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1TSLA trade ideas

TSLA - Prepare to buy $282 - $264 Tesla has been in a 3 month pull back and the price is almost right to pull the trigger on a re entry. She is however ahead of schedule by a solid 2 full months in time. This usually resolves itself in price. Meaning a break down to lower support levels. So if the regression to the mean price level is at $282, we could see slippage down to $264 quite easily and it is almost expected. $250, is easily reachable as well. If we break down below $250, I would take a knee on this one, and wait passed the June 11 date to re-enter. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Kumar wave being used for the forecast. Posts and Dm's always welcome. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Urbanmove
TSLA in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) near oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band Price at or near Fibonacci level Entry at $100 Target is upper channel around $340 the last time this condition was met, NASDAQ:TSLA went up 10%, so let's see what happens.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by chancethepug
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or More Pain Ahead? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sharp downtrend, breaking key support levels and forming a descending channel on the 1-hour chart. The stock is now testing a crucial demand zone around $300, which aligns with a major PUT wall and strong buyer interest. Key observations: * Trend Structure: TSLA is currently in a falling wedge pattern, often a sign of potential reversal. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $320 (previous breakdown level). * Key Support: $300 (PUT Wall and highest negative NETGEX). * Breakout Target: $340 if TSLA regains momentum. * MACD Indicator: Bearish but showing early signs of a possible crossover. * Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. Options Flow & GEX Analysis The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator reveals heavy PUT positioning near $300, making it a high-stakes level. A break below could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while holding above could fuel a short-covering rally. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 62, with IVx avg at 71.7%, indicating high volatility. * Call Side Bias: 31.3% of options flow, meaning some traders are betting on a bounce. * Key GEX Levels: * PUT Wall & Key Support: $300 → Breaking below could see more downside toward $290-$280. * CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $340 → Breaking above this level would confirm a reversal. Trade Plan & Suggestions 📌 Bullish Reversal Play (If $300 Holds) * Entry: Above $306 with strong volume. * Target 1: $320 * Target 2: $340 (CALL Wall breakout target). * Stop-loss: Below $297 📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If $300 Fails) * Entry: Below $297 with volume confirmation. * Target 1: $290 * Target 2: $280 (Potential next support). * Stop-loss: Above $310 Final Thoughts TSLA is at a make-or-break level, with $300 acting as the battleground. If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally toward $320-$340. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $300 could lead to a further slide toward $280. High volatility means traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a position. 📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels and position size accordingly. This setup has high risk but also high reward potential. 🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $. But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains. But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RabishankarBiswal
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days. - Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs. - Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025. - Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins - Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft - Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026 I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ChessCrypto
Tesla (TSLA) Scalping & Mid-Term AnalysisMarket Overview Trend: Strong Bearish 📉 Resistance: $309.30 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling Support: $296.00 → Local demand zone Indicators: MACD: Bearish, no reversal confirmation RSI: Oversold (17.96 on 30m) – potential for short-term bounce VWAP: Below average – sellers control momentum 🩸 Risk: High probability of a short squeeze if volume spikes 🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage) 🩸 Momentum Scalping: Buy: Near $297–$299, targeting $305 Sell: Near $305–$309, targeting $298 Stop-loss: Below $295 🩸 Breakout Scalping: Above $310: Long to $318 Below $296: Short to $290 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) If $310 holds, potential retest of $320 If $296 breaks, freefall to $285 🔥 News & Market Context 🩸 Tesla planning major initiatives in early 2025, including Model Y Juniper launch & self-driving advancements → Bullish Long-Term 🩸 However, short-term market reaction is bearish due to macro pressures 🔥 Decision: 🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $297, sell at $305+ 🩸 Mid-term: Avoid heavy long positions until $310 breaks 🩸 Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter longs only above $310 👑 Final Verdict: "Survival isn’t about guessing—it’s about acting before the rest wake up." – LucanInvestor
NASDAQ:TSLA
by LucanInvestor
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event. Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect: Current Stock Performance Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395. The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback. Earnings Expectations Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter. Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%. Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation 👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO. 👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory. 👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call. 👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business. Analyst Sentiment There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term. The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels. Technical Sentiment Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence. Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA. Conclusion As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PandorraResearch
TSLA Not Looking Too GoodTSLA has been subject to some extreme volatility recently with shareholders hoping for good news and optimism as Elon Musk partners with Donald Trump. At the moment, I understand that Tesla earnings can be a potential positive catalyst for the stock if good news is reported, however shareholders may be in for a larger surprise as the price action may be suggesting a potential ABC or larger WXY corrective structure is currently at play. For this structure, I would like to see the overall 1-1 extension of the trend based fibonacci. To me, it looks as though this structure is made up of many smaller corrective patterns, which are creating a very choppy and volatile environment. While many stocks have retraced to their "Trump pump" gap levels, Tesla is still quite a ways away, being potentially overvalued. I will personally be looking for the 0.618 retracement on Tesla just above $440-$450 for a short trade back down to the low of $330 where the latest fomo rally began up to nearly $500. From there, I would be very much open to taking a long trade or a longer term investment on Tesla. Only time will tell!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by afurs1
