GME: Skeptical of zealous predictions that fail to materializePatience is the virtue most valuable to me in the world of trading. To me, patience means not only plan the trade, trade the plan, but more deeply, NO REGRETS. If I miss out, SO WHAT? It was not my pitch, and in the markets, THERE ARE ALWAYS OTHER OPPORTUNITIES, on a daily, if not hourly basis.
I have watched more "MOASS" predictions fail over the past few years than any of their respective authors would like to admit. Trader after trader steps up and says, ITS GONNA EXPLODE at this price, at this time, when this happens, or if that does not...but 99.9% of these predictions are nothing but filler and sensationalism. What I wonder...where is the sauce? Where is the technical tip off that indicates a high probability that the DESIRED or HALLUCINATED price action should take place? The answer is typically, it simply does not exist at the time of the publications.
For context and as to my business here, earlier this year, February/March, upon completion of my mentorship, I decided to make price predictions of GME my sort of Thesis, if you will, to see whether what I had learned about Elliot Wave, Fibonacci, and MACD strength indications had been a waste of time. Early March 2024, upon review of the EW pattern, I called for sustained downward pressure into early May. At the very end of April, about 8 weeks later, while doing my routine weekly charting, I noticed I had run out of wave magnitude. I checked my count and price levels against MACD, and lo and behold, we appeared to have struck a bottom. I made another post stating that we had arrived a little early but that the initial downside corrective had completed. Within 2-3 weeks, GME traded at $80/share. All I had done was apply what I had learned over the preceding year and exercise patience with price.
What I am posting to say here is, I SEE NO INDICATION THAT PRICE SHOULD EXPLODE UPWARD, AND SEE PLENTY OF REASON TO SAY THAT WE NEED MORE SIGNIFICANT DIVERGENCE ON THE BOTTOM END TO EVEN BEGIN TO ANTICIPATE ANY SUCH EXPLOSION. I will add, that all I believe the last run amounted to was part of a corrective, and do not believe it represents the beginning of anything, rather, perhaps, the very middle of this saga.
The tools I mentioned above are the basic trading tools and concepts I have used to make this statement. BUT primarily, of all the tools which I mentioned or which may be depicted in my chart, PATIENCE is the tool I value mostly. If you know what you are doing, and practice with the tools you profess to use to make a living, when it comes to bottoms (or tops for that matter) you will know them when you see them. PATIENCE is necessary in all applications of the tools I describe and ultimately, the most important tool any trader can possess. In that vein, the old saying goes, Discretion is the better part of valor (not courage, or stupidity, to run out on no man's land, pots a clanging with tent sticks falling out of your back pack, acting like you'll win the war in a moment).
Best,
Cuz
