Microsoft: Progress!Microsoft successfully completed the magenta wave (2) and made further progress during the subsequent wave (3). Imminently, this wave (3) has some more room to rise, and after a temporary pullback in the following wave (4), the price should eventually overcome the resistance at $456.16. On the other hand, our 31% likely alternative scenario envisions a new low for the green wave alt. and would include a detour below the support at $348.18. Primarily, we consider the regular wave as already completed (in our previous Target Zone).
1MSFT trade ideas
Microsoft (MSFT) Becomes the World’s Most Valuable CompanyMicrosoft (MSFT) Becomes the World’s Most Valuable Company
According to financial data, Microsoft’s market capitalisation currently stands at approximately $3.24 trillion, while the valuations of Apple and Nvidia — second and third on the list respectively — remain below $3 trillion.
This follows a sharp surge in Microsoft’s share price (MSFT), which has risen by over 26% from its April low.
Why has Microsoft’s share price risen?
The main driver behind the MSFT stock rally was last week’s quarterly report, which outperformed analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $3.46, forecast = $3.22;
→ Revenue: actual = $70 billion, forecast = $68.4 billion.
As reported in the media, investors responded positively to a notable increase in revenue from Azure cloud services.
Technical Analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) Shares
A wide bullish gap — over 7% — pushed the price above a key support line that had underpinned the 2024 uptrend in Microsoft stock.
However, following the report’s release, the price stabilised just below a resistance line drawn through previous key highs.
This provides grounds to interpret the current setup as a symmetrical triangle pattern with an axis around the $427 mark, suggesting short-term price consolidation within the defined boundaries.
Going forward, further key news related to Microsoft — a company less exposed to trade war impacts than Apple — could:
→ help maintain its status as the world’s most valuable firm;
→ support a potential bullish breakout through the resistance line and a continuation of the 2024 uptrend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$MSFT BEST TRADE EVER? SUB $400 incoming by Mid JuneHey everybody, I hope that rally didn't kick your arses the way it did mine. You know, it's like I'm allergic to taking upside atm due to how bearish the MACRO is. Of course, with time, I'm going to assume I get most of my downside Price Targets in the next several years.
If you refer to the previous 23% Run to the 200DMA from the 50day in 2023 , NASDAQ:MSFT produced a 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL , RALLIED for a week, and then dropped to new lows. That is what I am expecting here.
NASDAQ:MSFT looks absolutely ripe for the taking. We just rallied 17% and got the 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL . Mind you, Gaps galore below. The Monthly and the Weekly both have Gaps . Charts do not like that, let me tell ya. I'm excited if you can't tell. NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:AVGO look great as well. I'm still cautious about a spike out but I figure if we continue higher, i will have opportunity to grab more for cheaper as I am very confident in this move. The price moved above the DEATH CROSS and above the 200DMA . Not ever a healthy move if it moves Vertically from the 50 day and Crosses above both MA's without a stop. Mid June NASDAQ:MSFT should be at new lows.
$MSFT AI & CLOUD COMPUTING GROWTHAs of March 12, 2025, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is trading at $383.08, reflecting a modest increase of 0.69% from the previous close.
Despite recent market volatility affecting major technology stocks, several factors underscore a bullish outlook for Microsoft's stock:
Microsoft continues to demonstrate strong financial health, maintaining robust cash flows and a solid balance sheet. This financial stability enables ongoing investments in research, development, and strategic acquisitions, positioning the company for sustained growth.
Microsoft's significant investments in artificial intelligence, including its partnership with OpenAI, position it to capitalize on the growing enterprise demand for AI services. Analysts believe that the current stock price may undervalue Microsoft's strong fundamentals and potential in the AI market.
Microsoft's extensive range of products and services, from its dominant position in desktop operating systems and productivity software to its growing cloud computing platform, provides multiple revenue streams. This diversification enhances the company's resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Microsoft's position as a leader in the technology sector, coupled with its strong brand recognition, offers a competitive advantage. The company's ability to set industry trends and command premium pricing supports robust profit margins and market share.
Microsoft's solid financial foundation, strategic investments in AI, diversified product portfolio, and strong brand equity contribute to a positive long-term outlook for MSFT stock.
