TESLA: Can double its price ($640) by the end of the year.Tesla is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.064, MACD = 4.910, ADX = 24.971), consolidating for the past week, but remains over its 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 nonetheless. Since the major market bottom on January 6th 2023, it's been trading inside a Channel Up and this is its 3rd bullish wave. The 2 prior rose by +196.67% from the bottom of the pattern (despite the 2nd breaking marginally under it). Consequently, this suggests that Tesla can rise by +100% from the current $320 level, before the Channel Up tops (HH) again. We are bullish, TP = 640.
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1TSLA trade ideas
Tesla: Robotaxi Hype and Breakout WatchNASDAQ:TSLA surged nearly +10% today, driven by growing anticipation around the upcoming robotaxi unveiling on August 8.
Investors are positioning early, speculating this innovation could open new revenue streams for Tesla and redefine mobility.
📊 Technical Setup:
• Price broke out of local resistance near $330
• Approaching major resistance at $370–371 (Bollinger Band + prior support)
• If $370 is broken and held, the stock could enter a new trading range: $370–$440
• RSI and Stochastic are heating up, but no signs of reversal yet
⚙️ Robotaxi Catalyst:
• Elon Musk confirmed the Robotaxi event set for August 8
• Analysts speculate this could boost valuation through AI and self-driving revenue potential
• Option volume and retail interest are rising fast
📌 Levels to watch:
• Breakout level: $370
• Target: $440
• Support zone: $330
• Invalidation: Close below $310
👀 Watch for pre-event momentum. A break above $370 could trigger a squeeze.
Technical Analysis – TSLAChart Summary:
Current Price: ~$349.21
Local Top: ~$357.53 (100% Fib extension)
Bearish Rejection: Notable wick + retrace from 0.886–1.0 zone
Probable Pullback Zone: 343.00–338.50 (Fibonacci 0.618–0.5 retracement)
Major Support Levels:
$334.50 – Prior key horizontal + Fib confluence
$311.62 – Historical demand zone
Projection:
Intraday double-leg correction toward $338–$343
Possible bounce and continuation toward the golden target zone:
$366.47 (1.236 Fib)
$374.16–$380.95 (1.618 zone)
🌍 Macro Alignment
Bullish backdrop:
Tech sector leading broader rally
Tesla’s robotaxi and AI narrative lifting sentiment
Oil down → margin relief for EV production
Catalysts this week: Powell testimony, PCE inflation
📈 Trading Plan
Type Direction Entry Target(s) Stop Loss Confidence
Intraday Bearish $352–$353 rejection zone $343 → $338.5 Above $357.5 🔶 Medium
Swing (Buy the dip) Bullish $338–$334 zone $366.47 → $374.16 Below $330 🟢 Strong
📌 Suggested Strategy
Scalp short if rejection at $353.2–$357.5 confirms with bearish candle on volume.
Add long exposure if price consolidates or reverses from the $338–$334.5 support area.
Monitor Powell’s remarks – Any dovish tilt could accelerate tech upside.
TSLA sentiment remains strong, but intraday shakeouts are expected.
✍️ Summary Signal
“TSLA remains bullish on a swing basis, but intraday looks set for a Fibonacci pullback to $338–$334. Buy dips if structure holds. Macro backdrop (robotaxi + Fed pause) supports continuation to $366–$374.”
TSLA TO 1600, YOU SAW IT HERE FIRSTHere's the TA that takes Tesla legitimately to 1600.
The monthly chart has a trend that is currently acting as support.
The price has fallen under that trend.
Price action is also over a massive support trend from the weekly chart.
These are the two thickest green trends.
When you zoom back and look at TSLA as a whole, you see the bigger picture.
You have a situation where the low side takes you to around $60 to 70 dollars with a low of around $48. And then you have the high side taking you to around 1600. It sounds like a candidate for a stock reverse split.
Essentially, don't miss out on this potential solar data fast car thingy ready to really zoom.
Here is the chart with the auto fib numbers showing potential targets.
Remember, this likely doesn't occur all in one night, but the projection is really looking like it takes off from earnings. Projection line in yellow.
