Gold Tesla4.28.25 In this video I talk about gold and Tesla. at the end of the video I suggested that there are times when the market isn't doing quite what your rules are but you have a feeling that the market is going to move in your favor... and in your opinion it's worth the risk even though you would not entirely be following your rules. the simple response would be that you're not following your roles at your decision is impulsive and that you shouldn't take that trade... but you believe that even if your trade breaks your rules you believe there's something in the pattern that tells you it's worth the risk you're willing to take. I'll tell you right now I did not upload this video until that bar completed... and I would have been stopped out of that trade because I would have gone short and the market went higher for a bit... but I realized something that I know about and I want to talk about that on a future video. to be clear I think the market is still going to go lower even though it would have taken out my short trade.... I'll talk about this tomorrow or the next day.... and by that time we'll see if the market really did go lower.
GOLD1! trade ideas
The Gold-Silver Ratio ExplainedCOMEX: Micro Gold Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MGC1! ), Micro Silver Futures ( COMEX_MINI:SIL1! )
The Gold-Silver Ratio is a financial term that measures the relative value of gold to silver. Specifically, how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold.
The Gold-Silver Ratio is an important tool for traders and investors. It has been used to indicate the market sentiment towards these two precious metals. A high ratio suggests that gold is more valued than silver, often seen during economic turmoil or when investors seek safe-haven assets. On the contrary, a lower ratio implies that silver is gaining value relative to gold, which normally occurs during periods of economic growth and strong industrial demand.
The ratio fluctuates over time due to supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and changes in the global economy. By analyzing the ratio, traders can make informed decisions about when to buy or sell. This ratio reflects not only the market’s valuation of these metals but also an instrument for profit-making in the commodities market.
Historical Gold to Silver Ratio
Since 2000, the Gold-Silver Ratio has seen considerable fluctuations, reflecting various economic and market conditions. In the first decade of the 21st century, the ratio hovered around 65:1, meaning it took 65 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.
However, the ratio has spiked during times of economic uncertainty. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008, the ratio reached highs not seen in decades. More recently, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing economic turmoil, the ratio surged, at one point exceeding 110:1 in 2020, indicating a strong preference for gold as a safe-haven asset compared to silver.
Over time, the Gold-Silver Ratio has been trending up, meaning gold has gained value at a faster pace compared to silver.
As of last Friday, gold is trading around all-time high at $3,330, while silver is quoted at $33.0. This makes the Gold-Silver Ratio almost exactly at 100.
When to Buy and Sell based on the Gold-Silver Ratio?
The decision to buy or sell the ratio hinges on interpreting its current value in the context of historical trends and market conditions.
When to Buy Silver: A high Gold-Silver Ratio, typically at or above the 90:1 mark, suggests that silver is undervalued relative to gold. This is often interpreted as a buying signal for silver. In such scenarios, silver is cheaper than gold, and investors may see it as an opportunity to purchase silver at a relatively low price. The rationale is that if the ratio decreases, the relative value of silver will increase compared to gold, potentially leading to significant gains.
When to Sell Silver/Buy Gold: Conversely, when the Gold-Silver Ratio is low, say around 50:1, it indicates that silver is relatively expensive, or gold is undervalued. In such situations, investors might consider selling silver and buying gold. The expectation is that the ratio will normalize or increase, meaning that gold’s value could rise relative to silver, offering a favorable return on the gold investment.
The Gold-Silver Ratio can be a valuable indicator of when to buy or sell gold and silver. However, since the ratio is not stable but upward trending over time, we could not use a mean-reversion strategy. The price band for normal, high and low ranges should be updated regularly.
Trade Setup with Micro Gold and Silver
Traders could deploy the Gold-Silver Ratio trading strategy using COMEX Micro Gold Futures ( AMEX:MGC ) and Micro Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ). The big advantages of using futures contracts are capital efficiency and leverage.
MGC contracts have a notional value of 10 troy ounces of gold. With Friday settlement price of $3,330.7, each June contract (MGCM5) has a notional value of $33,307. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $1,500 at the time of writing.
By putting a deposit equivalent to less than 0.5 ounce, traders could gain the full exposure to 10 ounces of gold. If gold prices move up by 5%, a long futures position would double in value (= (33307*0.05) / 1500 = 111%). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 22:1.
Conversely, Micro Silver (SIL) contracts have a notional value of 1,000 troy ounces of silver. With Friday settlement price of $33.02, each June contract (SILM5) has a notional value of $33,020. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $3,000 at the time of writing.
