SMCI has positive bullish divergence on the RSIWe go long SMCI as there is positive bullish divergence on the RSI setting the target to the high in Q1 2024.
1SMCI trade ideas
Supermicro and Fujitsu Collaborate on Green AI ComputingSupermicro stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) Shows Bullish Potential Despite Stock Dip
Supermicro, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) and Fujitsu have recently announced a long-term strategic collaboration to develop cutting-edge green AI computing technology and liquid-cooled datacenter solutions. This partnership, which will focus on future AI, HPC, and next-generation data centers, aims to provide more energy-efficient solutions for the growing demand in AI and data infrastructure while minimizing environmental impact.
Strategic Collaboration Overview
The collaboration includes developing platforms using Fujitsu's upcoming **Arm-based “FUJITSU-MONAKA” processor**, targeted for release in 2027. This processor will be designed for high-performance computing while also being energy-efficient. Supermicro’s liquid-cooling technology will play a vital role, helping to address the challenge of rising data center power consumption and environmental concerns. Together, the companies aim to create green IT architectures that align with global sustainability goals.
Supermicro CEO Charles Liang stated, “These systems will be optimized to support a broad range of workloads in AI, HPC, cloud, and edge environments.” The companies’ combined technical capabilities are expected to enhance performance across several industries while reducing the ecological footprint of data centers.
The liquid-cooled systems, which Supermicro is already leading in, will be central to this effort. The companies aim to bring rack-scale liquid cooling solutions that offer not just high-performance processing, but also **green AI infrastructure** that meets the global demand for scalable, energy-efficient AI and computing platforms.
Strengths and Future Outlook
Supermicro has continued to position itself as a leader in IT infrastructure. The company's focus on energy efficiency and green computing aligns with broader market trends, especially as environmental concerns become central in technology development. The new FUJITSU-MONAKA processor promises to deliver excellent performance and power efficiency, crucial for AI workloads and data centers of the future. This processor, using cutting-edge 2-nanometer technology, will strengthen Supermicro’s competitive edge in both the AI and broader HPC market.
In addition, the partnership will extend globally with the inclusion of Fsas Technologies Inc., a subsidiary of Fujitsu, providing AI platforms based on Supermicro's GPU servers. This move will allow both companies to offer top-tier AI solutions on a global scale, aiding enterprises and data center operators in leveraging AI-driven digital transformation (DX).
Technical Analysis
As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:SMCI stock is down 1.07%, but the technical indicators point to a potential bullish reversal. The daily chart reveals the formation of a bullish flag pattern, which signals a potential upward breakout. A move above the $75 pivot would confirm this bullish momentum and could trigger a substantial rally in the stock, given the broader AI and tech stock trends this year.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently sits at 38, which indicates that the stock may be in oversold territory. This could present an excellent buying opportunity for investors who believe in the long-term potential of Supermicro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ), especially with its involvement in green AI and liquid-cooling technologies.
Conclusion
Supermicro’s collaboration with Fujitsu marks an important step forward in creating a sustainable and high-performance AI infrastructure, essential for the future of data centers. Despite the stock’s current dip, the technical analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal on the horizon, fueled by favorable industry conditions and the company’s focus on innovative, green technologies. Investors might view the RSI level as an opportunity to enter or accumulate positions, given the long-term promise of this partnership and the growing demand for AI-driven solutions.
Supermicro is well-positioned to benefit from both its focus on sustainability and the growing demand for AI infrastructure, making it a stock to watch closely in the near term and beyond.
$SMCI Trade IdeaNASDAQ:SMCI Trade Idea
Calls over $42.74
Target: $43.77, $44.64
Puts under $40
Target: $37.30, $34.76, $33.36
SMCI Is it a by after the stock split??Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) just had their 10-for-1 stock split and what's on everyone's mind now is this: Is it a buy? Well after a fresh 8-month Low last Thursday, the market certainly doesn't look at its best, quite the contrary, it is on the worst position it could be after the July 15 High and the start of a Channel Down with series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
There is a certain level though, where all of SMCI corrections came to an end since the March 23 2020 bullish break-out during the COVID flash crash, and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As you can see, before the stock turned completely parabolic in May 2023, it was trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 2018 market bottom. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can accurately put into context the subsequent parabolic move too, which extended all the way to almost the 4.0 Fibonacci extension on the week of March 04 2024 and the All Time High (ATH), before starting its correction.
