1AAPL trade ideas
APPL. Bulls are in ControlHello, I’m TheCafeTrader.
This post is for technical traders looking to capitalize on short swings and options.
What you’re seeing here are supply and demand zones — areas where liquidity is concentrated. These levels are identified using a system built around footprint data, order flow, and market imbalances.
🔹 Key Observation:
I’ve marked a seller that price has now broken above. This tells us that buyers have overpowered a sell-side participant, and are now likely targeting deeper liquidity in the $218–$225 range.
🔹 On Apple’s Behavior:
Apple can be slow and choppy at times. So, if you’re trading options, consider going as close to the money as possible and give yourself some time on the contracts.
🔹 New Buyer in the Market:
Between $199–$206, a new aggressive buyer has stepped in. This player appears to be pressuring the first line of sellers (labeled “beginning of supply”).
🟢 My Expectation:
I expect AAPL to pull back to around $206 before catching a bid. As long as price holds above $199, buyers remain in control. In this range, I anticipate further accumulation by bulls.
🔸 Take Profit Levels:
• First TP: Just before the major selling cluster around $218
• Final TP: Deep inside the seller zone near $223
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📊 Follow for more short-term analysis. This week, we’re covering both short- and long-term views of the MAG 7.
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AAPL Weekly Breakout – Targeting $266Hello Traders,
Here’s my latest analysis on Apple (AAPL) based on the weekly chart.
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
Main Uptrend Channel (Blue): Price has respected this channel since 2023.
Red Downtrend Sub-Channel: Recent corrective phase is now broken.
Breakout Signal: Last week, AAPL closed above the sub-channel’s upper line, confirming bullish momentum.
📌 Updated Trade Setup Section:
Entry Zone: Around $215 (current price)
Stop-Loss: Weekly close below $195 (Risk = $20)
Targets:
✅ $230 (Reward = $15 → R:R = 0.75:1)
✅ $266 (Reward = $51 → R:R = 2.55:1)
Always confirm with your own strategy before entering a trade. Position sizing and risk control are key.
💬 Do you think AAPL can reach $266 before Q4 2025? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:AAPL
AAPL HEADING INTO AUG 25'AAPL TOPPED @ 250-260 TO CLOSE OUT 24
BAD Q1
Consistent since then.
Consolidation happened @ key weekly support $194-198 range, solid move up after.
Long Apple currently.
They have the IPHONE 17 releasing in Sept with a few new colors and new back design as well as other affordable options to assist with consumer retention, entry and re entry into the apple hemisphere for consumers.
Earnings July 31st, currently expected to increase YOY for Q3.
I expect earnings to come in strong to assist with the move up to try and work back to retest ATH again.
Long back up to $247 range to close out 2025 for Apple. End of year Q3, Q4 is always their time to shine. Don't think we see a break of ATH in 2025 for Apple though. Retest, to come back down slightly again before major break.
AAPL Aug 1st - Aug 8th 215 Calendar Call SpreadAAPL Aug 1st - Aug 8th 215 Calendar Call Spread
AAPL earnings after market close 7/31/25. Looking for an upward move into earnings with resistance at $225 then retesting support at $215. This zone falls between the .5 and .618 fib retracement. Great risk/ reward ratio 3.5:1
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 18/7Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions.
The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back.
While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly.
Apple has been consolidating in the 210 USD region, forming a smaller flag pattern that is nearing completion. Based on this previous pattern, the next upward move is expected to reach >$220, where consolidation will likely begin again. With Apple’s earnings rapidly approaching and stronger-than-expected results anticipated, July and August could be very positive months for Apple holders.
A golden cross appears likely, with the 50-day EMA just $5.50 below the 200-day EMA. This would be very bullish for Apple and could trigger significant interest from both institutional and retail investors. Additionally, Apple has been lagging behind the other “Magnificent Seven” stocks, experiencing considerable selling pressure; however, this trend is now reversing. Apple is shaping up to be a good short-term and long-term hold.
Apple (AAPL) — Expected 20% GrowthThe fundamental outlook for Apple stock remains positive: the upcoming fall presentation and anticipated AI-related announcements are driving bullish sentiment.
Technical picture:
The price has broken through a key trendline, signaling a shift in momentum toward growth.
Near-term target: a move toward the 225.0 level.
Next step: a possible pullback to 214.0 for a retest of the support level.
Long-term scenario: after the correction, I expect a rise toward 250.0, which could bring approximately 20% growth within 1–2 months.
This growth potential may coincide with Apple’s upcoming earnings report and further AI news.
