Euro to Rise as Trade Tensions DefusedCME: Micro Euro/USD Futures ( CME_MINI:M6E1! ), #microfutures
On July 27th, U.S. President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the U.S. has reached a trade deal with the European Union.
• President Trump said that the deal imposes a 15% tariff on most European goods
• The EU will open its vast market to U.S. products, with 0% tariff
• The EU agreed to purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy
• The EU will also invest $600 billion into the U.S. above current levels
Financial market breathes a sigh of relief as the tariff was only half of the 30% rate previously feared. This critical deal marks the de-escalation of US-EU trade tensions. The two trading blocs together represent 30% of global trade and 43% of global GDP. In 2024, bilateral trade reached over €1.68 trillion, according to the EU.
The transatlantic partnership was at its lowest point since WWII. The US was prepared to exit NATO, leaving Europe the monumental challenge to rebuild its military and defense industry. The EU also faces problems in energy supply as well as rising social instability.
In my opinion, the Euro will benefit significantly with the stabilization of US-EU relations.
• Firstly, it allows the 27 EU nations to continue doing business with their biggest customer. The U.S. accounts for 20% of all EU exports in 2024, according to the EU.
• Secondly, due to its approach to energy policy, the EU now imports 55% of its energy needs. Natural gas imports fall by half as Europe reduces its reliance on Russian gas.
• Meanwhile, imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) have doubled to fill the gap. The U.S. supplies half of LNG imports, according to Eurostat. The trade deal will secure low-cost LNG from the U.S., without tariff.
• Thirdly, while NATO members raise defense budget to 5% of GDP from 2-3%, the money will be spent more wisely by buying U.S. military equipment. Previously, for a worst-case scenario, I estimated a drag of 2% on GDP if EU were to rebuild its military and to directly engage in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. With the U.S. continuing its presence in NATO defense, this could be avoided.
• Fourthly, the Trump administration no longer pursues a strong Dollar. Instead, officials suggest that a weak dollar supports U.S. exports and helps raise the amount of tariff.
• Finally, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept interest rates unchanged in July, ending eight rate cuts over the past year. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve eyes one or two rate cuts this year. The divergence in monetary policies would make the dollar weaken against the Euro, according to Interest Rate Parity (IRP).
The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of July 22nd, CME Euro FX futures ($6E) have Open Interest of 843,447 contracts.
• Leveraged Funds have 102,310 in long, 73,901 in short, and 23,786 in spreads
• The long-short ratio of 1.4 shows that the “Smart Money” is bullish on the Euro
• The data reflects market sentiment before the trade deal
Micro Euro/FX Futures
A trader sharing a bullish view on Euro could explore the Micro Euro/FX futures ($M6E).
Each M6E contract has a notional value of 12,500 euro. On Monday afternoon, the September M6E contract (M6EU5) is quoted at 1.176, making it worth $14,700. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $340. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 43-to-1.
Let’s use a hypothetical trade to illustrate how to use a long futures position to take advantage of a potential rise of Euro.
Hypothetical Trade:
• Long 1 M6EU5 at 1.176, and set a stop loss at 1.15
• Trader pays $340 for initial margin
Scenario 1: Euro rises 5% to 1.235
• Long position gains: $737.5 (= (1.235-1.176) x 12500)
• The hypothetical return will be 217% (= 737.5 / 340)
Scenario 2: Euro falls 5% to 1.117
• The maximum loss: $325 (= (1.176-1.15) x 12500)
• While the position lost most of the money, the trader would not face a margin call due to the stoploss feature. Without it, the loss would have been $737.5
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
EURUSDZ2025 trade ideas
Implied volatility, one more tool in our arsenalWHAT IS IMPLIED VOLATILITY?
Implied volatility (IV) refers to the market’s expectations of future volatility for a given asset, derived from option prices. Unlike historical volatility, which measures past price fluctuations, IV is forward-looking and reflects what traders believe will happen in the near future, typically over a 1 to 3 month horizon. IV is not directly observable; it is inferred from option prices using models like Black-Scholes. When option premiums rise even though the underlying asset remains flat, this often signals a rise in implied volatility: investors are preparing for more pronounced future price moves.
