DAX at a Crossroads: Will Resistance Trigger a Pullback?The German 40 (DAX) has been on a strong bullish run, now trading into a key resistance zone near previous range highs. This area is likely packed with liquidity (buy stops), making it a potential turning point. Given the overextended price action and current fundamentals, a retracement is likely as profit-taking and stop orders trigger. While sentiment has been bullish, caution is warranted at these levels. I am expecting a pullback before any further upside. Not financial advice.
GERMANY40 trade ideas
DAX Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025
- DAX reversed from the support level 23320.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 24500.00
DAX index recently reversed from the key support level 23320.00 (former double top from March, as can be seen from the daily DAX chart below).
The upward reversal from the support level 23320.00 started the active minor impulse wave 5, which then broke above the minor resistance level 23925.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave 3).
Given a clear daily uptrend, the DAX index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 24500.00 (which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
DAX Date: 13-05-2025
Current Price: 23638 (It's trading well above the resistance level at the moment)
Mid-point: 23120.63
Upside Targets: 23852.18, 24197.55, 24601.40 and 25005.24
Downside Targets: 22390.43, 22043.71, 21639.87 and 21236.02
Resistance: 23506.81
Support: 22737.14
#DAX
#DAXChartPatterns
#DAXChartAnalysis
DAX40 INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 23520
The DAX index remains in a long-term uptrend, reflecting a bullish overall sentiment. The recent price action shows a bullish breakout above sideways consolidation.
The key support level is at 23,520, which marks the lower boundary of the recent trading range. If the index pulls back and holds above this level, it would suggest continued bullish momentum. A rebound from 23,520 could see the DAX pushing toward resistance levels at 23,990, then 24,200, and potentially 24,450 in the longer term.
On the downside, a confirmed break and daily close below 23,520 would weaken the bullish case. This would open the door for further declines, with the next support at 23,300, followed by a deeper retracement toward 23,060.
Conclusion:
The DAX outlook remains bullish while holding above 23,520. A bounce from this level supports a move higher, but a break below it would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Wave Analysis – 6 May 2025
- DAX reversed from key resistance level 23435,00
- Likely to fall to support level 22700.00
DAX index recently reversed down from the key resistance level 23435,00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (1) in the middle of March).
The resistance level 23435,00 was further strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the resistance level 23435,00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, DAX index can be expected to fall to the next support level 22700.00.
DAX40 INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 22226The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing short term uptrend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which subsequently spiked above near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 22,226.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A corrective pullback to 22,226, followed by renewed buying pressure, would likely confirm a bullish reversal, with upside targets at:
22,804 – Near-term resistance
23,252 – Medium-term resistance
23,475 – Long-term resistance level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly below 22,226 on a daily basis, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend corrective pullback toward:
21,900 – Immediate support
20,457 – Major downside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bullish above 22,226, with rallies from that level offering potential long opportunities. A daily close below 22,226, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bearish continuation toward lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish correctionDax is falling after reaching its upper bound, but has failed to move above it. The rejection of price from the all-time high zone may yield a correction towards the midpoint of the previous bullish trend. However, if price action regains upward momentum, the indice may stall the bearish correction and try to pursue the bullish continuation.
From Euphoria to Exhaustion: DAX 8H Short LoadedAfter an impressive rally, DAX has now returned to its previous highs. But this upward move looks more like an engineered push rather than a healthy breakout. From a technical and sentiment-based perspective, it feels overextended. That’s why I initiated a short position from this level. No need to predict the top—just follow the setup and manage risk.
Technicals:
• Price has returned to previous highs after a sharp V-shaped recovery.
• The rally lacks structure—no clear consolidation or volume support.
• We’re also near a historical EQ level that has acted as a turning point before.
Fundamentals:
• Philips cut its 2025 profit margin forecast citing U.S. tariffs as a major drag—this isn’t an isolated signal.
• Hugo Boss and other exporters confirmed revenue weakness due to U.S. trade tensions, adding to the bearish bias for European equities.
• President Trump’s warning about additional tariffs on pharmaceuticals could severely affect key European sectors.
• Global trade uncertainty and tariff retaliation fears have returned. These external shocks are significant for export-heavy indices like the DAX.
• With the Fed’s policy decision pending and no concrete trade deals, markets are shaky. Sentiment remains fragile.
This isn’t just a chart move — it’s a narrative setup. Markets can push higher on euphoria, but engineered rallies without backing tend to snap. I don’t need to catch the top perfectly — just be in when reality bites back.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,794.30 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 22,200.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 23,447.57 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the index is
Locally overbought so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
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GER40What is GER40?