Apple Chart Fibonacci Analysis 080425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point 203/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AAPL ShortBroader Market Structure (AAPL 1H):
The overall market structure on this 1-hour chart has shifted from a consolidation phase into a clear bearish trend. A Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred at $224.88, marking the breakdown of a key higher low and signaling the end of the previous bullish phase. This was followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) at lower levels, confirming bearish continuation. The structure now favors lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish directional bias.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
The supply zone near $224–228 is strong, as price dropped sharply from this area after a brief consolidation, showing aggressive selling and validating it as a significant resistance. Buyers previously stepped in around $194–196, creating a well-respected demand zone; price rallied with conviction from this level in the past, making it a strong base where buyers are likely to be active again.
Price Action Within Marked Region:
Price recently exited the upper consolidation range and is now moving impulsively lower toward the marked demand zone around $194–196. The rejection from supply was swift, and candles within the marked area show sustained bearish momentum with minimal bullish interruption. There is a clear lack of buying interest mid-structure, implying that price may continue descending into the demand zone.
Current Trade Bias & Outlook:
The bias remains bearish, with price likely to test the $194–196 demand area. Expect a potential short-term bounce once that zone is tagged. However, if buyers fail to hold this level, further downside toward $172–174 becomes plausible. An invalidation of this bearish outlook would occur if price reclaims and holds above $208, breaking the recent lower high.
Momentum & Candlestick Behavior:
Momentum favors sellers—price is printing strong bearish candles with minimal wicks, indicating conviction. No significant reversal patterns (like bullish engulfing or hammer candles) are visible yet, which supports continuation lower in the short term.
End of correction or a drop?In the long-term trend of Apple stock, we all know it's clearly bullish. However, it has been going through a correction for a while now, and signs are starting to suggest that the correction may be ending. Once a trigger is confirmed, we can consider trading this stock and going for a buy.
APPLE: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Looking at the chart of APPLE right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AAPL EARNINGSAAPL is consolidating just below the post-EPS resistance zone near 219, while institutions are actively defending support around 210. There's visible absorption at 210 and 205, aligning with high PUT interest, suggesting a strong institutional floor.
Distribution is evident in the 220–225 area, where CALLs are being sold to cap upside and benefit from theta decay.
Upside target: 230 if price breaks above 225 with volume.
Downside target: 200–195 if 210 fails to hold.
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Apple battles resistance area – Can Earnings Turn It Around?Shares in Apple Inc. (symbol ‘AAPL’) gained back a large percentage of the losses incurred at the beginning of the second quarter. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending June 2025 is set to be released on Thursday, 31st of July, after market close. The consensus EPS is $1,42 compared to $1,40 of the same quarter last year.
2025 is a hard year for the company so far since it lost more than 17% of its share value. The recent minor bullish rally might give some hope for a positive overall result at the end of the year, but the price needs to rise above $260 to be considered a positive year, and the company is still far from this number. Also, the financial image of the company is not looking great with the current ratio at 0.82 as of 31 March 2025. This means that the company is not liquid enough to cover the short-term liabilities with the current assets at hand. The payout ratio (percentage of the total earnings of the company paid out as dividends) is at 15,74% indicating that the company is looking forward to keeping most of its earnings for economic growth/strength, which is a good sign for the overall performance of the company.
On the technical side, the price is testing the resistance area between the upper band of the Bollinger bands and the 50% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. The level of $212 is also an inside resistance area of price reaction in early May and early July, making it a strong technical resistance level. The Bollinger bands are quite expande,d showing that there is volatility to support big moves. The Stochastic oscillator is near the extreme overbought level, but it's not in there just yet. On the other hand, the moving averages are still validating an overall bearish trend in the market.
AAPL’s Pennant Breakout: Is $214.5 the Final Hurdle?Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been moving sideways since May, stuck in a tight trading range. It’s been following a classic rectangle pattern — showing that the market hasn’t quite made up its mind.
Today, AAPL finally broke out of a pennant pattern, giving traders a reason to look up. But the real test is still ahead: the stock is once again bumping into the $214.5 resistance level — the same spot where recent rallies have lost steam.
Apple’s P/E ratio is sitting at 33.2, which feels a bit stretched. That could explain why some investors are hesitating, waiting for stronger earnings or a new catalyst to justify higher prices.
If Apple can break above $214.5 with strong volume, it might kick off a new leg higher. Until then, the stock could keep drifting in this range. The breakout is promising — but not convincing just yet.
(Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always do your own research)