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Weekly FOREX Forecast Mar 17-21: Buy EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD vs USD!This is an outlook for the week of March 17-21st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD The USD Index is entering a Daily +FVG, which is nested in a Weekly +FVG. This is a bearish indication for the USD, which is a potential bullish situation for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. This will be potentially bearish for the USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Wait for the market structure shift going in the direction of your TP, and enter on the pullback. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
Dollar Index Technical AnalysisThe Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a key weekly resistance zone around 110.26, as shown in the chart. Here's a breakdown of the technical analysis: Resistance at 110.26: This level has acted as a critical barrier, causing the current pullback. The index has struggled to sustain momentum above this zone, indicating potential exhaustion for bulls. Trend Reversal Signals: The large rejection candles at resistance indicate seller dominance. If the weekly close remains below 109, we could see sustained bearish momentum. Support Levels Below: 105.35–105.66: Key support zone acting as the next likely target for bears. 103.33–103.82: A significant level to watch if the decline accelerates, providing a potential buy zone. Shift in COT Data: The bearish shift in the COT index aligns with the resistance rejection, adding fundamental weight to the technical setup. Outlook: With Trump’s policy announcements expected soon, the DXY is at a critical turning point. A break below the immediate support at 108.79 could lead to a drop toward the 105 range. Conversely, if bulls defend this zone, we might see a retest of the 110 resistance. Trade with caution, as geopolitical and policy events may drive volatility in the coming weeks.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mike_SnD
1
Dollar Caught in Mixed SignalsThe US dollar is trading with relative stability this Wednesday, consolidating within a tight range as markets carefully analyze a series of recent economic data that suggest mixed signals about the strength of the world’s largest economy. The latest durable goods orders report for February surprised to the upside, showing an increase of 0.9%, compared to expectations of a 1% decline. Although lower than the robust 3.3% growth recorded in January, this data still reflects some resilience in key sectors such as transportation, machinery, and electrical equipment, which could partially ease concerns over an imminent economic slowdown. However, the optimism sparked by this figure is counterbalanced by a 1.5% drop in non-defense capital goods orders. This indicator, crucial for measuring business confidence and future investment, posted its first contraction in four months, declining 0.3% excluding aircraft. This setback appears to reveal growing caution among US companies, likely driven by uncertainty surrounding trade and tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration. Meanwhile, US consumer confidence showed concerning signs in March. The overall index plummeted to 92.9, reaching its lowest level since 2022. Particularly alarming was the decline in the expectations index, which fell to 65.2, hitting a 12-year low. This drop reflects growing pessimism among American households regarding the economic outlook, worsened by negative perceptions of trade policies and their potential impact on inflation and employment. Inflation, and its anticipated evolution in the coming months, has become a key factor influencing market sentiment toward the dollar. Markets are especially focused on the release of the PCE index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflationary pressures. Should this figure show a significant increase, the Fed may be prompted to maintain a cautious and restrictive stance, thereby supporting the dollar. Conversely, a more moderate reading could lead the central bank to consider less aggressive adjustments, putting downward pressure on the US currency. In conclusion, as markets continue to digest these contradictory signals, the dollar appears likely to remain within a tight range in the short term. Uncertainty over trade policy, combined with mixed signs of economic strength, create a challenging operational environment. As such, caution prevails among investors and businesses, and the market remains on alert, aware that in the current climate, more than ever, clarity on economic and trade policy will be crucial to shaping the near-term future of the US dollar. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone
DXY FORECAST Q1 FY25 : zim dollar dollarBack again with a TVC:DXY doomsday post my judgement at the moment is based of the following reasonings. 📉 Tariffs & Global Trade Impact Tariffs weaken trade activity: If the U.S. imposes tariffs, it might reduce export competitiveness and disrupt global supply chains. That can lead to lower foreign demand for U.S. dollars, putting downward pressure on the DXY. Market uncertainty: Investors often move away from riskier assets during trade wars, but if confidence in the U.S. economy declines, they might shift into other safe havens (like gold or the Swiss franc) instead of dollars. 💰 Money Supply Contraction Dollar scarcity effect: The contraction in M2 money supply could strengthen the dollar temporarily due to reduced liquidity. However, if the Fed eases monetary policy to counter recession fears, it might reverse the effect, weakening the dollar. 📊 Inflation & Real Interest Rates Sticky inflation: If inflation remains above target (around 2.9%), and tariffs drive consumer prices higher, the Fed may face pressure to hold or hike interest rates — which could eventually support the dollar. Recession signals: On the flip side, if the economy contracts, rate cuts could come into play, flooding markets with liquidity and pushing the dollar down. in my opinion the shrinking money supply points to future deflationary pressures, which historically support the dollar however disruptive trade policies could destabilize growth, undercutting the dollar’s strength. If tariffs intensify and growth stalls, the dollar may stay weak or decline further despite the contracting money supply. But if the Fed stays firm on inflation control and global instability rises, the dollar could rebound as a safe haven... though this would depend on whether markets believe the U.S. can avoid a full-blown recession. Like Comment Follow Tip Gift its appreciated for more serious work like this.