GER40, commonly known as the DAX 40, is Germany’s premier stock market index that tracks the performance of the 40 largest and most liquid German blue-chip companies listed primarily on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It reflects the overall health of the German economy and is a key benchmark for European equity markets.
The DAX 40 is a market-capitalization-weighted index using a free-float methodology, meaning it only considers shares available for public trading.
It is a total return index, which means dividends paid by constituent companies are reinvested in the index calculation.
The index replaced the previous DAX 30 in September 2021 by expanding the number of constituents from 30 to 40 companies.
Does Bond Yield Affect GER40?
Yes, bond yields do affect the GER40 price movements, as they influence the cost of capital, investor risk appetite, and economic outlook:
Rising German government bond yields typically increase borrowing costs for companies, which can weigh on corporate profits and stock valuations, potentially pressuring the DAX 40 lower.
Higher yields may also make fixed income more attractive relative to equities, causing capital to flow out of stocks into bonds.
Conversely, falling bond yields lower borrowing costs and often signal economic uncertainty, which can support or sometimes depress stocks depending on the context.
The DAX 40’s sensitivity to bond yields is also influenced by broader European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy and global risk sentiment.
Additionally, the US Treasury yields and US Dollar strength indirectly impact the GER40 by affecting global capital flows and export competitiveness of German multinational companies.
Companies That Make Up GER40 (Selected Major Constituents)
The DAX 40 consists of 39 companies (due to share classes) across various sectors. Here are some key members with their sectors and approximate market caps:
Company Ticker Sector Market Cap (Approx.)
Adidas AG ADS Personal Goods €36.5 billion
Airbus SE AIR Aerospace & Defence €122.8 billion
Allianz SE ALV Life Insurance €141.1 billion
BASF SE BAS Chemicals €40.2 billion
Bayer AG BAYN Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology €22.6 billion
BMW AG BMW Automobiles & Parts €44.7 billion
Deutsche Bank AG DBK Banks €45.0 billion
Deutsche Telekom AG DTE Telecommunications €157.0 billion
Infineon Technologies AG IFX Technology Hardware & Equipment €37.8 billion
Mercedes-Benz Group AG MBG Automobiles & Parts €50.8 billion
Siemens AG SIE Industrial Conglomerate (Included in DAX)
SAP SE SAP Software & IT Services (Included in DAX)
Volkswagen AG VOW3 Automobiles & Parts (Included in DAX)
Deutsche Post AG DHL Commercial Transportation €45.4 billion
Munich Re (Muenchener Rueck) MUV2 Reinsurance €80.5 billion
(There are 39 stocks tracked due to share classes; full list includes companies from chemicals, healthcare, insurance, technology, automotive, and industrial sectors.)
Summary
What is GER40? Germany’s main blue-chip index tracking 40 largest companies on Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Bond Yield Impact Rising yields can pressure stocks via higher borrowing costs; falling yields can support stocks depending on context
Key Companies Adidas, Airbus, Allianz, BASF, Bayer, BMW, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Telekom, Infineon, Mercedes-Benz, Siemens, SAP, Volkswagen, Munich Re, Deutsche Post, etc.
The GER40 is heavily influenced by Germany’s economic conditions, ECB policy, global trade dynamics, and bond market movements. Rising bond yields generally create headwinds for the index, while falling yields and accommodative monetary policy tend to support it.
DAX: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 22,904.4 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 22,755.9..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe DAX (GER30) JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,574.39 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 21,780.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,447.57 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX40 INTRADAY supported at 22226The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing short term uptrend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which subsequently spiked above near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 22,226.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A corrective pullback to 22,226, followed by renewed buying pressure, would likely confirm a bullish reversal, with upside targets at:
22,804 – Near-term resistance
23,252 – Medium-term resistance
23,475 – Long-term resistance level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly below 22,226 on a daily basis, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend corrective pullback toward:
21,900 – Immediate support
20,457 – Major downside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bullish above 22,226, with rallies from that level offering potential long opportunities. A daily close below 22,226, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bearish continuation toward lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX: forming the 1st Golden Cross since December!DAX has just turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.773, MACD = 85.200, ADX = 45.497) and tonight will form the first 4H Golden Cross in 5 months (since December 2nd 2024). This comes to compliment a 1D MACD Bullish Cross that was formed last week. The pattern is identical to the November - December rise and as you see both rebounds took palce on the S1 level. We are long, expecting the R1 level to be tested (TP = 23,480).
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DAX: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 22,461.17 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 22,275.67..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bullish momentum to extend?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 22,083.20
1st Support: 21,516.36
1st Resistance: 23,434.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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