"Bitcoin to $13M per coin" - Michael SaylorBitcoin annualized performance is 60% on average
Let that sink in
Most traders trading Bitcoin aren't nowhere near that.
1. Introduction to MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy
Michael Saylor began by outlining MicroStrategy’s decision to make CRYPTOCAP:BTC its primary treasury reserve asset.
He explained that the company sees Bitcoin as a superior store of value and an effective hedge against inflation.
Traditional fiat currencies, according to Saylor, are increasingly unreliable due to monetary policies that devalue them over time.
By embracing Bitcoin, MicroStrategy positions itself as a pioneer in the corporate adoption of digital assets.
2. Leveraging Zero-Interest Convertible Bonds
Saylor delved into MicroStrategy’s innovative financing strategies, particularly the issuance of zero-interest convertible bonds.
These bonds, amounting to approximately $3 billion, were issued with a 0% interest rate.
This seemingly advantageous rate is a result of high investor demand, driven by the value of the embedded call options within the bonds.
The volatility of MicroStrategy’s stock, tied closely to Bitcoin’s price movements, makes these options particularly appealing.
NASDAQ:MSTR volatility is about 2X the CRYPTOCAP:BTC volatility.
Additionally, the bonds were issued at a 55% conversion premium, the highest for such instruments at the time, reflecting strong market confidence in the company’s strategy.
Saylor explained that these zero-interest loans allow MicroStrategy to acquire CRYPTOCAP:BTC without the financial burden of servicing interest payments.
This approach enables the company to maximize its exposure to Bitcoin while maintaining financial flexibility.
3. Current Bitcoin Holdings and Financial Impact
Saylor provided an update on MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings.
As of November 2024, the company owns 279,420 bitcoins, purchased for a total cost of $11.9 billion, with an average acquisition price of $42,692 per Bitcoin.
With Bitcoin’s price surpassing $90,000, the company’s holdings are now worth over $25 billion, representing more than a 100% return on investment.
He highlighted how this significant appreciation in Bitcoin’s value has bolstered MicroStrategy’s market capitalization and increased shareholder value.
The company’s bold approach has attracted considerable attention from institutional investors and positioned it as a leader in the corporate adoption of Bitcoin.
4. Future Outlook for Bitcoin
Saylor expressed an extremely bullish outlook for Bitcoin, suggesting that its price could rise to $13 million per coin in the long term.
He emphasized that Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing adoption make it an inevitable cornerstone of the global financial system.
Saylor believes that Bitcoin’s value will continue to increase as more institutions and individuals recognize its potential as a store of value and an inflation hedge.
He also addressed the regulatory landscape, noting the challenges posed by governments and central banks.
However, Saylor remains optimistic, arguing that the decentralized nature of Bitcoin makes it resilient against such challenges.
5. Critique of Traditional Financial Systems
Saylor criticized the inefficiencies and risks of traditional banking systems and fiat currencies. He explained that central banks’ monetary policies, such as excessive money printing, erode the value of fiat currencies, making them unreliable for long-term wealth preservation.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, offers a decentralized and deflationary alternative that protects against these risks.
He also argued that Bitcoin’s adoption is inevitable as it offers a superior solution for wealth storage in a digital, globalized world.
Saylor positioned Bitcoin as a foundational technology for financial innovation.
6. Strategic Vision and Long-Term Commitment
In closing, Saylor reaffirmed MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to Bitcoin. He emphasized the importance of maintaining a forward-looking vision, especially during periods of market volatility.
For MicroStrategy, Bitcoin is not merely an investment but a strategic asset that aligns with the company’s core mission of creating and preserving shareholder value.
Saylor ended by encouraging other companies and investors to consider adopting Bitcoin as part of their long-term strategies, arguing that early adoption offers the most significant rewards.
He underscored the transformative potential of Bitcoin, not just for corporations, but for the global financial system as a whole.
7. LONG AND STRONG
Critics of MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin strategy raise valid concerns, particularly regarding market volatility, regulatory risks, and the company’s reliance on debt to fund its investments.
However, it’s important to understand the rationale behind Michael Saylor’s approach and the broader context of Bitcoin as a financial asset.
