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AAPL trade ideas

New Easy Play on Apple for EveryoneHello everyone, thank you for following me! If you're keeping up with the EASY PLAY idea series, here's a fresh one for 2025! As we've seen (and as you can check in my TW ideas), with AAPL, we've predicted every move: from the June idea with the pre-earnings candlestick pattern, to the March retracement stalemate with all targets hit, and up to the most recent idea with the triangle chart formation, which we fully achieved even before it was completed. With all these fantastic gains, we can confidently say that my technical approach to APPLE works. So, here’s a simple idea for any trader, which could lead us to even more profits! So let's proceed: we have Apple in a retracement phase after taking our profits with the target achieved using Fibonacci, precise and reliable. Apple dropped after reaching our target zone (see the Apple idea on my profile). Now, we move to buy in the lower green zone to sell immediately in the upper green zone, and the game is done! SIMPLE IDEAS ARE ALWAYS THE BEST.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TheAverageTrader00
AAPL at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week Analysis: AAPL is showing significant weakness after a clear rejection near the $260-$265 resistance zone, forming a downward trajectory. It has broken below key support levels, now testing the $228-$230 range. The steep drop suggests bearish momentum is strong, as confirmed by the MACD crossing below zero and Stochastic RSI hovering in the oversold territory. Volume has also spiked, indicating potential capitulation in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance Levels: * $240: Psychological resistance, aligned with a call wall. * $244-$245: Major GEX resistance with limited upside if reached. * $260-$265: Strong overhead resistance zone. * Support Levels: * $227-$228: Current key support where PUT walls provide temporary stabilization. * $220: Next critical support, aligning with strong GEX negative levels. GEX Insights: * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Negative GEX levels dominate, indicating market makers are positioned for higher volatility. * PUT support: Strong at $227-$225, but breaching this level could accelerate selling. * Options Activity: * IVR: Elevated at 53.3, signaling high implied volatility. * Call-to-Put Ratio: Puts dominate, with bearish bets intensifying near $227-$230. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Break above $232.50 with volume confirmation. * Target: $240 (first target), $244 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Below $228. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Break below $227 with increasing selling pressure. * Target: $220 (first target), $213 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Above $232. Directional Bias: Bearish bias dominates, with a high likelihood of testing lower levels unless $227 holds firm. The broader structure points to a continuation of the downtrend, particularly if overall market sentiment remains weak. Actionable Suggestions: * For Scalpers: Focus on shorting rallies into resistance at $232-$235. * For Swing Traders: Monitor the $220-$227 zone for potential breakdown or bounce opportunities. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies. Current Market Overview Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups. Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: $228.75 $224.05 $217.13 Resistance Zones: $237.05 $242.41 $244.67 Key Levels for Monitoring: Powerful Resistance at $258.55 Critical Support at $217.55 Technical Indicators Analysis Moving Averages (1-hour interval): MA50: $238.39 MA100: $241.09 MA200: $247.59 Relative Strength Index (RSI): 1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone) Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal) Volume Indicators: MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted). Key Patterns and Historical Analysis From recent pattern sequences: January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure. January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals. January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation. These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout. Price Action Analysis Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include: Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support. A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05. Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Fundamental Insights Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term. Trading Strategy Short-Term Strategy: Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level. Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk. Targets: $237.05 $242.41 Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle. Medium-Term Strategy: Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions. Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34. Use trailing stops to secure profits. Long-Term Strategy: Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level. Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon. Risk Management Employ disciplined risk management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2. Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade. Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range). Market Outlook 1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout. 2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared. 3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement. Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases. Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray. Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel. How to Use Rays Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes. Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely. Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior. Conclusion Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions. For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder! Stay disciplined and trade safely, Denis Mikheev TheWaved™
