CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $135 strike price Puts with
2022-12-16 expiration date for about
$6.65 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
1CRWD trade ideas
My trade recap on $CRWD$CRWD
I had the stock on my watch list and it was my preferred stock to trade today, the idea was to take the stock as soon as it reached the support level created in the pre-market all the way to the support level I identified at $111.2 After my entry I saw that I can aggressively add volume if the stock breaks $113 because a small level has formed there (see the red line) and in addition, CRWD is very weak today.
Entry - $113.99
Add - $113.11
Stop - $115.4
Take profit - $111.21
My best trade this month, first of all, was because of the management of the trade and the way I thought during the trade together with the risk management and the timing of my exit point, and of course because of the money I was able to take from this trade.
Rectangle/Head & Shoulders/MegaphoneThe megaphone pattern is a broadening pattern that is difficult to trade shorter term.
The head and shoulders pattern is inside this broadening pattern. A break of the neckline with a downtrend validates tis pattern. Until then it is strong support.
A break of the Rectangle support line with a downtrend validates the Rectangle pattern.
Long term, I think this is a SHORT! But it may not be an easy short to hang with.
I was not invited to the party with James Taylor playing at the Whitehouse to celebrate the Inflation Reduction bill. It does not seem like a bill full of government spending will successful in the long run, but Joe and Nancy say we have to be patient and give this bill some time )o:
I see a long term short that will may be a quite bouncy on the way down.
No recommendation/Possibly not a short for the feint of heart but if you are good at hanging, this may be one for you (o"
ES 165.90 with a downtrend. There are two patterns here that can have targets, the rectangle would need to break first, then the H&S pattern. I will skip the megaphone because there is no way I can know what it will do.
Smart money are leaving their footprints The analysis done in this video is showing signs of a major bottom in crowdstrike due to the extremely high and rare level of volume. These have previously marked major turning points in the stock. This is very interesting because another cyber stock (palantir) is showing a major breakout is not more than a week away. That post is linked below.
Both these setups are saying that a major rally could be possible in cyber stocks over the next month which also means a major cyber attack catalyst is right around the corner
CRWD | Good Entry Point | Swing TradeCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. The company primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules through its direct sales team that leverages its network of channel partners. It serves customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Long Crowdstrike, good fundamentalsCyber Security jobs are increasing 18% over next 10 years. Big companies are using Crowdstrike. These days cyber security is not an option, a company will be hacked and it's only a question of when, and how bad it will be.
Technicals, we see a B wave retracement. Analyses are calling for a high 100s to high 200s as good value. I'm seeing a C wave up to 390, maybe June 2024. Don't rely on that.
Last summer good value was $250, and we're now at half that price. Insiders bailed at ATH. This is a good mid term length investment. I would especially look out for when insiders start buying back in. It's a growing Pie and an undervalued Pie. If anything I would only worry that too many people know it's a good value and the price will inflate too far later on.
Main Expected Path & Alt PathMapped out the most likely (solid green) and 2nd most likely (dashed black) trajectories:
Most likely:
174 by 10/19/2022
152 by 10/21
204 by 10/31
184 by 11/3
216 by 11/9/2022
2nd most likely/alt. (would take longer to play out than main path, see dates on chart):
195
162
247
215
267
Crowd is Trending HigherSince May 2022 when $CRWD hit it's lows, it has continued with a bullish higher trend month after month. This strong company with lower debt than market cap some insider ownership is in a nice uptrend. It appears that it will test the 20 EMA at $173.04, the next target of $177.54 and hopefully, we can see the $188.41 with this trend. Trade and invest well. Do your own due diligence. This is my own opinion.
$CRWD huge top formation & rising bear channelText book technical analysis breakdown illustrated.
$CRWD formed both a huge head and shoulders followed by a bear channel.
Channel broke down, had retest of uptrend which also failed.
Excellent example of large top formation requiring tons of
patience to form.
Rising Bear Channel Breakdown $CRWDPerfect rising bear channel.
As you can see since the channel began forming June 7, 2022 $CRWD rallied to top of channel, price action then returned it to support line of $148 it then rallied again towards top of channel, only to be rejected back support line. Next subsequent rally only took it to upper 1/3rd of channel, not all the way to top of channel, that was the first sign of weakness. Each subsequent rally or bounce only took price back to middle of channel (dashed line), until finally price action could not even get off support line until it finally broke down, today 8.31.22.
Further downside for CrowdStrike? CrowdStrike
Short Term
We look to Sell at 189.88 (stop at 203.91)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Buying continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 199.22. Posted a Double Top formation. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Our outlook is bearish.
Our profit targets will be 130.20 and 120.15
Resistance: 200.00 / 240.00 / 288.00
Support: 169.00 / 153.00 / 130.00
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$CRWD H&S Bear Pennant BreakdownHi! $CRWD displays a fantastic symmetrical H&S top formation. This is accompanied by a bear pennant formation forming at the neck line breakdown area of $169. The entire formation is bearish. Nothing about this stock appears friendly. PE is 167 and trading at 43X price to book, (which is very expensive).