You have an opportunity where short term trends go to a strong long term trend which climbs to a support trend meaning price can literally take off from multiple of these trends meaning, we can price action go from 420 down to 250 and back up to 1600 in less than a year total.
$TSLA Long-Term View: From $2 to $300+—How Far Can Vision Go?
📈 13-Year Monthly Chart of NASDAQ:TSLA
A $20,000 investment in Tesla back in 2012 wasn’t just a bet on a stock—it was a ticket to the future.
By 2014, those gains could’ve paid for a Model S.
By 2019, the same investment might’ve covered a Model Y and Model 3—one for you, one for your spouse.
Now, with Tesla pushing the limits of AI and robotics, could that investment soon deliver a full FSD suite and even a pair of Optimus robots serving in your home?
This chart tracks NASDAQ:TSLA ’s incredible rise—from just $2.19 in 2012 to $319.50 in June 2025.
Sometimes, holding is innovation.
TSLA: GEX Points to Bounce Setup. Is This the Dip to Load Calls?📊 GEX-Based Options Suggestion
Gamma Exposure (GEX) data paints a bullish opportunity if TSLA holds the critical support zones:
* ✅ Key GEX Levels:
* $338: Near current price, minor GEX flip zone.
* $345–$350: Strong upward magnets (3rd Call Wall + GEX build-up).
* $359: Gamma Wall + Highest Net Positive GEX — market makers may pin price near this into end of week if bulls hold.
* 🛡️ Below Support:
* $330: Light PUT defense.
* $320: Major Put Support (-67.5%) — strong bounce zone if downside accelerates.
🔔 Option Trade Idea Based on GEX:
With TSLA near the $338 zone and GEX showing stacked resistance above + positive net exposure, a high-risk/reward call entry is forming.
* Play: Buy 345C or 350C expiring 06/28 or 07/05
* Trigger: Only if price holds $335+ and shows strength with volume bounce
* Target: $345 → $350 → potential pin near $359 (Gamma Wall)
* Stop: Close under $332 invalidates the bounce setup
🧠 Trading Setup – 1H Chart (Second Image)
From the second image, we analyze price action and structure to validate the GEX idea:
📉 Market Structure:
* Price is pulling back into a prior demand zone from $335–$338.
* Trendline support + Fair Value Gap zone + SMC CHoCH aligning at this base.
* Multiple bullish CHoCHs suggest potential reaccumulation if support holds.
🎯 Trading Plan Based on Price Action:
Bullish Case (Base Holds):
* Entry: $335–$338 zone (bounce off trendline and demand zone)
* Target: $345 (GEX level) → $348 → $350
* Stop-Loss: $331
High confluence with GEX option play. Use volume spike for confirmation.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
* Trigger: Loss of $331 + trendline break
* Target: $325 → $320 (strong PUT wall support)
* Put Options: 325P or 320P if breakdown triggers with momentum
⚠️ Summary:
TSLA is entering a decision zone — GEX shows bullish opportunity if $335 support holds, with upside targets toward $350–$359. But if price breaks under $330, expect a flush toward PUT support.
Patience is key — let price confirm the bounce or the break.
This setup is for educational purposes only. Trade with discipline and use stops. Always do your own research.
6/25/25 - $tsla - Buying all dips going fwd6/25/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
Buying all dips going fwd
- "successful robotaxi or not successful robotaxi"
- elon's clearly won the vision game
- scaling hardware (cars, infra, optimus, solar) is m-o-a-t
- so is a humanoid and robotaxi robotics company that doesn't burn cash worth a trilly in today's world if the upside is perhaps 5-10 tn in the coming decade (worst case) and your downside here is what? 30... 40... 50%? Is it more? unlikely.
- so "yes" we remain entering consumer recessy. yes "tsla" shares r not cheap. and that's for a reason.
- buy scarce paper.
- buying all dips here.
- i like the dec '27 deep ITM leaps. allows me to wrangle size with a bit more flexibility in the coming months.
- but this rocketship has yet to make any meaningful moves.
- $1,000/shr is the 2Y tgt.