NASDAQ in potential ending diagonal formationNASDAQ has recently completed a Wave 4 correction within a classic ending diagonal structure, finding strong support between the critical demand zone of 350–377. This region has held firmly, affirming bullish structural integrity and reinforcing the likelihood of a new impulsive phase.
Price action is now coiling just below 441.70, a key resistance level. A decisive breakout above this threshold would confirm the initiation of Wave 5, targeting the projected upper boundary of the macro channel around 563 a confluence zone of both Fibonacci extensions and historical resistance.
The structure remains bullish as long as the 350–377 zone is respected. A clean move above 441.70, ideally backed by increasing volume and momentum indicators, would validate the bullish continuation setup and unlock the next phase of upside potential.
This setup offers a compelling risk-to-reward narrative, aligning with long-term trend dynamics and classical Wave theory.
MSFT Looking at a possible bottoming outNASDAQ:MSFT is looking at a potential bottoming out after the Microsoft has formed a bullish morning star pattern above 123.6% Fibonacci extension level of 383.73-455.48 range. Furthermore, the strong bullish bar was seen closing above the gap and the previous resistance turned support low of 377.16.
Ichimoku has yet to show a clear bullish trend but the slight closure above the 9-period conversion line may see a strong signal.
MACD is still bearish over the longer-term period
Mid-term Stochastic showing oversold crossover signal
23-period ROC is showing a bullish divergence
Volume remain healthy.
Wyckoff analysis - Larger range from 8 Jul 2024 (Buying climax) is looking at a distribution. Hence, current rebound is likely to be in a sign of weakness phase.
Recommend to buy swing in 1-week to a month.
Microsoft after earningsMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) reached the $425 target after strong post-earnings momentum.
Price is now testing a key weekly resistance between $400 and $450.
Immediate support is at $400.
As long as it holds above this level, the trend remains bullish.
Watch the $425–$400 gap for potential retracement.
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$MSFT Potential Bull wave targeting 428 SL at 370Bullish daily candlesticks , RSI breakout and back tested, but there are strong resistance at 393-396 , if breakout then it will target the upper gap and fib golden at 428 but there are real overhead resistances. Above 396 , minor targets at 408 and 416 .The latest news of tariffs exemptions may push it higher but needs carful risk management. NASDAQ:MSFT Earning report by 30th April . i would like to to take 395 Call expiry before earning but with protection Put or some type of hedge. Good luck . please boost and share. Gracias
MSFT is about to rise appreciably!Dear traders, after painful weeks in stock markets, now we could see the shadow of hope. Based on the chart, MSFT has broken an important trend line, in which, favors for more rise during next weeks. Besides, the monthly performance is about to become green, and thus, this confirms our bullish view. Let's see!
MSFT HAGIA SOPHIA! Self-explanatory, I think. Never trust motivational moves! They fade faster than a New Year's resolution! Yet we all fall for it all the time. The difference is we don't bet our hard-earned money every time we get motivated to learn our lesson after about the fifth or sixth or seventh... time!
For some reason, in trading, it's different; most don't even learn after the hundredth time! I am guessing it has something to do with the herd mentality. Others are doing it so its okay for me to lose my ass with them for the one hundredth and one time chasing!!
If I haven't convinced you yet, NOT to do it. Try thinking of it like this. There are many better trades out there to buy!
Hagia Sophia is not there to make you rich! It is there to humble you!
Click boost like and subscribe! l3ts get to 5,000 followers! ))
Microsoft (MSFT) Share Price Jumps Nearly 9% – What’s Next?Microsoft (MSFT) Share Price Jumps Nearly 9% – What’s Next?
As the chart shows, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply, forming a large bullish gap: while trading closed around $391 on 30 April, yesterday’s candlestick closed just below the $425 mark.
What Drove the Rally in Microsoft Shares?
Microsoft released its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, exceeding Wall Street expectations on both revenue (actual = $70.1 billion, 2.4% above forecasts) and earnings per share (actual = $3.46, 7.4% above forecasts).
Particular attention was drawn to the strong performance of Azure – revenue from Azure and other cloud services soared by 33% year-on-year. A significant part of this growth was fuelled by robust demand for artificial intelligence services, which helps ease concerns about the return on large-scale infrastructure investments related to AI.
In addition, Microsoft issued an upbeat outlook for the next quarter, which ultimately triggered the sharp rise in its share price.
