US stock market crash. The coca cola example.I was thinking of investing in a farm (purely theorical), and farms are probably undervalued since:
- They are not shiny new high tech stuff, they are muddy and have this "poor" feeling surrounding them (XD)
- You have bad years and good years (and people are too dumb to hedge)
This would probably be the second best investment, second only to stocks of ACTUALLY VALUABLE AND PROFITABLE companies that got massively panic sold, way below their "real value".
If 40$ shares of Coca-Cola give you 0.15$ divendends quarterly, so 0.6$ yearly, that is a ROI of 1.5%, pretty crap. Bonds will pay more and 100% safe (student loans are actually as safe and pay even more I think lol, poor little US students, you fell for it, enjoy debt for life).
Now, since the investment is really bad, people get rid of it, people that bought low also sell, which is normal, and it corrects.
But it overcorrects, dumb money that want to get rich quick sells. The stock is down to 20$ a piece. Dividends are 22 cents that year.
Your ROI will be at 0.22*4 : 20 = 4.4%. It's quite decent. And a good value investor knows it would go up.
But when it gets really crazy is in 2009. Dividends were 38 cents the past year, ok so at the start of the years earnings were not that good,
which might have meants lower dividends. Us charyters knew better as the chart in the weekly showed bullish divergence.
Dividends are displayed when the stock is at 21$. Still even less than past year would be good.
You buy at 20$ based on charting as well as common sense. It is a big company worldwide it won't disappear overnight.
Guess what your ROI is that year? 1.64/20 = 8.2%
This is better than the S&P or pretty much anything. And it was so easy to buy it there.
Of course what happened next?
And now, the dividends are at 39 cents... Yearly 1.52/46.6$ share = 3.34% ROI...
I think us bonds are at 2.5% now? Coca cola break even with bonds if shares get priced 60$. If bonds don't go higher.
Not very interesting on an investment perspective.
It seems logical to think buying pressure will go down and the bull market will tip over, but the charts will probably let us know that in advance.
Probably it will go up with divergence on the monthly chart or something, and crash in 2019. There always are very clear warnings, impossible to miss.
If you look at the 80's, 10 year treasury rates were crazy high, above 10%, BUT dividends were insane...
HHHHHEYY coca cola paying 10% every 3 months!!!! And people panicked in 1987 when the price goes down are you kidding me? Literally 0.28 cent dividend on shares priced 2.80 dollars.
Hey I don't mind buying at the top here...
THIS IS UNBELIEVABLE. THE ROI IN 1988 WAS 40%. AND DHJSDHJSDHJSDHJSDSD IT STAYED IN ACCUMULATION FOR 10 MONTHS.CSXKSD?CSD?CSDCKSDLJCKSDLJCSDLJCSDLJ
HAHA WARREN BUFFET IS GOOD YOU SAY? HE SUCKS ASS, PEOPLE ARE JUST UTTERLY RETARDED. HE GOT LUCKY.
40% YEARLY ROI ARE YOU SERIOUS?
And people still FOMO... Even a disabled cockroach, the low of the low, the filth, had TEN MONTHS to figure out he had free money there.
It is like god is giving every one little wheels on their wheelchairs, and they still struggle.
Hey now people probably learned. Do not expect to get so easy opportunities. If they present themselves thought...
Oh wait it was 30 cents every 3 months and share cost 2.20$ that is 55% yearly ROI.
No wonder Warren is always laughing when strugglers ask him how he got rich and think it is so hard.
A fking monkey can become a billionaire...
1KO trade ideas
KO: Simple trade ideaKO moved out of the downward channel.
While KO has been in the channel, it formed a three-wave structure which is corrective. If this correction is over, the price should go above the starting point of the correction.
To make sure KO is in the uptrend, the high of yesterday's bar can be a stop-buy target as the entry point.
The initial protective stop can be 41.93 which makes the current upward move three-wave if breached.
The initial target would be the start of A which is 48.62.
Nice risk-reward ratio to consider to my eyes.
More charts can be found at www.white6intelligence.com
The Coca Cola Company (KO)KO is suited for conservative investors. A dividend yeld of 3.69% is very interesting at this point.
Earnings growth probably will resume is the second half of 2018, with an estimated EPS of 2.10 USD in 2018 and an EPS of 2.25 USD in 2019.
Annual net profit: 8.2 billions
Total debt: 47.6 billions
KO getting close to bouncing off its last support on the 4hrAfter revealing the earnings report, there has been a bearish sentiment on it in the opening hours.
Seems that the share holders out there still like Coca-Cola in bottles (something that KO is abandoning).
Even though the earnings is in line with estimates it seems the profit takers are out there along with maybe a few bears that has helped the value be pushed down.
Ive set a small order to capitalise on this with my etoro account to capitalize on if the value hits its last level of support as this may shake a few of the bears clear and get some bulls back in on the action.
#KO #stock #long
On the daily the KO has formed an inverse H&S, a very bullish formation. The MACD is poking up and so has the Stoch RSI. The obv is not great, but it is not all that bad either. Expect a 1.61 RRR. I would shoot for a Jan19 $42 strike price call, bid ask 3.85 4.0.
*****side note 1****
KO is a good proxy gauge for the overall market. The stock is less volatile and there is less noise around it. The stock looks like it may have found a near term bottom inside of it's longer term bearish distribution. KO and the broader stock market may be near an important low for the year, thus there maybe some buying opportunities.
****side not 2****
these ideas are just my personal opinions. I am not investment guru. Take them for what they are
Weekly
Higher low has formed in the stock. MACD looks to be setting up for an upward breakout. OBV has held steady during recent slump, suggesting core institutional investors still like the stock and are now easily swayed by recent market turbulence. Stoch RSI also looks to be setting up for an upward move.
KO Coca-Cola Long Trip BottomLooks like a trip bottom forming on daily. Charts look good on the Weekly as well in my opinion. Good setup with a relatively tight stop.
Always base your trades on the possibility of it going wrong and adjust your risk accordingly. Never risk what you cannot afford to loose. Good luck everyone!
Tips are always welcome and will encourage us to release more setups. Thank you! : )
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