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DOLLARINDEX trade ideas

DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!) Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar. 1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world. 2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper. 3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s. 4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect. 5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified. 6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar. Techanically how high can the USD go? -120 is likely. (hopefully not much more) -Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE! - What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER! We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows. For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))
TVC:DXYLong
by RealMacro
2
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (103.300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (101.700) Day / Scalping trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💸💵DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
DXY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry from Support Zone TowardEMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trend, and price is hovering near this level. EMA 200 (Blue Line): At 100.935 — indicates long-term trend, acting as dynamic resistance above. 📈 Trade Setup ✅ Entry Point: Price: 99.699 Rationale: This level has been tested multiple times, forming a support zone. A bounce here signals a potential long entry. 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit): Price: 102.738 Distance: ~3.04 points or 3.43% potential move upward. Note: Marked as EA TARGET POINT, which suggests a calculated area possibly based on previous resistance or algorithmic strategy. 🛑 Stop Loss: Price: 98.624 Reasoning: Just below the defined support zone (highlighted purple area), ensuring protection against downside breakouts. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry: 99.699 Target: 102.738 → Gain of ~3.04 Stop: 98.624 → Risk of ~1.08 R/R Ratio: ~2.8:1 — favorable setup 📌 Overall Sentiment This chart indicates a bullish reversal setup from a strong support zone, possibly targeting a mean reversion or trend reversal toward the 200 EMA and beyond. However, keep in mind: The price is currently below both EMAs, so the trend is still bearish. The trade is counter-trend, relying on support holding and momentum shifting.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
1
.DXY (U.S.DOLLAR INDEX) M30 ANALYSIS UPDATES 🔍 **Chart Overview:** - The chart shows a recent **bearish movement** after a double top pattern, indicated by the red arrows. - Price has dropped significantly and is approaching a **key support zone** around **99.209 – 99.253**. - A potential **bullish reversal** is anticipated from this support zone. --- 🧠 **Trade Idea:** ✅ **Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):** 1. **Wait for price action** confirmation around the support area **(99.209 – 99.253)**. 2. Once bullish confirmation appears (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or double bottom), look for **buy entries**. 3. **First target:** **99.839** (minor resistance zone). 4. **Final target:** **100.607** (major resistance & previous high). ❗️**Invalidation:** - If price breaks and closes **below 99.209** with strong bearish momentum, the bullish idea becomes invalid and further downside may be expected. . 🧩 **Strategy Notes:** - This setup assumes a potential **V-shaped recovery** after a liquidity grab below the recent low. - Watch for **U.S. economic data releases**, as marked on the chart – they may trigger volatility and impact DXY movement.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_Gold_Man
The US dollar is Forex's weakest currency this year 2025Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This comes as no surprise to those who follow major technical signals: breakout of the 200-day moving average in early March, structural pressures visible with the Elliott wave fractal approach, bearish signals from the ichimoku system... in short, the technical tools had spoken, and the market has effectively embarked on a downtrend this year 2025. The question now is: is a bottom in sight? In the short term, perhaps, the market is testing the strong chartist support of 99/100 points on the DXY (see main chart of this analysis). In the medium term, the downtrend could continue. One thing is clear, and that is that institutional positioning has played a central role in the downturn: hedge funds and asset managers all turned bearish on the US dollar in the depths of winter. As early as February, the former became net buyers of EUR/USD, as shown by the CFTC's COT report. Then, at the beginning of March, all institutional investors became net sellers of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (see the inset data in the chart below). Bis repetita with the first year of Trump's first term (2017) It was the trade war, that of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which saw the increase in medium-term bearish technical signals on the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Volatility on Wall Street exploded, not least because of the Trump administration's escalating tariffs. The US economic climate is becoming increasingly unpredictable for markets, with trade policy seemingly improvised and decisions generating systemic uncertainty. But that's not all: the US bond market is also sending out warning signals. The 10-year yield has gone up, and spreads between the US and other developed economies have widened. Some even speak of a form of Chinese pressure on US debt, through massive sales of Treasuries. The MOVE index, a barometer of bond volatility, confirms it: the tension is there, and it's clearly weighing on the dollar. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart. DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree. It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D. The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction. DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction. The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons. We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave. I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done. When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box. So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
