AGNC Stock AnalysisAGNC is showing signs of a potential pullback after a strong rally, facing resistance at recent highs. Based on historical price action, it could retrace to key support levels (Buy 1 and Buy 2 zones) before finding a new direction. This setup presents a good buying opportunity for those looking to enter at lower risk levels.
Why a Pullback is Likely?
Resistance Rejection: The stock struggled to break higher, triggering potential profit-taking.
Support Retest: Previous consolidation zones (Buy 1 & Buy 2) could act as strong support.
Market Conditions: Interest rate uncertainty could cause short-term volatility.
Overbought Signals: Technical indicators may suggest a need for a cooldown before the next move.
I'll be watching for confirmation before entering. Do you think AGNC will hold at support or break lower? 🚀👇
AGNC trade ideas
AGNC BullishLet’s review a technical analysis
By Japanese candlestick language , we can see a strong rebound zone at 10.35, which is accompanied by large green candles and candles with lower wicks. We can also see that the trend is bullish.
By Konkorde indicator , we can see the zero pattern, which is a strong indicator of an overbought zone, suggesting that the price may rise in the coming days.
The Algo indicator , which is an ATR in v4h, indicates a bearish trend, but we hope it will shift towards an upward trend in the coming days.
At 10.64, there is a strong resistance zone, which could be the first profit target, but if it breaks through and continues to rise, it could reach up to 10.88.
AGNC Investment CorpAGNC witnessed a sharp rebound after attempting to test the uptrend line at 9.36$, to violate the upper boundary of the sideway range at 9.95$, a level that the stock has remained below since January 2024. Hence, remaining above this level, will push the AGNC to surpass the current major resistance at 10.19$, which will trigger further rises near 10.42$ - 10.64$ - 10.88$ - 11.24$ - 11.60$ on the short-term
The stop-loss lies below 10$ - 9.77$.
the indicators are heading toward the positive side, which confirms the mentioned positive scenario.
The information and publications are not intended to be or constitute any financial, investment, commercial, or other types of advice or recommendations provided.
$AGNC Hidden Strength EmerganceMoving Averages forming a classical uptrend
Key Pivotal day WITH above average volume evidencing momentum
RS Rating of 56, a concerningly low rating as I like to see ratings above 70 for true super performance potential, so this is rather on the more speculative ideas
With a conservative target in the $11.50's, this security leads me to believe prices could increase
Agnc Investment Corp Price Prediction! To The Upside Here We Go!• Price Created The Bullish Continuation Pattern (Falling Wedge) Starting 2nd February 2023 Till 25th May 2023.
• While Creating This Pattern, The Price Reacted & Bounced Back From 0.786 Fibonacci Level 26th May 2023 Suggesting The Retracement Been Completed.
• 30th May 2023 The Price Broke The Falling Wedge Trendline Followed By Minor Correction On 1st June 2023.
• I Prefer To Enter It On 1st June 2023 Opening & Since Then Price Move Upwards & Reached Its Peak On 27th June 2023 Simultaneously Completed The Double Top Pattern Signalling/Hints A Potential Reversal To The Downwards. I Sees It As A Minor Correction Before The Price Goes Higher
• During The Downwards Movement, Price Reacted & Bounced Back From 0.618 Fibonacci Level. If You Entered On 6th July During The Retracement, Potential Gain Of 9.32% @ Usd 0.88 Been Achieved
• Now The Price Is Testing The Previous Double Top Pattern & Successfully Breaks It Only By A Shadow On 13th July 2023.
• Nevertheless, The Downside Risks Always Exists. Always Trade With A Proper Risk Management & Stop-Loss Intact.
Trading Strategy:
Entry At Usd 9.17 (1st June 2023 Opening Price)
Take Profit Price:
-Tp 1 : Usd 10.86 @ 18.54 % Of Potential Profit/Return
-Tp 2 : Usd 12.22 @ 33.26% Of Potential Profit/Return
Cut-Loss : Usd 8.57 @ 6.54 % Of Potential Losses
Entry At Usd (7th July 2023 Opening Price)
Take Profit Price:
-Tp 1: Usd 10.86 @ 15.01 % Of Potential Profit
-Tp 2: Usd 12.22 @ 29.18 % Of Potential Profit
Cut-Loss : Usd 9.05 @ 4.33% Of Potential Profit
-]Always Trade With Your Stop-Loss Intact!
-Trade At Your Own Risk (T.A.Y.O.R.)
Lets Continue To Monitor The Price Movements Together & Share Your Thought Below!
