Dxy Buying IdeaEverything is on the chart
Please take profit at 3 level Fib Pocket Level (126-138-168%)
Goodluck
DOLLARINDEX trade ideas
DXY Bullish Setup
106.50 seems to be a good support to resume DXY bull rally to go for a new wave 3 near 113
105.40 is likely strong support for the current wave, aligned with the long term axis line
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 108.500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 105.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
💠Fundamental Analysis
Weakening US Economy: The US economy's growth is slowing down, which could lead to a decline in the dollar's value.
Falling Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar.
💠Macroeconomic Analysis
The US economy's growth, inflation rates, and employment numbers influence the dollar's strength.
Global economic trends, such as trade tensions and geopolitical events, also impact the dollar's value.
💠COT Data Analysis
Net Short Positions: Institutional traders and large banks have increased their net short positions in the DXY Dollar Index, indicating a bearish sentiment.
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.2, indicating a bearish trend.
💠Market Sentimental Analysis
Bearish Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Option Skew: The 25-delta put option skew has increased to 15, indicating a bearish sentiment.
💠Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: Institutional traders and large banks are positioning themselves for a bearish trend, with some predicting a decline to 105.50.
Corporate Traders: Corporate traders are also monitoring the index's performance, considering factors like interest rates and global economic trends.
💠Overall Outlook
Bearish Trend: The DXY Dollar Index is experiencing a bearish trend, with a potential decline to 105.50.
Key Support Levels: 106.57, 105.50.
💠Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is indicating a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has fallen to 40, indicating oversold conditions.
Bollinger Bands: The lower band breakout indicates a bearish trend.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Correction vs. Upside Break: Key Thresholds at 107 and 110My primary scenario is a correction. The current wave structure suggests the completion of an motive wave forming an ‘ending diagonal.’ After testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, the market shows signs of a downturn. If the index settles below the nearest support (around 107), a deeper pullback toward 105 and lower becomes possible.
The alternative scenario is a breakout to the upside. The area around 110 serves as the key invalidation level for this scenario: a decisive break above 110 would indicate the potential for renewed growth.
Overall, the outlook points to a high likelihood of a correction. However, if the price breaks above 110, the bullish scenario regains relevance.
ICEUS:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY TVC:DXY
Dollar Index - Trump & TariffsWith a lot of fundamental conflicts at play, one being the tariffs war on China, EU, Mexico and Canada (we don’t know yet if any more countries will be affected), we are seeing the result in price action.
We are trading in a range from 110.176 - 106.969 and so far, Dollar has managed to support the weekly BISI @ the 107.500 region but also trade up to and reject the 109.770 HTF PD array.
Ultimately, it will be fundamental news that will grant dollar the necessary volatility to run to liquidity pools. My guess, to the downside
DXY 1W IdeaPotential for a bullish pullback on the DXY Jones which could lead to a price movement towards the resistance level at 115.000
Bearish forecast on DXYWeekly took the low of previous candle and closed below it.
Daily showing a potential internal range liquidity into external range liquidity move.
DXY Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is going down and
The index made a bearish
Breakout of the key level
Of 107.400 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Now bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅DXY(Dollar Index) broke the
Key horizontal level around 107.800
And the breakout is confirmed so
We will be expecting a further
Bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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DOLLARThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies: the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF)1. Created in 1973 by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the DXY serves as a benchmark for evaluating the USD's performance
The DXY is a reliable gauge for measuring the strength of the U.S. dollar. An increasing DXY value indicates a strengthening U.S. dollar against other currencies in the index, while a decreasing value suggests a weakening U.S. dollar.
just for educational purpose,do your own research..
DXY OutlookIt appears that DXY is pausing this uptrend briefly soon. A push up with a B wave followed by a C wave correction. After that we should continue to hit the technical target of the uptrend.
Does the dollar do it and fly in the sky? Is it reasonable that Does the dollar do it and fly in the sky? Is it reasonable that it is a pulse that is a trading pattern?
DXY "DXY Sell Setup: With easing US tariffs and a shift to risk-off sentiment, I'm targeting a move down to around 106.969 before any rebound. Stay sharp—this sell opportunity could be significant. #DXY #Forex #SellSignal"
USD Under Pressure: Impact Retail Sales and Trade TensionsThe U.S. dollar faces another challenging session, with the DXY index dropping 0.4% in the end-of-week session and posting a weekly decline of 1.4%, bringing the greenback to levels unseen since early December. This performance is largely attributed to disappointing January retail sales data and trade tensions stemming from the potential implementation of more “meticulous” tariffs than initially expected, some of which may not take effect until April.
Retail sales, one of the key indicators of U.S. consumer strength, fell 0.9% month-over-month in January, significantly below the -0.1% expected by analysts. This marks the sharpest contraction since March 2023, reflecting the impact of adverse weather conditions and specific factors such as the Los Angeles wildfires. Sectors such as sporting goods, vehicles and parts, and e-commerce experienced the largest declines. This deterioration in domestic demand is further reinforced by the drop in “core” sales for GDP calculations—which exclude food, automobiles, building materials, and gasoline—coming in at -0.8%.
