Weekly Analyses 03/24-03/28Welcome Traders to another week of trading!
Due to ongoing economic events the US stock market underwent a correction for the past 4 weeks. From peak to trough, the NASDAQ made a 14.4% correction and has now found a level of support at 19,125.3. Since then, price has made a series of HHs and HLs ultimately signalling a LH on the Daily chart. Using my fibs the Daily LH is currently within the 38.2% fib level. Price has also finally managed to fill the gap created at market open on March-9.
So what happens next?
Price may have room to continue bullish in an attempt to capture the buy side liquidity and FVG created during the downtrend. If this is the case, I anticipate price to continue bullish to 20,320.0 - 20,552.1. If price respects this level, it will serve as a retest of the 200 day MA that price broke below, as well as a restest of the neckline of the "M" pattern created on the Daily.
Price also has room to retrace as the 1H, 6H and 7H TFs have signalled a HIGH not HH. A retracement is required to signal their respective HLs to continue the uptrend. Furthermore, a gap created at market open on March-21 needs to be filled. So regardless of how high price may continue bullish we can expect a retracement back to 19,785.9 with a daily candle close below the gap. Depending on the moment this may signal a new Daily HL or LL.
