1NDAQ trade ideas
Nasdaq and Nasdaq Transportation Diverging - is this it? I have been watching and reading a bit recently around how the transport sector leads the markets and can see a few reasons why.
In the top chart you can see divergence just before the Covid-19 black swan and now we have a very heavy divergence in play similar to what led the market before the 2007 crash, it could be seen as the start perhaps.
Theres a lot of dumb money around thats pumped us this far and I don't know how it will stop but things have seemed toppy, I will remain neutral and in cash while this plays out a bit more as DXY looks to be strengthening which is also a signal that the market may correct.
NASDAQ CRASHING IN THE NEXT 3 MONTHS?The NASDAQ hit its major trendline last month and has since bounced off it. This last happened in 2006, where in the following 5 months it continued to drop just under 50%.
And the first time it touched the trendline it dropped around 71%, 9 months after the touch.
History repeats itself, but not all patterns are the same.
With this in mind, based in previous evidence it would seem likely for a large drop within 3 months, if it continues a similar pattern.
We will just have to see how the market plays out and if there are fundamentals that will come into play to explain the market crash.
NASDAQ Pullback?The weekly chart of the Nasdaq index is showing weakness with multiple weekly candle rejections at exactly the 1.618 fibonacci extension level.
This is key to note as the 1.618 as many know is often the first place traders short, sell and or take profits after price breaks all time high. So paying attention to the $180 level will be important. If bulls can ever get a weekly close above this level, the run up can continue.
Until then, proceed with caution this week and probably the next if your portfolio is very tech stock heavy.
¿What is Awesome Oscillator? - Guide Part 26Bill Williams's Awesome Oscillator Tactic is a promotion plan that takes advantage of the most instantaneous trend. This tactic is similar to our dissolution triangle tactic. This is because it will only give you access signals once the promotion confirms the cost action change. Momentum trading tactics offer traders a simple way to exploit short and medium term trends.
Our team at Trading Strategy Guides goes to great lengths to develop tactics that bring you huge profits and small losses. Essentially, this means that from a hazard management view, you will continually operate with a preeminent hazard / reward interaction. The AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator was dubbed the "super indicator" thanks to the incredible results that certain traders had when using it.
The Bill Williams Awesome Oscillator Tactic can be used in different markets, including Forex trading, commodities, indices, and currencies. The beloved time frame for Bill Williams' Amazing Oscillator Tactic is the daily time frame. This is because, after extensive research and backtesting, our Trading Strategy Guides team has learned that the daily time frame creates the best performance.
Now, if you are an intraday trader and you love getting in and out of your trades quickly, don't worry, we have your back. Our Favorite Daily Trading Tactic Daily Trading Cost Action - The easy cost action tactic can teach you how to trade profitably in any market. Also, read about Forex mentors and the best investment you can make.
Before moving on, we need to conceptualize the indicators you require to trade Bill Williams' Awesome Oscillator tactic and how to use the Awesome Oscillator indicator.
The unique indicator you require is the: Amazing Oscillator Indicator.
What is Awesome Oscillator Indicator?
The Awesome Oscillator indicator is a histogram, which is similar to the MACD indicator, that shows the market promotion of a current number of periods compared to the promotion of a larger number of previous periods.
If you are interested in learning more about the MACD indicator, we suggest that you study the MACD trend-following tactic - an easy-to-learn trading tactic, which is a turnkey trend-following plan.
What is the amazing oscillator setting?
The Awesome Oscillator indicator uses a built-in default setting of 5 to 34 periods.
So how does it work?
Well, the histogram for the Awesome oscillator indicator (see chart below) is derived from the cost chart. The Awesome Oscillator histogram is a simple 34-period moving average. This histogram is plotted using the center aspects of the bars (H + L) / 2, and is subtracted from the 5-period simple moving average, represented by the center aspects of the bars (H + L) / 2.
What is the awesome oscillator formula?
Average price = (High + Low) / 2.
Awesome Oscillator = SMA (Median Price, 5) -SMA (Median Price, 34).
If the AO histogram crosses above the zero line, that is indicative of bullish encouragement. On the other hand, once it crosses below, that is indicative of bearish encouragement.
How to use Awesome Oscillator Indicator?
