LUMN a fifty year Wall Street Cheat Sheet The only cycle that matters is the Wall Street Cheat Sheet
Forget sector rotation
You’re about to see supposedly ded stonks arise like the phoenix
Industry 4 and web 3 requires infrastructure
I’d rather bet on edge computing than centralised cloud
Upside here is tremendous
Downside limited imo
My fav murican stonk rn
Big tech is dying you have to think ahead
GRI 2023
1CYTH trade ideas
LUMN Protective Options StrategyLouisiana-based Lumen Technologies Inc (Quantum Fiber and CenturyLink) is one of the largest communications companies internationally. Its business segment offers cloud, IT, co-location, data and content delivery, IP, VPN, security, and other computer application services. Lumen also provides fiber optic infrastructure, data hosting and Ethernet as well as broadband, voice and private line or direct circuit services. At the end of 2021, the company had ~4.5 million broadband subscribers.
With major stocks gaining momentum during earnings week and some optimism over next week's Fed announcement, maybe it's time to look at the technology sector again and an telecommunications/internet service provider may prove more stable than semiconductors. Technically minded investors might also see a double bottom and consolidation into a falling wedge, though that last candle might cause some hesitation.
Here's a hedged options strategy that could make a fixed 8% yield (21% annualized) unless LUMN falls more than 23% to below $4.02. Further downside protection: LUMN can fall up to 27% (to below $3.81) as of 6/16/23 before you lose any of your investment.
Buy 1 $3 put
Sell 2 $4 puts
Exp 6/16/23
Capital Requirement: $464
LUMN longLumen Technologies Inc. provides digital solutions for home and business premises. The Company offers communications, network security, cloud solutions, voice, and etc. The stock plunged on its dividend cut and it is time to buy. In my opinion, It can be traded at $7 and more again in the next short period of time.
My trade levels
Entry: $5.87
Take profit: $7.15
Stop loss: $5.66
Risk/reward: 6.1
LUMN | Good Entry Point | 30 Year LowsLumen Technologies, Inc., a facilities-based technology and communications company, provides various integrated products and services under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink brands to business and residential customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers compute and application services, such as cloud services, IT solutions, unified communication and collaboration solutions, colocation and data center services, content delivery services, and managed security services; and IP and data services, including VPN data network, Ethernet, internet protocol (IP), and voice over internet protocol. The company also provides fiber infrastructure services comprising high bandwidth optical wavelength networks; and unlit optical fiber and related professional services. In addition, it offers voice and other services, including private line services, a direct circuit or channel specifically dedicated for connecting two or more organizational sites; a portfolio of traditional time division multiplexing voice services; and synchronous optical network-based Ethernet, legacy data hosting services, and conferencing services. As of December 31, 2021, the company served approximately 4.5 million broadband subscribers. The company was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. and changed its name to Lumen Technologies, Inc. in September 2020. Lumen Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana.
LUMN, a post pandemic sleeperPros:
+ Quick ratio >1
+ 3 quarters of consecutive positive earnings
+ Divestiture of legacy products (copper)
+ Still below pre-pandemic highs, while the company is in a debatably better position
Cons:
- High debt to equity
- Not tech
- I'm retarded
Black Swans:
> If they drop their dividend in 2022, it could present a supreme buying opportunity, as shares are dumped but it frees up over $1 billion/year in outflows.
My target price: 18.00 EoY
Other:
+ Morningstar quant. analysis gives it 5 stars (as of today)
LUMN Weekly TA w/ Fib LevelsLUMN +ERs (11/4) gave this a boost over W200 and Yearly R1 (YR1) resistance levels. Bulls want to see those levels become support as it approaches a weekly golden cross attempt.
W50 @ $12.61 for S1
Yearly Pivot @ $11.11 for S2.
$17.33 for .786 Fib.
Please feel free to leave comments and let me know what you think.
Thanks and GL to All!
Lumen technologies to Continue Its Growth. LUMNUpgoing zigzag by the looks of it. Final leg to take two months give or take with some comparatively sizeable gains potentially.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
LUMN SWING BULLISHI like this stock because they pay a decent dividend and its fairly valued. This is in my long-term holdings but feel free to take it as swing to the upside as the vwap has crossed the 10ema. Reverse Target 2 and Target One(I placed them in opposite of what they were suppose to be)
Lumen Tech Joins The Pending Selloff?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 3, 2021 with a closing price of 12.12.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 12.01 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.302% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.85% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 7.819% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).