24
WHAT COULD HAPPEN NEXT TO TESLA STOCK?Tesla stock is in a potential reversal zone: Strong Aroon Up + RSI near oversold + Williams %R oversold. Watch for a breakout above key resistance to confirm a bullish move. If RSI stays weak & Aroon Up falls, the stock may continue sideways or dip further. Tesla's stock as of February 25, 2025, based on the latest data. Current Price: $330.53 Updated Support Levels: First Support: $325 Second Support: $265 Updated Resistance Levels: First Resistance: $430 Second Resistance: $489 These levels are derived from recent technical analyses and are crucial for traders to monitor. The support at $325 is particularly significant, as a drop below this could indicate further declines. Conversely, breaking above the $430 resistance may signal renewed bullish momentum.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ryfa2005
TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts 1. Market Structure & Price Action: * TSLA had a major breakdown from 348-350, falling to 337.20 and consolidating. * Support Levels: * 337.20 (current price zone, high liquidity). * 330.00 (negative NETGEX & next major put wall support). * 320.09 (third put wall, high-risk breakdown level). * Resistance Levels: * 348.01 (prior breakdown level, first resistance). * 356.76 (Value Area High & rejection level). * If TSLA loses 330, expect sharp downside acceleration toward 320. 2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels: * Point of Control (POC): 337.35 → High liquidity, potential reaction zone. * Value Area High (VAH): 348.01 → Key resistance. * Value Area Low (VAL): 334.42 → Must hold to avoid more downside. 3. Indicators Review: * MACD: Bearish, with downside momentum still increasing. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold but not rebounding yet—no bullish reversal confirmation. 🛠️ Options GEX Analysis * Call Resistance: * 380-400 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls preventing upside. * 450 → Extreme call wall unlikely to be tested unless strong bullish momentum returns. * Put Walls & Support Zones: * 330 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support. * 320 → Critical third Put Wall—if lost, it could trigger a larger breakdown. * Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx): * IVR 37.1 | IVx Avg 70 → Higher volatility than previous stocks, meaning wider swings expected. * Call Positioning 50.5% → Some bullish bets, but still overshadowed by put-heavy positioning. 📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup) 🔹 Entry: Short below 334 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 330.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 320.00 (Put Wall Break).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 342 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy: * Buy PUTS 335/320 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms. * Debit Put Spread (Bearish 335P/320P for risk control). 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely) 🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 342-348, targeting 356+.
🔹 Target 1: 348.01 (first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 356.76 (major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 335 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy: * Sell 320/315 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play. 🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions * Main Bias: Bearish, unless 342+ is reclaimed. * Gamma Risks: Below 330, strong gamma exposure can push TSLA lower quickly. * Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla - The Failed All Time High Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will reject the all time high first: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Tesla was actually not able to create a sustainable all time high breakout and if a stock doesn't move up, it will come down. However Tesla still remains absolutely bullish and is now starting to create a textbook break and retest which will eventually still lead to new all time highs. Levels to watch: $400, $280 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
20
2/24/25 - $tsla - High on watchlist to own...2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA High on watchlist to own... - fundamentally, there's a lot of "if this" priced into the stock, there's no denying it - even round up '26 FCF from 8 bn (current expectation) to 10 bn and you're at a 1% yield. but also acknowledge... here it is again... "if, then" it's also growing at 100% yoy, and likely dirty cheap too - seeing that grok 3 deployment, the DOGE work, rockets, video game, edgelord X... let's get this straight, Elon is 1/ not someone to bet against 2/ continues to deliver surprises across the board 3/ is at and defining the intersection of AI, robots, energy and US-first policy - so while we can look at multiples all day, i think NASDAQ:TSLA remains a bet on what Elon can deliver in a 10Y context with a high discount rate. - if robotaxi, optimus... solar roofs (y'all know my view on solar as % of generation) all come together nicely, there's little doubt in my mind that he's right, NASDAQ:TSLA is probably the largest publicly traded company, and make up a number, $10 tn+. - so if we reduce the probability wave into a duality, "success" and "fail" and nothing in between (for simplicity, albeit an imperfect representation of reality). - if success is $10 tn in 10 years - and fail is a bagel ($0) in 10 years - and we use a LT investment discount rate of 10% ("low enough" to capture the market's current view of stocks at 3-4% for megacap, moat/ validated names but low, but "high enough" to also factor in failure, waiting period etc. etc.)... that $10 tn in today's terms would be 10/(1.1^10) = 3.9 tn. so... 3.9 tn * 10% + 0 tn * 90% = 3.9 tn. market might be saying... how about it's a 20-25% chance of success and nothing in between. or the market could be saying 10% chance of this success but also many scenarios in between that also give us 1 tn, 2 tn etc. of value. and as a result, the "real" valuation today perhaps does sit closer to that $1tn valuation. the conclusion, for me, is that technicals matter more for a name like NASDAQ:TSLA in the short-term (like they do CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) than in the long-term as these fundamental factors are delivered (or not) and cash is generated (or not). the gap fills in the low $200 do catch my eye. those are pretty large gaps. ESPECIALLY the post-election gap, which was more of an "elon benefits from being close to trump" and not necessarily (*necessarily* - though i see it both ways) a speed-up of these above mentioned fundamental factors. I'd be eyeing the mid $200s to get involved again if/when. i do think the stock is a LT buy at today's levels. but i just don't like the R/R given the drawdown potential (based on above logic) compared to other opportunities in my book today, namely NASDAQ:NXT , CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NYSE:UBER , $tsm. but i'll be watching carefully and i'm willing to jump in higher if i need to. that's cool too. just not yet. V
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VROCKSTAR