V
Will the Robotaxi euphoria continue to push TSLA higher?NASDAQ:TSLA pushing higher the last few days thanks to the start robotaxis. Will this rally continue? the answer is yes until the LIS gets broken.
LIS is at 311, any break below will give a retrace. If you are long, get out and get back in when the next LIS gets broken on the upside. This is efficient investing. Don't waste time doing HODL.
LIS is evolving over time, I will keep you updated on it.
This is really simple trading based on important levels. Keep following my post, so you can see it by yourself.
A Bullish Long-Term Outlook Tesla continues to present a compelling case for long-term investors, underpinned by its innovation-led growth trajectory and emerging dominance in autonomous mobility. Technically, recent market structure reveals an imbalance within a quarterly bullish breaker, suggesting further price expansion. If macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, the next algorithmic target zones fall between $594 and $690, signaling potential upside.
On the fundamental front, Tesla’s recent moves—particularly its rollout of the robotaxi network—have ignited fresh investor optimism. Analysts now estimate that autonomous driving could account for a substantial portion of Tesla’s future valuation, with some long-range forecasts placing the stock above $2,000 within the next several years.
While short-term pressures such as softening EV demand and regulatory barriers persist, Tesla’s consistent execution on AI-driven mobility may unlock new valuation territory.
TESLA LONG IDEAThe overall trend of TSLA is bullish. However, it has been retracing for a while. Currently, there's a confirmation showing that the stock is ready for a rally, targeting the previous high.
Using Structural Range Concept (SRC), a subset of Smart Money Concept (SMC), price has shown an intention to resume bullish trend. There was a mitigation of a demand zone in the discount level which led to an internal bullish break of structure, confirming the intention to go up.
A retracement into the demand zone is necessary to maximize return while minimizing risk. Entry is around $258.25 while the exit is around $210.72 and the final target is around $488.10. The risk reward ratio (RRR) is about 4.9 (that is, 4.9x of the risk).
Confluences for the long idea:
1. The trend is bullish
2. Price is in discount level
3. Price has given internal break of structure with inducement after mitigating a valid demand zone.
4. Price is also respecting bullish trend line.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. Don't take the signal if you don't accept the risk. The outcome maybe different from the projection.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Boosted by Energy StorageTesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a global leader in electric vehicles, clean energy solutions, and battery technology. The company designs and manufactures EVs, solar products, and energy storage systems that help drive the transition to sustainable energy. Tesla’s growth is fueled by rising EV adoption, battery innovations, and expansion into new markets with its cutting-edge technologies.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with increasing volume signals strong buying interest. The price has moved into the momentum zone by breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be set just below this level using the Fibonacci snap tool to protect gains as momentum continues.
What Is T-Distribution in Trading? What Is T-Distribution in Trading?
In the financial markets, understanding T-distribution in probability is a valuable skill. This statistical concept, crucial for small sample sizes, offers insights into market trends and risks. By grasping T-distribution, traders gain a powerful tool for evaluating strategies, risks, and portfolios. Let's delve into what T-distribution is and how it's effectively used in the realm of trading.
Understanding T-Distribution
The T-distribution in probability distribution plays a crucial role in trading, especially in situations where sample sizes are small. William Sealy Gosset first introduced it under the pseudonym "Student". This distribution resembles the normal distribution with its bell-shaped curve but has thicker tails, meaning it predicts more outcomes in the extreme ends than a normal distribution would.
A key element of T-distribution is the concept of 'degrees of freedom', which essentially refers to the number of values in a calculation that are free to vary. It's usually the sample size minus one.
The degrees of freedom affect the shape of the T-distribution; with fewer degrees of freedom, the distribution has heavier tails. As the degrees of freedom increase, the distribution starts to resemble the normal distribution more closely. This is particularly significant in trading when dealing with small data sets, where the T-distribution provides a more accurate estimation of probability and risk than the normal distribution.
T-Distribution vs Normal Distribution
T-distribution and normal distribution are foundational in statistical analysis, yet they serve different purposes. While both exhibit a bell-shaped curve, the T-distribution has thicker tails, implying a higher probability of extreme values. This makes it more suitable for small sample sizes or when the standard deviation is unknown.