In the meantime, notice the excellent Buy Signal that the 1W RSI is giving in the last 6 years, every time it approaches the 30.00 oversold barrier.
So as long as the 1W MA100 keeps closing the stocks weekly candles above it, we will be bullish, targeting $125.00 (the ATH). If that fails to support though, expect further downside to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will place a second long-term buy.
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death cross SMA volume box resistance fib zone correctionOther indicators, such as no sign of a reversal, follow the downward trend. Catalyst is still out there on the short, not necessarily to do directly with the company. Might see closer to the lows of last year, of course, post-split being upper 20-mid 30. Until that happens, it's bearish.
SMCI. buy or wait?Should you time the entry or just buy and see what happens. Over a longer time horizon this is a good purchase, but the question is whether the pullback has finished pulling back? SMCI could go to 300 before hitting 600, but I do see it heading to 600+ in the not distant future. Perhaps it is worthwhile to open a small position and worst case if it starts pumping now I won't miss out fully. Only open bigger position if goes lower makes sense to me.
Super Micro Computer Stock Plunges Amid Federal Accounting ProbeSuper Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ), a prominent player in the AI hardware space, saw its stock tumble by 15% on Thursday after reports surfaced that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has opened a federal investigation into the company. The probe, sparked by allegations of accounting manipulation and other improprieties, has sent shockwaves through the market. For a company that had been riding high on the back of the AI boom, this investigation poses serious questions about its future trajectory.
The Backstory: Short-Seller Allegations and Federal Involvement
The DOJ's investigation follows a damning report by Hindenburg Research, a well-known short-seller, which was released in August. In the report, Hindenburg alleged that Super Micro Computer engaged in accounting manipulation, sibling self-dealing, and sanctions evasion. The short-seller also pointed to undisclosed related-party transactions, export control violations, and suspicious customer issues.
The allegations didn’t just arise from external analysis—internal turmoil has also surfaced. A former employee of Super Micro filed a whistleblower lawsuit earlier this year, accusing the company of improper accounting practices. The lawsuit also names Charles Liang, the CEO of Super Micro, who has been a central figure in the company's rise during the AI boom. These combined factors appear to have prompted federal officials to begin looking into the server manufacturer’s business practices.
According to reports from *The Wall Street Journal*, prosecutors from the U.S. Attorney’s Office in San Francisco are now involved, and early-stage inquiries have been made regarding the whistleblower’s accusations. While Super Micro has declined to comment on these developments, the stock market reacted swiftly to the news, with NASDAQ:SMCI leading the day's decliners in the S&P 500.
Delayed Annual Report and Market Fallout
This isn't the first time Super Micro’s accounting practices have raised concerns. In August, the company announced that it would be delaying the filing of its annual report, citing the need to assess its internal controls over financial reporting. That announcement caused the stock to fall nearly 20%, hinting that investors were already skittish about the company’s financial transparency.
Super Micro’s inability to file its annual report with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on time coincided with Hindenburg's allegations, further fueling speculation that all may not be well behind the scenes. While the company has not provided clear explanations for the delay, the timing raises questions about whether the two events are linked.
The Impact on Super Micro: From AI Boom to Uncertainty
Super Micro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) had been one of the major beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence boom, with its server technology being a critical component for companies such as Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, all of whom are at the forefront of AI development. The company specializes in manufacturing high-performance servers used for data storage, website hosting, and AI-driven applications.
Earlier this year, NASDAQ:SMCI shares hit an all-time high, having quadrupled in value thanks to the skyrocketing demand for AI hardware. As a key supplier to some of the biggest names in the tech world, Super Micro positioned itself as a crucial cog in the AI machine. The company's meteoric rise seemed unstoppable, with shares still up by 38% in 2024, even after recent setbacks.
However, this latest development puts the company in a precarious position. With a federal probe underway, the future looks uncertain. Even if the company manages to clear its name, the mere specter of an accounting scandal is enough to dent investor confidence.
