Banco Sabadell Rejects Hostile Takeover Bid with Record ProfitBanco Sabadell reported a record net profit of €791 million in the first half of 2024, up 40.3% year-on-year, beating analysts' expectations. The bank increased its promised dividend by 21%, committing to distribute €2.9 billion between 2024 and 2025, in response to BBVA's hostile takeover bid. Return on tangible equity (RoTE) rose to 13.1%, and the top-quality capital, CET1 fully loaded, reached 13.48%. The improvement in profits was due to growth in SME and corporate financing, mortgages, and an improved credit risk profile. The bank also announced an increase in pay-out to 60%, with the first payment of 8 cents per share in October. The board of directors rejected BBVA's takeover bid as insufficient.
Looking at the chart since February, Banco Sabadell has been climbing, with its latest price rise since June 14 to date being 16.25%. This shows that its enterprise value is very well consolidated in the market. If we compare it with BBVA, which since the publication of the hostile takeover bid in May, has shown how Sabadell sustained its price, while BBVA depreciated. Since the last period of June both firms have been climbing positions. This is closely related to the ECB's monetary policies.
Sabadell is currently giving an overbought RSI signal at 69.48% which we could keep an eye on after the issuance of dividend payments, a very frequent occurrence. If we look at the price bell, currently the POC is 1.1250, with the high being the current trading area in a rather double bell.
It would be expected with the “Hype” that has been created that Sabadell will rally a bit more to then try to establish a new higher support zone.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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1SAB trade ideas
Sabadell swinging around. Will June 15 be its last swing?Sabadell is undervalued with respect to its books. Target Price set at 0.20€ with error margin of 10% (down to 0.18€ level), being it 0.13 times its book value. Expecting to reach it on June 8 and from there, launching a 50-60% pull-back until June 16. After that, hostile territory. It can either correct downwards or take off up to 0.4-0.47 level.
Sabadell touched lower bound of bullish channel from Aug 14Interesting performance of the bank. Spanish socialist-left political environment, Brexit and IRPH trial results to be known either next week or the first of February may affect negatively the company. However, in June 2019 news of Sabadell reducing its exposition -43% to IRPH and expecting an impact of €800 million instead of €1,600 million from Bankia or €6,446 million from Caixabank and in January 3rd 2020 news about Sabadell transforming its first dividend payment into distribution autoportfolio shares may affect positively the company. So what can we say? Well, looking at its technical behavior, if it breaks through 0.9246 we might experience a sharp fall towards 0.83 level. If it doesn break, we could go to 1.20€ but these would be levels from 2018 and there is a big resistance around 1.06€.
SAB aims higher - High Prob Trade - 16.08.2019Dear all,
Here's a quick trade short term that could play out the next week. There was a huge sell off few weeks ago, so that enhances the probabilities for the pattern to play out.
PROS:
- European Central Bank just whispered (not official) that the the 12th of September they will announce new measures to enhance liquidity and that a possible escenario could be to start buying Equities from private companies in addition to the TLRO's already done with sovereign bonds .
- Volume divergence is clear enough during this sell off.
STRATEGY
Buy the upper part of this week's closing figure (green line, please do use a LIMIT ORDER ) with stop loss (red line) and aim for a 10-11% target.
***NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE, JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES***