US Tech 100 - Cash forum
it takes so much for shorts to build up and then all bear effort is cleared in few minutes of bull come back. like a kick into the nuts :D

out of short, all trades in

We’re entering Q3 with key structural shifts taking place — and markets are starting to show their hand.
💵 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) will start rallying aggressively off year-to-date lows, right around the mid-year pivot. This isn’t random — it’s institutional rotation and tightening financial conditions playing out in real time.
🏦 Yes, I know they say they’ll “cut” rates…
But a rallying dollar gives the Fed the perfect excuse not to.
Instead, they might continue to pump the market on the idea of rate cuts while letting dollar strength do the tightening for them behind the scenes.
Look beyond the noise.
🔄 What’s actually happening:
📉 Nasdaq 100: Don’t be fooled by the uptrend — this is a liquidity trap, not fresh strength. Price is pushing into a clear sell zone, showing signs of exhaustion and distribution.
🏅Gold: Turning bearish (early signs). Rising dollar and real yields are eroding its appeal. Support levels are under threat.
🌍 USD Forex Pairs: The dollar rally is broad and confirmed — USDJPY, USDCHF are breaking higher (early sign).
🚩 VIX (Volatility Index): Hovering near multi-year lows. This isn’t a sign of stability — it’s a sign of complacency.
What you’re seeing now are the early stages of institutional positioning.
So yes — I’m swing short on Nasdaq and long on USDJPY and USDCHF.
Not because “the trend looks bullish/bearish” — that’s subjective, and narratives are always lagging.
I follow a mathematical, extreme-level strategy, and at these levels — especially this time of year — the probability of a large retracement is far greater than continuation.
Upside is limited, and risk-to-reward is asymmetric.
Trade your strategy and ignore the noise.