TVC:DXYShort
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
DXY Flow conceptsThe **flow concept** in trading refers to the way markets move, either easily or with difficulty, in an upward or downward direction. It is a critical tool for traders to anticipate price movements and market behavior. Key Points: 1. Types of Flow: - Good Flow: Market moves easily in the expected direction, aligning with targets. - Poor Flow: Market struggles or moves contrary to expectations. 2. Indicators of Flow: - Range and direction of the bar. - Location of the close within the bar (near highs or lows suggests direction). - Degree of progress toward expected targets within an envelope system. 3. Using Flow in Trading: - Flow helps traders anticipate targets and identify when market behavior deviates from expectations. - It integrates multiple timeframes: higher time periods (HTP), lower time periods (LTP), and focus time periods (FTP). 4. Energy and Strength: - Flow derives from the energy between support and resistance levels (e.g., PL Dot, envelope confines). - Observing energy shifts at key levels helps predict future price movements. 5. Practical Applications: - Monitor Real-Time Flow: Recognize changes in direction or strength to adjust strategies. - Avoid Stops with Flow: Understanding flow can reduce reliance on stop-loss orders by enabling better decision-making. Conclusion: The flow concept emphasizes studying and monitoring market behavior dynamically, leveraging multi-timeframe analysis and energy zones. Mastery of flow allows traders to anticipate changes, make informed decisions, and reduce errors.
TVC:DXYShort
by JordanMT
USD INDEXPrice is currently in wave 4 of C, with the correction likely ending around 101.500. Expect a rebound towards 105.20 before the downtrend continues. From there, we should see a resumption of the bearish momentum, pushing price towards the 101.500 level. Keep an eye on price action around 101.500 for confirmation of the Wave 5 completion. A strong bullish candle or a break above a minor resistance level in that area would signal a good entry point for a long position, targeting 105.20. However, be prepared to cut losses if the level fails to hold and price breaks lower. Conservative traders might wait for a confirmed rejection at 105.20 before entering short positions, aiming for the 98.00 target. Trade safe and manage your risk.
TVC:DXYLong
by Ibrahim1984
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.550) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.800) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 105.400 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
Power of trendline + support/resistanceI would like to show the power of combining trendlines and support & resistance on your chart work. As we all know in order for a trendline to be effective it must be used with key major points and the trend must be clear whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, cause if the trend is neither then that would lead to false signals that would cause people to get stopped out. If used with S&R it can give us way better entries and more accurate with high probability of winning, We all know if for example an Uptrend trendline is broken then that would mean we have sellers active and that means the trend will go down, however that is not entirely true if it was then we would all be millionaires lol. So in order to fix this and know for sure the trend is changing for real we need to combine both our Trendlines and S&R, as you can see from the chart our uptrend trendline was broken and those who entered immediately after the breakout would have been trapped by professional traders when the price pulled back to their entry points, but to avoid this and get a much better entry that has high accuracy like mine you would also need to use your "visible" support and resistance. As the uptrend line was broken that gave us a sign sellers are active and might push the price down but that is not enough confirmation to sell, unless you want to make a loss obviously💀,If you noticed I also marked my Visible Support(CHANGE OF TREND), since this is the lowest point in the uptrend then we know if price breaks below it then it's a clear confirmation that sellers will overpower buyers and push the price down, our first confirmation was Price breaking the uptrend(not enough to sell), our second powerful confirmation was price breaking below the CHANGE OF TREND, now this shows that bears overpowered bulls causing a CHANGE OF TREND and a much higher winning probability and a much better R:R. I know most people would see this as a late entry, but it's not trust me there's no better entry you can get better than this that has higher chance of winning and a better R:R also less risky. Most people chase the trend instead of waiting for the trend to come to them, that's also why they make many losses because they enter with few confirmations that have low probability
CAPITALCOM:DXYEducation
by StarleXtheTrader