from a daily perspective, temporarily pay attention to the 103.90 level, which is crucial for the wave trend. Above this level, adopt a bullish stance for the wave trend. Also, on the four-hour chart, temporarily focus on the support at the 104.10 area. Therefore, before the price breaks below the low of Monday, bet on an upward movement based on the daily support. Only after a downward break will the trend turn bearish. Currently, there is a lot of news, so everyone must be cautious of market risks. Trading Strategy: buy@103.90-104 TP:104.50-104.80 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYLong
by LeoBlackwood
1
Potential Moves for DXYOn the H4 chart, DXY presents two potential paths. It appears that the bottom is in, as the price is painfully escaping a Wyckoff accumulation phase. A key level to watch is 105.615, where a gap may need to be filled. Once this level is reached, the next move will depend on the retracement momentum. If bullish strength persists, DXY is likely to continue upward toward the 106.172 resistance level. The broader market is feeling the impact of DXY’s movements, with all USD pairs experiencing pressure. Given the turbulent nature of exiting a Wyckoff phase, volatility should be expected. ⚠️ Risk Warning: These are my personal views, not financial advice (NFA). Trade carefully.
TVC:DXY
by HU5TL3R
DXY April 1 AnalysisDXY April 1 Analysis *My parent bias is still bear coming into this week. *News 10 *Previous session price is in a premium and in a discount on current trading range in a consolidation cycle. Price opened in Asia to the down side taking sell side from last Thursday, creating equal lows, London Price retraced to the 50 level which was my original target and in NY rebalance Fridays FVG closing in consolidation. I suspected higher prices for the beginning of this week. Great delivery. Today I suspect that Price will come up to take the noted buy side and seek to rebalance the noted FVG, possibly take the noted clean equal highs. I am bull on this day. Stay humble to what Price prints and don't get stuck in any idea yet be nimble.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY:Seize the opportunity to sell short at high pricesThe situation in the Middle East is clearly deteriorating, which undoubtedly has a huge stimulating effect on the global risk aversion sentiment. More funds have started to seek safe havens. However, the best choice at present is not the US dollar. With the continuous rise of the East, more and more capital will favor this side of the East. Therefore, the pressure on the US dollar index is actually increasing, and it will be very difficult for it to rise. Regarding the trend of the US dollar index today, although the current situation exerts great pressure, the actions to support the market of the US dollar index still take effect from time to time. So the price will not keep falling, and there will still be some oscillatory patterns. However, even if it moves in an oscillatory pattern, the upward pressure on the US dollar index will be significant. Therefore, when the price reaches the effective resistance level, it will be an excellent opportunity to short the US dollar index. DXY Trading Strategy: buy@104.500 TP:103.500 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYShort
by LeoBlackwood
WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IN THE U.S. ECONOMY WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IN THE U.S. ECONOMY It’s the Dollar Index (DXY) forming a bottom on the D1 timeframe and adjusting upward to the 106 zone. Naturally, U.S. stock markets will experience positive growth again. This is a signal for the rise of BTC and, conversely, a decline in gold prices. Gold will soon peak in this month of April, making way for the growth of DXY, BTC, U.S. stocks, and technology shares. This is the art of capital flow within the economy, the financial environment, and the continuous rotation driven by market makers. Good luck.
TVC:DXYLong
by rainbow_sniper
DXY on the EdgeTrump's trade policies in Q1 have significantly influenced global markets, with critics arguing that his import tariffs are destabilizing the economic and monetary order. These measures have sparked concerns about U.S. dollar confidence, potentially leading to financial instability and broader economic consequences. 🔹 DXY Technical Analysis The US Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical juncture, currently hovering around 103.376—a key level that will determine the next major move. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If DXY holds above 103.376, it may push towards the 106.160 and 107.595 resistance levels. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A break below 103.376 could send DXY further down, targeting 101.805 and 100.235 as potential support zones. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 106.160, 107.595 Support: 103.376, 101.805, 100.235 ⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm with your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
INDEX:DXY
by SPOT_FX