In contrast, the normal distribution, with its thinner tails, is ideal for larger sample sets where the standard deviation is known. Traders often use T-distribution for more accurate analysis in small-scale or uncertain data scenarios, while normal distribution is preferred for larger, more stable datasets, where extreme outcomes are less likely.
Application in Trading
In trading, T-distribution is a valuable tool for analysing financial data. It is primarily used in constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis testing, which are essential for making informed trading decisions.
For instance, a trader might use T-distribution to test the effectiveness of a new trading strategy. Suppose a trader has developed a strategy using the technical analysis tools and wants to understand its potential effectiveness compared to the general market performance. They would collect a sample of returns from this strategy over a period, say, 30 days. Given the small sample size, using T-distribution is appropriate here.
The trader would then calculate the mean return of this sample and use T-distribution to create a confidence interval. This interval would provide a range within which the true mean return of the strategy is likely to lie, with a certain level of confidence. If this confidence interval shows a higher mean return than the market average, the trader might conclude that the strategy is potentially effective. However, it's important to note that this is an estimation and not a guarantee of future performance.
How to Plug Probability and Normal Distribution in Your T-Calculation
To use a T-calculator for integrating probability and normal distribution, follow these steps:
- Input Degrees of Freedom: For T-distribution, calculate the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one).
- Convert Z-Score to T-Value: If using normal distribution data, convert the Z-score (standard deviation units from the mean in a normal distribution) to a T-value using the formula: T = Z * (sqrt(n)), where 'n' is the sample size.
- Enter T-Value: Input this T-value into the calculator.
- Calculate Probability: The calculator will then output the probability, providing a statistical basis for trading decisions based on the T-distribution.
Limitations and Considerations of T-Distribution
While T-distribution is a powerful tool in trading analysis, it's important to recognise its limitations and considerations:
- Sample Size Sensitivity: T-distribution is most effective with small sample sizes. As the sample size increases, it converges to a normal distribution, reducing its distinct utility.
- Assumption of Normality: T-distribution assumes that the underlying data is approximately normally distributed. This may not hold true for all financial data sets, especially those with significant skewness or kurtosis.
- Degrees of Freedom Complications: Misestimating degrees of freedom can lead to inaccurate results. It's crucial to calculate this correctly based on the sample data.
- Outlier Sensitivity: T-distribution can be overly sensitive to outliers in the data, which can skew results.
Advanced Applications of T-Distribution in Trading
T-distribution extends beyond basic trading applications, playing a role in advanced financial analyses:
- Risk Modelling: Utilised in constructing sophisticated risk models, helping traders assess the probability of extreme losses.
- Algorithmic Trading: Integral in developing complex algorithms.
- Portfolio Optimisation: Assists in optimising portfolios by estimating returns and risks of various assets.
- Market Research: Used in advanced market research methodologies to analyse small sample behavioural studies.
The Bottom Line
The T-distribution is a powerful tool, offering nuanced insights in scenarios involving small sample sizes or uncertain standard deviations. Its ability to accommodate real-world data's quirks makes it invaluable for various trading applications, from strategy testing to risk assessment. However, understanding its limitations and proper application is crucial for accurate analysis.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA trade of the weekThis idea is something new where I'm asking my HIGHLY EXPERIMENTAL dowsing work for a "best bang for your buck" trade at the beginning of the week. Last week was pretty good saying to short SPY on Wed., so I'm going to journal these and see if it can be consistent.
If this aligns with YOUR work, great.
The idea is TSLA has a spike up towards the upper gap around $326-28. My levels on TSLA often are overshot, but anyway. Then watch for it to head towards the lower gap in the $310-307 zone and possibly down to $302.
My work is INCONSISTENT. There's more going into this than just looking at an indicator. This is energy, intention, intuition and God knows what else and it's more for myself than you. But, if you're interested, I'm happy to answer questions and share as I hope it inspires your own sense of what is possible beyond just the physical world.
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA
Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla:
* Range between $270 and $350
* $330 to $400 into price discovery
* Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204