The ABC's about XYZ (formerly SQ)Update Daily Chart 1/29 - would like to see it hold support at 83.95. If not, support at 80 (0.5 Fib)seems tenuous. Lower support at 72.5 remains solid. sell cash secured puts $72 - $80 for income and a potential favorable entry price. RSI above 50 is neutral-positive with room for upside.
Ascending triangle forming, bias undetermined. MACD is neutral-positive with slight lean to the upside
Conclusion: Mixed. Right now it's "Stuck in the middle with you" amid general market and geopolitical uncertainties.
Upside: $103 - $140+ but has to break above resistance with volume. Support $80 - $60 and is strong at those levels.
1SQ trade ideas
Bearish chart pattern on XYZWeekend analysis complete. After monitoring NYSE:XYZ for weeks, my alert triggered on a daily H pattern coinciding with a death cross.
Planning put positions next week with targets at 50.87, 45.80, and 42.77. Expect a brief recovery early week before a significant drop ahead of April 2nd reciprocal tariffs.
XYZ eyes on $59.xx: Double Golden Fibs that bulls need to HoldXYZ got a nice bounce with the market but is pulling back.
Now at a key support zone of two Golden Fibs (Genesis+Covid)
$58.95 - 59.25 is the exact zone of interest that muss must hold.
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Largest Dark Pool Sweep Order Since 2023...On a ranked scale since inception, there was a relatively small DP sweep order ranked #58
Price purchased at $63.90.
The reason why its so substantial is that it was the largest trade made since 2023 when the stock found major support at levels we are still consolidating in to this day.
The even bigger reason on why this means we are most likely bottoming for the last time is that the #58 trade was a DP SWEEP. Meaning they bought the stock at market value to fill it as fast as possible.
They did not set a limit order and wait patiently.
Possible?Any way you look at this, the chart looks insanely bullish.
The moves it has made in the arch looks a mirror to what it done throughout the years prior and gives me the impression we should see some aggressive moves upwards in the coming weeks. We can dip outside the arch as it has done that before, but it doesn't change its path. Lets hope it finds the momentum and reaches the Fibonacci target which is sitting in the 120-130 zone.
Alongside all of this, it's also testing a high volume level, so a bounce from here is more likely than not.
P.S:
Funnily enough, this is the exact same pattern as PYPL so I will be doing a copy and paste as the direction potential is the same.
Block | XYZ | Long at $64.84Block's NYSE:XYZ revenue is anticipated to grow from $24 billion in FY2024 to $32 billion in FY2027. With a current price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8x, debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x, and rising cash flow in the billions, it's a decent value stock at its current price. Understandably, there is some hesitation among investors due to competitive fintech market and economic headwinds. But, like PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , growth is building.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price dropped to within my historical simple moving average bands. Often, but not always, this signals a momentum change and the historical simple moving average lines indicate an upward change may be ahead. While the open price gaps on the daily chart in the $40s and GETTEX:50S may be closed before a true move up occurs, NYSE:XYZ is in a personal buy zone at $64.84.
Targets:
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
[*) $134.00 (very long-term)
Post-Earnings Contrarian PlayThe price fell hard after earnings announcement. It can easily reach $60 or even $55, especially with current market conditions. Most tech stocks keep falling on a daily basis. However, BLOCK is a solid company and the valuation becomes more attractive as the price falls. We should also not forget, that the company is in the top 10 list of companies holding BTC. I will keep an eye on this and if the price clearly breaks the trendline, then I will jump in. It is way oversold, but the same happened in TTD a week ago when the stock fell more than 30% post earnings and it keeps falling.
I would be happy to discuss on this.
2/18/25 - $xyz - Starting position... 4 satoshi2/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:XYZ
Starting position... 4 satoshi
- look, this is a lil weird (hey. that's me), but as someone as many of you know, is v close to the bitcoin community, this particular message... was... let's say... convincing.
x.com
- imvho, jack is satoshi, or let satoshi use him as a decoy and therefore likely knows satoshi
- as someone who's followed jack for the last many many years, i respect his work tremendously.
- i have my issues w/ cash app, think there are many shortcomings of the payments business here... but ultimately think that vision and leadership and foresight will prevail
- stock based comp defn factors here into the FCF calc, but IF we see this thru a lens of well run co, structurally sound, we're looking at >5% yields at this pt.
- and if you just wanna do the PE game, <20x PE for comp'ing >20% growth for the next two years (i think that number will proved to be low), this stock is somehow ignored and won't be for long.
- it's a BTC beta play without some of the ecosystem issues the degens are facing, or without the difficult work that needs to be done w/ MSTR (also a buy, but nuanced).
- anyway. i'm making this a 5% equivalent position (2.5% notional, 2x leveraged) using my 2027 leap strategy. i'm a bit indifferent as to the ST results given i'd like to turn this core and do more work. think the valuation we r at today already makes sense and as you all know, i'm heavy cash. so i'm looking to deploy strategically.
lmk what you think. plan to do more work post on this more in the coming year.
V
Support areas after the XYZ sell off Monthly closes provide guidance, measured target can cut through first line of support suggested by the weak two touchpoint upward trendline. Given the entire market is downward at the moment this can easily see the lower end of 60s. Fundamentals suggest recovery on the annual timeframe, maybe even next earning call at least back towards the gap.
XYZ - SQ - BLOCK - still in contextI posted this a while back, without timing, it seems to have ran close to my layout.
3 day rule here before assessment for a bounce play, or DCA.
Still need to look at fundamentals and any news, analyst coverage this next week.
For now the trend is still in tact in my opinion.
Not investment information.
$XYZ will trade > $100 - Say good bye to double digit for NYSE:XYZ
- This company is innovating better than other fintech.
- Visionary ideas for revolutionizing the finance.
- has capped number of employees @ 12k. Jack has shown financial discipline at NYSE:XYZ as compared to NYSE:TWTR
- GAAP EPS is growing for the next 3 years.
Fundamental wise:
Year | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
EPS | 1.91 | 2.61 | 3.65 | 4.47 |
EPS growth% | 759% | 36% | 39% | 22.46% |
Bear Case (p/e 25 ) | $47.75 | $65.25 | $91.25 | $111.75 |
Base case ( p/e 30) | $57.3 | $78.3 | $109.5 | $134.1 |
Bull Case (p/e 35) | $66.85 | $91.35 | $127.75 | $156.45 |
- Stocks often are forward looking. I believe this year we should trade at $91-$127 range.
- Anything below $78 is accumulation zone for me.
XYZ Block Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold XYZ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XYZ Block prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 82usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Block Inc Stock Price & AnalysisWithin a 100K Account Balance the split on Trade & Risk Management = 1/10% - 1/20% margin as an Execution Range, to set up an Order Entry and select a per Trade on Average, to avoid any drawdown hit regarding to Stop Loss & to execute Risk on Management Specifics. Trail Stop efforts are a Focus of Attention to the set up in general when Volatile-Price-Action is involved, mainly because of the usage of an Intraday-Scalp-Position tool on behalf on the Trade Plan in general
Key indicators on Trade Set Up in general
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
Earnings Trends
SQ reported 2nd qtr 2024 earnings of $0.93 per share on 8/1/24. This beat the $0.84 consensus of the 31 analysts covering the company
Consistent Data
Shares Outstanding | 617.6M
Institutional Ownership | 70.78%
Market Cap | 38.4B
Top Shareholders
Institutions | 1,345 Holders
Mutual Funds | 1,721 Holders
Other Major Holders | 63 Holders
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand
Block Inc Stock Price & Analysis: Overall Consensus | Buy