Is COIN ready to test 2022 lows?COIN recently had a nice oversold bounce and is now consolidating around the BigRed level, which is acting as a magnet line. After a few weeks of strength, it is now showing signs of weakness as it breaks below the BigRed level again and closes the day below it, which is bearish. Additionally, it has broken down from a symmetrical triangle, which is also bearish.
The volume is currently neutral but slightly more bullish than bearish.
COIN is currently trading below its 8, 20, and 200-day moving averages, which is bearish.
The RSI is ticking down but still remains in neutral territory.
The MACD is also ticking lower, but both the MACD and signal lines are currently above the zero line, which is more bullish than bearish.
Overall: COIN seems to have lost its upward momentum, which it had gained from the bounce off the lows. It needs to move away from the BigRed level, which is currently acting as a significant resistance zone. The $60 level is also a crucial area of resistance, where a lot of volumes were observed in 2022. Without any significant positive news and with bad reports, it will be difficult for COIN to break above that level and stay above it. With the Friday close below the symmetrical triangle and the BigRed level, there is a significant chance that the price will continue to fall towards the 50-day MA or the $50 area and may even retest the lows from 2022. However, before it can reach those levels, it first needs to cross through a crucial round number like $50 and the 50-day MA.
For the bulls, the price needs to move above the BigRed level as soon as possible and close the day above the 20-day MA (green line) to even consider testing the $90 level again.
1COIN trade ideas
$GME - I was wrong... I was wrong. The run isn't over... I got faked out by the data in my last post/s. GME and the memes are going to pump more...
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As you see it had reversed last week indicating we would flip to bearish this week. Then yesterday it re-flipped to bullish. I've honestly only seen this happen in June 2022 and i dont't understand what it means. All i know at this point is that the trend is your friend.
Also as you see here, it had fizzled out but then with yesterday's data it broke out. Yes it's a bloody breakout...
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So yeah, i was wrong. Better get in. Also the rest of the market has also flipped to full on bear with no signs of slowing. I think this is the bull market even though it doesn't make any sense.
TLDR: There's MORE up for GME & the memes.
COIN earnings todayCOIN Q4 December 2022 earnings are today 2/21 at 4:10pm. Coinbase Global Inc Cl A (COIN) reported Q3 September 2022 loss of $2.43 per share on revenue of $590.3 million. The consensus estimate was a loss of $2.23 per share on revenue of $642.8 million. Revenue fell 55% compared to the same quarter a year ago. Here's a COIN 1-day chart with a BTC/USD split view below since their price action is correlated together. COIN is trading at a delta equilibrium right near its pivot level today going into its earnings announcement post market. Since this can go either way after earnings, here's COIN TTCATR levels and 2/24, 3/17 & 4/21 expiry options data. The only thing that stands out is the 4/21 expiry options data is extremely bearish or heavy put hedging.
Q4 January 2023 Consensus:
EPS = (-$2.39)
Revenue = $586M
TTCATR SMA20:
Top = 101
R4 = 94
R3 = 86
R2 = 79
R1 = 71
pivot = 63
S1 = 55
S2 = 48
S3 = 40
S4 = 33
Bottom = 25
2/24 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 20,795
Call Volume Total 32,341
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.64
Put Open Interest Total 61,350
Call Open Interest Total 50,887
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.21
3/17 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 5,247
Call Volume Total 6,597
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.80
Put Open Interest Total 105,856
Call Open Interest Total 87,486
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.21
4/21 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 3,377
Call Volume Total 3,495
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.97
Put Open Interest Total 30,776
Call Open Interest Total 12,262
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.51
COIN daily idea, with mapped out levels and trendlines.COIN
Nice hold and bounce off that 61.5 spot which was my previous breakout area mapped out in the last idea. Things to note we have another weekly candle close above the 9&21emas although the moving averages have not crossed yet. We are technically still bearish but setting up for a for big move. Earnings coming out next week I will be watching for that 61 area to hold if not we have a trendline spot to watch for a potential bounce or break down.
COIN - Next moveAfter predicting the last top for coinbase around $80 then projecting the retracement would lead us to around $52 (0.618) within $1 of actual. We can now make a new projection for coinbase's price. After the temporary bottom around $52 we pushed back up to retest our 0.236 (red arrow/circle) as new resistance. This is in accordance to BTC retesting the $25,300 level and double topping. After testing our 0.236, coinbase immediately pushed back down to the 0.382.
