gold bear bearish on gold watching for shorts.. we have had a divergence above the 4h bollinger high. lining up with the daily trendline. price is now hold the under side of the bollinger. looking to see if we can retest the sma and continue lower
ORO1! trade ideas
WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?
First off, reminder that you will never find a low risk entry point at a low.
You need upwards movement off a low to start creating the upwards velocity, to create the uptrend, which will lead to the faster, more sustained gains.
The true party starts once the confirmed breakout occurs.
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Now, see the gold chart below where I showcase where the greatest gains, in the shortest amount of time occurred.
The first run started in 2019 and had gold run up 50%, without any visible interruptions on the quarterly chart.
The second run started in late 2023 had gold run over 60% (still running).
A chart traders role is to identify the entry points which can lead to this.
Notice the huge bases are found right before those.
There are no huge bases right now. If you missed these entry points, then you missed them.
While price can still trend upwards from here, anybody jumping onboard right now is still considered chasing (not entering at the most opportune time).
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In summary:
Low risk entry points = lesser chances of getting stopped out + higher gains/time ratio
It does not mean results are guaranteed, but they do offer the possibility of obtaining the results showcased here on the gold chart.
So, maybe next time you will recognize these huge opportunities, as we have, and understand that they were the low risk entry points.
Hope this helps you out!
Gold Update: 2 optionsIndeed, the top metal surged well beyond $3,000, as I mentioned in my earlier post (see related post for details).
The price reached a new all-time high of $3,510 before pulling back, as expected.
So far, the retracement has been rejected at the trendline support around $3,123 (futures).
From here, there are two possible scenarios:
1) Blue Labels
The price may have already completed wave 4. If so, we could now see a large wave 5 move to the upside.
This wave could reach the blue target box, which represents 61.8% to 100% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3, added to the bottom of wave 4.
This target zone lies between $3,700 and $4,100.
Keep in mind that gold is a commodity, and commodities often have extended fifth waves — so the higher end of the blue box is still possible.
2) White Labels
Typically, fourth waves retrace down to the valleys of previous lower-degree fourth waves.
In this case, the market could form another leg down to complete a larger, more complex correction, potentially hitting $2,975 before wave 5 begins.
If that happens, the target for wave 5 may be lower, but with a possible extended fifth wave, it could still reach the blue box area.
GoldenZoneFX: Where Data Meets Strategy, GOLD TP Hit!Precision trading isn't about luck—it's about strategy, discipline, and expert analysis. Today at GoldenZoneFX, we executed a data-driven approach that led to a successful GOLD TP hit, proving once again that informed trading beats speculation.
What We Determined Today:
Market structure analysis revealed a key order block, signaling a high-probability trade setup.
Fibonacci retracement levels aligned perfectly with major liquidity zones.
Volume confirmation reinforced momentum, validating our entry and exit strategy.
Why This Matters: GoldenZoneFX thrives on delivering calculated, professional trading insights. Whether you're a seasoned investor or refining your strategy, understanding market behavior through data-driven methods is what sets top traders apart.
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Gold Pullback Entry Opportunity Gold resumed its rally, sparked by recent tarrif news. Price is pulling back at the moment and has entered an sweet spot where we can confidently take our first low risk Buy.
BUYING HERE BECAUSE
1. We're entering into a low volume area, which is also in line with an FVG on the 1hr chart
2. When a new uptrend starts, i like to buy first 2 instances price pullback to bounce from my trend cloud indicator We didn't get a perfect bounce as it has broken below it, but i'am still buying regardless due to my first reason above about the low volume gap.
PROFIT TARGET
Setting my profit target to my trusted Exofade peak. As long as the uptrend continues, Exofade peaks will ALWAYS get taken out. That why i love this indicator, and its free. It's my gift to y'all :) . Just search for it in trading view indicators.
Gold Pops the Channel and Retest Holding Strong Gold FuturesJust Broke Structure with Authority!
Gold smashed through the regular channel resistance with a surge in volume, confirming strong buyer intent. We’re now seeing a pullback retest right above the previous resistance — classic breakout behavior.
Here's what I’m tracking:
- Channel Break with Institutional Volume
- Retest holding above previous resistance = support flip
- Smart Money accumulation signs
- High-Probability Entry Zone forming for the next leg
This move aligns perfectly with the smart money model I use inside my private group — and historically, this setup has a 90%+ win-rate when confirmed with our rules.
Next Target Zones:
Buy-side liquidity zones
Imbalance fills
Next high timeframe swing point
I won’t reveal the entry rules here, but if you want the precise entry, SL, and TP for this setup:
👉 DM me “GOLD SETUP” or
📩 Join our GoldenZoneFX private signal group.
