Apple Report Drives Bearish Sentiment for AAPL StockApple Report Drives Bearish Sentiment for AAPL Stock
Apple, the largest U.S. market-cap company, released its Q3 earnings report on October 31:
→ Earnings per share (EPS): Actual = $0.97, Expected = $1.60
→ Gross revenue: Actual = $94.9 billion, Expected = $94.5 billion
The nearly 40% miss on EPS likely disappointed investors, contributing to bearish pressure. As seen in AAPL’s chart, prices dropped below $220 — a level last seen in early September.
Could the decline deepen? Today’s technical analysis of AAPL presents a few arguments for a bearish outlook:
→ In 2023-2024, the stock moved within a broad range between $167 and $200. When the bullish breakout of this range occurred in June 2024, $233 became a potential target, showing signs of resistance. The resistance around $233 is also reinforced by the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel (in blue).
→ Trendline slopes have been gradually flattening (in purple), a sign of waning buying momentum.
This weakening demand near $233 may lead to further bearish attempts to push AAPL below $220 toward the median of its long-term rising channel.
Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 23 of 34 analysts recommend buying AAPL;
→ The average 12-month price target is $245.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
1AAPL trade ideas
AAPL's Next Move: Bearish Momentum or Potential Reversal? Nov. 6Current Trend & Price Action
From the hourly chart, AAPL shows a downtrend, indicated by a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. The stock is consolidating near the lower boundary, hinting at possible support around $220, a level that could act as a pivot for either a reversal or further downside.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $223.85, marked by recent highs.
Key Resistance Zone: $234 - $236. Breaking above this zone could suggest bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: $220, a crucial psychological and technical level.
Critical Support Zone: $218 - $219. A break below this area could accelerate selling pressure.
Indicators
Moving Averages (15 EMA and 161 EMA): AAPL remains below both EMAs, signaling bearish sentiment. The EMAs serve as dynamic resistance, with the stock attempting but failing to close above them recently.
MACD: Shows potential for a bullish crossover but remains in bearish territory. Watch for a crossover confirmation, which could indicate a short-term bounce if volume supports it.
Trading Strategy & Entry/Exit Points
Bounce Play: If AAPL holds above $220, a possible entry for a short-term reversal play could be considered. Look for entries near $220 with a target around $223.85 and a stop below $218.
Breakdown Play: If AAPL falls below $220 with strong volume, consider a short position targeting $218 and lower levels if momentum persists.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
What If Smart Money Shifts from Traditional Companies to Crypto?This idea explores the potential scenario where smart money moves from traditional top 100 Nasdaq companies to the crypto space. As Nasdaq reaches its peak and becomes less attractive, blockchain companies offer more reasonable valuations, and the crypto market continues to open up, providing new opportunities. This shift could drive substantial growth in the blockchain and crypto sectors as traditional finance investors look for higher returns in emerging technologies.
Is This the Final Chapter in Buffett's Tech Journey?Warren Buffett’s once unshakeable partnership with Apple seems to be reaching a critical juncture, leaving market watchers with more questions than answers. For years, Buffett and his Berkshire Hathaway embraced Apple, with Buffett even calling it “the greatest trade of all time.” Yet, with Berkshire’s recent decision to reduce its stake by a staggering 67%, the dynamic is shifting. While initial statements attributed the sales to tax planning, the sheer scale hints at a deeper strategy. This raises the question: is this a calculated portfolio rebalancing or the beginning of a more profound shift in Buffett’s investment philosophy?
The timing of these sales isn’t random. Apple now faces several hurdles, from slower growth projections in a competitive smartphone market to increasing regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe. The conglomerate’s move coincides with Apple's potential weaknesses, suggesting Berkshire is not immune to the broader industry concerns, such as competition in China and challenges in artificial intelligence—a field where Apple appears to be lagging.
Interestingly, some experts speculate that the recent passing of Charlie Munger may have influenced Buffett’s decision. Munger, who historically favored Apple, played a pivotal role in Berkshire’s tech investments, balancing Buffett’s more cautious stance on technology. Now, Berkshire’s shift could signal a strategic return to its foundational values, preferring stability over tech’s unpredictable currents.
