Gold evaluation using Trend Fib extension...dual peaksAs you can see from the lower picture...I took two retrace peaks and traced the move with the fib tool and made the smaller one the solid line and the farther one the dashed line...
Kinda fits pretty neatly in those lines eh??
Not much more to say, make up what you think the move action will be, I just provide the lines...
And the numeration for those lines to be calculated is based off Pi and Fib percentages...so its not an actual default setting...can go into my other ideas where I actually give a table of all the numbers to enter in to achieve said result you see above and below...
Both Trend Fibs are with the reverse setting on...
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10 min
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1 day far
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This Trend is with the reverse setting off: weekly overview:
and the closer daily...notice that 2000 quad peak:
and yet closer view...see that bottom line under the sideways consolidation is like almost the same as previous...:
finally the 10 min close up:
everything but the two arrows is the same from above...so you get a nice overall price consolidation with these lines...
GOLDPETAL1! trade ideas
Gann Box stacking and Gold...funny things alignNot much to explain here...just the boxes all aligned and stacked up onto each other starting from the 1999 low to the bull run high of 2011, and then copied and stacked to show current price action.
However, there is a weird thing with boxes of the Gann type. Usually 25 and 75 time allotments, or 1st and last boxes, are the most aggressive moves. But this one has already almost broken the box in the first panel of the 25%.
So you will either have a stagnation and then slight down or up drift until you hit the later 75% box at the most right....or you just go "nah, Irish goodbye to yah lad" and jump to the next box up...we shall see.
But those lines do hold some weight and you can see the Gann angles had a few good pivots and one generally good line to follow through this initial explosion up.
But we go sidesways if the house of bird poo color can clean up their act...pull a Styx and "Come sail away with me..." to the next box up and run to the like 5K limit, who shall know....
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from 1999 summer to 2011 summer to move the height of the box....
and its been achieved in merely 2 some years as of this point...oh boy
VVVV Notice the 3 peaks at 1900 perfectly aligning with that box edge before the next box is stacked up to accommodate current price action...
Your thoughts...right...wrong...or just a :) all welcome
PS...These boxes arent made to fit this chart...It is just a pivot low to pivot high and then copied and stacked/extended....But see how that 2nd box times the triple peak and explosion into the newest up move...crazy hmm
Gold | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential | (April 2025)Gold (XAUUSD) | Short Bias | Liquidity Sweep Potential + Structure Watch | (April 27, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Gold is at a critical level where multiple scenarios could unfold. Money flow and structure suggest a higher probability for lower prices, but a move higher toward $3,477 remains possible too.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: Watching for liquidity sweep around $3,225
Stop Loss: Above recent structure highs if the sweep setup fails
TP1: Partial profit near $3,225 (liquidity grab area)
TP2: Further downside depending on momentum and structure after the sweep
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Money flow is exiting, and market structure leans toward lower prices for now.
✅ Heavy liquidity is resting around $3,225 — a sweep could trigger key reactions and partial exits.
✅ Still some possibility that Gold pushes higher toward $3,477 if market sentiment flips short-term bullish.
✅ Structure is not completely clean yet — waiting for a clearer setup before going heavy.
✅ Watch S&P 500 closely: a short-term correction there could help Gold move higher temporarily as a non-correlated asset.
❌ Risk if Gold breaks higher before sweeping $3,225, invalidating the current short-biased setup.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
I will continue monitoring Gold’s structure closely and will update the idea if we get a clean sweep or confirmation for the next move.
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GOLD Follows "Buy The Dip" Mode, Being Supported by 200-hour SMAGold prices have experienced significant volatility over the last days, with conflicting reports on the current trend. According to some sources, gold prices have increased, with spot gold reaching $3,500 per troy ounce, new all the history high on Tuesday, April 22, 2025.
The $3,500 milestone has sparked increased interest from investors and market analysts, meaning that Gold spot doubled in price over the past 5 years, 3rd time in history ever.
Despite the short-term volatility, gold has shown a strong performance since the beginning of 2025, with an increase of approximately 30-35% year-to-date. Market analysts remain bullish on gold, with some forecasting prices to reach $ 4'000 per ounce in the near term.
The main 1-hour graph indicates on 200-hours SMA technical support, with further upside opportunity due to forming on the chart descending triangle (flat bottom/ descending top) breakthrow.
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Best #GODL wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Watch to Watch - Gold Bearish Head and ShouldersWith the recent strength in US equities, the long gold trade may be over. Gold broke below a key trendline and formed a distinct bearish head and shoulder pattern signifying possible downside pressure coming up today and into the next week. Definitely worth watching for futures traders. First target with a break lower would be around $3240 with a lot of downside from there.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) – Long Position
Entry Price: 3395.9
Profit Target: 3469.0 (+2.21%)
Stop Loss: 3311.4 (–0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.68
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York PM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
GC1! displayed signs of bullish continuation going into the New York PM session, with price consolidating between 3.325 - 3,319 in a tight range above a recently reclaimed support zone, followed by the breakout.
