US30 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing a bullish outlook based on a confluence of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price action patterns, and supportive fundamental analysis. From an SMC perspective, the recent price action indicates a clear market structure shift, highlighted by a break of structure (BOS) in early May 2025. This bullish reversal followed a significant liquidity sweep and mitigation around the 37,000 level, where smart money likely accumulated positions. A bullish order block between 40,679 and 41,189 now acts as a strong demand zone, providing a potential launch point for further upward movement. Technically, the chart features a descending wedge breakout and a bullish flag formation—both classical continuation patterns. Price is currently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend.
The trade idea aligns with these observations, suggesting a long entry around the 41,700 to 41,900 range, with a stop loss just below the key demand zone at 40,679. The first take profit is set at 44,472.5, aligning with historical resistance and liquidity targets, offering an approximate risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. On the fundamental side, the mid-2025 U.S. economic outlook is improving, with inflation showing signs of cooling and the Federal Reserve expected to pause or consider rate cuts. A stable geopolitical climate and strong earnings seasons have further boosted investor confidence, supporting continued bullish momentum in equities. Altogether, this presents a high-probability swing trade opportunity to the upside on the US30 index.
US30 trade ideas
[Scalping] US30 Short (May 26, 2025)Entry was 42003.9
TP is 41967.8
SL is 42022.04
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
US30 | Supply Strike & Fade Incoming?🧠 Market Context & Bias:
The 30-minute view gives a much broader picture:
Price tapped deeply into the supply zone at 42,056–42,094 and immediately showed signs of strong rejection.
Aggressive sell delta clusters (e.g., -35, -37, -17) right at the supply edge show that sellers absorbed buying attempts and started driving price lower.
The failure to hold above 42,056 is a major clue — it was retested and rejected again, confirming it as resistance.
We're now trading under both the supply zone and minor resistance, with price making lower highs and selling pressure increasing.
🧲 What's Likely Next?
If this rejection holds, momentum favors the downside:
🎯 Targets:
First: 42,020 — minor structure support
Then: 41,960 — demand zone start
Finally: 41,910 — major magnet zone
Watch for acceptance below 42,030 for confirmation.
DOW JONES Holding the 1D MA50 can propel it to 45000.Dow Jones (DJI) contained Friday's Trump-led pull-back just above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), marking the strongest correction since April 21. So far that is purely a technical reaction to the Resistance 1 (42855) rejection a day earlier.
This is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) but above all, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, it is a bullish continuation of April's rebound/ Bullish Leg at the bottom of the long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern and on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
As you can see, the 1W MA200 has been the ultimate Support of this pattern and last time it started a rebound that broke above the 1D MA50 and retested it, was on the first Bullish on November 09 2023.
That pull-back held the 1D MA50 and the price action continued the bullish trend until it completed a +23.69% rise, before the next 1D MA50 break.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect at least another +23.69% rise on the medium-term, which this times falls on the Resistance 2 level (45100), aligning perfectly for a technical test. Our Target will be a little lower at 45000.
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US30 - At Resistance? Holds or not??#US30 #DOWJONES - market just reached near to his current resistance region.
And if market hold it in that case we can expect a drop from here.
So don't be lazy here and only short below that.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
US30 BUY MODELDOW JONES (US30) – Long Trade Idea
Timeframes:
Higher Timeframe Bias: Daily
Execution Timeframe: 4HR
Market Narrative:
A beautiful buy model is currently unfolding on the Dow, suggesting smart money accumulation and preparation for a move into premium pricing.