A Look Ahead: Can Super Micro Rebound?
As the federal probe unfolds, the critical question for investors is whether Super Micro can recover from this blow. While the company’s technological prowess and strategic positioning within the AI sector remain intact, the financial and legal challenges could significantly impact its future performance.
Analysts are likely to keep a close watch on how the company handles the accounting investigation and whether it can restore trust with its shareholders. For now, the stock’s sharp decline serves as a reminder that even the most promising companies can face turbulence when financial transparency is called into question.
With no comment from either the company or the DOJ, much remains unknown about the exact scope of the investigation or how long it will last. Super Micro's success has largely been built on its reputation as a reliable provider of server technology in the booming AI market. However, if the allegations prove to be true, the fallout could be severe, leading to deeper market losses and potentially legal consequences.
Conclusion
Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) now finds itself at a critical juncture. After riding high on the AI boom, the company must now contend with a federal investigation that could unravel the confidence investors have placed in it. While Super Micro’s role in the AI revolution is undisputed, the outcome of the DOJ probe will likely determine the company's future trajectory.
Investors should brace for continued volatility as the investigation progresses. For those considering a stake in NASDAQ:SMCI , caution is advisable until more information is available about the probe's findings and Super Micro’s financial health. Until then, the company remains in a precarious position, teetering between its past AI-driven success and an uncertain legal future.
SMCI DROPSuper Micro Computer (SMCI) is currently under scrutiny as it faces multiple probes and class-action lawsuits. These legal issues primarily stem from allegations of accounting manipulation and concerns over corporate governance. The investigation has been sparked by a report from Hindenburg Research, which raised serious questions about the company's financial reporting, including accusations of overstating sales, understating expenses, and engaging in "round-tripping" practices to inflate revenues
SMCI eyes on $442.58: possible bottoming confirmation if holdsThis is a folloowup to my $1152 Top Call (click).
SMCI topped where expected and is retracing hard.
Possible bottoming process after capitulation dump.
Currently floating in a trio of major fibs for support.
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SMCI hyped?Same idea as AVGO, Nice flag set up and we broke above it on Friday, Now i will use that level as my entry, with targets at 488 (big gap)
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Faces Securities Fraud LawsuitSuper Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) is navigating turbulent waters as the company faces a class action lawsuit alleging violations of federal securities laws. The Schall Law Firm, a national shareholder rights litigation firm, has filed a lawsuit against Super Micro for potential violations of Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as well as Rule 10b-5. The litigation involves accusations of misleading investors and possibly inflating financial figures. Shareholders who purchased SMCI securities between August 10, 2021, and August 26, 2024, are urged to contact the law firm before the October 29, 2024, deadline.
Despite the legal headwinds, Super Micro’s stock is making waves ahead of a highly anticipated 10-for-1 stock split, which is scheduled to take effect after the closing bell on September 30, 2024. On the technical side, the stock has rebounded by 4% in recent trading, signaling renewed investor interest. However, the company has lost nearly half of its value over the past three months, weighed down by disappointing fiscal Q4 earnings and allegations of “accounting manipulation” by short seller Hindenburg Research.
Legal Troubles and Market Sentiment
The class action lawsuit represents a major challenge for Super Micro Computer as it grapples with accusations that could severely damage investor confidence. Violations of securities law can lead to significant penalties, reputational damage, and a prolonged legal battle, all of which could negatively affect the company’s stock price.
Adding to these troubles is Hindenburg Research’s scathing report, which alleges that the company engaged in improper accounting practices, contributing to the stock's volatility in recent months. This report has stirred skepticism among some investors, although others remain focused on Super Micro’s long-term potential, particularly in the fast-growing artificial intelligence (AI) server market.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Despite these setbacks, NASDAQ:SMCI stock is attempting to recover from its sharp decline and has recently shown some signs of life. On Monday, the stock rose by 1.78%, trading at a relative strength index (RSI) of 43, indicating that it is emerging from an oversold condition, but still showing some weakness. The RSI remains below 50, suggesting that NASDAQ:SMCI is still working to overcome bearish momentum.
