1MSTR trade ideas
Who Is Driving BTC Price? MicroStrategy Based On Elliott WavesHello traders!
Today we want to show you how strongly MicroStrategy and Bitcoin are correlated, so it can be telling us who is driving the price of Bitcoin.
As you can see, charts are in tight positive correlation and looking at the wave structure of MicroStrategy from Elliott Wave perspective, seems like one more leg down is missing to complete a five-wave cycle within wave (C), therefore BTC may stay down or sideways for some time.
From psychological point of view, many new Crypto traders are buying dips now in fear, desire, and greed not to miss again, so in Crypto market is always dangerous when the price turns for 50% from the highs, so we have to be very smart and patient.
We actually believe that BTC is still trading in a correction, it's just a higher degree corrective phase which can be a bigger one and it may take some time to make traders insecure and impatient before bulls show up again.
Be humble and trade smart!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
MSTR in big trouble. target 350... or worse.MSTR in many ways has become a proxy for the bitcoin trade. With 91k bitcoin at an average price around 21k, the bulk of MSTR's market cap comes from it's bitcoin assets, not it's actual business. In many ways, this chart could resemble a descending triangle, but really we are just going to follow the bitcoin chart. While BTC hit my ~42k target today, I see it going down further still - perhaps as low as 30k in the coming weeks. That would imply nearly 30% more downside for bitcoin - putting MSTR around 330 from today's price. However, given the support I see aroudn 350, it is possible their actual business may kick in and offer the extra 20/share.
There is also a remote, but real risk things could get substantially worse for MSTR. Due to their leveraged play of buying bitcoin with debt, it is possible (again, remote) that a precipitous drop in bitcoin price could cause certain covenants in their bonds to force liquidation at low prices on bitcoin. Depending how low, it is conceivable (I don't know the details of their offering!) this could trigger other things that may be bad for shareholder, such as a secondary or something else. These risks seem very real, although most likely they would hedge or reduce exposure as things moved in this direction.
Lastly, it is worth noting the weekly chart momentum indicators on MSTR here does not look very promising either.
MicroStrategy - Easy MoneyThe stock just hit the green support line. To be conservative, I waited for confirmation and the stock has already climbed 100 dollars in the last 3 days. Now, assuming the trend continues, where the stock flits between support and resistance, an easy 220 dollars can be made in the next week or 2 (920-current price)
Tell me what you think, like and follow:)
MSTR - MicroStrategy - Inverse Head and ShouldersPotential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern present on MSTR, for those looking for a stock play on Bitcoin.
For a more conservative entry: break above $890 = breakout of the Inverse Head and Shoulders, more aggressive entry would be to enter now, prior to a confirmed break, this is risker (as the move has not be confirmed) however the distance to the stop loss is significantly less.
Stop Loss = Close below $520
-TradingEdge