Double-Top Pattern for the Dow Jones Industrial AverageA long-term, double-top formation has emerged from the all-time highs of 45,073 on the weekly chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. With the pattern’s neckline breached (derived from the low of 41,844), chartists will likely target the structure’s profit objective, which stands at 38,613.
US30 trade ideas
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however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑: (42200) Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing high level Using the 3H timeframe scalping / day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 40200
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"US30/DJ30" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
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US30 will drop by another 10% in next 4 weeks📊 My Macro Analysis Breakdown
Covid Crash:
Sharp -25% collapse.
V-shaped recovery, before another -10%
Inflation Explosion (2022):
-21% drop due to Fed rate hikes.
Choppy sideways market after.
Inflation Cooled (Nov-Dec 23):
Big +22% rally when markets priced in rate cuts.
Trump Re-Election (Nov 2024):
Stocks rallied ~8%.
US Tariffs "Lib Day" (April 2025):
Current Phase: Huge initial crash of -10%.
Projection: I am forecasting another -10% to -12% downside toward 32,352 area.
🧠 Why My Prediction Makes Sense:
Markets always overshoot after a major policy shock (tariffs are no small thing — this is bigger than inflation).
Fed won't act yet (cut rates) until serious economic data deterioration happens.
Global slowdown fears are increasing (China, Europe showing signs too).
Corporate earnings for Q1 2025 are about to be revised down = next catalyst for more selling.
Technical structure resembles past correction patterns (Covid, Inflation explosion).
📅 Timing (based on past crashes I charted):
Covid crash: 5-6 weeks.
Inflation crash: 2-3 months.
This one: Likely 4-8 weeks of choppy downside.
⚡ Conclusion:
✅ A prediction of another ~10% drop is totally aligned with both macro fundamentals and technical history.
✅ Expect violent bear market rallies (sharp 2-5% spikes) inside the downtrend — that's normal.
✅ Bias: Sell the rallies, buy safe havens (gold after the dip, bonds).
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
US30 Outlook on 4H TF - LONG US30 - Bullish Wave 5 Push to 42,000 📈
We're still in a Wave 4 correction on the daily, but price just retested Wave 4 lows at 38,900 area and held (for now). Now forming a double bottom on the 4H, and Wave 1 is starting on the 1H.
Looking for a Wave 5 push up toward 42,000 before a major selloff.
Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 38,970
🔹 TP Zones: 40,000 → 41,000 → 42,000
🔻 Short Bias kicks in after Wave 5 completes (Target: 38,100-38,200)
Plan: Buy dips while above 38,900, scale out near 42K, watch for reversal confirmation.
Avoid Trading Indices on Long Weekends and Bank HolidaysTrading indices during long weekends or bank holidays can be risky due to lower liquidity and higher volatility. Many major financial institutions and market participants are away, leading to thinner trading volumes. This can cause exaggerated price swings, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, unexpected news or geopolitical events over the extended break can trigger sharp gaps when markets reopen, increasing the chances of significant losses.
Another key concern is the lack of immediate reaction time. Since markets are closed for an extended period, traders have no opportunity to adjust positions in response to breaking news. This can leave portfolios exposed to unforeseen risks. Spreads on indices also tend to widen during these times, increasing trading costs. For these reasons, it’s often safer to wait for normal trading conditions rather than risking unpredictable moves during illiquid holiday sessions.
DJI Daily Chart Analysis: Price Rejected at Mid-Band Resistance
The price is below the middle line (likely a 20-day moving average) of the Bollinger Bands, which typically signals bearish momentum.
Recent price action shows a lower high and a lower low pattern, indicating the continuation of a downtrend.
The candlesticks are mostly red with increasing volume of selling pressure.
Bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility.
The price recently pierced the lower Bollinger Band, which often indicates a potential for short-term rebound—but in a strong downtrend, this could also mean acceleration to the downside.
Key Support Zone : Around 38,000 to 38,500, where previous buying occurred in early April. If broken, further downside to 37,000 is likely.
Key Resistance Zone : Near 40,500 to 41,000, aligning with the mid-Bollinger Band. This area has been tested and rejected multiple times.
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Trend: Bearish short-term (price is below the moving average, sharp recent drop).
• MACD: Bearish momentum building with a deepening histogram.
• RSI: At 42.22, pointing down – no oversold condition yet, so further downside is probable.
15-Minute Chart (Mid-Term Momentum):
• Trend: Recently broke down from consolidation, failed to reclaim previous high.
• MACD: Strong bearish crossover, deep in negative territory.
• RSI: At 39.20, not oversold – room to fall.
3-Minute Chart (Entry Timing):
• Trend: Weak recovery attempt stalled below moving average.
• MACD: Flat to downtrend.
• RSI: Around 40, suggesting more downside pressure without being oversold.
⸻
Fundamental Context (if relevant to US30):
• Rising geopolitical tensions and weak earnings reports (assumed).
• Dovish Fed fading, bond yields rising — bearish for equities.
• Fear-driven sentiment often hurts cyclical indices like US30.
⸻
Trade Setup (SHORT):
• Entry: 39595 (current price area as per charts).
• Stop Loss (SL): 40087
(Above minor resistance and 15M consolidation top)
• Take Profit (TP): 38650
(Recent support zone, room for price to breathe before demand zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Dow jones 38500?Dow jones 38500?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has been experiencing volatility recently, influenced by factors such as weak earnings reports and global economic concerns. The index fell 507 points (1.3%) in its latest session, primarily due to a sharp decline in UnitedHealth shares following an earnings miss
Dow INTRADAY key resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Overview:
Daily Chart:
• Clear downtrend with price sharply rejecting from recent highs (~42890).
• MACD shows strong bearish momentum with a widening histogram.
• RSI is below 50 at ~45, confirming downside pressure.
• Price has broken below a key support level near 40200, now acting as resistance.
15-Min Chart:
• Recent lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD negative, with RSI nearing oversold (33), suggesting bearish bias but short-term exhaustion.
3-Min Chart:
• Sideways chop after a sharp down move, showing bear flag/consolidation pattern.
• MACD still negative, RSI around 49—no clear bounce signal.
⸻
Fundamental Overview:
• Recent macro uncertainty (possibly due to inflation/Fed comments or geopolitical tensions) likely weighs on risk sentiment.
• Bond yields are likely pressuring equities, and the US30 tends to be rate-sensitive.
⸻
Trade Setup: SHORT
• Entry: 40250 (if price pulls back slightly into minor resistance zone)
• Stop Loss: 40500 (above recent local high on intraday chart)
• Take Profit: 39600 (next strong daily support level)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
key levelsdon't you just like looking at key levels
when I don't know but it could be scary but if it does, I mean we have to make the year 2025 become invaded due to years of no real growth other than speculation and hype to not see a nasty move down
I would really love to see next quarter show something of stabilize growth if not well then, I'm beating that the us will fall