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Mexican Peso/US Dollar

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MXNUSD trade ideas

I see a bump for the Mexican Peso and then a dive after summerI anticipate the antiglobalism movement will enrich Mexico for cheap labor (unless Trump gets elected then the Peso will melt down due to the tariffs) where China is already passing our own tariffs by exporting to Mexico where it gets a new shiny label and tariffs don't apply. I believe a billionaire has made moves to gather up the trucking and logistic companies in Mexico because of the growth. Afterwards, no matter what, the dollar TVC:DXY will soar to 140-160+ until itself too implodes leading to hyperinflation in the USA which will catalyze an opportunity to move to CBDC's based on social credit scores (negative interest rates). I also see the TTM squeeze executing on all major TF's so a major move is coming!! Usually we see a bounce of the opposite side as a fake breakout, then a squeeze in the opposite direction lasting for 8 TF bars. Multiple consecutive TF's hint at a massive move and alignment
by EmptyEternity
2
Trials and Elections: 3 Market-adjacent events to watch Trump and Hunter Biden Trials Former U.S. President Donald Trump was convicted last week on all counts of falsifying business records. Trump faces sentencing in one month’s time on July 11. Each of the 34 felony counts could result in up to four years in prison, although first-time offenders (or ex-presidents) like Trump are rarely incarcerated. Meanwhile, a jury was sworn in on Monday for a (show?) trial of Hunter Biden, son of President Joe Biden, on gun charges. Mexican Election The Mexican peso continues to fall sharply towards 18.0 per USD, its lowest since October 2023, following results indicating a supermajority win for the Moderna party and its allies in Congress. Claudia Sheinbaum, the Moderna party candidate, won the presidential election by a significant margin. As noted in Reuters, "The peso is underperforming amid growing concerns that the governing coalition's supermajority in the lower house might lead to the implementation of non-market-friendly policies,". Indian Election The Indian rupee plunged past 83.5 per USD, nearing its record-low of 83.7 from April. This movement erased the sharp rally triggered by early vote tallies, as updated counts indicated that incumbent PM Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to secure a much narrower victory than anticipated. Amidst the election turmoil in the world's largest democracy, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) monetary policy decision is also expected this week. In April 2024, the RBI maintained its benchmark repo rate at 6.5% for the seventh consecutive meeting.
by BlackBull_Markets
1
UsdMex to short,looks like a nice chart to go shortHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Trend looks set ,watching for oppo so short Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Strong peso with long and short opportunitiesThe peso will continue to be a strong currency throughout the year. The country's economy is robust and interest rates will remain high longer than those in the United States. Returning from Europe I see that the same thing happens with respect to the euro. It is not yet time to go long against the Mexican peso. I hope the peso continues to strengthen and only rises for politically important moments. For days close to the presidential elections I see that it could reach 17.25 by the end of May and up to 18.01 starting in June due to the same issue of the elections. I see consolidation but in general the peso will continue to be a strong currency. Reaching values ​​close to the floor of 16.30 So in general short-term sales looking for supports and purchases at moments close to political decisions.
by ehernandeza90
Mexican Peso Navigates Uncertain Monetary Policy LandscapeThe Mexican Peso (MXN) faces a challenging economic landscape characterized by conflicting signals of growth optimism and persistent inflation concerns. The upcoming decisions of the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will heavily influence the Peso's trajectory against the US Dollar (USD). In Mexico, strong economic performance has stirred speculation about a potential interest rate cut by Banxico, contrasting with worries over inflation exceeding targets. This divergence in opinions among analysts could drive short-term fluctuations in the MXN/USD exchange rate. The Fed's recent indications of a possible rate reduction later in 2024, coupled with Mexico's April Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release and Banxico's policy decision, are pivotal events that will shape the Peso's direction in the coming weeks. Traders are advised to consider a long (buy) position on USD/MXN, entering at 16.98873 with various target prices (T.P.) and a stop loss (S.L.) level at 15.61102.
Long
by signalmastermind
USDMXN Strong sell opportunity on the 1D MA200.The USDMXN pair gave us a strong sell signal last time we looked at it (February 19, see chart below): Now a new sell opportunity has emerged as it got rejected heavily at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Bearish Megaphone pattern and is now trading mostly below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). According to the RSI fractal, this price action is similar to the December 2022 consolidation that kickstarted a heavy decline with first stop the -0.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we turn bearish again, targeting 15.7500 (just above the -0.382 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Sell your pesos, buy dollarsI was down in Mexico over the past week and most people were commenting about how weak the dollar was against the Peso. While I was there, the dollar made a move from the low SWB:16S to $18. Most people kept saying that if it gets to $18-$20, you should sell your dollars to buy more pesos, because the dollar will decline against the peso over the long term. List fundamental reasons here= Mexico economy is getting stronger, US is in massive debt, blah blah blah... Reality is, the chart tells the truth and to me, it looks like the dollar is forming a bottom for a long-term move higher against the peso. As long as price stays above the blue trendline, price is heading higher. How high? Maybe 2x? Let's see.
Long
by benjihyam