SMCI’s price movement has been oscillating within a descending broadening wedge formation since reaching its all-time high in March 2024. This pattern is often viewed as a bullish reversal signal once a breakout occurs, but so far, the stock has struggled to maintain upward momentum. The lower trendline of the wedge around $357 has held as key support in recent weeks, and a failure to defend this level could send shares tumbling toward $230, where previous troughs were established between August and October of last year.
On the upside, the stock faces significant resistance around $700, a level that aligns with the 200-day moving average. A breakout above this resistance could trigger a rally toward $975, a price level that corresponds with several swing highs from earlier in the year.
AI Server Demand and Innovation
While Super Micro (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) grapples with its legal issues, the company still holds substantial promise as a first mover in AI server infrastructure. The demand for AI server technology, particularly liquid cooling rack systems, is expected to surge as artificial intelligence applications grow. This market opportunity has led analysts at Needham to issue a “buy” rating for SMCI, with a price target of $600, which represents a potential upside of 31% from the stock's current price of $457.27.
Super Micro’s expertise in high-performance computing solutions positions it well to capitalize on the rising demand for AI servers. The company's AI-focused products, including its liquid cooling rack systems, are seen as cutting-edge technology that could play a crucial role in addressing the growing data needs of AI workloads.
The Path Forward: Legal Risks vs. Market Potential
As SMCI prepares for its stock split and navigates its legal battles, investors will be watching closely to see how the company balances the risks of the lawsuit with its promising opportunities in the AI server market. The ongoing legal challenges could weigh on the stock in the short term, but the company’s innovative technology and growing demand for AI infrastructure offer long-term growth potential.
For investors, key technical levels such as $357 and $700 will be important markers for determining whether the stock can regain its footing or continue to slide. With the stock split and lawsuit on the horizon, Super Micro Computer remains a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks.
Conclusion
Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) finds itself at a critical juncture. The class action lawsuit for potential securities fraud, coupled with accusations from Hindenburg Research, presents significant risks. However, the company’s forward-looking focus on AI servers and liquid cooling systems provides a compelling case for long-term growth. As the stock split nears and legal proceedings unfold, investors should keep a close eye on both the technical price levels and any updates on the lawsuit, as these factors will heavily influence SMCI’s trajectory in the near future.
SMCI - Can Super Micro Computer regain trust of investors?Super Micro Computer received non compliance note from Nasdaq for failing to timely file its annual report for the period ending June 30 by the Aug. 29 deadline.
The company said it had 60 days to file the report or submit a plan to regain compliance.
After Hindenburg short report and notice from Nasdaq, much negativity already priced in. If they can file their report for ending June 30, rebound started from just below 400 , might reach 530-usd (61.8%). In the end, revenue growth for fiscal year is expected at 80%.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) trade ideaSMCI is in the process of bottoming out after a prolonged downtrend, as seen with a potential base formation. A breakout above its current consolidation zone could trigger a new upward leg, especially with improving volume patterns. Watching how the stock behaves around its moving averages will provide clues on the sustainability of this possible recovery.
SMCI - Not a hold, possibly buying opportunities with structureSMCI is in a clear downtrend and extremely forceful one, even with this small recovery I would not consider a long till $600+
Potential bearish scenario with recovery could also have the price much lower so please give this stock time with the market.
SMCI Bottom and Christmas Rally To ComeLight Fundamental:
It is a stock called SMCI (or Super Mico Computer). It is a US company that makes super powerful computers and servers. The world needs servers to help run things like big websites, apps, and AI. The stock price fell by half. So, it is selling at a discount for what it is really worth. So, it is a good chance to buy it.
Technicals:
Gartley-like pattern
diagonal support
engulfing bullish pattern with d3 volume and volume confirmation
a-b-c completion at a 78.2% fib pullback
Entry is above the weekly engulfing bullish candle at 475.44.
Target is, tentatively, 1500.
Note: preparing for either an election rally or a Christmas rally in stocks
Article Title: Is AI Just Hype?In the whirlwind of AI's rapid ascent, a critical question emerges: Is the hype surrounding AI justified, or are we witnessing a bubble fueled by inflated valuations and limited innovation? Let's delve deep into the AI industry, separating the signal from the noise and providing a sobering reality check.