By putting a deposit equivalent to 91 ounces, traders could gain the full exposure of 1,000 ounces of silver. If silver prices move up by 5%, a long position in Micro Silver futures would gain 55% (= (33020*0.05) / 3000). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 11:1.
Micro gold futures (MGC, 10 oz) contracts tap into the deep liquidity of standard-size gold futures contracts (GC, 100 oz). As of last Friday, GC has an open interest (OI) of 447,356 contracts, while the OI for MGC is 44,449, according to data from CME Group.
The OI for standard Silver Futures (SI, 5000 oz) and Micro Silver Futures (SIL, 1000 oz) are 154,276 and 12,345, respectively.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gann Box stacking and Gold...funny things alignNot much to explain here...just the boxes all aligned and stacked up onto each other starting from the 1999 low to the bull run high of 2011, and then copied and stacked to show current price action.
However, there is a weird thing with boxes of the Gann type. Usually 25 and 75 time allotments, or 1st and last boxes, are the most aggressive moves. But this one has already almost broken the box in the first panel of the 25%.
So you will either have a stagnation and then slight down or up drift until you hit the later 75% box at the most right....or you just go "nah, Irish goodbye to yah lad" and jump to the next box up...we shall see.
But those lines do hold some weight and you can see the Gann angles had a few good pivots and one generally good line to follow through this initial explosion up.
But we go sidesways if the house of bird poo color can clean up their act...pull a Styx and "Come sail away with me..." to the next box up and run to the like 5K limit, who shall know....
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from 1999 summer to 2011 summer to move the height of the box....
and its been achieved in merely 2 some years as of this point...oh boy
VVVV Notice the 3 peaks at 1900 perfectly aligning with that box edge before the next box is stacked up to accommodate current price action...
Your thoughts...right...wrong...or just a :) all welcome
PS...These boxes arent made to fit this chart...It is just a pivot low to pivot high and then copied and stacked/extended....But see how that 2nd box times the triple peak and explosion into the newest up move...crazy hmm
Gold | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential | (April 2025)Gold (XAUUSD) | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential + Structure Watch | (April 27, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Gold is at a critical level where multiple scenarios could unfold. Money flow and structure suggest a higher probability for lower prices, but a move higher toward $3,477 remains possible too.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: Watching for liquidity sweep around $3,225
Stop Loss: Above recent structure highs if the sweep setup fails
TP1: Partial profit near $3,225 (liquidity grab area)
TP2: Further downside depending on momentum and structure after the sweep
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Money flow is exiting, and market structure leans toward lower prices for now.
✅ Heavy liquidity is resting around $3,225 — a sweep could trigger key reactions and partial exits.
✅ Still some possibility that Gold pushes higher toward $3,477 if market sentiment flips short-term bullish.
✅ Structure is not completely clean yet — waiting for a clearer setup before going heavy.
✅ Watch S&P 500 closely: a short-term correction there could help Gold move higher temporarily as a non-correlated asset.
❌ Risk if Gold breaks higher before sweeping $3,225, invalidating the current short-biased setup.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
I will continue monitoring Gold’s structure closely and will update the idea if we get a clean sweep or confirmation for the next move.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
GOLD Follows "Buy The Dip" Mode, Being Supported by 200-hour SMAGold prices have experienced significant volatility over the last days, with conflicting reports on the current trend. According to some sources, gold prices have increased, with spot gold reaching $3,500 per troy ounce, new all the history high on Tuesday, April 22, 2025.
The $3,500 milestone has sparked increased interest from investors and market analysts, meaning that Gold spot doubled in price over the past 5 years, 3rd time in history ever.
Despite the short-term volatility, gold has shown a strong performance since the beginning of 2025, with an increase of approximately 30-35% year-to-date. Market analysts remain bullish on gold, with some forecasting prices to reach $ 4'000 per ounce in the near term.
The main 1-hour graph indicates on 200-hours SMA technical support, with further upside opportunity due to forming on the chart descending triangle (flat bottom/ descending top) breakthrow.
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Best #GODL wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Watch to Watch - Gold Bearish Head and ShouldersWith the recent strength in US equities, the long gold trade may be over. Gold broke below a key trendline and formed a distinct bearish head and shoulder pattern signifying possible downside pressure coming up today and into the next week. Definitely worth watching for futures traders. First target with a break lower would be around $3240 with a lot of downside from there.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) – Long Position
Entry Price: 3395.9
Profit Target: 3469.0 (+2.21%)
Stop Loss: 3311.4 (–0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.68
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York PM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
GC1! displayed signs of bullish continuation going into the New York PM session, with price consolidating between 3.325 - 3,319 in a tight range above a recently reclaimed support zone, followed by the breakout.
