NASDAQ: Channel Up to soon initate the new bullish wave.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.876, MACD = 566.960, ADX = 50.516) as it is still holding the Channel Up of almost 1 month back, whose support is the 1H MA200. Right now the price is consolidating around the 1H MA50, approaching the bottom of the pattern. Once it does, we expect it to initate the new bullish wave. With the shortest one of the Channel Up being +5.90%, we remain bullish here and look towards a TP = 22,250 by early next week.
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US100 trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,898.76 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,471.38 which is a swing-high resistance.
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NAS100 Bulls Pushing – Will 21,434 Hold or Crack?Price is currently trading just below the 21,434 🔼 resistance zone, after a strong bullish push that followed the reclaim of the 21,000 🔽 support area. The index is forming a short-term range between these two key zones. The overall structure remains bullish with a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Support at: 21,000 🔽, 20,606 🔽, 20,200 🔽
Resistance at: 21,434 🔼, 22,230 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 21,434 could open the path toward the 22,230 high. Bulls remain in control while price holds above 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A rejection at 21,434 or a break below 21,000 could lead to a correction toward 20,606 or 20,200.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NAS 100 I Cautiously Bullish Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Is NASDAQ ready to correct for a few days?We have a couple of doji candles on the daily chart forming out of a bearish imbalance range in the relative premium. This is the perfect place to test the lows for stops.
We are still bullish but I am going to go neutral for this forecast in anticipation of a slight correction.
Share this with someone who needs a complete top down analysis of where we are staring this week!
NASDAQ Critical level for short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) is testing a strong short-term Support Cluster, the Lower Lows trend-line and the bottom of the 1H Channel Up. Being below the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), the trend is right now neutral until one of the two levels breaks.
If the index breaks above the 1H MA50, we will turn bullish again, targeting 22200 (+5.70% from the current Low, the minimum % rise in the past month).
If it breaks below the Support Cluster, we will turn bearish, targeting the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 20800.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Why NASDAQ Could Climb Higher Next Week
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ is showing strong bullish momentum, with a notable
25% rally over the past month. Technical indicators, including a breakout
above the 200-day moving average and a positive MACD reading, affirm upward
trends. However, overbought conditions suggest potential consolidation risks
in the short term. Key resistance is near 22,275, while 21,000 remains
critical support. As volatility dips, traders may find opportunities, but
caution is warranted around macroeconomic uncertainties.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets (T1, T2): 21,975, 22,350
- Stop Levels (S1, S2): 21,250, 20,850
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has outperformed major indices, gaining 7.15%
last week and posting year-to-date surges largely driven by technology
stocks. The index remains above all moving averages and saw a 17% drop in
the VXN, reflecting reduced market fear. Small caps, however, remain under
pressure from higher borrowing costs and tighter monetary policy.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight strong upside potential but warn of
overextended technical indicators, signaling a pullback could occur before
further gains. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments, interest
rate forecasts, and sector vulnerabilities, especially in technology and
small caps. The NASDAQ seems poised to test 22,275 in the short term, though
bearish divergences may limit gains.
- News Impact: Moody's U.S. credit rating downgrade spurred after-hours
volatility, which could continue to impact sentiment, mirroring reactions to
Fitch’s earlier downgrade. Conversely, U.S.-China trade truce agreements
have uplifted markets, benefiting tech and global equities, and reinforcing
bullish trends. Positive crypto sentiment has also aided NASDAQ’s advance.
Bright prospects should buoy the index next week as optimism continues in
high-growth sectors.
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend.
The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook.
Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024.
Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future.
Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1.
One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real.
Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements.
A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead.
As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks.
In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs.
Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
US Debt Crisis & NAS100Shorting levels reached again.
This time the shorting level is DEBT CRISIS at 13600.
In the today news:
Moody’s downgrade of the U.S.′ credit rating.
The levels was mentioning at
Norges Bank Reveals potential 800 billion dollar loss in stress test scenario.
www.youtube.com
As far is correct.
NDX Be carefullWe’re currently braced for an 8–9% pullback in the Nasdaq 100 before we attempt what could prove to be a bull‑trap breakout above last cycle’s all‑time high. Historically, the ‘summer swoon’ is supported by data showing that, since 2000, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced an average decline of roughly 5–7% between June and August as institutional investors trim positions ahead of mid‑year portfolio rebalances. With selling pressure typically peaking in July—when mutual funds lock in gains for window dressing—we’re unlikely to see a committed uptrend until the back‑to‑school season around late September to early October. Even if we see a short‑lived bounce on positive headlines or better‑than‑expected earnings, the broader bias remains sideways to down until seasonal headwinds abate and real money players rotate back into large‑cap tech.
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.