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US100 trade ideas

NASDAQ Elliott Wave Analysis – Wave 4 Pullback in PlayNASDAQ is currently reacting to a major support zone, aligning with the Elliott Wave structure. Based on this analysis, we are in the midst of a Wave 4 pullback, which is expected to complete soon. Once Wave 4 finds its base, we anticipate a strong impulsive move to the upside—Wave 5—pushing us toward a new all-time high (AHT). 📉 Watching for confirmation of support holding before entering long. 📈 Targeting a continuation toward new highs following the completion of this corrective phase.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by breeanapaige1
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames! - Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason! - I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how! - You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why! - I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that! - Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart! - In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave! - Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop! - The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames! - Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart! - My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen! - My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there! -
FX:NAS100Short
by moustafa_marei
5
US markets have a little more downsideI had posted a similar chart a few weeks ago.....US companies fundamentals may be good, but price follows technicals. There is still some more downside, which I think would be where JPow said Inflation is no longer transitory, then we see some consolidation, then another fall to shake out the bulls, by which time we would reach the bottom of the monthly channel and then uptrend can resume after a bit of consolidation. Remember the Trump tariffs are just catalyst, a reason for market to get where it wants to be sooner. Do remember that market rallied when inflation hit a peak of 9%.....All this news is just noise....You know where the level of interests are and trade accordingly....Markets will not go up in a straight line neither will it go down in a straight line.....The Fear & Greed Index is at 4 as per CNN. This is only for investors, start buying small positions in your favorite stock....only a little, bit by bit, with every fall, or you can wait....Don't put all your savings in the market because it fell substantially...Selling begets selling, the opposite is also true.....Market can head to 14000 as well, I'm not ruling that out, but i'm expecting a really nice bounce from the JPow, however, be very aware of the overhead resistance.....Bears have not had a chance for a long time, and they will squeeze every ounce of blood from the bulls while they can....Just remember, Bulls are complacent, Bears are tactical.....Throughout history that has been the case....
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Roopesh80
NAS100 selling pressure continues due to Apple stock declineHello traders, As I highlighted in my previous NAS100 analysis, I expected a move to the downside. Technically, the index formed a double top, which was confirmed by a neckline break. Additionally, it has fallen below the rising support trendline from November 2024 and successfully retested it. This week, I anticipate further downside continuation. For an optimal selling opportunity, keep an eye on price action during the New York AM session. Ideally, I’d like to see a minor pullback to 19,200 before considering short positions, with the index potentially targeting liquidity at 18,297 and possibly extending to the 17,235 low from August 2024. From a fundamental perspective, several factors are reinforcing our bearish outlook on NAS100: Trade Tariff Concerns – New U.S. tariff measures are fueling trade war fears, weighing on tech stocks. Inflation & Fed Policy – Higher inflation raises concerns about prolonged high interest rates. Tech Sector Weakness – Leading NAS100 stocks like Apple and Nvidia are experiencing declines. Stay cautious and trade wisely! 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by AmaWina
Bear Market FormingVery big things happening in the economy this quarter, mainly trade wars, real wars, and new policies. Job cuts 100k+ government job cuts, 25-50k more expected in the coming months. In addition to 35k tech layoffs, and 38,956 retail job cut announcement. So probably 225k+ jobs lost this year The number of people employed part-time for economic reasons increased by 460,000 to 4.9 million in February. Tarrifs are divided, some calling it inflationary, but statements from JPM: "Roughly half of the GDP decline from higher tariffs is attributed to a negative sentiment shock related to rising trade policy uncertainty." and RBC: "Based on 2024 import data from Canada, Mexico, and China, the announced tariffs could boost total U.S. tariff revenues by about $300 billion" at least show potential offsets. War has been ongoing, but increased economic activity from Russia, and stimulus in the EU increase liquidity in the markets. But all of that is going to take time to settle, so you cant write off another 6 months of a downtrend of up to 10% in equities - until we get more information introduced to the market.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Trendytrend
1
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off. As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations. In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners. In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them. This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern. The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies. The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures. If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored. According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected. At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism. However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective: 1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes. The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor. 2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be. In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including: • Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS. • Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report •Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims. One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
