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1MSTR trade ideas

MicroStrategy’s Premium Is Fading – Time to Brace for a Drop?The strong optimism following Trump’s election in November fueled a Bitcoin rally, which in turn led to a massive surge in MicroStrategy’s ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock. However, after reaching an all-time high near $550, MSTR experienced a sharp decline. Interestingly, despite Bitcoin hovering around $100K and even attempting a new ATH recently, this momentum hasn’t been reflected in MSTR’s stock price. From a technical perspective, the price has broken below its ascending trendline and is now consolidating between $320 and $360. Given the unjustified premium (at least in my opinion), I expect further downside for the stock. Additionally, if Bitcoin fails to hold the key $90K confluence support, MSTR could see a sharp plunge below $200.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Mihai_Iacob
The bear trap of TardFiMicroStrategy (MSTR): Locked & Loaded for a Breakout Trump just put David Sacks in charge of crypto policy—a massive win for the industry. This signals clear regulations, institutional confidence, and a green light for Bitcoin adoption. The crypto space is buzzing, with major players vying for a seat at the table. The recent trade war FUD triggered a classic bear trap, shaking out weak hands before the real move. Bitcoin briefly dipped but held strong, showing resilience. MSTR is tightening into a textbook bullish wedge—coiling up for what looks like an explosive breakout. With macro winds shifting in crypto’s favor, MSTR is primed to rip higher. The question isn’t if—it’s when. NASDAQ:MSTR BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by choycekotori
1
MSTR - Short again with two profit targetsP4 was a rejection at the Center-Line, the perfect short. To me the current situation commands me to add to this short. BTC is weaker and in a scary spot. MSTR also weaker and on the way to the PTG1. This time, the add to my short is not a technical signal, but a gut feeling and a combination of the current world situation. And hey, I maybe get slapped because I FOMO into this. But that's OK. Sometimes I need a little bit more Fun in the Game. I do such unintelligent trading when the overall performance allow me to. Let's go Captain Ahab!!!
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
SHORT MSTRThis setup for MicroStrategy (MSTR) is based on its close correlation to Bitcoin price action and a repeating fractal pattern from its last cycle high. The stock appears to be mirroring historical movements, providing a high-confidence opportunity for a short trade as patterns tend to repeat. The trade will focus on DCA into shorts with the expectation of a significant pullback. Trade Plan Details 1. DCA INTO SHORTS: DCA Range: $375–$450 This zone aligns with the overhead resistance and prior rejection levels. Approach: Gradually add to the short position if the price moves higher, staying within this range. 2. POSITION SIZING: Initial Entry: Start small at $375 to ensure flexibility. Scaling Strategy: Add more to the position as price approaches $400–$450. Example: $375: 1 unit $400: 2 units $425–$450: Max position 3. TARGETS: Short-term Target: $300 Mid-term Target: $250 Long-term Target: $185 These levels correspond to key Fibonacci retracements and historical price reactions from prior cycles. 4. STOP LOSS: Stop out above $475 (significant invalidation level). Rationale Fractal Pattern Repetition: The price action is nearly identical to the previous cycle high, making it likely to follow the same trajectory. Bitcoin Correlation: MSTR closely mirrors Bitcoin's performance. With BTC overextended, MSTR is vulnerable to a significant pullback. Valuation Concerns: MSTR's valuation heavily relies on Bitcoin holdings, which are unsustainable at these levels. Risk-Reward Ratio: Excellent R:R potential with clear downside targets.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by StayoA1
2
Diaper change for MSTR...quicklyI've been analyzing MSTR for some time and it's on a downward spiral IMHO. Buying BTC with debt, which is not only super risky and highly volatile. What could go wrong? Here it goes, let's look at the downward channel and one can see that price is only heading one way....down down! There could be some pullbacks, but I've seen this movie before. Take advantage of this situation and use MSTZ (inverse). Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by antonini2002
4
MicroStrategy’s Make or Break MomentThe chart shows a breakdown from a descending wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support turned resistance. A short position has been placed, anticipating further downside. The price is currently testing the retest zone, and rejection from this level could confirm continuation to the downside. The stop-loss is strategically placed above 455.10, beyond a key resistance level, to minimize risk in case of a failed breakdown. The take-profit target is set near 224.56, aligning with a significant demand zone. The current price of 335.94 indicates minor volatility, but the structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone. If the breakdown holds, the next move could accelerate towards lower levels, making this a crucial moment for price confirmation. A reclaim of the resistance zone could invalidate the setup and trigger a short squeeze. The market’s reaction at this level will determine the next directional move.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by wolfchemist