TVC:DXY
by TheDane
2
Bearish sentiment on the USD index (DXY)TVC:DXY On this trading week (April 14-18), we have not seen much volatility in the USD index, with its highest trading point at approximately 100.3 and lowest 99.2, partly due to a long bank holiday for Good Friday and Easter on the following Monday. On last week's Friday, price briefly tapped into the weekly demand zone and gave a quick reaction upwards to the 4-hour supply zone, which then quickly rejected and cooled price back down. Currently, price is still sitting at the lower point of the weekly range, we can expect DXY to have a very short-term push back to this strong 4-hour swap zone above, possibly creating a higher high, before pushing it back down. Price is very likely to take out the weekly lows and continue to push towards the bottom of the weekly demand zone. On fundamentals, Bank of America's analysts had identified close relationship of its depreciating USD, with its falling US asset and equities values. Economic activities have also declined due to trade wars and huge uncertainty of the upcoming policy changes by the Trump administration; asset managers and central banks may also continue to sell USD. Besides, the US is very likely to continue reducing its interest rates in order to boost its economic activity. One of the reasons why Trump imposed high tariffs into many countries was to reduce international dependency on the manufacturing sector and trade deficits, and to attract foreign investments to set up factories in the US, in order to sell to consumers at the 'good price'. However, it is still very controversial on how effective it is, business owners abroad may perceive Trump's policies as bipolar, which changes depending on his mood, therefore, majority of businesses would rather partner elsewhere than to put themselves through this hassle. USD has also dropped 10% since the start of 2025 and has reached its lowest in three years. References: www.investing.com www.cbsnews.com
TVC:DXYShort
by CandleCipher
USD Oversold on Weekly & Fibonacci Support TestWeekly charts can be helpful for tracking the motion of the ocean, or larger dominant trends. And so far in 2025, that trend has been quite bearish for the US Dollar and this showed up even with the Greenback coming into 2025 with a full head of steam. But last week something that's somewhat rare showed up - as weekly RSI on DXY went into oversold territory for only the second time in the past seven years. The last time this happened was August of 2024, and that was followed by the Q4 reversal in the USD. And before that - it was all the way back in early-2018, which is around when DXY marked a major low that still hasn't been traded through. This isn't to say that RSI is an automatic indication of reversal because it's not - it's simply a lagging indicator that shows how one sided a trend has been of late. But - it does illustrate how chasing the USD lower could be a challenge here especially given how quickly bears have come on over the past couple of months. There's also some Fibonacci support that's in-play which is very near support in the range of USD that held for a couple of years before the Q4 breakout. The 61.8% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move plots right at 98.98, which has so far held the lows in DXY. Of interest and perhaps a bigger component of this move is whether EUR/USD will be able to establish a reversal at or around the 1.1500 handle. And that's a question mark right now, because from a data and driver perspective, it would seem that the backdrop is there as US retail sales printed with strength this week, and Chair Powell sounded somewhat hawkish around the prospect of inflation given the tariff situation. And then the ECB rate cut on Thursday sounded dovish - all factors that would normally be expected to push EUR/USD weakness. The fact that it hasn't happened is of interest as this could be a bigger picture dominant trend showing it's hand. As I shared in the EUR/USD post which I'll link below, bulls are still in charge of the pair from a price action perspective so accordingly I would still assume bears are in-control of USD until evidence suggests otherwise. In DXY, it's the 102 level that I would like to see traded through as illustration of bulls taking control. -js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
DXY Starts the Bearish Trend!DXY Starts the Bearish Trend! Yesterday, the DXY made a clear breakout on the daily chart from a strong structure zone located near 106.20. Since that moment, the DXY hasn't paused, leading to a weakening USD. Even if the DXY corrects, it is expected to be short-term. The DXY may test the 105.7 - 106.20 range as a maximum before a more significant bearish wave occurs. The U.S. dollar dropped to a near three-month low against major peers on Wednesday, following the latest round of U.S. tariffs and countermeasures from Canada and China, which stoked fears of an escalating trade war. Fears about weaker U.S. and global economic activity are driving the sell-off. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by KlejdiCuni
6