NVDA "NVIDIA" Remains Bearish! Monthly Volume is low, MACD Momentum is falling as price continues to drop...
1NVDA trade ideas
NVDA: Bouncing, but Will It Hold?🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $126, targeting $118 and $110. A failure to hold support may extend the downtrend.
🩸 Long: Above $135, targeting $145 and $150. A breakout over the 200 EMA ($137) confirms bullish momentum.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $135 — Key area to reclaim for further upside.
🩸 Support: $126 — Holding above this level strengthens bullish confidence.
NVDA experienced a heavy pullback but is attempting a recovery, with MACD starting to reverse upward. Volume suggests strong buying interest, but the 200 EMA remains a major obstacle.
👑 "Patience is power. Reacting with precision makes the difference between winning and losing." — LucanInvestor
Don't be an idiotEveryone online is saying "wow what a great buying opportunity!" "im loading up here!" "never thought id see this price again!"
This stock has gone 10x in 2 years... you missed it. Move on.
Buying on the first red candle would be the same as selling on the first green candle like ive circled. $80 here we come.
Bubble Burst?Has the NVDA bubble burst? At least from a technical standpoint, the answer appears to be yes. Further declines are anticipated, at least over the next two weeks.
First target at 110$
Potential pull-back on the biggest stock in the world? Careful with a potential pull-back at the top of the range. Bearish butterfly harmonic pattern is forming with bearish divergence double top on the RSI. If NASDAQ:NVDA were to go down, we could potentially see its price perform badly after earnings, which could be near the pattern completion zone.
NVDA - Completed 3 wave corrective pattern, upside to come?NASDAQ:NVDA is looking at a potential rebound after completing its 3-wave structure as prices saw a sustained rebound at 117 region, which coincide with the 138.2% Fib expansion level of wave A-B. Right now, upside seems to be an corrective upside and may hit 135-148 region before hitting a resistance.
China strikes NVIDIA: The company loses nearly $500 billionThe stock price of #NVIDIA fell by 13.93%, closing at $118 on January 27 , following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek in artificial intelligence.
The plunge in NVIDIA’s shares was triggered by the rising prominence of DeepSeek, whose AI model R1 surpassed OpenAI in key metrics, raising concerns over the U.S.’s leadership in IT technologies. The market capitalization of companies like NVIDIA dropped by over $1 trillion.
Last week, DeepSeek unveiled an updated model capable of providing reasoning-based answers, while its development costs remain significantly lower than those of competitors. This has raised doubts about the necessity of high investments in AI accelerators. Satya Nadella of Microsoft highlighted the importance of carefully analyzing developments from China.
DeepSeek’s advancements have disrupted the AI market, leading to a sell-off of U.S. tech stocks. Futures on the NASDAQ-100 (#NQ100) fell by 4%, while shares of European and Japanese semiconductor and tech companies also declined.
NVIDIA is facing significant market challenges, which are already impacting its future prospects. However, the demand for innovation may open new avenues for growth.
NVIDIA startted the correction-update on previous analysisAs previously mentioned, Nvidia started the correction in the form of E of large diamteric, months ago, we had a and b and now C has started with targets for as low as $80 and beyond.
NVIDIA Resistance at 127 and support at 105 then 91I am brearish NVDA medium term till July with resistance at 127 and short term support at 105. but very strong support at 91. Lets see how it goes. See my multi year NVDA analysis for my bearish bias. At 91 I would a big buyer. At 91 it would touch the low of lower channel
Nvidia completed approx 1000% cycle last yearI noticed 1000% cycle completion last march. Since then just been trading short term.
I will wait for a 50-62% correction for long term long, till then trading short term. In short term I have a target of 100 to buy
NVDA LESSON Now We Hunt For A DISCOUNT Nvidia⚪️ NVDA Another example of traders getting
trapped at the high.
⚪️ Also a prime example of traders
entering pre 150 break.
We don't need level 2 data to know
how HUMANS WILL ACT.
HUMAN BEHAVIOUR IS PREDICTABLE.
✅️That is an edge we can use too................
🟢 Every trend starts with a breakout and yes if you take everyone you will never miss the NEXT BIG MOVE BUT.....
🟢 By doing so you will inevitabley give up a high win rate, and the fact is that most humans would rather be RIGHT than make MONEY.
⭐️THAT IS JUST SIMPLE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR.⭐️ IT'S STRANGE BUT TRUE⭐️
🌎Most traders would rather sacrifice more profit for a HIGHER WIN RATE🌍
Some of the most PROFITABLE TRADERS & INVESTORS in the WORLD have a WIN RATE BELOW 50%.❕️
❗️LET THAT SINK IT...❗️
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NVDA ... New Nvidia analysis with linesJust a few ideas for line based on past trends and support structure connections.
Not one to care where this goes, but use your own indicators to see which of these lines seem most important to you.
