Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 24,122.25
1st Support: 23,935.80
1st Resistance: 24,622.91
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GERMANY40 trade ideas
KOG - DAXDAX:
Let’s have a quick look at DAX and apply the red boxes to the 4H Chart. We have our bullish above indication which if supported, should give us a move into the 23,400 region initially. That’s the level that will need to break to go higher with our ideal target level being above at the 24,6-700 region before a potential RIP.
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As always, trade safe.
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Technical Weekly AnalysisGermany 40 remains in a bullish trend but is currently undergoing a pullback phase. It is trading at 24,080, nearly matching its VWAP of 24,079. The RSI at 53 suggests moderate momentum. Support lies at 23,245, with resistance at 24,590.
The UK 100 continues its new bullish trend into all-time highs and is currently in an impulsive phase. With price at 8,962 above the VWAP of 8,813, it shows strong momentum. The RSI at 63 supports this outlook. Support stands at 8,652 and resistance is at 9,000.
Wall Street remains bullish but is in a pullback phase, trading at 44,192, slightly above the VWAP of 43,871. The RSI at 58 points to sustained buying interest. Support is at 42,404 and resistance is at 45,338.
Brent Crude is in a neutral trend within a ranging phase, trading at 7,058 just above the VWAP of 6,892. The RSI at 55 reflects a balanced market. Support is at 6,402, with resistance at 7,382.
Gold is also in a neutral trend and consolidating in a range. It is priced at 3,371, near its VWAP of 3,329. The RSI at 56 indicates mild bullish interest. Support sits at 3,269 and resistance is at 3,390.
EUR/USD maintains a bullish trend but is currently in a pullback phase. Trading at 1.1683, it is nearly aligned with the VWAP of 1.1690. The RSI at 55 indicates moderate strength. Support is at 1.1542 and resistance is at 1.1853.
GBP/USD is in a bullish trend but undergoing a correction. With price at 1.3485 below the VWAP of 1.3609, momentum appears to be easing. The RSI at 39 supports this softer tone. Support is at 1.3424 and resistance at 1.3793.
USD/JPY is testing the top of its sideways range. Currently at 147.33, it is above the VWAP of 145.41. The RSI at 64 suggests a potential new bullish phase is beginning. Support is at 142.91 and resistance at 147.92.
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🔐💹DE40/Germany40 Master Robbery Plan – Swing Trade Setup
Strategy Type: Swing & Scalp Friendly
Market Direction: Neutral ➜ Bullish Bias
Approach: DCA + Tactical Entry Zones + News-Conscious Trading
📍ENTRY (The Vault Is Open!)
Break in like a pro! We are eyeing a long entry setup.
Wait for price to dip near key pullback zones (within recent 15m or 30m swing highs/lows). Use buy limit orders to scale in.
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Our risk control is set at recent 4H swing low – around 23950.00.
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📍TARGET (Getaway Point!)
🎯 Target: 24570.00 or exit early if resistance becomes tight.
We’re approaching a “Red Zone” – a high-risk area loaded with fake-outs, bear traps, and profit-takers.
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DAX Stock Index Declines Amid Trump Tariff ThreatDAX Stock Index Declines Amid Trump Tariff Threat
The German stock index DAX 40 (Germany 40 mini at FXOpen) is showing bearish momentum at the start of the week. This may be driven by a combination of factors, the most significant of which is the threat of tariffs on Europe from the United States.
According to Reuters, US President Donald Trump has announced a 30% tariff on most goods from the EU, set to come into effect next month. However, the decision is not yet final. Analysts caution against premature panic, suggesting that negotiations could still result in a trade agreement — nonetheless, the chart reflects a sense of unease among investors.
Technical Analysis of the DAX 40 Chart
The price surge in July above the previous all-time high near the 24,500 level appears to be a false bullish breakout — a sign of market weakness.
Buyers may hope that the market will find support at the former resistance line (marked in red), drawn through the local highs of June.
However, if news surrounding the US–EU negotiations turns negative, the DAX 40 index could fall towards the 23,650–23,750 support area, which is reinforced by the lower boundary of the medium-term ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DE30EUR (German Index) Update – July 14, 2025📊 DE30EUR (German Index) Update – July 14, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:44 PM EST
💵 Current Price: 22,408.7
📍 Key Zone: 1-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) just tapped.
📈 Market Behavior:
Price has reacted strongly after filling the 1H FVG, showing early signs of bullish reversal. This aligns well with smart money concepts — we could be seeing the beginning of a move toward the upside.
🎯 Short-Term Target: 24,218
With confirmation from this FVG reaction, the move toward 24,218 looks promising.
DAX (Ger40): Defying Global TensionsDespite all this tariff drama, the DAX hit another record high. What gives? Markets seem to be betting that Trump enjoys the threat of tariffs more than the implementation. Some traders are pricing in yet another extension beyond the August 1 deadline.
The DAX is riding momentum from both global AI enthusiasm, thanks to Nvidia’s $4 trillion market cap milestone, and the assumption that European exporters might dodge the worst of Trump’s trade penalties, at least for now. However, this rally is precarious. If a tariff letter hits Brussels, or copper tariffs ripple into industrial demand expectations, we could see a swift correction.
Technically, near term resistance is sitting around. 24,700. However as stated, should sentiment change. A correction back down, to the support level at 24,200, which also aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement level, could be on the cards. Or even all the way down to 23,800, aligning with the 88% Fibonacci level.