IMPLIED VOLATILITY IN FX
In FX markets, as in equities or commodities, implied volatility serves as a risk gauge and a proxy for uncertainty. It plays a critical role in portfolio management, hedging, and strategy timing.
High implied volatility on a currency pair indicates market expectations for increased future movement. This can stem from upcoming economic data, central bank decisions, geopolitical risk, or broader market instability. For example, rising IV on EUR/USD ahead of a major Fed or ECB meeting may signal increased demand for options as market participants hedge against potential surprises. Conversely, sustained low IV often reflects calm market conditions or, at times, a strong directional trend.
Implied volatility can act as a market condition filter for trading strategies. To simplify, we can, for example, divide the CVOL level into four distinct categories.
Abnormally low IV (well below average): Reflects extreme complacency or post-event calm.
Moderately low IV (below average): Indicates orderly, technical markets.
Moderately high IV (above average): Suggests elevated uncertainty.
Abnormally high IV (well above average): Signals market stress or panic.
In spot FX, where retail traders rarely engage in options directly, implied volatility serves best as a macro signal, helping inform position sizing, stop placement, or overall risk exposure based on the current volatility regime.
One advanced use of IV is to compare it against realized (historical) volatility. When implied volatility is much higher than realized volatility, it often means options are expensive, and vice versa. This comparison proves especially valuable in FX markets, as it helps traders identify situations where risk premia may be overpriced, revealing potential misalignments between implied and realized volatility. It also offers a forward-looking perspective by highlighting upcoming catalysts that are not yet fully priced into the spot market.
INTRODUCING THE CME CVOL INDEX
To make volatility data more accessible and comparable across asset classes, CME Group introduced the CVOL index family in 2023, a set of standardized implied volatility indexes derived from listed futures options.
How CVOL is calculated?
CVOL indexes are built using vanilla options on futures. They estimate 30-day forward implied volatility, using a basket of out-of-the-money options across various strikes and near-term expirations. The methodology is comparable to that of the VIX in equities, but adapted for the structure of futures markets. Each CVOL index is expressed as an annualized percentage, which can be interpreted as the expected one-standard-deviation move over the next 30 days.
CVOL indexes in FX
Several major currency pairs now have their own dedicated CVOL indexes, offering a real-time measure of implied volatility based on options pricing from CME Group futures contracts. Each index reflects the market’s expectations of future volatility for a given pair:
EUVL for EUR/USD (based on 6E futures)
JPVL for USD/JPY (6J futures)
GBPVL for GBP/USD (6B futures)
CAVL for USD/CAD (6C futures)
ADVL for AUD/USD (6A futures)
In addition to individual pair indexes, the G5 CVOL Index provides a broader view by aggregating the implied volatility of the five major currency pairs, offering a high-level snapshot of volatility across the G5 FX complex. This makes it a valuable tool for macro-focused traders monitoring global risk appetite, cross-asset volatility regimes, or portfolio-level currency exposure.
HOW TO USE CVOL IN PRACTICE
Detecting shifts in risk perception
A sudden spike in CVOL, without a move in the underlying, suggests that institutional players are actively hedging. This can act as an early warning signal for market-moving events or shifts in sentiment. Example: before an ECB decision, a jump in EUVL from 7% to 10% annualized while EUR/USD remains flat may suggest that traders are bracing for a policy surprise.
Adjusting position sizing
When CVOL moves beyond predefined thresholds, traders often respond by reducing leverage, widening stop-loss and take-profit levels, and avoiding overly aggressive directional exposure, in contrast with periods where CVOL fluctuates near its historical average and market conditions appear more stable.
Quant strategy filters
CVOL can also act as a regime filter within systematic trading strategies. For example, when implied volatility on EUR/USD, as measured by EUVL, reaches extreme levels, certain algorithms may shift into breakout mode, anticipating strong directional moves in a high-volatility environment. Conversely, when the index shows no abnormal reading, it may reflect a well-balanced market backdrop, offering more orderly conditions where structured strategies such as range trading tend to perform better.