GC (gold) UpdateSo I managed to dump my GLD holdings Tues premarket (left a comment on one of my posts Tuesday morning) because I realized that gold was doing a three drive pattern, got a pump at the end which started to sell off premarket. Not to mention, it had hit the target I posted with the big green arrow.
Also, we have confirmation that my 3 hr indicator does work on GC, it bounced when MFI hit my red line. Did not play it, and it's a pretty weak bounce. GC isn't behaving the same as it did on its way up, I think there are bagholders that bought on the way down that are selling now on the way up. Every pump pump just gets sold off, there were some pumpers afterhours today, but that pump sold off and looks to me like it wants to go red tonight.
Going to wait until I see a big move before I play this again. I think the only reason why it's a little green tonight is because they're pumping commodities, and gold is a commodity. The Euros might sell it off though, seems like they are always the sellers, guessing the gold algos are mainly run by them.
I don't plan on shorting but if you do, the time to do it is when MFI hits overbought.
Gold Is Surging , Remains in Bullish Uptrend### **1. Overall Trend**
- **Trend Direction:** Strong **uptrend** from early October 2024 to April 2025.
- **Price Action:** Gold surged from around $2,800 to over $3,300, hitting a high near $3,329.
---
### **2. Indicators & Strategy Setup**
**Strategy Used:** Steve’s DC-MACD Strategy (Manual Settings)
- **DC Length:** 20
- **MACD Fast:** 12
- **MACD Slow:** 26
- **Signal Smoothing:** 9
- **Moving Averages Type:** EMA
**Overlay Elements:**
- **Green/Red Channels:** These represent **Donchian Channels** or volatility-based bands, indicating consolidation vs breakout.
- **White Line:** Possibly a shorter EMA used as a dynamic support/resistance guide.
---
### **3. Signal Arrows**
- **Red Down Arrows (BEAR):** Sell signals, typically at local tops or when the MACD crosses down.
- **Green Up Arrows (BULL):** Buy signals, often following a breakout from consolidation.
Recent Signal:
- **Latest signal is BULL** in early April, aligning with a breakout above $3,100.
---
### **4. Volume**
- **Spikes in volume** around signal points suggest institutional participation.
- Noticeable volume increases in:
- October (2024)
- January and April (2025)
---
### **5. Market Context**
- **Current Price:** $3,324.5
- **Pullback Potential:** After hitting $3,329, a short-term correction is possible, but the trend remains bullish unless price breaks below $3,200 with heavy sell volume.
---
### **6. Strategy Effectiveness**
- The strategy has **accurately captured several trends**, especially the bullish breakout in late March.
- However, **multiple false bear signals** during the uptrend suggest better performance in trending markets than in sideways conditions.
Gold Futures – Short-Term Technical Outlook as of April 23Gold surged to nearly $3,500, but multiple indicators now point to a potential top. A short-term correction or consolidation phase appears likely before any new highs.
Bearish Signals Across the Board:
RSI Divergence: RSI failed to confirm recent highs, showing bearish divergence.
Momentum Fading: MACD & momentum oscillators rolled over → rally exhaustion.
Volume Shift: Rising on down moves, drying up on rallies → classic distribution.
Bearish Candlesticks: Spinning tops + bearish engulfing patterns signal reversal risk.
Elliott Wave: Likely completed 5-wave impulse → next up: ABC correction?
Cycles: April top aligns with intermediate cycle peak → watch May for cycle low.
Seasonality: Historically weak May–June period approaching.
COT Data: Speculators still long, but commercials heavily short → caution warranted.
🎯 Trade Setups
Short-Term (1–5 Days)
🎯 Short Entry: ~$3,400
📉 Target: $3,270 → $3,215
🛑 Stop: Above $3,460
Medium-Term (1–4 Weeks)
📉 Short below $3,215 → Target $2,970
✅ Or go long on confirmed bounce at $3,150–$3,180
Long-Term (1–6 Months)
🟢 Bullish bias after correction completes
🛒 Buy zones: $2,960–$2,720
🎯 Targets: $3,540 → $3,900+
⛔ Stop: Below $2,700
🧭 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Cautiously Bearish (short-term) → Bullish (long-term)
Gold likely topped in April — expect weakness or sideways action before the next major leg higher. Be patient for a better buying opportunity later this spring/summer.
The Gold Rush is overA rejection off of 3508 level with an evening star or shooting star (depending on how you view candlestick patterns) and a close below other key Fibonacci and sup/res levels will likely cause a downtrend in the foreseeable future. Any closes below key levels should be viewed as bearish price action.