GC (gold) UpdateSo I managed to dump my GLD holdings Tues premarket (left a comment on one of my posts Tuesday morning) because I realized that gold was doing a three drive pattern, got a pump at the end which started to sell off premarket. Not to mention, it had hit the target I posted with the big green arrow.
Also, we have confirmation that my 3 hr indicator does work on GC, it bounced when MFI hit my red line. Did not play it, and it's a pretty weak bounce. GC isn't behaving the same as it did on its way up, I think there are bagholders that bought on the way down that are selling now on the way up. Every pump pump just gets sold off, there were some pumpers afterhours today, but that pump sold off and looks to me like it wants to go red tonight.
Going to wait until I see a big move before I play this again. I think the only reason why it's a little green tonight is because they're pumping commodities, and gold is a commodity. The Euros might sell it off though, seems like they are always the sellers, guessing the gold algos are mainly run by them.
I don't plan on shorting but if you do, the time to do it is when MFI hits overbought.
Gold Is Surging , Remains in Bullish Uptrend### **1. Overall Trend**
- **Trend Direction:** Strong **uptrend** from early October 2024 to April 2025.
- **Price Action:** Gold surged from around $2,800 to over $3,300, hitting a high near $3,329.
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### **2. Indicators & Strategy Setup**
**Strategy Used:** Steve’s DC-MACD Strategy (Manual Settings)
- **DC Length:** 20
- **MACD Fast:** 12
- **MACD Slow:** 26
- **Signal Smoothing:** 9
- **Moving Averages Type:** EMA
**Overlay Elements:**
- **Green/Red Channels:** These represent **Donchian Channels** or volatility-based bands, indicating consolidation vs breakout.
- **White Line:** Possibly a shorter EMA used as a dynamic support/resistance guide.
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### **3. Signal Arrows**
- **Red Down Arrows (BEAR):** Sell signals, typically at local tops or when the MACD crosses down.
- **Green Up Arrows (BULL):** Buy signals, often following a breakout from consolidation.
Recent Signal:
- **Latest signal is BULL** in early April, aligning with a breakout above $3,100.
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### **4. Volume**
- **Spikes in volume** around signal points suggest institutional participation.
- Noticeable volume increases in:
- October (2024)
- January and April (2025)
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### **5. Market Context**
- **Current Price:** $3,324.5
- **Pullback Potential:** After hitting $3,329, a short-term correction is possible, but the trend remains bullish unless price breaks below $3,200 with heavy sell volume.
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### **6. Strategy Effectiveness**
- The strategy has **accurately captured several trends**, especially the bullish breakout in late March.
- However, **multiple false bear signals** during the uptrend suggest better performance in trending markets than in sideways conditions.
Gold Futures – Short-Term Technical Outlook as of April 23Gold surged to nearly $3,500, but multiple indicators now point to a potential top. A short-term correction or consolidation phase appears likely before any new highs.
Bearish Signals Across the Board:
RSI Divergence: RSI failed to confirm recent highs, showing bearish divergence.
Momentum Fading: MACD & momentum oscillators rolled over → rally exhaustion.
Volume Shift: Rising on down moves, drying up on rallies → classic distribution.
Bearish Candlesticks: Spinning tops + bearish engulfing patterns signal reversal risk.
Elliott Wave: Likely completed 5-wave impulse → next up: ABC correction?
Cycles: April top aligns with intermediate cycle peak → watch May for cycle low.
Seasonality: Historically weak May–June period approaching.
COT Data: Speculators still long, but commercials heavily short → caution warranted.
🎯 Trade Setups
Short-Term (1–5 Days)
🎯 Short Entry: ~$3,400
📉 Target: $3,270 → $3,215
🛑 Stop: Above $3,460
Medium-Term (1–4 Weeks)
📉 Short below $3,215 → Target $2,970
✅ Or go long on confirmed bounce at $3,150–$3,180
Long-Term (1–6 Months)
🟢 Bullish bias after correction completes
🛒 Buy zones: $2,960–$2,720
🎯 Targets: $3,540 → $3,900+
⛔ Stop: Below $2,700
🧭 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Cautiously Bearish (short-term) → Bullish (long-term)
Gold likely topped in April — expect weakness or sideways action before the next major leg higher. Be patient for a better buying opportunity later this spring/summer.
The Gold Rush is overA rejection off of 3508 level with an evening star or shooting star (depending on how you view candlestick patterns) and a close below other key Fibonacci and sup/res levels will likely cause a downtrend in the foreseeable future. Any closes below key levels should be viewed as bearish price action.