$CL1! trading plan for 15 May 2024Wait for the oscillators to turn bullish on 1H for $NYMEX:CL1!. We are looking at a possible long here. Longby MChaotic1
Overnight trade on crudeQuick after market analysis for possible overnight trade First trade Is a possible short at the newly formed resistance and I would have my Sl back up again the trend line downward So entry would be 78.8 Sl would be 79.1 Tp would be 78.3 Here we could counting that when price reach the previous resistance it would have little to no volume to support more upward movements along side the fact that there 2 massive resistances against it. Here we are counting on price coming back down to previous support where it would take out hopefully both of the 78.05 control of price by volume and if it takes out the 77.65 control of price too with a large wick we can have another long entry there and if price hits our Sl on the first over night trade short we can expect that it would have up and have a breakout past up the resistance to try and hit the 79.8 control of price where we can enter again by waiting for a confirmation of price heading back down to hit the trend line again before bouncing off to 79.80 for a long trade to make back our losses. All of these trades have a very much probable chances of working out so that is my plan here for tomorrow depending on how things work out. lets hope no unexpected dump or Pump happens to throw me off hereby zack_maUpdated 115
Three Factors Keeping Oil Prices in CheckAT A GLANCE: Despite ongoing geopolitical conflict, oil prices and volatility are relatively low A rise in U.S. crude production and weak demand in China are helping oil inventories maintain average levels Considering many factors like the Russia-Ukraine war, OPEC+ cutting production by 3.6 million barrels per day and conflict in the Middle East, many traders might be surprised to find out that oil prices are only around $82 per barrel and that implied volatility on crude options are trading at relatively low levels below 40%. Inventories Remain at Average Levels So why are crude oil prices not higher and more volatile? Part of the answer lies in inventories. Crude and product inventories are right around their seasonally adjusted averages for the past five years. This suggests that at least some cushion exists in the event of a supply disruption. Given that oil production is about 3.5% lower globally than it would have been without OPEC+ production cuts, how is it possible that oil inventories are still at average levels? There are two reasons. First, a boom in U.S. production has replaced about one third of what OPEC cut. The second reason is weak demand. China buys about 10 million barrels per day in the international markets, and its economy has been growing much more slowly than it was a few years ago. Slow growth in China often hits oil prices with a lag of about 12 months and may be among the factors preventing a further rise in global crude prices. Higher Prices Expected? That said, traders are displaying some signs of nervousness. The skew on CME Group’s WTI CVOL index is quite positive at the moment, suggesting that some traders are buying out of the money call options to protect themselves from the possibility of much higher prices. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience. Educationby CME_Group2286
possible 1% bounce(intraday)there could be a bounce of 1%(79.77 tp) from 78.87 sup zoneLongby Algotricker3
$CL1! 13 May 2024 - Looking good for a long scalp$CL1 is looking set for an intra-day long. The recent sharp drop below both key moving averages and subsequent movement indicate strong bearish pressure. But it has found short term support and is appearing to be reversing. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of my personal trading journal. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to trade any specific strategy.by MChaoticUpdated 0
#crude oil Looking for short entry in NYMEX:CL1! price is forming double top break and retest by Mohitsoni080
Crude**CrudeOil:** The forecast for Crude this week is for the price to fall to the 76.43 level, that matches with a lost pivot.Shortby MarQ_Capital_LTD1
5/12 | $CLNot alot of update from last week's chart. We have been creating a base in daily demand zone (green zone) and consolidating as expected. This week, I would like to see some movement to the upside. A break of $80 upside confirms trend for me with first macro target at $83-84.Longby StonksSociety0
We goin LONG THIS WEEK ON Crude OIL from HTF Discounted DemandNYMEX:CL1! "Excellence is not a singular act but a habit. You are what you do repeatedly." -Shaquille O'Neal Last week Sellers were successful in pushing the price per barrel of OIL underneath Major Key Level ($80.00)... Now the reason I believe we are preparing for OIL to go LONG is due to price nearing a Major Unmitigated Daily Demand Zone and approaching a HTF eR/LQ Trendline.... I want to see price mitigate this Daily Demand zone then i'll drop down to the LTF for a confirmation entry model to scale LONG.... Discounted Demand Pricing I want to see mitigated before we enter LONG on a LTF entry model ($77.75 to $77.00)... I will keep update as price develops!! Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions Longby TreyHighPwrUpdated 11
Long currently its in downtrend on 1h tf, price can reach 81.61(3%), if trade above RED(79.09)... Longby AlgotrickerUpdated 12
9th May 2024 CL1 Trading PlanNYMEX:CL1! continues to look bullish today. There might be a small pull back before the price resumes it journey towards 80. The plan is to wait for price action to confirm the direction clearly and look for buying opportunities around 78.70 area. Alternatively if there is no pullback in the morning session, wait for the price to break R1 or the 200 MA before buying. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of my personal trading journal. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to trade any specific strategy. Longby MChaoticUpdated 1