As Berkshire Hathaway maneuvers through these adjustments, Apple remains its largest equity holding, hinting that Buffett hasn’t fully turned his back on the tech giant. But with record cash reserves and a keen eye on emerging opportunities, the next steps Berkshire takes could redefine not just its portfolio but perhaps even broader investment trends in the years to come.
Apple Inc (AAPL)Calls above 223.39
Puts below 221.78
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals.
The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal from either side. This strategy is based on price action and the volume of a candle upon breakout.
APPLE Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 222.92
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 229.43
My Stop Loss - 219.19
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL Buffet Trims at potential ToppingAs AAPL gets sold by Buffet we can consider the next potential paths as we know trimming to balance a portfolio, one should trim the highest possibility of reversals and keep those with more growth potential.
HP as a higher probability space, considers that we will sideways chop for a while as price discovery recovers from this selloff.
LP as a lower probability path in which a larger market gamma reversing event occurs.
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
APPLE
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry Level - 222.92
Sl - 219.02
Tp - 229.74
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Apple(AAPL): Down 7% – Is This the Opportunity We’ve Waited For?Apple’s stock has experienced a 7% decline over the past 10 days. What’s behind this drop? The fall came despite Apple slightly beating analysts’ expectations for the September quarter, driven mainly by a rebound in iPhone sales. During the fourth-quarter earnings call, CEO Tim Cook discussed positive developments in China but declined to speculate on economic stimulus impacts, noting stable year-over-year performance, partially aided by favorable foreign exchange rates.
From a technical analysis perspective, everything is lining up perfectly. Our limit order remains unchanged. The formation of an exact double top points to the possibility of a flat pattern, which typically leads to a double bottom. This anticipated double bottom would align with the volume profile’s range high, offering additional support to key Fibonacci levels.
Our stop-loss placement is secure, positioned below the support zone and the Point of Control (POC). We’ve set a time horizon for the wave ((ii)) to complete, and we believe this setup could result in a promising swing long position heading into Q1 or Q2 of 2025. If the chart develops as we hope, there may even be an opportunity to open a short position to hedge our long exposure. Until then, we’re prepared for another potential 12% drop, waiting patiently to execute our plan.
AAPL Technical Analysis for Nov. 1, 2024Technical Overview:
Current Price Level: AAPL is trading around $221.71 after a significant bearish move, putting it near key support zones.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The nearest support is around $220.00, a key psychological level that may attract buyers.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is found around $227.31, followed by a more substantial level at $231.50, which AAPL previously rejected.
Trend Analysis:
A strong downtrend is evident with a steep decline, indicated by both the price action and the EMA slopes.
AAPL is far below the recent trendline, suggesting strong bearish momentum unless buying interest returns near support.
MACD:
The MACD is deeply negative, with no immediate signs of a bullish crossover. However, a shift in momentum near the support zone may provide some relief.
Volume:
The increased volume on the recent bearish candles indicates that selling pressure dominated, but watch for a volume decline or reversal near the support level to signal a potential bounce.
Trading Strategy for Tomorrow:
Bullish Scenario: If AAPL can hold above $220.00 and shows bullish momentum on the hourly chart, it may attempt a recovery toward $227.31. Watch for an increase in buying volume to confirm this move.
Bearish Scenario: If AAPL breaks below $220.00, it may continue to decline, with a potential downside target at $215.00. Monitor the $227.31 level as a potential area to re-enter short positions if a reversal occurs near this resistance.
Entry and Exit Points:
Long Entry: Consider a long position if AAPL holds above $220.00 with strong buying support, aiming for $227.31. Set a stop loss around $218.
Short Entry: Consider shorting below $220.00 if bearish momentum continues, with a target of $215.00, and set a stop loss above $223.
Short Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Be careful with Apple !!!In my opinion, the shares of this company should be 13.4% lower than the current price, which means at $199 .
So, any correction in the shares of tech giants is an opportunity for investment entry....
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Mag 7 Supply Break & RetestBig move up for the mag 7 this morning, but has fallen off. However it is just now retesting a critical supply area and previous ATH. It's interesting to see this break and retest right before the rest of the mag 7 reports earnings.
Could go either way, but for now I expect a bounce and new ATH after.