Bill Williams' Awesome Oscillator is a versatile indicator that can be used to:
- Exploit trends
- Calculate the market boost
- And anticipate probable trend changes
The simplest and most direct way to use the Williams Awesome Oscillator is to cross the zero line. However, there are other unique signals such as the Awesome Oscillator saucer signal or the Twin Picks or bullish bearish divergences.
If you are curious about the strength of these AO signals, read on.
So let's move on!
How to use the Awesome Oscillator Zero Line Crossover
Simply put, the zero line crossing measures the change in market encouragement:
Once the Awesome Oscillator crosses above the zero line from below, it suggests bullish encouragement and a viable trend reversal.
Once the Awesome Oscillator crosses below the zero line from above, it suggests bearish encouragement and a viable trend reversal.
See the AO table below:
Bullish Crossing:
Bearish Crossing:
Once the AO crosses above the zero line, it shows that short-term support is increasing faster than long-term support.
This information is drastically effective as a change in trend direction will consistently appear first in the short-term trend and then spread to the long-term trend.
Clearly, this is a sign of change.
Now, you may be familiar with the zero line crossing signal, as this is a common trading signal with various technical indicators.
However, the Awesome Oscillator tends to offer far fewer wrong signals compared to other oscillators.
See the AO table below:
MACD vs AO
I use more MACD to trade on a daily basis. AO is a good way to also be able to visualize trading, but beyond that, I consider it a good tool to be able to exit at an exact moment from a holding asset. Mostly 1d, 3d or 1w graphics.
The MACD does not generate false signals, it generates movements that happen in the price, since, if they exist, however, these movements do not necessarily change the trend. AO is somewhat more complex and is usually slower, so it usually takes time to indicate changes.
If you want to learn how to modify AO settings yourself, simply click on the TradingView gear icon, AO Style and choose columns instead of the histogram.
As you can probably see, the amazing oscillating saucer measures short-term changes in trend speed.
In contrast, the bearish saucer signal occurs when these four conditions are met:
The AO histogram is below the zero line.
We have 2 consecutive green bars
The second green bar is lower than the first bar
The third bar is red and lower than the second bar
See the currency table below:
Step 1: Identify in what period I plan to operate.
Step 2: I complement myself with other indicators for an easier and simpler use.
Step 3: We apply AO and we complement each other. We try to identify supports and resistances and enter a zone according to where the trend is heading, be it a continuation or change according to the period of time.
Step 4: We manage our risk and place StopLoss.
Step 5: We take profit of 50%. And we let it run. (Theory of holding positions, but ensuring profits). And the rest of the position we let it run with a stop in profits with a large loss of those same profits.
Nasdaq eventual crash could affect BTC? Definitely. Nasdaq and other markets behaved very well after the crash of March 2020, with all that printing going on that was expected.
But it´s also the end of the semester and people need to take profits, a small retracement is expected and that counts for Crypto
investors as well, prepare to buy the dip.
NASDAQ Fib Levels and more symbols regardlessLet's talk about US Markets first. Dow Jones (daily Buy) is moving in the direction 34574.2 gaining %0.13. NASDAQ (Buy) is 13747.51 points, following its trendline falling % -0.01. Also on the chart, important Fib lines are drawn. S&P 500 (signalling Buy) is 4203.47 high, falling % -0.02.
Silver troy ounce (31.10 gram) 28.125 USD (percentage of 0.4, Buy signaling) and Platinum , 1199.2 USD (1.42 of pct, Neutral) are finding buyers/sellers presently. Ounce palladium 2866.5 USD (%1.5) costs for traders.
Copper 1 pound (0.4535 kg), 4.654 USD (with the percentage of -0.5, Buy) is being traded at the time written. Besides this, XAUUSD, 1902.7 USD (%-0.14, Buy) going along its trendline.
American Dollar index (DXY) 89.886 is pushing itself (%0.06 Buy) on the line again. USDTRY is signalling Neutral along with the price of 8.5105 TRY (%0.0312 ) and Euro TL (signalling Neutral) is currently being traded with 10.40538 TRY (pct 0.02327).
Exchange Istanbul (BIST100) (signalling Neutral) is moving with 1432.04, gaining %0.81. Asian stock markets may tell us more. Shanghai Composite (SSEC) (Buy) is 3624.7137, gaining %0.26. NIKKEI (Buy) is followed by 28814.12, falling % -0.16.
German DAX is at the high of 15567.36, gaining %0.95 (Strong Buy). UK100 index 7080.47 is gaining %0.82 (providing Buy signals).
