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1TSLA trade ideas

TSLA | Long Bias | Double VWAP + ABC Setup | (June 5, 2025)TSLA | Long Bias | Double VWAP + ABC Setup | (June 5, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: Tesla is pulling back just as we anticipated, but strong technical support from a double VWAP level and a developing ABC correction is hinting at a potential bullish reversal. Momentum could build soon — this is a key area to watch! 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry Zone: Current VWAP support near $230 (adjust per actual chart level) Stop Loss: Below VWAP + liquidity zone (~$225 suggested) TP1: $363 TP2: $395 Partial Exits: Consider profit-taking along the way; over 50% of the position to be closed around the $363–$395 range. 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Support Factors: We're holding the double VWAP level and near the left-side value area high (around $294), with ABC corrective structure playing out. ✅ Money Flow: On the 4H chart, money is flowing out, but on the 30min it's stabilizing near 0 — watch for a potential turn. ❌ Risk Zone: We might see a short liquidity grab under the VWAP before the real move starts. Be patient with entries. 📰 Sentiment & Fundamentals: Tesla dropped due to new tariffs, but the news around Robotaxi services could spark a sharp rebound. Wall Street is watching closely as EPS continues to underperform forecasts. ⚠️ Valuation Caution: Despite a sky-high P/E ratio (189), Tesla remains outside normal valuation rules, like Nvidia. Keep that in mind when thinking long-term. 4️⃣ Follow-Up: I’ll be monitoring this setup closely — especially how price reacts around VWAP and whether money flow turns green. Updates to come if conditions change! Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
TESLA GOES READY FOR ITS NEW LEG DOWN. HERE'S WHAT WE KNOW ABOUTTesla stock declined after Elon Musk’s departure from the Trump administration due to a combination of reputational, operational, and market factors: Political Backlash and Brand Damage. Musk’s close association with the Trump administration and his leadership of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) generated widespread protests and alienated many of Tesla’s traditional, progressive customer base. This political controversy led to a decline in consumer interest and unsettled investors who were concerned about the brand’s long-term appeal. Sales and Profit Declines. Tesla faced falling sales and profits, with deliveries dropping in key markets like China and Europe, partly due to intensifying competition and partly due to the backlash against Musk’s political activities. The company reported a 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, and operating profits fell as well. Investor Concerns Over Leadership Focus. Investors grew worried that Musk’s political involvement was distracting him from Tesla’s core business at a critical time. There was a perception that the company was losing its competitive edge and that Musk’s attention was divided, which amplified concerns about Tesla’s future growth. Market Correction After “Trump Bump”. Tesla’s stock had surged after Trump’s election, buoyed by expectations of favorable policies. However, as Musk’s political involvement became a liability and operational challenges mounted, the post-election gains evaporated, and the stock corrected sharply downward. In summary, Musk’s controversial political role, combined with operational headwinds and shifting investor sentiment, triggered a significant decline in Tesla’s stock after his exit from the Trump administration. -- Best wishes @PandorraResearch Team
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by PandorraResearch
2
6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: $TSLA6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA Legging in slowly... again - valuation is not for this post, i've put it out there last time - after riding in many teslas in LVN (obviously not my first time) i was AMAZED at how many ubers were using FSD at my request and talking about how it's improved light years since the few versions ahead - this is now a humanoid-focused company, i'm entirely convinced it will happen and of the three companies out there, only one is public - and they're coming. given progress in AI (I'm so close to this)... we'll probably see them commercially in kitchens, old ppl homes etc. in a matter of years, at most. I'd guess we see a few out in the wild in two years... - so while it's hard to wrap my head around the "valuation" in a car context... a trillion bucks for a company in the process of disrupting the entire global services industry, is too cheap. - send it lower. - i'm starting my LT position here and want it it lower. V
NLong
by VROCKSTAR
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5% Yesterday, the share price of Tesla (TSLA) dropped by 3.5%, placing it among the five worst-performing stocks of the day in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). Since the peak on 29 May, the decline now totals nearly 10%. Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Are Falling Among the bearish factors are: → A drop in car sales in Europe. Sales in Germany fell by 36% year-on-year in May. → Growing competition from China. May deliveries from Tesla’s Chinese factory were down 15% year-on-year. → Elon Musk’s criticism of the US President’s proposed government spending bill. Media reports also suggest that Musk took offence at staffing decisions at NASA, while Trump is reportedly losing patience with Musk over his attacks on the spending bill. A potential rift between Musk and Trump could have far-reaching consequences — including for TSLA shares. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart Six days ago, we: → Drew an ascending channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary could pose a challenge to further gains; → Highlighted the $355–$375 zone (shown in purple) as a possible resistance area; → Suggested a correction scenario following a roughly 27% surge in TSLA’s stock price during May. Since then, the price has dropped towards the median line of the ascending channel. If this fails to offer sufficient support, the correction may continue towards the lower boundary of the channel, which is reinforced by support around the psychological $300 level and former resistance at $290. News related to the planned rollout of Tesla’s robotaxi trials could significantly impact TSLA’s price movements in June. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
1
WILL IT HOLD THE LINE this time ?Hello , one of big boy players . And my 30000 overview . Yes I like to look far away to see whats is the haos about ........ Many many many !!!! learned that you dont play that one down ;) .... However charting can be helpfulll . You in it ? You know why ..... Am I ? NO . Is there potential to Fly .. YES..... What you see here is very simple aproach to charting using the most old simple aproach . Can I make this complicated and get your head spin ? YES. some fundamentals dont change ....... SUPPLY / DEMAND is one of them . Here you can see how this price reponded to market conditions , Yes im talking about price at this poin only . (why) ( other metricks are out ) Deeper rabbit O >>> ONLY one way is simply put this on Play mode and that would be the only one way to watch this develop . This can deserve deeper brake down eventualy. But I belive that this mode its great for the company volatility . cheers !. Any OPINIONS ?