Saylor’s strategy reflects an unwavering belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value as a hedge against inflation and a superior store of wealth compared to fiat currencies.
His boldness in using innovative financial instruments, such as zero-interest convertible bonds, demonstrates his deep understanding of both financial markets and the transformative nature of Bitcoin.
Saylor’s intelligence and foresight cannot be underestimated.
He is betting on a paradigm shift in global finance, and institutions like pension funds, BlackRock, and other financial powerhouses are beginning to adopt similar strategies, reinforcing his vision.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is not a speculative, short-term investment; it is a long-term play.
The minimum recommended investment period for Bitcoin should be 10 years, while the optimal strategy is to hold it indefinitely.
Selling Bitcoin prematurely undermines its potential as an asset designed to preserve and grow wealth in an environment where politicians and central banks continue to print money, devaluing traditional currencies.
Betting against Saylor and Bitcoin is betting against a future where decentralized, deflationary assets redefine the financial system.
As Saylor often emphasizes, Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing global adoption make it an asset poised to appreciate forever, rewarding those with the patience and foresight to hold for the long term.
Thank you for reading
Daveatt
1MSTR trade ideas
MICROSTRATEGY: Hit the 1D MA50 and bounced, but is it a buy now?MSTR has made a rapid turn from overbought to neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.944, MACD = 14.210, ADX = 17.986) as it reached today a -40% decline from its ATH but eventually hit the 1D MA50 and rebounded. This is the first contact with the 1D MA50 since September 19th. Even though it seems like a strong technical buy opportunity, Microstrategy has had its best buy entries in the last 2 years, under the 1D MA50. As this chart shows there have been 8 such buy signals, so even though the current rebound is tempting, we ideally want to see the price under the 1D MA50 and $300 before issuing a buy signal. Once this is filled, we can target the December 5th High minimum (TP = 400).
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MSTR: Prime Opportunity for a Rebound as Buyers Take Control Bullish Analysis for MSTR:
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has recently dropped alongside the broader crypto market, but strong buying momentum is emerging as buyers step in to buy the dip . The RSI is coming back from oversold levels, signaling potential for a rebound. As Bitcoin stabilizes and recovers, MSTR’s stock is likely to benefit from both the crypto rebound and its solid business fundamentals.
Trade Setup:
Take Profit 1: $370
Take Profit 2: $430
Stop Loss: $310
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity, with MSTR potentially poised for a bullish reversal.
MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR): A Bullish Wave Ready to Break RecordsMicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR), renowned for its substantial Bitcoin holdings and its pivotal role in business intelligence solutions, is catching the attention of market analysts once again. Since its historic peak of $540 per share, the stock has undergone a complex corrective phase. From an Elliott Wave perspective, this correction unfolded as an A-B-C structure. Wave A, a sharp impulsive decline, was succeeded by Wave B, which formed as a contracting triangle. Finally, Wave C concluded around $318, presenting a potential pivot point for an exciting bullish surge.
This interpretation aligns with a potential reversal and sets the stage for MSTR to skyrocket. If the analysis holds true, the stock is poised for a significant rally. Our initial target places it at an impressive $750 per share, with the possibility of further upside if broader market conditions align with the bullish wave structure.
What Drives This Bullish Sentiment?
MicroStrategy’s strategic embrace of Bitcoin as a core part of its balance sheet has positioned it as a proxy for cryptocurrency market movements. With Bitcoin exhibiting resilience and the potential for new highs, MSTR is poised to benefit directly. Additionally, the company’s robust presence in the data analytics sector adds to its growth narrative, providing a dual foundation for investor optimism.
Technical Indicators Align
Beyond the Elliott Wave analysis, technical indicators show alignment with the bullish outlook. The stock has seen a consolidation phase, allowing key support levels to solidify. Coupled with improving relative strength index (RSI) readings and increasing trading volume, this sets the stage for a breakout move.
Risks to Consider
As with any market scenario, there are risks. A retest of the $318 level without subsequent recovery could signal weakness in the bullish case. Moreover, external factors, such as Bitcoin price volatility or macroeconomic pressures, could impact the trajectory.