WTI could resume upward movementThe bearish trend is still dominant and we have had a clear downward trend. There has been some consolidation since last Friday and a bounce may be due soon. Entry Point: Wait for the price to break above the downward trendline conclusively during today's morning EUR session. Considering $79.50 as the profit target, with a stop-loss at $77.50. NYMEX:CL1!Longby MChaoticUpdated 1
Crude Thursday Forecast I've been very reluctant to publish any idea's this week intra day, as I believe we are in retracement from the amount we sold off recently. The 4hr wick CE is the point of interest I have where price respected I am aiming for the 15min SSL to be broken and a setup form this CME open.... Lets wait and see...Shortby IamThattrader4
OIl setting up for a bounce here, trade or continuation?We've been out of the #Oil trade for some time now. It since went about 10% higher, no big deal. Daily analysis: Broke its recent uptrend. RSI oversold - Usually gets a bounce at these levels. It has been trading in between mid 60's & Low 90's. Intraday looks like it is setting up for a bounce. -------------------------------- Weekly Analysis: You'd figure with tension rising that #OIL would be at a 100, at least. Daily it broke the trend but it's best to wait until Friday to see if it's going back to the lower part of the trend or bouncing. Historically, RSI doesn't hang around the 50 area much, shown by the yellow arrow. Longby ROYAL_OAK_INC0
The Bears are in Control of CrudeTechnical Momentum Weakens Crude Oil futures are declining in 2024 after correcting down to the 200-day moving average at $77.88. The technical perspective shows momentum studies declining into oversold territories, with the 9-day moving average trading below the 18-day. DMI- is above DMI +, indicating that the market is in a correction phase, while the Average True Range firms to $1.70 daily. API Inventories Rise API Inventory tightness has reversed recently, indicating a more relaxed supply picture. Recent API inventory data shows a build of 509,000 barrels. The current EIA inventories are 460 million barrels, compared to the five-year average of 473 million barrels for this period. Cushing stocks in the Mid-West show 33 million barrels in inventory versus a five-year average of 44 million barrels. An Expanding Economic Tailwind The U.S. economy continues to expand in 2024, driven by the high probability of a soft landing, which fuels investor sentiment. Geopolitical tensions have eased recently; however, there is the possibility of a widening Middle Eastern conflict in the future. www.tradingview.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.Shortby Phil_Blue_Line0
Crude - Pre Market Guessing.So I don't take too much of my time on the weekend trying to figure out where price is going to go as price isnt even active. So barring any exponential moves Sunday open I am still bearish and have : Monthly Wick CE and target 1 Weekly SSL as target 2 Pre CME open I will re analyse where the market is and publish further forecast for the day.Shortby IamThattraderUpdated 4
QM Descending Channel QM has been trading in a descending channel since breaking down below its previous ascending channel. There's too much speculation about tensions in the middle east and elsewhere to take any big chances on this IMO, so it's best to wait for a break and retest, whether it is to the downside or the upside.by AdvancedPlays0
oil to goldThe rally is almost ready, but all depends on how the geopolitical things run out.Longby MOAM0
CRUDE OIL 1M1. Symmetric triangle pattern has been observed 2. Good support and resistance formed I Am Not SEBI Registered Analyst. All Post and Levels Posting is only for educational and knowledge purpose. I Am not responsible for your any kind of loss or profit. No Claim, All Rights Reserved.‼️Longby saimandali0
Crude Oil | BULLS MAY DOMINATE THE NEXT DAYSMay is not always a good month for crude oil. When you look at the last 40 years, there is a positive change rate of less than 50%. However, Crude oil is moving to the support resistance point, and its performance in the last 8 election years, from the beginning of the may to the 21-22 of May during the election years, is 7 years positive and an average return of 12%. That's why I'm very BULLISH on Crude oil, which is below last year's opening level and at a significant support-resistance flip point.Longby XU3Trades12
Crude Oil Testing Line in the SandCrude Oil (June) Last week’s close: Settled 78.11, down 0.84 on Friday and 5.74 on the week WTI Crude Oil futures have trended with a lower high for five straight sessions and while trading below first key resistance at 79.49-79.63, it is gearing for the sixth straight session since the April 26th peak. Price action has now tested major three-star support at 78.01-78.43, aligning multiple technical indicators with the upper-end of the consolidation into mid-March. While we now hold a Neutral Bias, there is value seen here, but the market lacks positive momentum. Bias: Neutral Resistance: 79.49-79.63**, 79.87-79.90**, 80.31-80.44***, 81.24***, 81.57**, 81.80-81.93*** Pivot: 78.75-78.83 Support: 78.01-78.43***, 76.90-76.98*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. by Blue_Line_Futures1
CrudeOil**CrudeOil:** The forecast for Crude this week is for the price to fall to the zone between 76.68 and 75.84, where we have a lost pivot, and then rise again.Shortby MarQ_Capital_LTD0
Israel announce using infantry with in 1 weekElliot wave theory confluent with war situation in middle east wave 4 Zigzag deep correction seem to finish in pivot point (previous high) I long, aim WTI crude oil will go back at least 85 I going to partial close if price is reach 85 I also back-test using trend line and pivot point I found that using 3.5% SL is work well to protect whipsaw in trading I don't support war I am just trader I hope peace happen soon Longby tofinse111