LULU 3/20/2023The ladies love their overpriced leggings, but the stock market doesn’t.
LULU Daily chart analysis.
Their uptrend started March 2018 and came to an end December 2021.
Price has since been moving side-ways in a Distribution stage in form of a Head and Shoulders pattern. We need is break of neckline before price enters downtrend.
Entering trade short
Entry: 281.00
Stop loss: 339.34, (-16.61%)
Target: 161.74, +44.42%, 2.67 RR ratio
1LUL trade ideas
LULU - Broken Failing Trend Channel- LULU has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term, which indicates a slower initial falling rate.
- The price has risen strongly since the positive signal from the double bottom formation at the break through resistance at 325.
- Between support at 352 and resistance at 385.
- RSI is above 70 after a good price increase the past weeks.
- The stock has strong positive momentum and further increase is indicated.
However, particularly for big stocks, high RSI may be a sign that the stock is overbought and that there is a chance of a reaction downwards.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a rising trend for the price as well.
- Overall assessed as technically slightly positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SHORT LULUWe had a fantastic earning report this week, but we must remember that not only LULU but every other stock moved higher this week.
It was not only because of LULU's earnings whole market is moving higher and closed March with a big statement. Now that we trading above 200 MA and 77 levels at RSI, LULU has to and needs to move down to find new higher low support to move even higher.
After all one thing, we learned this past few years you can't be too bullish and can't be too bearish. Stocks will go down and up all the time. In LULU's case, there is not much juice left to squeeze up, therefore stock needs to go down.
Currently stock is extremely overbought it's not sustainable to move higher at this point. My first target is around $340.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the LULU Lululemon Athletica options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $310 strike price Puts with
2023-4-21 expiration date for about
$14.65 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Symmetrical TrianglePrice completed an M/Shark pattern which reversed at the .886 of OX.
The shark helped positive price movement temporarily but this was bound by trendlines of the triangle.
Price is beneath the triangle now.
The Shark is labeled 0XABC.
Earnings 3-28.
No recommendation.
EPS (FWD)
9.92
PE (FWD)
29.57
Div Rate (TTM)
-
Yield (TTM)
-
Short Interest
2.52%
Market Cap
$37.39B
Symmetrical TrianglePrice has bumped in to the old neckline from a prior H&S pattern.
T1 met. T2 is in smaller type then T3 is in even smaller type.
Earnings are 12-8 AMC. This one usually beats earnings but it will depend on how the market is feeling at earnings date.
This is a high end retailer and I love LULU, but nothing is cheap. They say the rich (which I am not) do not feel inflation and recessions like the middle and lower classes. I guess time will tell.
No recommendation.
I also see a bull flag a little while back.
$LULU - Head & ShouldersIdeally the neckline would slope upwards instead. Still a beautiful pattern ... in formation.
No breakout below the neckline yet.
This breakout could be exactly the trigger which the bears are looking for to trade this downtrending market.
For the bears still, watch out for the two ugly bullish candles that arose at the end of the year. Volume below average but the candle size is threatening anyhow.
Cheers,
Bye Bye Lulu (Just in the near term not forever)A break back below $295 spells trouble for my favorite pair of leggings.
Good risk/reward set up as we are consolidating below structure in a bearish way.
H&S topping pattern in the making after a long term (TCT) Thrust, Consolidation, Thrust has played out on the monthly.
Lulu has over-produced based upon last earnings call with inventory rising 85% and if we are nearing a recession then more downside is to come for this beloved brand.
In addition, Viori has emerged as possible competition for LULU by taking some market share, especially amongst middle to upper aged men. (I know this isn't the target market for Lulu but more and more women I know are giving it a try.)
On the weekly:
I've got an alert set up for a break below the solid turquoise line
LULU re-test and dip below $300 likely on the way very soon...USING HEIKIN-ASHI CANDLES on the DAILY CHART
- Heavy selloff after earnings on December 8, 2022 - changing short-term technical sentiment from bullish to bearish, and long-term technical sentiment from bullish to neutral.
- Broke below key trendline on December 14, 2022 with bearish signal courtesy of Lux Algo.
- Dipped and closed below Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average Line - a.k.a. the yellow line in the chart screenshot - with force on December 19, 2022 - changing short-term technical sentiment from bearish to very bearish, and long-term technical sentiment from neutral to bearish.
- Relative Strength Index close to convergence at 40% , which could act as additional resistance.
- Double Top rejection below the Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average Line , which provided a strong confirmation for short trade entry and stop loss (above TRAMA line at $321) .
Exit target for profit-taking:
- $300 (whole number general buyer reaction anticipated)
- $277.5 (current swing low)
LULU - Short OpportunityTechnical Analysis:
A bearish head and shoulder pattern has emerged and a short signal appeared. A break below 273.6 would be a clear confirmation of long term downtrend.
Fundamental Catalyst:
LULU inventories increased 85% in Q3 2022 compared to Q3 2021. With over 60% of their revenue coming from retail, LULU will continue to face immense competition from e-commerce sellers of athleisure wear that offer equally good quality apparels but at more affordable prices. The recession will likely hit the company hard. LULU has been underperforming in the retail sector index.
Will observe the price action for the next few days / weeks and update when there is an entry opportunity.
NASDAQ:LULU