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by PTO
1
TSLA: Continues to form a Cup and Handle reversal patternHey folks, Just a quick analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA on the daily chart. Compared to my last analysis, price has fallen a bit since, as a new flag (handle) continues to form following a cup pattern. - Cup and Handle pattern forming. The handle would also count as a bull flag. This is known as a cup and handle reversal pattern, after a downtrend. So yes, it is possible for a stock to reverse its trend through the formation of a cup and handle reversal pattern (as you can see in the chart). - Major resistance at $366 which marks the peak of the flag (handle) pattern. This would have to be broken in order for the cup and handle to be valid. - Volume has also been decreasing during the formation of this pattern: this is typical amongst Cup and Handle patterns, and generally a positive sign. Note: Not financial advice.
NLong
by michaeldobski
Tesla vs. BYD: The Market’s Greatest IllusionIntroduction: The Tale of Two Companies You don’t need to be an economist to see it. Just compare Tesla and BYD. BYD: Founded in 1995, Chinese, over $107 billion in revenue. Tesla: Founded in 2003, American, with less revenue—but a market cap six times bigger. The reason? Because one sells cars, and the other sells dreams. And Wall Street loves a good dream. The Illusion Economy: When Hype Outweighs Reality Tesla’s valuation isn’t tied to assets, production, or profits. It’s a ritual of collective belief—a performance act where branding replaces substance, and expectation outweighs reality. It’s the same logic behind a $1,000 jacket that costs $100 to make. Put a fancy logo on it, and suddenly, it’s not overpriced—it’s "premium." You're not just buying a product; you're investing in a lifestyle. Sure. Keep telling yourself that. Tesla is the $1,000 jacket. BYD is the actual tailor shop. Tesla vs. BYD: The Numbers Tell the Story Tesla’s market cap is over $1 trillion, while BYD’s is under $200 billion. Yet, BYD outsells Tesla globally, especially in China, where it dominates the EV market. Tesla’s valuation is built on brand perception, future promises, and speculative optimism, while BYD’s is grounded in actual production and revenue. Financial Storytelling Over Business Reality Tesla isn’t just a car company—it’s a financial illusion. Markets rise not on performance, but on promise. Stock prices reflect not what a company is, but what a hedge fund feels it might become. It’s not a business model—it’s mood swings with decimal points. BYD’s Competitive Edge Production Power: BYD manufactures more EVs than Tesla annually. Battery Innovation: BYD’s Blade Battery is safer, lasts longer, and is cheaper than Tesla’s. Affordability: BYD’s EVs are significantly cheaper, making them more accessible to global consumers. Market Reach: BYD dominates China, the world’s largest EV market, while Tesla struggles with pricing and competition. The Consequences of Buying the Dream Tesla’s valuation isn’t creating better cars. It’s just creating dumber investors. Investors who think they’re visionaries because they bought into the hype. Consumers who think they’re elite because they bought the label. Boards who think they’re gods because someone inflated their stock ticker. But every illusion has an expiration date. Every bubble has its needle. And when dreams are sold on credit, reality always comes to collect. Reality Always Comes to Collect This isn’t growth. It’s speculative theater funded by your retirement account. Real value doesn’t need hype. It appears in supply chains, production lines, tangible goods, and on profit sheets that make sense even without a TED Talk. So next time you see Tesla’s trillion-dollar valuation, ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
NShort
by CassianDrake
2
INTRADAY TSLA. SHORT @ 352. LONG @ 333. Overview - TSLA is showing declining sales and low vehicle registration in the many countries. Although, that hasn't deterred the stock holder into panic selling, we aren't bullish on TSLA but we aren't necessarily bearish either. The market trend is going to determine the immediate direction today. We will go with a slightly bearish approach on TSLA, mainly because it was rejected from the 365 area despite trying to hold it. The important levels in the premarket are 343 and 348. INTRADAY TRADE PLAN - 1. If the stock opens at 345 and plummets to 343, where it confirms strength. We LONG till 348. Take a partial out at 343 and put a trailing stop. 2. If the stock opens at 345 and rallies to 348, where it confirms weakness. We SHORT till 343. Take a partial out at 343 and put a trailing stop. 3. If the stock goes till 343 and consolidates. We observe the volume footprint and side with the sellers if they are dominant. If the buyers show strength instead, then we do nothing and wait for the price to drop lower. 4. If the stock goes till 348 and consolidates. We observe the volume footprint and side with the sellers if they are dominant. We stay back if buyers are showing strength. We wait for the price to drop a little and verify if the buyer strength hold even stronger at the lower levels. Once we confirm it, we go LONG at 345 or 343. 5. If the stock goes straight to 352-355 area. We wait for even the slightest sellers aggression and we go SHORT until 345 area (or any other area where we see buying presence). 6. If the stock goes straight to 333-336 area. We wait for the buyers to step up with a little aggression and we go LONG until 348 area (or any other area where we see selling presence).