As historical data on CVOL indexes are available, quant traders can easily backtest and validate ideas that incorporate volatility-based signals or regime filters. More experienced participants often go further, combining FX implied volatility with other volatility indicators, such as CVOL indexes on interest rate futures, to build multi-asset strategies and monitor cross-asset shifts in risk appetite with greater precision.
FINAL THOUGHTS
Implied volatility is a powerful lens into market expectations and potential price swings. In FX, although not always directly accessible to retail traders via options, IV data provides essential context for positioning, timing, and risk management.
With the advent of CME’s CVOL indexes, traders now have a standardized and transparent way to track and compare implied volatility across currencies. Whether you are a macro trader, hedge fund manager, or informed retail participant, monitoring CVOL brings a distinct informational edge, especially when used to anticipate shifts in sentiment and volatility regimes.
And perhaps most importantly: IV doesn’t tell you what happened, but what might happen next, making it an invaluable tool for anyone navigating fast-moving global FX markets.
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When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/ .
This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Tactical Short Setup on EURThe September 2025 Euro FX futures contract (E6U25) is currently trading around 1.1440 after topping out near 1.19 the 1st of July. This decline reflects a broader market repricing, driven by evolving expectations around monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, softening Eurozone growth prospects, and a technical backdrop that has turned decisively bearish. Coupled with shifts in sentiment and options market positioning, the current setup presents an opportunity to initiate a tactical short with an attractive risk-reward profile.
Fundamental Analysis – Central banks and diverging momentums
Monetary policies on either side of the Atlantic appear to diverge. The Federal Reserve has kept its federal funds rate steady in the 4.25%–4.50% range since December 2024, resisting political pressure to ease. In contrast, the European Central Bank has gradually lowered its deposit rate from 4% to 2.00% since mid-2024 and maintained that level in July, considering inflation is now back to its 2% target. This has widened the yield differential in favor of the U.S. dollar.
Forward guidance from both central banks suggests a cautious stance. The Fed’s June 2025 dot plot anticipates a modest rate cut by year-end, though FOMC members remain divided. Meanwhile, the ECB projects subdued inflation and modest growth, implying no urgency for further easing.
On the macro front, U.S. GDP rebounded sharply in Q2 (+3.0% annualized), though driven largely by a collapse in imports. Domestic demand and job creation have slowed, and tariffs may push core inflation above 3% again. In the eurozone, Q2 GDP barely expanded (+0.1%), with uneven performance across member states. Inflation is stable at 2%, with core pressures easing. Altogether, the dollar retains a slight edge amid firmer data and a more hawkish Fed.
Technical Outlook – Bearish shift with volume confirmation
From a technical standpoint, the E6U25 contract has clearly broken down from its prior range. The area around 1.1775, which previously served as a high-volume node and resistance, was breached with strong downside momentum. The price action has since carved out a clean pattern of lower highs and lower lows, and volume has notably increased on bearish sessions, confirming the shift in control.
The current structure suggests a vacuum between 1.1775 and 1.1500, with only minor resistance expected around 1.1545, where some residual volume lies. There is little to no support before the 1.1280–1.1300 area, which aligns with a lower volume shelf on the visible range volume profile (VRVP). If price retraces to retest the 1.1525–1.1575 zone, that area is likely to act as a tactical selling opportunity before potentially resuming the downtrend.
Sentiment Analysis
CFTC data as of late July shows asset managers holding a substantial long position in EUR/USD, though these are beginning to unwind. The positioning profile leaves the euro vulnerable to further long liquidation if the selloff deepens.
Retail sentiment reinforces this view, as most retail traders are caught on the wrong side of the move. Open interest is stable but elevated, and trading activity has begun to rise slightly, hinting at retail dip-buying that may lack conviction. No major retail capitulation has occurred yet.
