Travel amid lockdowns and long-term recovery I'll be looking for a long term buy from December. Currently we have a precarious situation.
1EXPE trade ideas
EXPE - 7.75% Potential Profit - Ascending TriangleWe traded EXPE a couple of weeks ago , and we made a decent 4% return.
Ascending Triangle broken out after a 3-month correction following a great bull run. Multiple support confirmation on the 5-min chart. Support manage to hold up quite well even during the recent meltdown. Indicators are obviously not on our side, since we are playing the bounce.
- 6-month Uptrend
- RSI + Stoch below 50 (!)
- MACD below Signal (!)
Target Entry $97.50
Target Stop Loss $96.95
Target Exit $104.98
About me
- August P/L: +203.83% | Wins 85.19% | No Trades without Analysis
- Note that I tend to adjust stop losses in order to secure profits early and preserve capital. This means that the target price is going to be achieved as long as there are no strong pullbacks that trigger my new adjusted stop loss.
EXPE: Ascending TriangleAscending Triangle, confirmed
Pros:
Descending Volume
PPS above 50MA and 200MA
R/R ratio above 17
RS ascending and above 0
250RSI close to 50
Cons:
200MA descending
ATR descending, less volatile
Price targets:
PT1=114,69
PT2=124,11
PT3=139,37
PT4=151,04
PT5=159,34
EXPE - 14.97% Potential Profit - Ascending TriangleAscending Triangle formed into an Uptrend Corridor and new support confirmed multiple times on the 5-min chart on 25th Aug.
About the entry, you have two options. Chasing the price entering with a Buy Stop order or waiting for a better entry with a Buy Limit. It comes down to your appetite for risk and current trade situation - I will most likely go ahead with a safer Limit order.
Note that the success of this trade highly depends on COVID19-related news, and to AZN's vaccine development.
Target price set at resistance line bounce.
- Historical Uptrend
- RSI and STOCH above 50
- MACD above Signal
Suggested Entry $96.86 (Stop) or $95.72 (Limit)
Suggested Stop Loss $92.42
Target price $111.36
Note that I tend to adjust stop losses in order to secure profits early and preserve capital. This means that the target price is going to be achieved as long as there are no strong pullbacks that trigger my new adjusted stop loss.
EXPE TO $108-114EXPEDIA has major consolidation in the $108 to 114 area. I expect to get in this volume range and stay there till after the election or until we get news on COVID
$EXPE BreakoutLooking at some travel & leisure related names -MAR HLT BKNG CZR- and like the way this $EXPE chart looks. Have a 3 month consolidation in channel with a triangle forming at the end. Looking for us to hold $91 this week to fill the gap at $92 and potentially push higher. If we retest $90 or $90.50 and hold could be a great place to enter into 9/18 $95 calls. If we break below $90 it is likely our trend line will be retested which we will look to hold if we are to maintain pattern.
Another interesting thing here is the daily squeeze momentum pushing up, from red to white dots but not yet releasing. Potentially a setup for a release & multi-day run.
EXPE getting close to a potential turn lowerEntry: 94.75
Stop: 96.73
Safety Target: 90.63
Final Target: 83.91
BUY to EXPEDIA GROUP DailyHey traders, EXPEDIA GROUP is in a bullish continuation low sales volume she wants to turn around see TIMEFRAME 30 15 5 Min. Strong potential to reach the next higher which corresponds to half of the median and between there is an area with a significant resistance check the area of decision.
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EXPETop of consolidation range here. If breakout happens, has failed at 200 EMA multiple times, so a close above it would get me in.
$EXPE one more example of the distorted stock markets$EXPE Expedia is one more example of the distorted stock markets. In the last three months despite the negative EPS and Basic EPS at nearly -11, we saw almost 29% gain in the last three months just to tag a previous long-term consolidation rectangle. What are the expectations fundamentally of this stock buyers have you ever taught about that?
Expedia up 50% since Q1Expedia has risen up nearly 50% during Q2 in 2020. A market that many believed would be shocked by coronavirus shockwaves continues to thrive as traveller are looking to get away from high risk areas. Meeting some resistance levels now from previous highs, we may see a slight dip in price before next earnings rallies.
Correction of a medium-term growing trendEntry price - 77.46
Take Profit 1 - 74.52 +3.78%
Take Profit 2 - 69.92 +9.79%
Take Profit 3 - 67.47 +12.88%
Stop Loss - 80.82 -4.35%
Shorting ExpediaWith implied volatility at an all-time high, it seemed safer and more straight forward to short stocks instead of buying put options. I've been monitoring Expedia for abit and it seems like while there has been price retracements upwards the volume has been decreasing. The move up, in my opinion is driven by the stimulus measures.
The stimulus measures are targetted to halt/slowdown the economic fall out due to the virus and as such it is very domestic driven. Without a proper vaccination, countries will continue to limit and discourage foreign travel especially for holidays which are non-essential. Furthermore, with the economic uncertainty, people will be tightening their belts at least for 2020.
TLDR
- Dying volume limiting upside movement
- new RSI highs but price still below previous high
- Travel as a key at-risk industry
EXPE- UNCONVENTIAL ASCENDING TRIANGLEThis week I did something a little different & asked if anyone had any request for the weekly video. One of those requests was Expedia, which actually had a pretty decent technical setup on it. Ideally, I'd like to see this ascending Triangle setup come after a bullish move as it's normally a continuation pattern, but I've seen it work this way in the past too.
For anyone looking to trade it, I would just encourage that perhaps you exercise a little more caution because of what I mentioned above.
For a more detailed look at this setup you can check out my youtube video "Learn to trade - Predict, Wait, Then React" around the 22 minute mark.
Stay Safe!
Your Trading Coach - Akil
EXPE DAILY CONTINAUTIONSellers have broken previous trend line in a downtrend from a strong level of supply