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by emad_arshad_alam
TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📉 TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025 🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bearish into June 6 Expiry 🧠 Model Breakdown 🔹 Grok (xAI) Bias: Bullish (Contrarian) Setup: 5-min RSI oversold (~23.5); daily momentum weakening. Trade: Buy $372.50C @ $0.88 → Bounce play Confidence: 65% 🔹 Claude (Anthropic) Bias: Bearish Setup: Daily/M5 MACD bearish; RSI oversold; max pain magnet at $340 Trade: Buy $340P @ ~$5.55 Confidence: 75% 🔹 Llama (Meta) Bias: Bearish Setup: Below EMAs; RSI oversold; mixed longer-term read Trade: Buy $342.50P @ $6.65 Confidence: 70% 🔹 Gemini (Google) Bias: Bearish Setup: Daily MACD bearish crossover; oversold short-term Trade: Buy $320P @ $1.06 Confidence: 65% 🔹 DeepSeek Bias: Bearish Setup: MACD and EMAs confirm bearish setup; near max pain Trade: Buy $340P @ $5.60 Confidence: 75% ✅ Consensus Summary 📉 4 of 5 models favor puts on TSLA 🧲 Max Pain at $340 is the dominant magnet 📉 Bearish MACD across timeframes; under EMAs 🔄 Short-term RSI is oversold — bounce risk acknowledged 📰 Mixed Tesla headlines & falling VIX offer minor support 🎯 Recommended Trade 💡 Strategy: Bearish Naked Weekly Put 🔘 Ticker: TSLA 📉 Direction: PUT 🎯 Strike: $340 💵 Entry: $5.60 🎯 Profit Target: $8.40 (+50%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $4.48 (−20%) 📏 Size: 1 contract 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06 ⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence: 73% ⚠️ Key Risks to Watch 🔄 Bounce Risk: RSI oversold — snapback could occur 📰 Tesla news (Powerwall, China) could surprise to upside 🧲 Max pain at $340 may anchor price near entry ⌛ Weekly theta decay means early move is essential
NShort
by quantsignals
1
TSLA long term game!See I think TSLA is a long term stock. With the innovation it is doing in energy, automobile, robotaxi(FSD), robotics... I believe it is in the front of technology for human kind. TSLA will inevitably impact each and every aspect of our day to day life. There is recent pullback potential to the Fib 0.5 of price $290, and that price is the resistance turned support. I believe it will retrace and people who were thinking to buy TSLA, might be a nice chance, just my simple opinion. A few bullish candle stick pattern in $282-$290 will support the long movement, I believe.
NLong
by FinExcel
TSLA weekly cup and handleNASDAQ:TSLA Last week, the daily chart on TSLA showed a cup and handle formation. Price attempted to break up but rejected overhead supply in the 360s. Price action is starting to show the formation of a handle on the weekly chart that may present a stronger move in the coming weeks to break through the 360 resistance level and overhead supply. June tends to be a strong month for TSLA historically, so the move could happen by the end of the month. Strong break of 360 and a close over to confirm a projected movement to $400 as a first price target, with $420.69 as a secondary PT.
NLong
by ManDude
TSLA – Something Big Is Brewing🚀Tesla just keeps pushing. Now trading around $346, it's not just riding market momentum — it's building it. And with the robotaxi launch in Austin coming June 12, the narrative might be shifting from “just EVs” to mobility revolution.📍 Levels I’m Watching Possible entries: • $335–$325 – Looks like it’s consolidating here • $315–$290 – Clean retest zone if we dip • $265 – Would love a deeper pullback but not counting on it Targets? • $370 – Short-term test • $395 – Momentum breakout zone • $420+ – If the hype around robotaxis takes hold ⚠️ Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice. Just sharing how I see things. Do your own research and trade safe. 💬 If this helped, drop a like and follow. I post trades that actually make sense not just moonshots. Let’s grow smart. 📈🧠
NLong
by Robert_V12