In terms of monetary policy, this data supports the likelihood of a second rate cut in 2025. Futures markets are now pricing in approximately 38 basis points of easing before year-end, a notable adjustment from the 26 basis points anticipated just the day before. The scale of this market revision reflects the relative shift in the economic outlook following weak consumer data. Naturally, this expectation of lower returns on dollar-denominated assets, with the U.S. Treasury yield falling 6 basis points to 4.47%, exerts downward pressure on the U.S. currency.
Looking at the short- and medium-term outlook, the dollar’s performance will continue to be shaped by the evolution of trade tensions. The recent executive order signed by President Donald Trump includes the adoption of “reciprocal tariffs”, though the final scope of these measures remains uncertain. If the administration continues to adopt a “surgical” approach to counter what it considers unfair trade imbalances, the market may find further reasons to dismiss the scenario of a stronger greenback. Should this bearish trend for the USD persist, the next key level for the DXY index is around 105. The dollar’s trajectory will depend both on expectations for additional Fed rate cuts and tariff decisions, both of which will be critical in shaping the next few months.
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DXY aka USD daily chartUnless there is a big move down the bullish channel, the bias is still bullish in the longer term.
You never know, the "tariff" thing is still on going, just one sentence from trump could cause bulls to push it back up. For now it is work in progress.
DXY Weekly BiasMy bias for this index is bearish and the price might target the Sellside Liquidity at 105.4. My Optimum Trade Entry would be around the 107.28 Zone.
DXY Long
On the weekly Time Frame the DXY has broken above a previous weekly resistance level (wPb).
Price has since Re-Tested this level and seems to be finding Support.
Last weeks candle (week 6) printed what I believe, has proven to be a strong reversal candle (with Bullish Divergence), indicating the bearish correction (Re-Test of wPb) is about to reverse Long.
In light of this I'll be looking for a reason to enter Long on the 4h Time Frame, inside the wPb Zone & aiming for the w6 High.
DXY 1hMaking High Resistance we are Bearish but we are also Bullish because we come from Support i recommend to see what liq will be taken pref. sellside sweep after a MSS bullish and to push a little Higher, if we see some drops the probability is higher take that local +OB below liq beeing taken out
DXY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 107.865.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 110.063 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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**DXY 4H Analysis: Ascending Channel Support, Bullish Move AheadThis DXY 4H chart shows an ascending channel with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) points. The price is currently near the lower trendline support, around 107.754, suggesting a potential bullish reaction.
A minor BOS has formed, and a possible retest of the 108.000 zone could act as confirmation for a bullish move. If the price holds above this support, the next upside target is around 110.062. However, a breakdown below the ascending trendline could indicate weakness, with support levels at 107.706–107.675 and a stronger demand zone lower around 106.400.
DXY retracementDXY looking to cool down a bit, not sure if it can retrace that high but it possibly retests the head shoulder, which aligns with 0.68 fib level, for a continuation down.
$DXY Weekly Analysis: Bearish Divergence and Trendline Breakdown
DXY Shows Bearish Divergence and Breakdown – Bullish Implications for Bitcoin, Gold, and Forex
The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has formed a clear bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe, indicating potential downside momentum. Additionally, it has lost key trendline support, further confirming weakness in the dollar.
Key Support Levels for #DXY
Next Major Support: 102 - 100 zone
If the 110 support level is breached, DXY could experience a sharp plunge, accelerating further downside.
Bullish Impact on Bitcoin, Altcoins, Gold, and Forex
Since the DXY moves inversely to risk assets and other currencies, its bearish outlook could support:
✅ #Bitcoin & #Altcoins: Potential for upward momentum
✅ #Gold: Increased demand as a hedge against a weaker dollar
✅ #Forex Markets: Currencies like EUR, GBP, and others could gain strength against the USD
The current bearish divergence and breakdown of trendline support in DXY suggest continued dollar weakness. If key support levels fail, we could see strong rallies in Bitcoin, altcoins, gold, and major forex pairs in the coming weeks.
DXY hovers near the ascending channel's support at 107.50Technical Perspective:
DXY pared recent gains as the price approached the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 107.50, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci extension and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. If DXY rebounds above 107.50, the price could gain upward momentum and retest the 109.50 resistance, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci extension. Conversely, a break below the 107.50 support level could prompt a steeper decline toward the next support at 105.50.
Fundamental Perspective:
Hot inflation data in the US has spurred speculation that the Fed will not have much room to cut rates this year. Fed Chair Powell echoed this sentiment, indicating that the central bank will keep interest rates at restrictive levels.
Consequently, bond yields soared, with the US 10-year Treasury hovering around 4.6%, putting pressure on equities, though tech stocks remain resilient. Fed's hawkish stance and the inflationary nature of trade tariffs could continue to support the US dollar's strength.
Author: Li Xing Gan, CMT, CFTe,
Financial Market Strategist Consultant to Exness