Price is retracing into discount, where we see a confluence of:
A Daily Bullish Order Block (OB)
A 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI)
This confluence acts as a strong magnet for price and presents a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry Zone:
🟢 Buy Zone: 41,900 – 41,850
Inside the 4HR BISI
Aligned with the Daily OB (discounted price)
Ideal for entries upon confirmation via:
1HR bullish BOS (Break of Structure)
FVG (Fair Value Gap) entry
Internal liquidity sweep + displacement
Targets (Premium-side Liquidity & Imbalances):
TP1 – 42,500
🎯 First premium inefficiency fill + short-term liquidity target
TP2 – 42,800
🎯 Key level inside Daily SIBI (Sell-Side Imbalance, Buy-Side Inefficiency)
TP3 – 43,060
🎯 February Low above current price — likely a buy-side liquidity draw
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 41,700
🔒 Below Daily OB low and structural invalidation level
RRR: At least 1:3 to TP1, and 1:6+ to final target
Key Confluences:
Daily OB + 4HR BISI = strong demand and imbalance alignment
Trading in discount of the current dealing range
Clear buy-side liquidity pools above (including February Low)
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes
Strong probability of price delivering higher into premium
Execution Tips:
Wait for confirmation inside the 41,900–41,850 zone:
15min–1HR bullish market structure shift (BOS)
Fair Value Gap + displacement candle entry
Consider partial profits at TP1, and trail stops for extended targets
Avoid entries during high-impact news unless already in profit
Hanzo / US30 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 42100 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 41920 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 41540
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 41900
Strong Rejection from 42100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 41180 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 42100 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 41750 – Liquidity Engineered
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
[Scalping] US30 Long (May 25, 2025)Entry was 41884.5/41873.50
TP is 41992.5
SL is 41811.81
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
May 26 US30Let's get to work... Price at the moment is trending down, creating lower highs and lower lows on the 4hr. However it broke structure on the 1hr and is trending upward.
I'm going to wait for price to get to 42,055 level and wait for it to break and retest for a buy or break structure for a sell.
Caution. Monday is a holiday so I most likely won't trade until Tuesday.
And ultimately whichever way price goes I'm going to get out at my net key level.
Have fun, stay safe and enjoy your journey
Us30 sellKey Elements:
Price: 41,579.16 (at the time of the screenshot), showing a drop of -343.51 points (-0.82%).
Zones:
Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around 42,750–43,000.
Daily FVG: Around 42,100.
Daily High/Low: Marked around 42,095.82 (high) and 41,147.61 (low).
Market Structure:
CHoCH (Change of Character): Several CHoCHs marked, indicating shifts in market sentiment and structure.
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates previous bullish momentum was broken.
---
Prediction Path (Orange Arrow):
Suggests a possible retracement upward into the Daily FVG zone (~42,000+), then a reversal downward, breaking the Daily Low (~41,147).
Final target seems to be near 40,500 or lower, with another CHoCH noted at that level—implying further bearish continuation potential.
---
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish bias:
Retracement to fill the Daily FVG.
Then continuation downward, breaking key structural levels.
Us30 sell Key Elements:
Price: 41,579.16 (at the time of the screenshot), showing a drop of -343.51 points (-0.82%).
Zones:
Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around 42,750–43,000.
Daily FVG: Around 42,100.
Daily High/Low: Marked around 42,095.82 (high) and 41,147.61 (low).
Market Structure:
CHoCH (Change of Character): Several CHoCHs marked, indicating shifts in market sentiment and structure.
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates previous bullish momentum was broken.
---
Prediction Path (Orange Arrow):
Suggests a possible retracement upward into the Daily FVG zone (~42,000+), then a reversal downward, breaking the Daily Low (~41,147).
Final target seems to be near 40,500 or lower, with another CHoCH noted at that level—implying further bearish continuation potential.
---
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish bias:
Retracement to fill the Daily FVG.
Then continuation downward, breaking key structural levels.
US30 Is Going Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 41,575.9.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 40,381.8 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
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US 30 Technical Analysis US30 Monthly, Weekly, and Daily Technical Analysis
Note: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Monthly Timeframe:
In April, the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) posted a high of 42,548 and a low of 36,483. The April candle closed within the range of the March candle, signaling strong buying interest, likely driven by fundamental data. The key takeaway from the monthly chart is that April’s close within March’s range highlights buyer strength and the potential for continued bullish momentum.
Weekly Timeframe:
The bullish channel remains intact on the weekly timeframe. Although price briefly broke below the trendline, it quickly rebounded and re-entered the channel in the first week of April.
There has been no break of structure on the weekly chart. Last week's high at 42,858 swept the previous week’s high but closed within the previous week’s range, ending precisely at the prior week’s low. This indicates unclear price action and potential indecision.
If the upcoming week closes above the 43,100 level, this week’s low could be considered a weekly inducement, adding confluence for a potential bullish move. Until then, it remains just a weekly low without significant structure.
Daily Timeframe:
On the daily chart, price action remains indecisive, with no valid break of structure to confirm an upward trend continuation. However, there is a key support zone between 40,800 and 40,660, which aligns with a confluence of a daily trendline—potentially forming a buy zone, but only upon confirmation on lower timeframes.