Technical Weekly AnalysisGermany 40 remains in a bullish trend but has entered a pullback phase. It is trading at 24,239, slightly above its VWAP of 24,180. The RSI at 55 suggests a neutral momentum with potential for a continuation of the uptrend. Support is found at 23,631 and resistance at 24,604
U K 100 continues its bullish trend in an impulsive phase, trading at 8,984, above its VWAP of 8,886 but still below the key 9k level. This shows underlying strength. The RSI at 61 reflects continued buying interest. Support lies at 8,708 and resistance at 9,064.
Wall Street remains bullish but is experiencing a pullback just under the March highs, trading at 44,429 just above the VWAP of 44,400. The RSI at 58 suggests moderate bullish momentum. Support is at 43,894, and resistance is at 44,788.
Brent Crude is in a neutral trend, currently in a tight range which fits inside a bigger range - with price at 6,849 and VWAP at 6,847. The RSI at 49 indicates balanced sentiment. Key support lies at 6,637, with resistance at 7,054.
Gold is in a neutral range phase, trading at 3,364 and below the VWAP of 3,332. The RSI of 55 shows slight bullish bias. Support is at 3,283, with resistance at 3,391.
EUR/USD continues in a bullish trend but is correcting, with price at 1.1643 below its VWAP of 1.1704. The RSI at 50 implies neutral momentum. Support stands at 1.1571, and resistance is at 1.1837
GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend but is undergoing a correction. Price is at 1.3455, slightly below the VWAP of 1.3559. RSI at 42 shows weakening momentum. Support is at 1.3316 and resistance at 1.3802.
USD/JPY is in a neutral trend and ranging as it tests the upper limits of the range for a possible breakout. It trades at 147.78, above the VWAP of 146.25. The RSI at 59 suggests slightly bullish momentum. Support is at 142.57, and resistance is at 149.94.
GER 30 endless possibilitiesMy most immediate outcome is reversal 24,140 price area. TP:24,600
Possibility 1: If Ger 30 holds the 24,000 price area i would consider a buy to 24,600.
Possibility 2: If Ger30 holds the 23,730 price area that would be another possibility for a buy. TP 24,600.
WCS: Worst case scenario, continuation downwards from the 24140 PL. Consider the red arrow. The 24,140 is a important price area please wait for confirmation
Please follow your trading plan.
THOUGHTS????
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week. This has lead to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24140, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23923, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update: Assessing Current Pirce Action
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the Germany 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, whether current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if the downside move could be limited as buyers return once again.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels which can aid traders in establishing the next possible trends and directional risks.
Potential Support Levels:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. The mid-average stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
However, if closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
The first resistance might then stand at 24282, which is equal to half of the latest weakness, with successful closing breaks above this level possibly opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week, leading to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24084, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23925, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update:
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the German 40 index has entered a corrective period in price. However, while much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, if current price declines can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if downside is just a limited move before buyers return to extend price strength.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels, aiding in establishing next possible trends and directional risks.
Potential Support:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a positive price trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. This for Thursday stands at 23954, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
If closing breaks of this 23954 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance:
If the 23954 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could possibly prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
First resistance might then stand at 24282, equal to half latest weakness, with successful closing breaks possibly then opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Germany 40 – Preparing For A Short Term Range BreakoutTariff worries, including new comments from President Trump stating that he is likely to impose fresh import charges on pharmaceuticals, have continued to dominate the thinking of Germany 40 traders this week, leading to some choppy price action for the index, which after opening on Monday at 24084, has bounced between a Tuesday high of 24293 and a Wednesday low of 23925, before settling back into the middle of that range.
Throw into the mix, the start of Q2 earnings season for European corporates and an upcoming ECB interest rate decision in a week's time and you can see how price action could become increasingly volatile moving forward into the end of July.
Earnings season has so far got off to a slow start in Europe and Germany 40 traders may have to wait until SAP, the company carrying the highest market capitalisation ($352 billion) and index weighting (14.5%), reports its results next Tuesday (after the close) for further insight into where prices may move next.
In terms of the ECB rate decision next Thursday (July 24th), market expectations may currently be indicating that another rate cut is unlikely, although it could be a close call. Traders seem to be focusing on recent commentary from policymakers which suggests the balance of power for the time being has shifted to the more hawkish committee members, who have stated that with inflation sitting on the central bank's target of 2% there is no need to cut rates further. Choosing instead to wait for more clarity on the outcome of trade negotiations with the US, which could decide whether a trade war between the world's first and third biggest economies may be something they need to navigate.
Technical Update:
Having posted a new all-time high at 24639 on July 9th the German 40 index has entered a corrective period. However, while much will depend on future unknow market sentiment and price trends, traders may well be asking, if current price weakness can develop into a more extended phase of weakness, or if downside is just a limited move before buyers return to extend price strength.
Time will tell, but in the meantime, technical analysis may help pinpoint potential support and resistance levels, aiding us establish next potential trends and directional risks.
Potential Support:
Having recently posted a new all-time high at 24639, it might be argued this is still a possible positive trend, especially as the Bollinger mid-average is currently rising. This for Thursday stands at 23897, so may mark the first support focus for traders over coming sessions.
If closing breaks of this 23965 level materialise, it might lead towards a further phase of price weakness towards 23013, the June 19th session low, even 22406, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance:
If the 23965 mid-average successfully holds the current price setback, it could possibly prompt further attempts to extend recent strength.
First resistance might then stand at 24282, equal to half latest weakness, with successful closing breaks possibly then opening scope back to the 24639 all-time high and maybe further, if this in turn gives way.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,193.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,258.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025
- DAX reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 23675.00.
DAX index recently reversed down the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 24500.00 (former top of wave 3 from June) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction B.
Given the strength of the resistance level 24500.00, DAX index can be expected to fall further to the next support level 23675.00.