Broad market volatility remains subdued, and EUR/USD-specific indicators show a similar picture. The CME CVOL Index for EUR/USD remains around 8, a level considered moderately low by historical standards, reflecting a calm, non-disruptive market environment that favors technical trading, including respect for resistance levels and trend-following strategies.
Options Analysis
According to the CME FX Options Vol Converter, the landscape for EUR/USD still exhibits a modest downside bias. Risk reversals across one to three months tenors remain slightly negative, reflecting moderate demand for euro puts.
In listed markets, CME data for August expiries shows notable open interest concentration in puts at the 1.1450 and 1.1500 strikes, with deltas indicating directional positioning rather than purely hedging activity. On the call side, interest is more dispersed but visible above 1.1650, particularly at 1.1700 and 1.1750, suggesting some appetite for upside. However, the deltas are lower.
Trade Idea
A tactical short trade is favored in the 1.1525–1.1575 zone, which coincides with a potential pullback level within a well-established downtrend. This level also aligns with a minor volume shelf, providing a natural resistance area where sellers are likely to re-enter the market.
The suggested stop level is 1.1650, just above the recent short-term swing highs, which would invalidate the current bearish structure. The target lies around 1.1290, near the next major support zone and volume cluster.
Final thoughts
The EUR/USD rally in May/June was primarily fueled by expectations of synchronized easing and softer U.S. data. However, the Fed’s reluctance to commit to a cut, combined with a relatively more aggressive ECB stance, has shifted the narrative back in favor of the dollar. With asset managers showing signs of willingness to further unwind their exposure, combined with sentiment indicators pointing to complacency, a deeper retracement remains plausible.
The technical breakdown, lack of implied vol support for a rebound, and fresh open interest on euro puts collectively argue for tactical downside continuation. The proposed trade seeks to capture that move with a controlled stop and a realistic price target. Unless EUR/USD can reclaim the 1.1650–1.1700 zone decisively, the path of least resistance remains downward.
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When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/ .
This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
6E : Key levelsHere are the key levels for this instrument.
The nearest interesting level is at 1.17750. It is too early to buy it. The price needs to grow a little more and then it will be possible to buy this level with a limit order.
The other levels are still far away, but they will be interesting for the market.
Please note that I interpret these levels in my own way. I need special conditions to understand when exactly there will be a bounce from the level. Such as the conditions I described from 1.17750. So you should not trade these levels mindlessly, but you can use them in your strategy and using your logic.
6E1!: Rebound at Weekly Supply Sparks Potential ReversalThe EURUSD (6E1! futures) experienced a rebound from a weekly supply zone * and now appears to be approaching a potential reversal toward a demand area. The overall picture is clear: we already capitalized on the rebound off the previous weekly supply zone, and at this point, we're simply observing the price as it approaches another key area of interest. It may be too late to initiate new short positions at this stage, but traders still holding shorts could potentially benefit from a continued move downward.
From a fundamental perspective, our Friday analysis of the DXY ** indicated the possibility of a bullish impulse, and today the US Dollar opened the session with a 0.58% gain. Currently, both commercial and non-commercial traders are aligned with the prevailing scenario. The most optimistic outlook suggests the price could decline to around 1.14030 over the coming weeks.
*
Previous analysis on EURUSD 6E1!
**
DXY Analysis
✅ Please share your thoughts about 6E1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Euro Futures (6E) – Bearish Drift Below ResistanceEuro Futures (6E) appears to be grinding lower showing clear signs of fading bullish momentum.
After a bounce off 1.16160 support on July 17, Euro Futures (6E) made a failed push into 1.17995 resistance on Tuesday, July 22, a level that’s acted as a firm ceiling since June 26.
Since then, price action has been in a descending broadening channel, often a precursor to further downside with expanding volatility as sellers control the tempo.
As of 5:20 AM GMT, the structure points to continued weakness. I expect 6E to settle around 1.17170 – 1.16990 by close of Wednesday, July 23, 2025.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🔍 Pattern: Broadening Descending Channel
🕒 Date: July 23, 2025
EUR/USD Futures – Key Decision ZonePrice is consolidating between 1.1430 and 1.1485, forming a range near previous value areas.