10 min:
30 min:
$NVDA, Long, TP>25%NASDAQ:NVDA , Long, TP>25%
Fundamentally the stock is good.
Choose an entry point and do not forget about a protective order if you are trading with leverage.
Don't risk it if you're not sure.
Good luck to everyone.
NVDA - Sellside Liquidity Run to Long ITM Calls >7 Days outI'm already long NVDA in a net profitable hedged position. I went long at 129 and overhedged at 151. The CES event stank of buy the rumor, sell the news. The chart structure also supported a clear buyside liquidity run to that level.
The double wicks at the top of the range indicate an intent to run through buyside again. Before the CES run, a gaping block shaped void near ATH was clearly visible. This was a bearish selling block that has since been filled. That seller had to be bought out before NVDA could continue its run.
There has been evident presence of sellside liquidity at ~129 since the beginning of the run. Initially I believed that would get run out before the buyside run, but I was wrong. Given the state of the VIX, TSLA, Silver, and Long term bond yields, a volatility spike capable of driving any weak hands (i.e. unhedged) out of NVDA feels imminent. I made a few mistakes on this run and my current NVDA position, though profitable and riskless is still at risk of being called away (at a profit).
None the less, I intend to add onto my position if a volatility spike and liquidity run does occur and fix my risk using shorter dated ITM calls. A volatility expansion of this magnitude has the ability to run out even very conservatively placed stops, so ITM calls are the best bet I have to enter into a risk managed position.
A large scale volatility bid will very quickly get sold by volatility sellers and traders (like myself) who mop up the blood in the streets. My short volatility positions are already hidden liquidity on the books.
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
$NVDA #Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is currently accumlating.
A close above $160 is a breakout and is unlocking an uncharted zone up to the closest psychological mark $200.
A close below $124 is a retest to the nearest demand zone at the same level.
A close below $118 is unlocking $88 mark.
#STOCKS #STOCKMARKET #NVDA #NVIDIA #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #AHMEDMESBAH
Major Price Movement Incoming for NVDA!Signalist has detected a precise pattern in NASDAQ:NVDA trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event.
📅 What to Expect:
⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles.
📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on NVDA’s price action over the next few candles.
Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
NVDA quick flip - LONG at 133.23NVDA is still the leader in AI chips. AI is not going away. For me, the rest is just noise.
Chart-wise:
-It bounced off its closest support level (and has lots more support below that), closing near the highs of the day along with the market overall.
-It's still within its uptrending regression channel.
-4 down days is a routinely profitable short term trade setup
Finally, 700+ trades in my algo hasn't led me astray on NASDAQ:NVDA yet, so I'm betting that it isn't now.
For all you HODLers, just ignore this idea - it's not for you. I'm not married to NVDA, I'm just here for a quick flip. I'll add more as long as my algo deems it worthy, and I'll sell any purchased lot as soon as it is end of day profitable. My profit target is simply green - however much the market sees fit to provide me.
Note: not all the trades shown on the chart used this exit strategy, so don't expect to see +20%. This is a take your money and run market, imo.
This is just a commentary on what I'm doing and why. DYOR and only make trades that are sensible given your individual situation. And PLEASE don't over leverage, kids. It's asking for trouble, especially in a jittery market like this one.
Lots currently held:
Lot 1 - 133.23
$NVDA Buy now when everyone is in fear! Easy Rally to $165 !!Based on recent analyses and expert forecasts, NVIDIA's stock price (NVDA) is anticipated to perform robustly in the first quarter of 2025. Analysts have set a target price around $170 if the stock can convincingly surpass the $145 mark.
Reason to BUY NASDAQ:NVDA
Strong Demand for AI: NVIDIA's GPUs play a critical role in training complex AI models. The rising demand for AI technologies, particularly from major tech companies, is boosting the need for NVIDIA's specialized chips.
Data Center Growth: NVIDIA's data center revenue has been experiencing significant growth. This segment now accounts for a substantial portion of their total revenue, and ongoing investments in data centers by cloud service providers are expected to further drive demand.
New Product Launches: NVIDIA is preparing to increase shipments of its new H200 GPU, which boasts greater efficiency and power compared to its predecessor. This could attract more customers and boost sales.
Positive Market Sentiment: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on NVIDIA's stock, with some predicting further price increases due to sustained demand and strong financial performance.
AI Monetization: Companies such as Microsoft and Meta are seeing increased monetization from AI applications, potentially leading to higher spending on NVIDIA's products.
BUY NOW NASDAQ:NVDA !!
