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1ALB trade ideas

$ALB suggesting potential undervaluation.Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB) is a leading global producer of lithium, a critical component in electric vehicle (EV) batteries. The company's performance is closely tied to lithium market dynamics, which have experienced significant fluctuations recently. Technical Analysis: As of February 15, 2025, ALB's stock price stands at $81.21. The stock has faced a downward trend, with a 52-week price change of -30.95%. The 50-day moving average is $93.35, and the 200-day moving average is $98.91, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 30.29, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory. STOCKANALYSIS.COM Resistance levels are identified at $111.30, with support around $85.23. Fundamental Analysis: Albemarle's recent financial performance reflects challenges in the lithium market. In Q4 2024, the company reported a profit of $33.6 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of $617.7 million in the same period the previous year. However, adjusted results showed a loss of $1.09 per share, missing analyst expectations of a $0.70 loss. This underperformance is largely due to a substantial drop in lithium prices, leading to a $1.1 billion revenue decline in the Energy Storage division. In response to market conditions, Albemarle has implemented cost-cutting measures, including workforce reductions and the suspension of expansion projects, such as a key U.S. lithium refinery. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be $700-$800 million, approximately half of the previous year's budget. Analysts have adjusted their outlooks accordingly. UBS Group recently lowered its price target for ALB from $99.00 to $86.00, maintaining a 'Neutral' rating. Despite these challenges, the intrinsic value of ALB stock is estimated at $173.10 under a base case scenario, suggesting potential undervaluation. Investment Considerations: Given the provided trading parameters: Target Price: $92.75 Profit Potential: 14.2% Stop/Trailing Stop: $77.14 Potential Loss: 5% Profit/Loss Ratio: 2.8:1 These parameters indicate a favorable risk-reward ratio. However, investors should remain cautious due to the volatile lithium market and Albemarle's recent financial adjustments. Monitoring lithium price trends and Albemarle's strategic responses will be crucial in assessing the viability of this investment.
NYSE:ALB
by swingstocktraders
1
Brace for Impact? Critical support line being heldCould this be the final leg down, Wave 5 capitulation? I'm watching this closely, the only think holding is up now is a long term trendline. The chart is very nice, a massive 5 wave supercycle which has peaked. We have been in a long bear market and there is no clear catalyst to suggest that a recovery is on the horizon. Lithium prices have tanked and ALB is sitting on a lot of supply due to overproduction. The Chinese demand for lithium is strong but North America and Europe remain weak. If we fall out of this wedge pattern and lose the current price, we could easily tumble down to $71 to retest support. If we do get down to that level I expect capitulation down to $63 which is the NPOC. Keeping an eye on this, i'm not shorting but also not buying.
NYSE:ALB
by NoFOMO_
Albemarle Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Albemarle Stock Quote - Double Formation * 146.00 USD | Completed Survey * 012345 | Wave Count Entry Bias | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * ((Pennant Structure)) | Downtrend Continuation | Subdivision 2 * Numbered Retracement | Short Set Up | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:ALBShort
by TradePolitics
3
ALB: Strong technical signals suggest upward momentum aheadALB is showing signs of an upward shift, holding above the 200-day moving average, breaking a long-term trendline, and forming a reversal pattern. The upside potential points to a range between 250 and 300, while the downside risk is estimated at 80 to 90. Last quarter, the stock rebounded from a low of 72, which aligns with a long-term trendline. If ALB stays above the 100 mark, the upward trend is likely to continue. Albemarle (ALB) shows promise due to increasing lithium demand driven by electric vehicles, cost-saving measures, and operational efficiency improvements. However, challenges include softer lithium prices leading to reduced earnings raising concerns about short-term performance.
NYSE:ALBLong
by Quantific-Solutions
ALB & GPN's Reversal Breakout Could Spark Significant GainsAlbemarle Corporation NYSE:ALB ● On the monthly chart, the stock is bouncing back from a long-standing trendline support that has held firm over the years. ● The daily chart reveals the emergence of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern following a significant decline. ● With a recent breakout, the stock appears poised for a potential trend reversal. ● Traders should keep a close eye on this stock for potential buying opportunities. Global Payments NYSE:GPN ● The stock has formed a Double Bottom pattern after a brief period of consolidation. ● Recently, the price broke out from this formation and has been maintaining its position above the breakout point. ● The price movement suggests a short-term buying opportunity, as the resistance level is quite distant from the current price.
NYSE:ALBLong
by NaranjCapital
1
ALB - 5 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════ Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading opportunities based solely on the development of CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS 🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝 ══════════════════════════════ Hello Traders ✌ After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that: - it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment; - since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant; - the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts; For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart. Thank you all for your support 🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER "A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist" ═════════════════════════════ ⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠ Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk. ═════════════════════════════
NYSE:ALBLong
by TheArtOfCharting
ALB: Lithium to Fuel Decoring Earth & "Saving Energy" InflationA growth pattern through 2026. It may complete at any point and define a new pattern. Time will tell. If you do not want to decore the earth...do not buy stocks in material to fuel a beast when consumption is the not the least. Other stocks/companies..anything down the pipeline of great thinkers, we must not support companies reacting to the insights said...those first movers are blind to our issue or beholden to the beast.
NYSE:ALBShort
by awisecrackin
ALB heating back upAfter breaking down from a falling wedge, ALB undercut a long term support line and things looked precarious. Recent weeks have thrown a lifeline to the beleaguered shares with news of China's CATL cutting lithium production and now Rio Tinto's Arcadium takeover bid . The Rio Tinto bid could have gone another way, since the bid in ALB's stock late last week centered around speculation they could be the acquisition target. It wouldn't have been surprising to see shares slump this morning, but the rally is in tact. Featured here is the 4 hour chart, where we can see the price has broken through the 200 period moving average. Next up is a golden cross on the short term chart, and we're also looking for the daily chart to register an overbought reading to further validate the rally. Often times overbought signals a near term pullback, and that would be unsurprising. These cupping patterns can have violent breakthroughs or breakdowns as the price tries to penetrate to the upside. Be patient. It may take a few weeks for momentum to build, but taking a step back to the montly chart we can gauge the potential of the rally that could well be underway. The $120's gets us back to the range before things broke down recently, that area looks very likely, and for the more patient $140 would take us back to the highs of 2017.
NYSE:ALBLong
by quickshiftinn
6
ALB - Dip formation might be in play Lithium prices fell more than 85% from their 2022 peak back to 2021 levels. There are still concerns about supply / demand issues. Slowing signals from EV sales might have worsened the outlook. But In 2025, the global demand for lithium is expected to surpass 1.4 million metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, a growth of 53 percent in comparison to 2023. And by 2030 3.1 million metric tons. (Statista) Recently low prices pressured margins and Chinese CATL announced production cut equivalent to 8% of Chinese production. This might be a signal that we are close to low of business cycle. Albemarle's name also recently came up in news with Rio Tinto's plans of acquiring a major lithium producer.
NYSE:ALBLong
by murat_cal