The Super Micro Cautionary Tale
The financial woes of Super Micro Computer serve as a stark warning. Despite the soaring demand for AI hardware, the company's internal challenges highlight the risks of investing solely in market enthusiasm. This case underscores the importance of **industry openness** and **due diligence** in the face of AI's allure.
A Landscape of Contrasts
The broader AI landscape is a tapestry of contrasting narratives. While pioneers like DeepMind and Tesla are pushing the boundaries of AI applications, a multitude of companies are capitalizing on the hype with products lacking substance. This proliferation of **AI hype** has created a toxic environment characterized by inflated valuations and a lack of substantive innovation.
Market Dynamics and Future Prospects
As the market for AI hardware matures, saturation and potential price drops loom. NVIDIA's dominance may be challenged by competitors, reshaping the industry landscape. The future of AI, however, lies in the development of more sophisticated systems capable of collaboration and learning. The integration of **quantum computing** could revolutionize AI, unlocking solutions to complex problems that are currently beyond our reach.
Conclusion
The AI industry is a complex landscape, filled with both promise and peril. While the hype surrounding AI may be tempting, it's imperative to scrutinize each company's core innovation and value. As the market matures and competition intensifies, those who can deliver **real value** and **technological advancements** will ultimately prevail. The Super Micro case serves as a stark reminder that in the realm of AI, substance, not hype, is the true currency of success.
Death cross right at a massive gap fill longer termThe stock has been bouncing back after the decline, it is now faced with two problems, the continuation of this bullish sentiment, or it fails. I don't think it will just based on the volatile week FOMC is about to unleash upon us.
SMCI MACD histogram about to cross upSMCI also has a RSI divergence. The negative about it is that it has been beaten up a lot. The sector could get hot again.
Members Daily Analysis Sept 9Markets hold majority if gap up after some early selling.
IWM weakest indice on the day.
Apple conference new iPhone, AirPods, watch
If Apple sells due Semis catch a bid?
Googl MSFT beaten down!
Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)Upon analyzing the stock SMCI , we observe a significant turning point starting in 2022, following a long period of sideways movement where the stock struggled to break above the $40 level.
After this prolonged sideways phase, the stock broke out with a clear upward trend, highlighted by the ascending trendline (green), characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Following a year of gains, the stock entered a consolidation phase but then broke out again to the upside with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume.
After reaching a peak in March 2024, the stock began a downward phase that is still ongoing.
Potential long entry points, where the stock might bounce or change trend direction, are found in the following two support areas:
Support area S1;
The POC 1 area.
If the stock begins to rally again, it will be crucial to monitor its behavior as it approaches the descending trendline (green), which could serve as a more conservative initial target.
More ambitious targets are POC 2 and resistance R1, both within a price range of $900 to $1,000.
SMCI bounce
SMCI technicals are oversold, so I'm looking for a bullish bounce. If you take a look at it's stochastic value on the 1 day chart, the fast moving line is waiting to cross over the slow moving line. This can point to a bullish reversal in the near future. Also, as far as positioning, SMCI price is sitting at a major support level on the Triangular trend channel ATR indicator. SMCI ATR is 50, so it can move in wide range depending on the day. I know that SMCI has a lot of bad news factored into it's bearish price action lately. So this could be a big risk or big reward trade depending on what the market decides to do going forward here. But it is worth taking a look at the opportunity in my opinion.
4:1 ratio reward : risk trade idea
entry = 390
stop = 360
profit = 530
9/20 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 2,155
Call Volume Total 3,801
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.57
Put Open Interest Total 29,545
Call Open Interest Total 60,080
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.49
10/18 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 1,601
Call Volume Total 1,589
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.01
Put Open Interest Total 25,669
Call Open Interest Total 33,340
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.77
11/15 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 167
Call Volume Total 663
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.25
Put Open Interest Total 15,190
Call Open Interest Total 17,048
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.89
Fib levels at 350, as well as strong supportThe stock has taken a beating. On its way up, it gradually looked into areas from previous resistance and is now looking for the reversal on a solid support line.