Interestingly, the price has ranged between the same levels during the periods from March 13 to March 27 and from April 1 to May 20, reinforcing the range-bound nature of the market.
Outlook:
Given the lack of clear directional bias, scalping opportunities may be more appropriate in the upcoming week, especially if the market continues to range. A strong breakout and close above 43,150 could signal a bullish continuation, in which case we would look for a pullback and hold of long positions, targeting the 44,500 level.
US30 Trading Plan – Bearish Outlook Following Support BreakThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently exhibiting a bearish trend, having recently broken below a key support level. This breakdown signals potential further downside momentum, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Technical Analysis Summary:
Trend: Bearish
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has closed below the previous support level, confirming a breakdown and potential trend continuation.
Entry Signal: Entry positions can be considered on a retest of the broken support level, now acting as resistance, or upon confirmation of continued selling pressure.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: The first profit target is set at the next significant support zone, which has historically acted as a demand area.
Target 2: The second profit target is located at a lower, more established support level, providing a deeper downside opportunity if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss should be placed above the newly formed resistance level (formerly support) to protect against false breakouts and trend reversals.
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1–2% of account equity per trade to maintain proper risk management.
Trade Rationale:
The breakdown of the support level on US30 suggests increased selling pressure and the potential for a continuation of the downward trend. By identifying two profit targets, this plan allows for partial profit-taking at the first support level and full exit or trailing stop at the second, depending on price action and market conditions.
DOW JONES Inverse Head and Shoulders starting new rally.Dow Jones/ US30 has found support today on its 1day MA50 despite the strong correction.
The long term pattern is an Inverse Head and Shoulders and today's 1day MA50 hold may complete its Right Shoulder.
Go long and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 50000.
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WHY I THINK US30 WILL BUY INSTEAD OF SELL🔥 Bias: Bullish continuation
🕒 Timeframe: 60-minute
💎 Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones)
1️⃣ Volume Profile Context
POC (Fair Value): ~41,680
HVN (Acceptance): 41,660–41,700
LVN (Balance Break): 41,540–41,600
2️⃣ Footprint Signals
Seller Imbalances in the 13:00 & 14:00 candles (Δ–159 @ 9.13K & Δ–121 @ 7.97K)
– Price didn’t drop, closed near highs → Supply absorbed
Absorption above 41,700 shows hidden bid
3️⃣ Structure & Key Zones
Higher highs & higher lows intact since the 07:00–08:00 low.
Buy zone / demand: 41,400–41,500 (strong initiative buying & positive deltas)
Support to hold: 41,660–41,680 (POC / HVN)
▶️ Trade Plan
Entry: On pullback to 41,660–41,680 (POC support)
Stop: Below 41,640 (below LVN)
Target 1: 41,880 (previous high & volume shelf)
Target 2: 41,920+ (upper HVN rejection zone)
✅ Confirmation: Look for bullish footprint bars (positive delta, absorption of sellers) at entry zone.
Dow Jonas - Elliot wave📉 DJI — Elliott Wave Top in Sight?
🔍 A long-term analysis with serious implications...
I've been diving deep into the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), using Elliott Wave principles — and what I see may signal the end of one of the longest bull markets in history.
Elliott was right — the massive bull cycle did arrive and extended well into the 2000s. But now, that journey looks to be nearing its final destination.
Currently, I believe we're witnessing the development of an Ending Diagonal pattern — a structure often seen at the end of a major impulse. This formation appears to be completing a set of blue sub-waves, which in turn cap off the larger green primary impulse wave.
📍 The box marks my anticipated top for the DJI. From this point, I expect a strong reversal and the beginning of a major correction.
Now here's the shocking part:
If this correction plays out in time and reaches the Fibonacci 0.382 level, that would suggest a retracement spanning up to 86 years — yes, 86 years.
This isn’t just about markets anymore — such a scenario could carry massive consequences for the global economy and society as a whole.
If, however, we see a strong breakout above the box, then the ending diagonal thesis would be invalidated, and we might instead be witnessing an extended wave 5 — complete with five internal sub-waves.
But either way — the top is coming. It’s just a matter of when, and how hard we fall.
💬 What are your thoughts? Could we really be on the edge of a generational peak?