Conclusion: Is MSTR a Buy?
For investors seeking exposure to the dual growth stories of cryptocurrency and business intelligence, MSTR offers a compelling case. With a technical structure suggesting an imminent upward move, the stock’s potential to reclaim and surpass previous highs presents an attractive opportunity. However, as always, prudent risk management and careful analysis are essential.
$MSTR - The Rocket Takes OffHere is the daily chart for $MSTR. With its recent inclusion in NASDAQ:QQQ , the stock appears poised for further growth.
From a technical perspective, the current triangle formation suggests potential downside movement toward $368, where the price may test the lower boundary of the pattern. Following this, I anticipate a bullish breakout to the upside.
The resistance near the previous all-time high (ATH) is unlikely to hold for long, and I expect NASDAQ:MSTR to surpass this level in its upward trajectory.
Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has positioned itself uniquely in the financial landscape by heavily investing in Bitcoin, making it not just a tech firm but also a significant player in the cryptocurrency space. Here's why MSTR might reach $350 by April 2025:
Bitcoin's Performance and MicroStrategy's Strategy:
Bitcoin has been on an upward trajectory, with recent spikes fueled by events like political developments (e.g., Trump's crypto-friendly stance). If Bitcoin continues this trend or even surpasses expectations, MSTR's stock, which acts almost as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, could see substantial gains. Analysts have noted a strong positive correlation between Bitcoin's price and MSTR's stock value, sometimes suggesting a premium on MSTR due to its Bitcoin strategy.
MicroStrategy's Bold Bitcoin Acquisition:
Recent posts on X have highlighted MicroStrategy's commitment to the biggest Bitcoin buy ever at $42B. This aggressive accumulation could signal to investors that MSTR believes in a significant future value increase for Bitcoin, thereby potentially boosting investor confidence in MSTR shares.
Market Sentiment and Institutional Interest:
There's growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, which benefits companies like MicroStrategy. For instance, South Korea’s National Pension Service's investment in MSTR indicates a broader acceptance of crypto through established companies. Such moves could lead to increased demand for MSTR stock, pushing its price higher.
Inclusion in Major Indices:
Discussions around MSTR's potential inclusion in major indices like the S&P 500 could significantly boost its stock price. If MSTR becomes eligible for such an index due to its market cap or liquidity, it would attract more institutional investors, driving the price up.
Earnings and Accounting Changes:
With the adoption of new accounting standards allowing for digital assets to be measured at fair value, MSTR could report more favorable earnings. This could lead to a re-rating of the stock as the market recognizes the true value of its Bitcoin holdings, potentially pushing the stock towards the $350 mark or beyond.
Bullish Predictions and Analyst Upgrades:
Analysts from various platforms have shown optimism, with some forecasts indicating that MSTR could trade between $175.94 and $310.25 by 2025. While these aren't exact to $350, the sentiment is clear: there's an expectation of significant growth.
Supply Shock from Bitcoin Halving:
The Bitcoin halving event, which reduces the reward for mining new blocks, historically impacts Bitcoin's price positively due to the reduced supply growth rate. If this event leads to a substantial Bitcoin price increase, MSTR's stock should follow suit.
Macro-Economic Environment:
If the global economic environment continues to favor alternative investments like cryptocurrencies, MSTR, with its Bitcoin strategy, stands to benefit. Lower interest rates or inflation fears might drive more capital towards assets like Bitcoin, indirectly benefiting MSTR.
Bullish ascending triangle, hopium?Although subtle the lows of this range are ascending at a steeper angle than the lower highs are descending. This indicates, for the moment that there are slightly more buyers than sellers. However it could still go either way.
If we break the lower green trend the price must drop further to find more buyers before we can expect to recover.
MicroStrategy Set to Surge: Bullish Momentum Post-NASDAQ InclusiRecent Performance: MicroStrategy has seen heightened activity recently as it
prepares for its inclusion in the NASDAQ 100 index on December 23. The stock
price currently stands at 408.67, with market sentiment improving as
investors position themselves ahead of this significant milestone.