The Trump's disruption of globalizationHello, The trump tarrifs are currently creating a perfect storm for long term investors. This is the best time to use the Newsflows & Tradingview news to understand whats going on & how it can impact your trading. Below are some of the things we see: President Trump’s use of tariffs as a negotiation tool is not a new strategy, but his latest approach signals that President Trump is very keen on industrializing America. The president has made it clear that the tariffs have 3 goals They can be used to raise money for the government just like taxes They can be used to redistribute money from consumers towards domestic producers since they discourage against imports. They can be used to realign global growth strategically shifting industries We do not see a significant amount of money being raised from tariffs to offset taxes. However, as higher tariffs make it costlier for companies to manufacture abroad and export to the U.S., we anticipate a growing number of firms will relocate their production facilities to American soil. This will be great for the American labour force because it accounts for more jobs and will greatly align how global trade will move on going forward. However, this strategy is not without its complexities. In today’s interconnected world, manufacturing relies on intricate supply chains, with components sourced from multiple countries. Such disruptions will affect the US market as well and trickle down to the end consumer. Below are some of the tariffs imposed on major trade partners 25% on foreign made cars 20% on the European Union 34% on China 26% on India 24% on China Countries are threatening to strike back with countermeasures of their own. The USA treasury secretary has warned that countries that try to counter the tariffs will be dealt with separately. We see a direct impact on countries that heavily depend on exports to the USA as being the biggest losers in this conversation as they will have to relook at their markets once again. These countries may include China, Mexico and Germany. These countries may need to relook at the rest of the world to fill up the demand that used to go to the USA. While many analysts predicted that these tariffs would drive inflation higher, we see a different outcome. The economic slowdown caused by retaliatory tariffs could actually put downward pressure on prices. On top of that, oil prices have remained low, further helping to keep inflation in check. In the long term we see a stronger US economy and more opportunities for companies that manufacture in the USA and have greater demand there. www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com All the fundamentals coupled with technicals will give you better entry views and allow you better rest once you deploy your funds. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by thesharkke
Are we sleeping on a massive double top?As you can see, The Nasdaq has made two near equal peaks around the 22100 area. Although the Weekly candles of the first and second week of February were bullish, it coincided with two weeks of declining volume, usually meaning momentum exhaustion. On the 18th February the Nasdaq printed a strong ‘no body’ red doji on the daily TF. This is an indecision candle but can signal the beginning of a trend change. The Green Areas show the Daily Fair Value Gaps and I’ve but a target beside the Fair Value Gaps that are currently unfilled. If the Nasdaq breaks beneath 20500, the targets underneath this price is where I’d expect price to be drawn towards. Also, I have highlighted some notable lows where I’d expected volatility around. I am not suggesting at that this move could in a straight line by the way. If it happens, it will happen in waves. This is based 100% on technical analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheTradeBorough
14
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now. I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building. We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by ThinkMarkets
US100 (NASDAQ) Trade Idea 📊 US100 (NASDAQ) Trade Idea: Critical Support Test & Potential Reversal Setup 🔍 Key Levels & Context: The US100 is currently testing a significant support zone between 16,000–17,000, which has historically acted as a springboard for rallies (see 2023 bounce). A breakdown below 16,000 would suggest a deeper correction toward 15,242 (next support) or even 14,000, while holding above 17,000 could keep the bullish structure intact. 🎯 Profit Targets (If Bullish Reversal Confirmed): Initial Target: 19,000 (Previous resistance → now potential support-turned-resistance) Secondary Target: 20,000–21,000 (Psychological level & measured move from consolidation) Stretch Target: 23,000–24,000 (All-time high retest, Fibonacci extension confluence) 📉 Bearish Scenario (If Support Fails): A close under 16,000 opens the door to 15,242 (2023 swing low) Short-term rallies into 17,500–18,000 could then become sell opportunities. So I think the US100 pursues the following projection, and I'd be happy if you share your thoughts 🫡 #Trading #NASDAQ #US100
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by MShirshekar
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets. As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals. The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets: - Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average). - Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence). - Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”). Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline. Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity. This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
FX:NAS100
by SEYED98
FED slowing down balance sheet reduct，good new for marketMarket sentiment has been pessimistic over the past few days, with some expecting further declines while others anticipate a rebound. However, after scanning through online discussions, I was surprised that almost no one is talking about the most critical piece of information for April！ — Starting in April, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will reduce the monthly redemption cap on U.S. Treasury securities from $25 billion to $5 billion to slow down the decline in its securities holdings.! If we look back at May 2024, the Fed made the same move, which led to a significant rally from May to July. For those who remain bearish, it's crucial to have proper stop-loss strategies in place. After April 2, as long as technical indicators align, we should expect a strong rebound.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by zygliu
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18,411.4. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18,773.6. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by SignalProvider
1
NQ sell explaining Hi traders as u see in the chart we have to LQ one higher and one lower . - The higher one should be internal LQ that were gonna target it after we took the lower - The lower is to close and we should focus to take it first 1-1 We observe on the last week huge fall on market and trump decision who affect on the market to move down down 1-2 I'm not sure but 100% the market well open on Gap and if that true we should be patience not take any trade until we got confirmation remember being patience 1-3 the analysis will be 100% if the market not open on huge gap we must wait London session probably were gonna see a Juda swing on London or new York session to move down and took the LQ this trade for short term not for long term to hold Good luck any question i would like to answer
FX:NAS100Short
by eslak