AGNC new bottom?Here we have a MONTHLY chart for $AGNC, a mid-cap monthly paying dividend REIT (Real estate investment trust).
As you can see we breifly wicked to this price before and if you switch to a daily chart there is some evidence for a recovery.
That being said, with the increasing rates from the FED, housing prices starting drop as demand lowers, and combined with higher material cost for building homes (starting to shrink), it seems likely we'll see a bear rally, followed by another "bullwhip effect", particularly driven by new homes or lack there of.
If you google, "is agnc a good stock to buy", the analysists expect it to reach "$11.86 by Oct 5, 2023" which means you'd effectively double your money in a year, while also receiving ~$12/month for every 100 shares (~$800). Although I disagree and suspect that AGNC will be at best ~$9-10 by that date, I still feel like that this is a great time to SELL PUTS as a means to get paid to DCA into the stock. That being said, I could see the stock reaching as low as $5/share so be careful and DYOR...
How to trade supply & demand (important for earnings week)This is gonna be a brief rundown of how supply & demand can be leveraged in order to trade through earnings week & get crazy profits (notably like $SNAP)
First : What is supply & demand?
If you've ever learned basic economics supply & demand is what makes prices of commodities, products or services change and fluctuate. This is also applicable within the stock market. Where when supply exceeds demand the price falls & when demand exceeds supply the price rises. This is why finding zones that reflect these changes will make your trading easier as well as give you highly profitable R:R trades with (if done properly) a near 80-85% success rate.
Secondly : When done right it'll feel like you're cheating and its the best feeling in the world
How do we find these zones & what do they exactly mean?
These zones are where there are imbalances between the amount of people wanting to buy the stock or commodity and the amount of people who want to sell it. These are found by looking for a balanced period on the chart with a strong reaction following it. This can be done on many time frames & there is an example that I have added to this post using AGNC which had earnings after the bell & is a perfect example of the power of this type of trading.
Think of these zones as places where there are 100,000s of thousands of buy or sell orders waiting to be filled by the big players who know what will happen before it happens (such as stimulus news, earnings or surprise news)
Now to $AGNC
1) Consolidation / Balance period
These can be found through just looking at where price has balanced out, traded within a range & then had a strong reaction in either direction. The bigger & more green candles there are the stronger this zone is and the higher the chance of the trade working becomes.
The zone I have marked on $AGNC was created on the 4hr chart & was also very visible on the 1hr chart. Keep in mind earnings was after the bell 3 days from price leaving this zone.
2) A strong move upward
As said previously there is a consolidation & a move up or down. In this example the move is upward
This move upward tells us that there are now a ton of buy or sell orders sitting within that zone because price moves due to having an imbalance. This gives us the confidence of price rejecting this zone again & being a good trade backed by the big "smart money" boys.
3) A return to the zone
Pretty simple, price moves between supply & demand and it will return to these zones more likely than not, this is where you set up your trade.
4) Reaction #2
This is where we get into our trade. You will take the low of the supply / demand zone (consolidation low) and the high of the supply / demand zone. This is the area you will be looking to trade +- a couple cents.
The stop loss will go under the zone by a couple cents just to keep us in trades where volatility can throw the price much lower than it should be going. & your take profit will be another supply / demand zone.
As for my target for AGNC it is a supply zone that has been used a couple times , this is important because that means that the orders sitting in this zone are not as plentiful as they were previously, this tells us that we should watch for it to break through this zone and maybe take off 50% of our capital & let the rest ride until either another supply zone or until we feel it looks 'rejecty'.
As for right now, the 14$ calls for oct 30th were trading at less than 20c within the supply zone, closed out at 25c (25% gain) and will be worth more than 44c of intrinsic value when entering our price target. This is more than 100% over night with an entry before earnings & a correct direction without any guessing or looking @ the companies actual performance.
(OUTRO) Why is this so important for earnings or any other news that you want to trade?
When you can figure out these zones, that are created by big players within the market you then are able to make the trades that they are making, with them, in REAL TIME. This is a huge advantage over any other strategy and will set you up to be positive on the day nearly 90% of days.
If you believe that big, smart money moves the market then this is how you trade with them, making this one of the most common sense ways of trading.
STAY AWAYThis is one of the worst stocks I have ever seen, it is in a continual, fast downward trend. The stock itself knows it is doomed as it's dividends keep getting cut from $.20, $.18, $.16, to now $.12. I was really excited to buy this until I looked further into it.
I would love it if someone could change my mind, very interested in reet stocks.