ADSK - Autodesk, Inc. (Weekly chart, NASDAQ) - Long PositionADSK - Autodesk, Inc. (Weekly chart, NASDAQ) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {support structure integrity and volatility stop-out risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.43
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 234
Entry limit ~ 228 on April 09, 2025
Target limit ~ 245 (+7.46%; +17 points)
Stop order limit ~ 221 (-3.07%; -7 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
ADSK trade ideas
4/9/25 - $adsk - FYI/ probs a buy here low 240s4/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ADSK
FYI/ probs a buy here low 240s
- i'll keep the comments on single names short so we can move thru a lot in the next days/weeks
- mid teens growth "prototyping" software, not any single industry exposed e.g. NASDAQ:CDNS for semis etc.
- great ROICs >20% and high ROE's
- cash gen of 2.2 bn on 52 bn EV is >4% yield, which given it's software is "good" and sub 25x PE for mid teens PE growth is "you'll make $ LT buying quality here"
- when I look across all the "prototyping" names i follow, NSE:PTC probably ranks second, but i need lower to be enticed (also probs a buy, but not as clear as NASDAQ:ADSK here), NASDAQ:CDNS is too semi exposed for now, $snps/ NASDAQ:ANSS complicated but probably a buy... but similar to NSE:PTC i need lower. NASDAQ:SVCO is too small and complicated even tho upside cb tremendous. just can't take big position so it would be a distraction. NASDAQ:BSY is a clear stay away.
hope it helps
V
$ADSK: AutodesK – Designing Profits or Sketching Losses?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:ADSK : AutodesK – Designing Profits or Sketching Losses?
With ADSK at $245 post-Q4 beat and robust guidance, is this design titan a blueprint for profit or a rough draft? Let’s ink out the details! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 245 as of Mar 13, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Up after Q4 FY2024 earnings beat, per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Tech sector buoyant, with AI and cloud driving growth 🌟
It’s a tech favorite—let’s see if it’s worth the hype! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $50B (assuming shares outstanding) 🏆
• Operations: Design software for architecture, engineering, manufacturing ⏰
• Trend: Cloud and AI integration boosting future growth, per reports 🎯
Firm in its niche, with digital transformation as tailwind! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 FY2024 Earnings: Billings and revenue beat, per data 🌍
• FY2026 Guidance: Revenue growth 8-9%, FCF $2.075B-$2.175B 📋
• Market Reaction: Stock price up post-earnings, indicating confidence 💡
Adapting to new tech trends, looking ahead! 💪
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Economic Slowdown: Reduced software spending in tough times 🔍
• Tariff Threats: March 10-12, 2025, impacting new business, per data 📉
• Competition: Adobe, Siemens, others in design software market ❄️
It’s a competitive landscape—risks are real! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Market Leader: Dominant in design software, strong brand 🥇
• Subscription Model: Recurring revenue from cloud-based services 📊
• AI Integration: Leveraging AI for enhanced products, per recent announcements 🔧
Got solid foundations and futuristic vision! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuation (P/E around 39), macro headwinds 📉
• Opportunities: Expanding into manufacturing, healthcare, per strategy 📈
Can it justify its price and expand further? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
ADSK at $245—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $260+ soon, growth story continues 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks and opportunities balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $220 looms, overvalued in current market 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
ADSK’s $245 price reflects strong performance and guidance 📈, but with a high P/E ratio, it’s not for the faint-hearted. Dips could be golden opportunities for DCA investors. Gem or bust?
Autodesk May Be OversoldAutodesk has been advancing since the spring. Now some trend followers may see an opportunity in its latest dip.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on November 6 after the Presidential Election. The software company has pulled back to test and hold its levels from before the surge, which may suggest support is in place.
Prices are also trying to hold their 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is bullish.
Third, stochastics have dropped to an oversold condition.
Finally, ADSK fell last Wednesday despite beating estimates and nudging guidance higher. While sentiment may have been too optimistic leading into the release, has it now gotten too negative? Traders looking for the pendulum to swing back toward the bulls may look for at least a partial fill of the resulting bearish gap.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
ADSK Autodesk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ADSK:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADSK Autodesk prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 280usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $11.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ADSK potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price bounce from strong support
- Price respecting long-term trendline
- Safe Entry at LH breakout
- Bullish divergence
- Positive Earnings
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(Buy Stop): 224.11
Stop Loss Level: 187.95
Take Profit Level 1: 260.25
Take Profit Level 2: Open
Autodesk Squeezes After Strong ReportAutodesk has been squeezing near a two-year high, and some traders may expect a breakout soon.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the attempted rally on March 1 after earnings, revenue and guidance beat estimates. A falling trendline appeared as the software company pulled back, but it’s now pushing above that resistance.
Second, prices have held the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may reflect a bullish intermediate-term trend.
Third, the 8-day-exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed above the 21-day EMA. (See our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study.) That may reflect a bullish short-term trend.
Fourth, the December 27 high of $245.88 was ADSK’s peak all of last year. The stock bounced near that level on March 5. Has old resistance become new support?
Next, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
Finally, ADSK hasn’t been an actively traded stock for years because of its focus on markets like industrial design. However, management discussed AI potential in its last quarterly report. Could that change the fundamental narrative with investors?
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
ADSK - 16 months RECTANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
ADSK Autodesk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ADSK ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADSK Autodesk prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $4.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
📈📊 #ChartPattern Alert! 📈📊 📈 Rising Wedge 📈📈 What is a Rising Wedge? The Rising Wedge is a bearish chart pattern characterized by two converging trendlines, with the lower trendline sloping upward more than the upper trendline. It typically signals a potential bearish reversal, with the price likely to break downward after the wedge pattern.
📈 How to Identify:
Draw a trendline connecting at least two lower highs (upper trendline).
Draw another trendline connecting at least two lower lows (lower trendline).
📈 What it Signals: The Rising Wedge suggests a potential bearish reversal, with sellers prevailing at lower highs within the wedge. It often forms during uptrends and can precede a significant price move to the downside.
📈 Trade Strategy:
Consider short-selling or setting stop-loss levels if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Rising Wedge.
Set profit targets based on the pattern's height subtracted from the breakdown point.
Implement a stop-loss to manage risk in case of a false breakdown.
Remember to use other technical indicators and conduct thorough research to support your analysis before making any trading decisions. Happy charting and trading! 📉💹
Autodesk in Year long pattern hi traders
Autodesk (ADSK) is trading in already a one year long pattern.
We are still waiting for a breakout which may indicate strong move in the breakout direction.
Enter the position once the breakout occurs.
Targets both for longs and shorts are shown on the chart
good luck
ADSK Autodesk Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADSK Autodesk prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-25,
for a premium of approximately $6.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.