NASDAQ:AAPL
by brandlabelden
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months. Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here. AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by SRNceo
APPL - Short Term Bear - Swing Trade ContinuationHere's the details of my trade Short on AAPL.... I previously shorted APPL for a trade from $255 to $244. Unfortunately I did not fully maximise my profit. If you watch the video I explain where I missed a signal that could have allowed me to gain more profit. Nonetheless, I made a profit! So let's celebrate that. The original pattern and trade is still in tact and therefore this video explains the continuation pattern I am currently trading. Daily Chart: - QQE Signal Short - Divergence on the RSI - Cross down on the MACD 4hr Chart: - QQE Signal Short - Strong Divergence on the RSI - Cross down on the MACD Fundamental Support: - PE Ratio overvalued at 40, historic PE ratio range 12-28 excl Covid 2020 - Buffet has cut Berkshire Hathaways stake in Apple by 60% - 2 consecutive years of flat YoY revenue, with declines in Iphone, Wearables, Ipad, Mac offset by YoY growth in Services - Flat YoY Revenue in USA, Asia Pac, and Japan, with declines in Greater China - 2 consecutive years of YoY Net Income decline, EPS benefit from share buybacks of 1B since 2022 - Operating Margin improvement, however primarily driven by product mix (decline of core products and growth of services business) Previous Developments & News - Next significant economic data is ADP employment report Wed Jan 8th and Unemployment Rate Fri Jan 10th - A lower or higher employment figure than forecast could move the market and is a potential risk to the short position if employment figures are positive - However, inadvertently, higher employment figures will reduce the likelihood of FED rate cuts, offsetting some of the upside potential This was commentary I put in previously....what ended up happening? The unemployment report on Friday ended up being way above forecast 255k vs 155k forecast. Sending treasury yields higher and the market lower. This is in line with my comment about higher employment figures, although it may sound rosey, it's further reducing the likelihood of the FED reducing rates and increase the possibility of higher inflation. The market does not like that Target: - Previous ATH at 236, if it breaks this level than there's opp to move down thru 232, to as low as 221 - Stop: A break above $244 - Possible profit taking at 50 day moving average near $237-$238 range - Previous declines ranged from 8-15 days to reach short term lows, estimating similar timeframe with a possible break of support line, retest, and further decline Risks: - The rollout of Apple Intelligence sparks strong Christmas sales and upgrade cycle for Iphone 16 - Investor optimism for Apple Intelligence drives continued buying in AAPL - A bounce off support and continued move higher Overall: AAPL has rolled out Apple Intelligence in several major markets with some features still coming soon. It would be an understatement to say that the development, features, and rollout have be clumsy at best. Not only has the rollout and announcements been underwhelming, but Apple looks to be playing catchup with technology competitors have already well established in the market. Apple continues to be a loved brand worldwide, and there's no denying the brand loyalty is still strong, however lagging technology, premium prices on their products, high PE/valuation with flat to declining revenue and profitability. Until Apple can either reclaim it's technological advantage by becoming a leader again in the market, or reposition it's product offering and pricing to drive demand, it's difficult fundamentally see why the stock is worth the PE with so many other companies in market with new innovation and growth potential comparatively. This isn't to suggest Apple will collapse, but a correction technically and fundamentally is warranted near term with broader economic risks and technological missed expectations that could warrant lower prices. My Position: 3 Put Options $235 Strike, Current Price $242 Expiration Friday Jan 17th Average Price is $1.30 a contract Investment $400 Target $3.00-$10.00 Stop $.65 Potential Loss -$200 Potential Gain $400-$2600 The reason for the wide target range is because if APPL breaks through the 50 Day MA and the previous ATH, that is very bearish and although it may retest that level, it could create quite a fall and I would look to maximise my trade at that point.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by jaytmarquardt
AAPL Trade IdeaAAPL is playing well off the yellow trendline drawn on the daily chart. Two trade ideas setup based on the green support zone. Entering or not depends on price action around the entry price. Not looking to take a swing trade in AAPL until it decides to either break through the trendline or bounce away from it. Targets are 1.618 fib levels drawn on the hourly and 15 min chart. Exit depends on price action when approaching the target price KEY: -White Horizonal Lines: Previous High or low/resistance levels (multiple timeframes). -Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 fib level (multiple timeframes). -Yellow trendline: Trendline -Green boxes: Supply or demand
NASDAQ:AAPL
by PennantTrading