Since Coinbase is following btc so closely we can project the 2 scenarios. The more likely one should be down. This would be in accordance to my previous post about BTC and btc breaching $20k again. This would theoretically put coinbase back around $40 which is close to our 0.786 of our trend and our 1.618 ($41) of our micro trend.
If BTC reverses trend and closes candles above $25,400, the Coinbase should start closing above our 0.236 which would give us the indication we are about to break our micro high around $89. If this move occurred then BTC should be back in the $28-30k zone and COIN should be in the $120ish range.
COIN: Cup and Handle watch for breakoutCOIN :Cup and Handle watch for breakout on 65m. Continued strength in sector in tandem with macro policies. Volume will be needed to confirm continuation on upside and acceptance at higher price shelf// KL: >70.47: 72.06, 73.25, 75.95, 83.02// <70.47: 68.80, 65.70 <63.00 invalidates this pattern // ATR: 6.80, Vol: 12.27%// Bias: Neutral-Risk on for intraday/short term; Risk on for long term//PT 83.02 on 65m// Price at time of publish: 70.88
💾 Coinbase | Looking At The Current Correction, Is It Over?Coinbase (COIN) remains really strong but the correction is significant, a 39% drop in 10 days.
The drop stopped right above EMA50 also matching the 0.618 Fib. retracement (golden ratio) level of the bullish wave that lasted exactly one month from 6-Jan. to 6-Feb.
If the market is set to move higher as we strongly believe will happen, this should be the end of the correction.
Not just the size but also the speed, fast drop, matches perfectly the type of market action we are having.
After a strong bullish wave that is set to continue, this is the exact type of correction that one would expect.
We have confirmation from other charts... TSLA just published.
Expect 168 next and 52 as the main strong support if the bulls fail.
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Namaste.
Anyone Can Play GuitarDestiny
Destiny, protect me from the world
Destiny
Hold my hand, protect me from the world
Here we are with our running and confusion
And I don't see no confusion anywhere
And if the world does turn, and if London burns
I'll be standing on the beach with my guitar
I want to be in a band when I get to heaven
Anyone can play guitar and they won't be a nothing anymore
Grow, my hair
Grow, my hair, I am Jim Morrison
Grow, my hair
I wanna be, wanna be, wanna be Jim Morrison
Here we are with our running and confusion
And I don't see no confusion anywhere
And if the world does turn and if London burns
I'll be standing on the beach with my guitar
I want to be in a band when I get to heaven
And anyone can play guitar and they won't be a nothing anymore
--------------------
post-layoff value buy with macro crypto reversal
COIN 21023In a range, top to bottom is likely. Unsure if that even holds longer term. On the monthly it still remains in a lower high and lower low.
I do not have a bullish argument as of now. I do not understand why anyone would want to own Coinbase stock but mayve I'm missing something. Just buy Bitcoin, Ether, Matic, or something else entirely like LMT growth stock
I'd like to see the trend reverse for any long term hold buys which all of my stonks are
#coinbase a little to much, a little too fast I think the chart speaks for itself, but this looks like a short squeeze and a bit of an exhaustion (shorts taken to the cleaners).
If the history of this chart is anything to go by, i would expect a reversion to the mean so i'll be looking to short this 80 level for a pullback into the mid 60's
COIN price is liely headed to weekly resistanceThe price will attempt the weekly resistance zone in coming days. I think there will be a pullback on this test and price will fall back to the weekly support marked in green. However, hitting that support will be a bounce which will pave the way to break the weekly resistance.
However, lets stick to the first step of price reaching the weekly resistance. We will update our idea once the price reaches that level and let us observe the price action there.
Has Coinbase topped out?Today something very interesting has started forming on the Coinbase chart. We have created a double top on our 4H RSI as well as created a higher high in price. This means a bearish divergence has formed that could send price back down. This also coincides with BTC being at a critical zone. It is possible BTC has also topped out short term around $24,300 or could have one more rally to the $24,800-25,400 region before topping out. Coinbase should follow suit to whatever BTC decides to do here.
If we do get a drop what should we expect?
We would want to turn old resistance into new support. This would be most powerful if we retested our downwards sloping trendline. We clearly see the moment price broke this trendline (labeled "breakout") and depending on how long it would take us to retest this level it would bring us to the 0.618 (~$52) or 0.786 (~$43).