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ 100 inclusion is expected to enhance MicroStrategy's
visibility, potentially driving demand for both its stock and its primary
asset, Bitcoin. Analysts foresee significant gains driven by the
anticipation of heightened institutional interest and a strong correlation
with Bitcoin’s performance, which is projected to rise substantially in the
coming years.
- Expert Analysis: Market experts share a bullish outlook for MicroStrategy,
emphasizing its strong alignment with Bitcoin’s market trajectory. With
projections indicating Bitcoin could soar to around $100,000,
MicroStrategy's performance is expected to mirror this growth, making it an
attractive option for both retail and institutional investors.
- Price Targets:
- Next week targets:
- T1: 423.15
- T2: 444.00
- Stop levels:
- S1: 395.10
- S2: 381.99
- News Impact: The most significant event impacting MicroStrategy is its
addition to the NASDAQ 100. This inclusion is likely to bolster market
confidence, facilitating an increase in stock demand. Furthermore, the
bullish outlook on Bitcoin plays a crucial role in shaping investor
sentiment towards MicroStrategy, positioning it as a key player in both tech
and cryptocurrency markets.
In conclusion, with its NASDAQ 100 membership and strong Bitcoin holdings,
MicroStrategy presents a compelling investment opportunity as it embarks on a
potential upward trajectory into 2025.
MicroStrategy , just take a look .. :)i normally do only crypto, but i want to see if my charting style also works for stocks.
After a bullish +380% outbreak back in september,
NASDAQ:MSTR has made a bullish symmetrical triangle,
the apex (point where support and resistance come together) is almost reached,
if the uptrend breaks, the price might drop to around 220 - 230 dollar area.
if price breaks out bullish , price could reach 600 - 800 dollar between january and februari 2025
hidden bullish diversion in the RSI on bigger timeframe, bullish breakout coming ?
this chart is intended as training and NOT as financial advice
MSTR Ready To Soar On QQQ Inclusion News? Technicals now suggest a potential bull flag pattern, hinting at an imminent upward breakout soon.
Coupled with the exciting news of its inclusion in the QQQ ETF, this could be the catalyst for significant price appreciation. Keep your eyes on MSTR as it aims to reach new heights!
MSTR 4H: Potential Breakout from Descending TrendlineMicroStrategy (MSTR) has been forming a descending trendline resistance since its recent peak around 520. The price has been consolidating near the trendline convergence point, showing signs of a potential breakout. Current price action suggests accumulation with higher lows forming.
Key Levels:
Major resistance: Descending trendline (currently ~410)
Current price: ~400
Trade Setup:
Looking for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline with increased volume. A successful breach could signal the end of the current corrective phase and potential trend reversal.
Risk Management:
Place stops below recent swing lows. Watch for false breakouts and monitor Bitcoin correlation as it significantly influences MSTR's price action.
Microstrategy is the most astonishing chart I've ever seenThis is the 3 month chart going back about 25 years. MSTR peaked in March 2000 at $333. It's formed a 24 year cup and handle that broke out earlier this year from the $333 cup top. When you clone the cup depth on a log chart and add it to the cup top it gives a long term astonishing price target over $42000.
For 2025 I'm not expecting that target. It could get their in the next Bitcoin cycle in 2029, however. I've tracked MSTR and Bitcoin prices since Microstrategy started their Bitcoin acquisition program in August 2020. Since that date it has acted as 2 fold price leverage to the Bitcoin price gain to the present.
It has acted in the last two years as 3 fold leverage to the Bitcoin price as its relentless purchasing of Bitcoin is now 423,000 for about $25.4 B or about a $60000 DCA. Current profit on these Bitcoin at the current $100,000 price is $16.9 B.
Microstrategy is expected to be included in the Nasdaq 100 on Dec 23, 2024. The announcement is expected tomorrow. A massive number of ETF's are tracking this announcement and are expected to pump billions into MSTR stock over time.
If BTC goes to $500K by May 2025 and trips the pi cycle top indicator again then it will have gained 400% from the present. 3 fold leverage to the BTC 400% gain would be 1200% gain from the $393 current price or 13 x $393 = about $5100. I am biased; I recently purchased MSTR stock as a leverage play on the Bitcoin price.