Technical Analysis of MSFT Chart
Yesterday’s candlestick closed near its low (highlighted by the arrow), indicating that bears were active during the trading session. From a technical analysis perspective, this can be explained by the proximity of the price to two key resistance lines:
1 → The upper boundary of a descending channel drawn from significant price action patterns (marked in red). The relevance of this channel is confirmed by the price’s behaviour near its median line (dashed).
2 → A former trendline that served as support throughout 2024.
Therefore, a short-term correction cannot be ruled out following the sharp rally in MSFT shares, potentially tempering some of the enthusiasm generated by Microsoft’s strong quarterly report.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT is a no Brainer CALLMarket Context NASDAQ:MSFT
Current Price: $428.50
1-Month Move: +6.2% (from $403.20)
1-Year Move: +28.4% (from $333.80)
Year High/Low: $468.35/$309.45
Technicals:
RSI: ~63.2 (neutral, approaching overbought)
Above 20-day and 50-day MAs, slightly below 200-day MA (short-term strength in a longer uptrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 68th percentile (elevated premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 0.85 (slightly bullish skew)
Max Pain: $415.00
High OI: $420 calls, $400 puts
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: MSFT averages ~5.8% post-earnings, with 7/12 quarters showing upside.
IV Crush: Expect 25–35% IV drop post-earnings, so plan exits carefully.
Model Consensus (Grok, Claude, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek): Moderately Bullish
Why? Strong AI/cloud growth narrative, consistent guidance beats, and call-heavy OI at $420–425. Max Pain at $415 suggests limited downside pull.
Outlier: Gemini flags macro risks and Max Pain gravity, leaning neutral but not bearish.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked call (bullish, defined risk)
Instrument: MSFT
Direction: Call
Strike: $435.00 (premium $0.75, fits $0.50–$1.00 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.75
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-04-30)
Profit Target: $1.50 (~100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.38 (~50% loss)
Confidence: 70%
Expected Move: ±$24.90 (~5.8%)
BEST AI Signals in the market
Microsoft - Positive earnings expectation , value to collect?Hi guys we would be looking forward to our next stock analysis for Microsoft!
Microsoft Corporation continues to demonstrate robust financial performance, underpinned by its strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing. The company's strong earnings and forward-looking initiatives position it favorably for sustained growth.
In Q4 FY2024, Microsoft reported revenue of $64.7 billion, marking a 15% increase year-over-year. Net income rose to $22.0 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.95, surpassing analysts' expectations of $2.90 . For the full fiscal year, revenue reached $245.1 billion, reflecting a 16% increase, while net income grew by 22% to $88.1 billion.
Microsoft's Intelligent Cloud segment, which includes Azure, generated $28.5 billion in revenue for Q4 FY2024, a 19% increase year-over-year. Azure's revenue alone grew by 29%, driven by strong demand for cloud services and AI integration . The company's AI initiatives, such as the integration of Copilot across Microsoft 365 applications, have been pivotal in enhancing productivity and driving adoption.
📈 Positive Overall Outlook
Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Microsoft's stock, with expectations of continued growth in earnings and revenue. For fiscal year 2025, analysts forecast an EPS of $13.04, up 10.5% from the previous year . The company's strategic focus on AI and cloud computing, coupled with its strong financial results, support this positive sentiment.
Microsoft's commitment to expanding its AI capabilities is evident in its planned $80 billion investment to enhance its global network of computing centers . This investment aims to support the growing demand for AI services and solidify Microsoft's position as a leader in the AI and cloud computing markets.
To summarize, Microsoft's strong financial performance, driven by its cloud and AI initiatives, positions the company for continued success in the evolving technology landscape.
📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: 390 -
✅ Target: 430 - Just below the ATH / around the strong resistance
❌ SL: 365 - Just around the current rejected support zone
MSFT Setup After EarningsEarnings season is heating up and Microsoft (MSFT) is once again in the spotlight. With its dominance in cloud and AI, the next move could be explosive.
Here’s how pro Im thinking my setting up:
🔹 $390 – A bold speculative entry for breakout hunters.
🔹 $365 – A defensive entry on post-earnings pullback to support.
🔹 $345 – The opportunity zone if a sharp drop offers value.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $410 – Psychological and technical resistance.
TP2: $426 – Momentum continuation level.
TP3: $445–$450 – Ambitious upside for long-term riders.