A breakout is likely imminent. Watching for:
📈 Bullish scenario: Break and retest of 1.1490 → targeting 1.1570 supply zone.
📉 Bearish scenario: Sweep of 1.1430 lows with strong volume → targeting 1.1370 demand.
Volume is decreasing, RSI under 40, and we’re sitting at the mid of a low-volume node → stay patient and reactive, not predictive
EURUSDEURUSD - Still has potential either now or in the future to go up to 1.3726.
Off futures has potential to go below 0.95 based on analysis only.
Confluence:
Futures Analysis - Can go both ways based on todays price action.
Forex Analysis: Still in a downtrend based on the longer term perspective, down->consolidation->up...
Retrace and get long Current fundamental analysis suggest long euro short dollar options market suggest that people are starting to prefer puts in later expirations but put call ratio still about one cause call premium is up compared to put For September expiration also ecb not expected to cut rates while the fed is anticipated to cut twice by year end. Trend has been respecting the 50 hour sma well and following a pretty solid pattern of retrace and go. Suggest buying pullbacks to 59 hour sma.
Euro LongsI've been waiting for euro to reach discount of its daily range and deliver into a daily BISI.
Mon - Wed trade lower into key arrays. Intraweek reversal confirmed with 4h and 1h CISD. Paired with Pound SMT at the daily lows.
LRLR built up from last weeks pullback. That bsl looks too obvious to me.
Entering off 1h cisd at 1.16650. Stop at Wednesday low. Targeting manipulation leg STD levels and relative equal highs at 1.19045
If the weekly draw on liquidity is to the upside, this intraweek reversal will hold. I know im wrong on direction if Wednesday low doesnt hold. The framework and logic line up with what I look for. Midweek Reversal daily profile. Thursday continuation in play.
Pre-Market Prep
Today, I'm narrowing down to six key markets. For the S&P, it's all about waiting for a pullback from the prior day's high or a breakout above the CVA. If it dips back inside the range, I'm ready to go short with some scalps.
For the NASDAQ, it's looking strong. I'm thinking about a long position if it pulls back to the prior day's high.
Gold is in a downtrend across all areas, and I'm already in a short position from the CVA low. I'm thinking about adding to that if it pulls back to the prior day's low.
Crude Oil is pretty balanced. I'm looking at the high of the CVA for a short opportunity if it gets there.
For the Yen and Euro, both are rotational. I'm eyeing long opportunities if they show some acceptance and pullbacks from key levels.
That's the vibe for today. Let's trade smart, avoid the chop, and keep it moving. Peace!
EUR/USD Resumes Bearish Trend Below $1.176FenzoFx—EUR/USD trades bearish, below the 100-SMA, and is currently testing the bullish FVG as support. Yesterday, Euro failed to pass the immediate resistance at $1.176; therefore, we expect the bearish bias to resume.
In this scenario, EUR/USD's downtrend could extend to the next support level at $1.151. Please note that the bearish outlook should be invalidated if Euro closes and stabilizes above $1.176.
That Wasn’t a Breakout, That Was a Mugging!The Euro thought it could sneak one past the quant crowd. It creeped up into 1.1690–1.1710, broke some weak highs, and even teased a breakout. Then boom! rejected harder than a dodgy NFT pitch in 2024.
We're inside a bearish channel, mid-supply zone, and price just faked out everyone chasing the highs. This is trap territory, and the sellers are circling like vultures.
Why This Zone?
- Bearish channel — structure holding strong
- Liquidity grab — swept the highs, printed a long upper wick
- SMMA resistance — price slammed into the dynamic ceiling
- Wick = trap — always a mood
This is where dumb money gets long. We don’t do that here.
