Short Oppertunity Deer and CO (Short term)Fundamentals
- Earnings decreased.
- Outlook is negative.
- 243 is based on earnings. Thats exactly (Book + Cash) / EPS = 10.
if you do the math the price would be 306 target when the next earnings outlook will be negative.
Technical/ entry strategy
- There is no real technical motive but. There is a 2 Y Low which has been tested.
Broke but rebounded.
I would wait for the entry of the position when
the 10 MA is met and bounced off and broke under the 340 levels.
1DE trade ideas
DE - How I am preparing a trade for pre-earningsHere's my DE analysis - DE is in a huge HTF tapering algorithm building loads of liquidity for an eventual breakout.
We want to enter at the right time and limit our risk to the downside - so that is why we are watching for confirmation of HTF sell-side tapering and looking to break out of/disrespect our stronger LTF selling channels.
Happy Trading :)
DE - How I find confirmation for large moves like this oneI've been watching and trading Deere for a few months now and once you understand the algorithms, you can start to framework safe and profitable trades out of it.
There will be more opportunities to play this prior to earnings to keep it on your watchlist!
Happy Trading :)
Deere & Company LONG --> TP 450 USD (BUY & HOLD < 12 Months)Deere & Company is undervalued at present. There is potential for long-term momentum with a TP at 450 USD or beyond. This could play out within a period of up to 12 months, while there is evidence that it might hit TP until end of this year.
John Deere Restructuring: Layoffs in US, Production Shift to MexJohn Deere to lay off 600 workers in Illinois and Iowa as manufacturing of specific equipment moves to Mexico by 2026. Lower crop prices and declining demand are driving the restructuring, impacting Deere's financials (Q2 net income down from prior year). The company is creating new jobs with a new warehouse in Indiana.
Key points for traders:
Short-term pain: Layoffs negatively impact affected communities.
Long-term strategy: Move aims to reduce costs and improve efficiency.
Future outlook: John Deere's ability to innovate will be crucial in a changing market.
This event may be relevant to investors in manufacturing, agriculture, and John Deere (DE) stock.
DE - Ground up multi-time frame analysisHere we'll build the chart together from the weekly down and see how we can start tot ell the story of the chart and see the patterns. This gives us a good forecast and understanding of why price is where it is and where we can see it going.
Hope this was helpful as it's more of a tutorial style video for those watching and looking to better understand.
Happy Trading :)
DE: bullish flag pattern at play?A price action above 404.00 supports a bullish trend direction.
Increase long exposure for a break above 412.00.
The target price is set at 419.00.
The stop-loss price is set at 399.00.
Remains above its 200-day simple moving average.
A bullish crossover on the MACD (see the lower panel) support a change in trend direction.
Beautiful $ Breakout in DE Tradeable Even On Short TimeframesThis entry is to document my learning and observation and also implementing the $ breakout method of finding potential trades.
DE has a strong move up and then went into a sideways consolidation with very small ranges. This behaviour offers exceptional potential to anticipate another leg higher which happened on morning of 27/3.
The opening 5 min candle on 27/3 is the breakout candle and it was the ideal time to go long. The low of the day was the risk for the trade and will look to exit the trade in 4 days time
Trade Reviews -My recent positions - Entry/Exits + AnalysisThis is a run through of the predominantly swing trades i've taken in the past few weeks and mostly today.
These are all based off of my analysis (I try and post as many videos as I can to prepare you all to take these trades) but obviously I'm limited.
This may be helpful to anyone who's been watching my videos to get a better feel for what I look for in a trade entry and how I prepare an entry and exit (and of course, tight stop-loss). The best part about how I trade is the ability to take really tight stop losses - I'll know very quickly if an algorithm isn't activating and can swiftly exit the trade for minimal loss - and as you'll see, because of that, my pre-trade R:R are excellent.
Win Big, Lose Small!
Happy Trading :)
(Let me know if this was helpful and I'd be happy to do this type of video more often)
DE - Interesting long opportunity after strong support foundWe found strong support on our yellow buying continuation and we are now looking to activate a stronger buying continuation such as teal or purple to continue this move upward. We broke out of our stronger controlled selling algorithms (blue and orange) and are now finding resistance at tapered white controlled selling. Once we build a little more liquidity I definitely expect a strong breakout of this algo.
Stay tuned!
Happy Trading :)
DE Long PlayDeere is in an ascending wedge pattern. currently priced on support trend line. long bottom wick on the weekly candle for last week showing buyers and confirmation of support trend line. Trade to 1 point below supply line at 435 with stop loss at 1 point below weekly candle wick from last week.
DE - be aware of this long term trendNYSE:DE is one of my larger positions and a company that I plan to hold in my portfolio for a long time. We are late into the overall economic business cycle and DE has guided lower on future earnings.
Looking at a log view of DE from its 1968 IPO we can see a familiar trend. DE breaks out to a new high, climbing between 75-150% in the span of 2-3 years. Within 3-4 years of the breakout, price falls rapidly and back to its starting point, consolidates for 2-3 years, and then continues to a new high. This seems to happen late in the business cycle, close to recessions. We are currently in the longest expansion period for DE. This has happened 6 times in DE's history.
Zooming out again, we can take a look a the VWAP anchored to DE's initial listing.
DE revisited this AVWAP a number of times leading up to 1993. The last time that it was tested was during the 2009 recession. Anchoring a new VWAP onto the 2009 retest, and then anchoring additional the last times that those are tested starts to give a sense for some worst case scenarios for critical support.
Using a series of Fibonacci retraces and extensions throughout the time series identifies some key support and resistance areas among the most current price trend, as well as some very broad areas below. Note the visible range volume profile showing a very large air gap between 180 and 325.
We have fallen through the most recent AVWAP that has history with the AVWAP from IPO. The next is starting to drift into the support area below, with another entering the one in the 180-245 range.
Additionally, taking a measured range of the two most recent times that the detrend price oscillator peaked and fell below 0, accompanied by the price momentum oscillator rolling over gives us a projection for a scenario that could see price consolidate toward 320. Coincidentally, the measured range lines up with a Fibonacci time zone that has aligned to price pivots (including the most recent).
DE Deere & Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DE before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DE Deere & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 400usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-23,
for a premium of approximately $4.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Deere & Company (DE:NYSE)๐ Deere NYSE:DE : NYSE has broken above its resistance, now acting as support. Currently trading above the support and Trama indicator, last week signaled buyers and confirmed the support zone in the range of $380 - $386. The trade target is set below the resistance zone at $440. ๐๐ผ
#Deere #StockMarket #DE
DEParallel Channels help to, among other things:
- Define trends
- Identify key inflection points
- Identify potential buying and selling levels
Deere & Co (DE, $396.82) has been trading at the same level it did in March 2021 and in the short to medium term, has been in a downward trending channel since July 2023.
In recent sessions, the share has broken out of this channel, reflecting buying interest as well as the with the potential to continue it's bullish reversal.
While ultra short term pullbacks as possible, the potential upside target is previous highs near $435 to 447 while a stop-loss of $360 can be considered.