Fear & Greed Index: 39 (FEAR)
Green Days: 13/30 (43%)
RSI as of 01/13/2025
200-Day SMA: $119.35
50-day SMA: $139.86
Volatility: 3.12%
I also anticipate a dramatic increase due to the following events:
CPI 01/15/2025
Trump Administration 01/20/2025
FOMC Meeting: 01/29/2025
NVDA: Back On Its Feet?Nvidia, like most tech stocks recently, has been incredibly choppy. For this investment in particular, there are many additional issues that caused several declines recently. Most notably, the evolving chip export bans from the United States has hit this company's valuation.
Nvidia, famous for its immense gain over the past few years, has been held down for multiple months. For the first time in a while, we are seeing strong momentum to the upside, as buyers appear to be ready for another run. I promote great caution for the next couple months with limited risk. Nonetheless, Nvidia seems like a great buy now.
NVDAFrom both a fundamental and technical perspective, NVIDIA (NVDA) appears to present a compelling buying opportunity. Below, I analyze the situation using the technical chart provided alongside key fundamental metrics:
Technical Analysis Insights
Position Relative to Linear Regression Channel:
The chart shows NVDA trading near the lower boundary of the regression channel, specifically two standard deviations below the mean. Historically, stocks within strong uptrends tend to revert toward the mean when they reach such oversold levels. This makes it an attractive entry point for mean-reversion strategies.
The broader uptrend remains intact, as evidenced by the slope of the regression channel and higher highs/higher lows in the stock's price action over the past two years.
Volume Analysis:
Recent candles show a pullback accompanied by average or declining volume, suggesting that this is a healthy consolidation within an uptrend rather than a reversal.
High-volume buying during prior advances further supports the presence of institutional demand.
Support Levels:
NVDA's current price aligns closely with previous key support levels (~$130-$135), reinforcing the idea of a strong demand zone.
Fundamental Analysis Insights
Leadership in AI and GPU Markets:
NVIDIA dominates the high-performance GPU market, especially in AI workloads and data centers. With the rapid expansion of AI applications, including generative AI, cloud computing, and autonomous systems, NVDA is positioned as a key beneficiary of these megatrends.
In 2024, NVIDIA reported explosive growth in its data center revenue, primarily driven by the adoption of GPUs for AI training and inference. This growth trajectory is expected to continue as AI spending remains a priority for major enterprises.
Earnings Growth and Forward Guidance:
NVDA has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, with its recent fiscal quarters showcasing triple-digit year-over-year revenue growth in AI-related segments.
Forward guidance remains strong, with analysts projecting continued revenue expansion as demand for AI and gaming GPUs grows.
NVDA's gross margins are some of the best in the semiconductor industry, exceeding 65%, a testament to its pricing power and technological moat.
Valuation Adjustments:
While NVIDIA's valuation (P/E ratio) has historically been a point of contention, the recent pullback has created a more reasonable entry point for long-term investors. The stock is now trading at a forward P/E in line with its historical average during high-growth periods, considering its earnings potential in AI-related fields.
Catalysts for Growth:
Product Pipeline: NVIDIA continues to innovate with cutting-edge products like the Hopper and Grace architectures, which are optimized for AI workloads.
Industry Tailwinds: The global semiconductor industry is forecasted to grow significantly over the next decade, with GPUs being a critical component in AI, gaming, and automotive applications.
Partnerships and Ecosystem: NVIDIA has established partnerships with major cloud providers (e.g., AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud) and is deeply embedded in the AI ecosystem, creating recurring demand for its products.
Macroeconomic Context:
Recent economic data points to stabilizing inflation, which could lead to more accommodative monetary policies. Lower interest rates historically benefit growth stocks like NVDA by reducing the discount rate applied to future cash flows.
Conclusion
The combination of NVDA's fundamental growth drivers (AI leadership, strong financial performance, and industry tailwinds) and its technically oversold position (trading at two standard deviations below the mean) makes it a compelling buy at this juncture.
Risk is mitigated by the presence of strong technical support and the robust secular growth trends underpinning NVIDIA’s business model. For long-term investors, this confluence of factors suggests an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity.
Entry: Between 130 and 133
Long Term Target: 200
NVIDIA (NVDA) | Time to Short - Top ReachedHere's a potential short trade idea for NVIDIA with a focus on short-term movement while maintaining a long-term bullish outlook:
Trade Plan:
1. Entry Zone: Look for a short around the green resistance box (~$143.88 - $149.85).
2. Stop Loss: Place it slightly above the upper resistance at $152.15.
Targets:
- Target 1: $124.00
- Target 2: $111.74 (next key support zone)
Reasoning:
- NVIDIA appears to have reached a short-term top.
- Wave patterns indicate a possible retracement before resuming the long-term uptrend.
- This trade idea is for swing traders comfortable with shorting.
Keep in mind that NVIDIA remains bullish on a larger timeframe.
$NVDA Option Traders Dream? Could NASDAQ:NVDA get trapped in the horizontal pattern for the next 7 months before breaking out? If so, then it could be an Option trader's paradise.