Real institutional setups. Real results. No fluff.
Follow for more smart money-based trade insights
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Gold is Setting up for a Move! Could it be a big one?Looking for price to set up for a solid move. One thing is for sure we are waiting for the killzones before taking any action. The price action the last few days has been giving fake outs just before we roll into the killzone. Be patient. Wait for things to line up.
GOLD GC /GC GC1! XAU/USD: Arbitrage Oppertunity. Gold Futures (GC1!) – Breakdown Ahead? Arbitrage Opportunity Emerging
🔍 Daily Chart Analysis by Wavervanir International LLC
⚠️ Key Technical Observations:
Descending Triangle Breakdown Risk: Gold has rejected resistance near $3,350 multiple times. The lower highs and horizontal support suggest a descending triangle structure.
Projected Breakdown Zone: If $3,280 support fails, we could see a swift move toward $3,100 or even lower, near the $2,950 zone.
Lower Trendline Magnet: Price appears to be gravitating toward a key trendline formed from April’s breakout, which aligns with the $2,950–$3,000 confluence zone.
💱 Arbitrage Opportunity: GC1! vs XAU/USD vs /GC
There is growing dislocation among:
GC1! (Gold Futures – COMEX)
/GC (Front-Month Gold Futures)
XAU/USD (Spot Gold)
Watch for inefficiencies due to:
🔁 Hedging lag across timeframes (spot vs futures)
💰 Rate differential effects (carry cost, interest rates)
🌍 Currency mismatch in spot vs USD-settled futures
If the spot-futures basis widens unjustifiably, a short GC1! / long XAU/USD setup could exploit mean reversion. Advanced traders might also consider calendar spreads (/GC Jun vs Aug) if volatility compresses.
📊 Probabilistic Outlook:
Scenario Probability Commentary
Breakdown Toward $2,950 55% Technical structure favors bears unless macro shifts occur.
Bounce and Range Around $3,300 30% Compression before Fed/JOLTS/NFP may cause chop.
Breakout Above $3,375 15% Requires macro catalyst—like Fed rate cut, geopolitical shock, or weak USD
🧠 Macro Factors to Monitor:
FOMC & FedSpeak (June) – If rate cuts are delayed, gold could lose momentum.
Real Yields (10Y TIPS) – Rising real yields = bearish gold.
Geopolitical Tensions – Any flare-ups (Middle East, Taiwan) may flip sentiment fast.
China/BRICS Demand – Gold import/export data could signal accumulation or slowdown.
💡 We’re monitoring these inefficiencies for tactical plays under the Wavervanir macro-arbitrage lens. Stay updated for real-time trade ideas and DSS-based execution.
#Gold #GC1 #XAUUSD #FuturesTrading #MacroArbitrage #CommodityTrading #Wavervanir #RiskManagement
Gold (GC) Trade Plan – Watching Key Zones for Reaction Currently watching Gold Futures (GC) as price moves within a defined range.
✅ Buy Zone (Green): Waiting for price to reach this demand area and show a bullish reaction confirmed by order flow before entering long.
❌ Sell Zone (Red): If price pushes into this supply area, I’ll consider a short setup only if there’s clear bearish confirmation on order flow (e.g., trapped buyers, absorption, or momentum shift).
⚠️ No reaction = no trade. I’m simply reacting to what the market gives me, not predicting.
Let the flow guide the entries. 🧠📊
Gold Future MCXThe Gold Future Price is Stuck in A Triangle Trend Lines.
There is Good Action Seen from Both Buyers and Sellers. Lets se who wins it.
If the price breaks DOWN the Support Trend Line with Good Volume "THE PRICE CAN TRAVEL DOWN TILL 90000 Levels."
If the Price Breks UP the Resistance Trend Line with Good Volume " THE PRICE CAN TRAVEL UP TILL 95500 Levels."
NOTE: (In My View)
Price Going Down till 90000 is More Likely.....
GOLD SILVER Ratio Charts MCX INDIA MCX:GOLD1! *100/MCX:SILVER1!
This is a Ratio charts ... Which Shows Outperformance of One asset over other ... You have to Buy one and Sell One to full reflect what it is showing ... so Things may not workout It you trade one only ...
It Can be Clearly Seen Gold is outperforming Silver ....
What it is indicating is the main point ...Silver being a industrial metal more demand for Gold could be safe haven buying which means less demand for silver implying less industrial activity bad for economy ... or impending recession in US ... Recently Yield Curves 2s10s inverted in US so ... that would also signal a impending recession which lags by at least by 12 months ...
When reversal comes Chart may change Currently or can be seen on lower time frame it is what it is ....
Similar Things on International/COMEX Charts or Dollar based charts can be seen