Whether you’re playing momentum or patiently buying dips, MSFT is offering clear levels. Stay sharp.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk. Do your own research or consult a professional advisor before investing.
MSFT Q1 EARNINGSMicrosoft Earnings Presentation. We have a strong resistance area that we need to break. If we break through that area, we would move toward the second resistance zone, with strong support at 355.
If MSFT report strong earnings, the stock could move toward the $420 area, where it reached during the last earnings release.
Microsoft in Focus Ahead of Key Earnings, AI Outlook Under WatchMacro:
- Microsoft (MSFT) climbed on cautious optimism ahead of major earnings and economic data.
- Four of the “Magnificent Seven,” AMZN, AAPL, META, and MSFT, are set to report, with investors focusing on Microsoft (MSFT) today.
- Wall Street expects EPS of 3.22 USD and revenue of 68.44 B USD, both up YoY. Microsoft’s strength in AI, cloud, and enterprise software, along with its continued investment in AI talent and solid dividend history, makes this a closely watched report.
- Key drivers will be its results, AI/cloud growth outlook, and forward guidance, while any surprises could shift the stock sharply.
Technical:
- MSFT recovered and tested the resistance at around 396, confluence with EMA78. The price is sideways, and we await a clearer breakout to determine the following direction.
- If MSFT breaks above 396, the price may approach the following resistance at 405, confluence with the 100% Fibonancci Extension.
- On the contrary, remaining below 396 may prompt a retest to the support at around 378, confluence with the broken descending channel.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
April 29 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +686.25
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Overall a decent day, but signals felt iffy today.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
— 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) :x:
1:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x:
1:51 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 2:20 PM VX Algo ES X1 Sell Signal :x:
— 3:38 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (Double signal)
Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Trading Analysis for Microsoft**Current Price:** $387.3
**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $395.0**
- **T2 = $405.0**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $383.0**
- **S2 = $376.0**
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**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Microsoft.
**Key Insights:**
Microsoft is demonstrating robust growth potential, particularly buoyed by its increasing investments in AI infrastructure and cloud computing services. Traders see the stock primed for a continuation of its upward momentum due to growing demand for AI applications across industries and Microsoft’s advancements in integrating AI technology into its product ecosystem. Institutional confidence remains high, with analysts highlighting key drivers such as Azure's market share expansion and strong profitability metrics.
Near-term momentum ahead of earnings is supported by key technical indicators and market sentiment. Resistance at $390 and psychological levels around $400 are being closely monitored by traders. Sustaining movement above these levels could lead to further upside potential that traders are ready to capitalize on.
**Recent Performance:**
Microsoft's stock has been outperforming many peers in the tech sector, consistently trading above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages. This indicates short-term bullish momentum, though it has struggled to break above its 200-day moving average. The consolidation phase observed recently suggests that market participants are awaiting pivotal news such as earnings results to initiate significant directional moves. A notable surge in buying interest has also been seen across its options market, signaling optimism among institutions and retail investors alike.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts have been praising Microsoft's execution in fulfilling long-term AI strategies, which could potentially add billions to future revenue streams. Growth in cloud services led by Azure and partnerships with OpenAI further underline the company’s strategic edge in the evolving tech landscape. Technical indicators like RSI and MACD also signal bullish sentiment, with key support levels well-defined at $376 and $383, safeguarding downside risks. Many experts agree that a robust quarterly earnings beat or upward revision of guidance could ignite momentum toward the $405-$413 range.
**News Impact:**
Anticipation is building ahead of Microsoft's earnings announcement, where traders are expecting a strong beat on both revenue and EPS metrics. Positive sector-wide developments in generative AI, alongside broader macro trends benefiting tech, have left investors optimistic about the stock's prospects. Any updates on Microsoft's AI-driven initiatives or its integration into major product lines could significantly impact future share price movements. Additionally, the regulatory environment around AI technologies is being closely monitored as it could influence long-term valuations.
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**Trading Recommendation:**
Microsoft is well-positioned for long-term bullish momentum, with near-term upside heading into its earnings report. Clear support levels are established at $376 and $383, providing safety nets for traders while resistance levels of $395 and $405 present opportunities for potential gains. This setup aligns with expert analysis and institutional sentiment, making a LONG trade favorable for those seeking an entry point into a high-performing tech giant with strong fundamentals.
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