Tap, Trap, Slap Trade Plan (Short Bias)
- Entry: 1.1695 (anywhere inside 1.1690–1.1710)
- Confirmation: 15M/1H bearish engulfing or rejection wick
- Stop Loss: Above 1.1725 (don't give it CPR)
- TP1: 1.1650 – first shelf of support
- TP2: 1.1610 – breakdown level
- TP3 (greedy target): 1.1585 macro demand where bulls reload
Staakd Rating: 7.5/10 Bearish Bias
- Structure
- Volume spike into supply
- Rejection wick
- Bullish continuation? Not yet, brotha!
Invalidation Level
If the 1H candle closes above 1.1725, I'm officially wrong. Close the trade. Don’t beg.
Bonus Stats
Supply rejections like this inside a defined channel with clean liquidity traps? these setups historically resolve short 65–70% of the time, assuming no news nukes the setup.
Are you shorting this trap? Already in from the wick? Or are you waiting for price to cough up another fake out? Let’s hear it. Drop your setups, throw your TPs in the chat, and may your drawdown be nonexistent.
Trading Day SummaryTrading Day Summary
Today wasn’t a winning day on the books, but it was a major win in discipline.
I hit my daily loss limit before 10 AM, stopped live trading, and switched over to paper trades to protect my capital.
The setups I took—especially in Gold and Euro—lacked full confirmation, and one overnight trade didn’t align with my plan.
I experienced around $200 in slippage, which added to the loss.
The bright side? I stayed in control. No revenge trades. No emotional spirals.
My paper trade afterward was textbook—5R+ potential. That tells me the strategy is sound. Execution and timing just need to be sharper.
Bottom line: this is a marathon, not a sprint. I’m proud of the discipline and the mindset. Tomorrow, we reset and refocus.
End-of-Session Market ReviewToday was a solid trading day with some interesting moves across the markets:
S&P 500: The market trended upwards from the open, gradually moving into and above the prior day’s value area, closing near the high of that range.
NASDAQ 100: After some initial back-and-forth, it climbed above the prior day’s high and value area, showing strength into the close.
Russell 2000: This market was quite choppy and balanced for a good part of the session, but eventually pushed up to close near the prior value area high.
Gold: It stayed range-bound, moving between the CVA high and the prior day’s value area without breaking out.
Crude Oil: We saw a significant drop right from the start, with prices falling about 1.5 points and ending the day lower, though still within the prior day’s range.
Euro Dollar: It tested the CVA low, dipped below the prior day’s low, and then bounced back to close around that level.
Yen Dollar: It started near the prior value area low, accepted below it by midday, and remained balanced in that lower range.
Aussie Dollar: Initially, it held above the CVA area and tested a higher level before sharply dropping below the prior day’s low and then balancing in that lower area.
In total, I took eight trades today. Two of them were in the Yen, both valid setups that didn’t work out and ended in stop-outs. I also took some long trades in the Aussie Dollar that I probably could have avoided since the market was choppy.
On the positive side, I managed risk well and ended up with two winning trades that put me in the green by about $1,200. Overall, I’d rate today as an A- day. Moving forward, I’ll focus on staying out of choppy markets, paying attention to the developing value area, and possibly using Heikin Ashi bars for better clarity.
Opportunities Arise from Dollar WeaknessSince the dollar peaked in 2022, it has declined by 24%.
Such a decline may not seem significant for a stock, it’s a different story when it comes to currencies, especially a reserve currency for USD. US purchasing power has dropped by a quarter, meaning they will now have to pay 24% more for imports from EU.
However, the decline in the USD also presents opportunities in other markets.
Mirco EUR/USD Futures
Ticker: M6E
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0001 per euro = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Sell the EURO vs USD?Welcome back to the Mid-Week Analysis for Wed, July 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
EURO and USD Index.
The USD is seeing some strength off the tariffs Trump is declaring... and extending the grace period again on. This dragging down the EURO a bit, as it is printing bearish candles for Mond and Tues.
Will Wed print another bearish candle? Are we heading for a full retracement in the EURUSD?
This could be the scenario forming that I eluded to in my Weekly Forecast video: Buy The Dips and Sell The Rips.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.