ALAB | Smart Money Compression → Breakout Threat🔭 ALAB | Smart Money Compression → Breakout Threat
Posted by: VolanX Quant Systems | July 10, 2025
We're at a critical inflection point on $ALAB.
The previous supply zone (highlighted in red) is under pressure — one more CHoCH + BOS and it may flip to DEMAND. If that happens, we don’t trickle...
We surge.
🧠 VolanX DSS Notes:
SMC Structure: Multiple CHoCHs + recent BOS confirm internal strength
Volume spike confirms interest at this price level
0.886 Fib rejection zone tagged @ ~$101.49
Equilibrium sits near $95 — ideal backtest zone
Bullish path = target range $110.22 → $122.50
Bearish scenario only resumes below $93.30, where supply holds and volume fades
“This supply could turn to demand — if that happens, we surge!”
🛠️ Risk Layering:
Entry: $96.50–$97.00
Risk: Close below $93.30 invalidates thesis
Reward: Multi-leg rally toward golden pocket + extended fibs
📉 If demand fails to hold, expect retracement into deep discount zones between $72–$77.
🧬 LSTM-backed directional bias: UP (70% confidence)
📊 Options flow is light but positive risk sentiment observed
#SmartMoneyConcepts #ALAB #VolanX #OrderBlock #CHoCH #BreakOfStructure #QuantTrading #SupplyDemand #FibonacciLevels #LSTM #LiquidityZones #WaveAnalysis #TradingView #InstitutionalFlow #DSS
ALAB trade ideas
ALAB: High-Quality Breakout With Strong Structure and 3.2 R/RAstera Labs ( NASDAQ:ALAB ) just delivered a clean technical breakout above multi-week resistance, paired with bullish confirmation from momentum and Ichimoku structure. This isn’t a hype trade — this is what a textbook continuation breakout looks like.
📊 Key Technical Breakdown
Base Breakout
After weeks of tight consolidation, NASDAQ:ALAB just broke above horizontal resistance at ~$95. The breakout candle is strong, with above-average range and a decisive close.
Ichimoku Cloud
Price is well above the cloud — this confirms bullish trend.
The Kijun (black line) is sloping upward, and the cloud is thick and rising.
Pullbacks toward $88–90 could act as support if the breakout retests.
MACD Reversal
The MACD has flipped green, signaling a momentum shift.
Histogram is expanding upward again, showing renewed buying pressure.
This is happening as price reclaims the top of the recent range — a great alignment.
🎯 Trade Specs
Entry: $97.02
Target: $133.25 (+37.34%)
Stop: $85.32 (–11.51%)
Risk/Reward: 3.24 — solid skew for a growth name
Context: Strong prior trend, healthy consolidation, and now continuation. This isn’t a bottom-pick — it’s trend-following at a breakout moment.
🧠 Why This Trade Works
Structure: You’re not chasing green candles. This breakout comes after a long base and clears prior congestion.
Asymmetry: A 3.2+ R/R setup means you can be wrong more than half the time and still come out ahead — if you stick to your stops.
Momentum Alignment: Momentum and price are moving together — never fade a breakout with confirmation from both price action and indicators.
📌 Tip for Readers:
If you’re new to swing trading, study how this base formed and what conditions led to the breakout. The goal isn’t prediction — it’s positioning at the right moments with risk defined.
Time for manufacturing companies to get paidmanufacturing companies for semi conductors showed a while ago that the direction of semi chip stocks was headed south.
Now, I see a great long term set up for the companies that actually make the parts. After these pop off with IWM soon, then mega cap stocks will see a push up.
Target 1 is $50
Target 2 is $55
May see a pull back right after this and then the rally
ALAB: downward regressionAstera Labs has been trading in a downward regression channel. Due to post IPO volatility it is a regression with either two standard deviations (inner green channel), or three standard deviations (outer blue channel). Most of the time the sock popped to the upper bound of two sigma channel (marked ‘2’) it then returned to the regression mean, and retraced roughly at fibo .786, 1.618. 1.618 to support line of the two sigma channel. In August with increased volatility it’s trading within three standard deviations (marked ‘3’). There is a Bearish engulfing candle today and if the regression holds, short-term it has to return at least to the mean regression i.e. the mean around 36 and it may retrace more to the support of the two sigma line at least. For the time being, I would avoid buying, or will sell short and watch for fibo support levels at .786 to 1.618 of the last impulse wave.
There is no big use in oscillators, short-lived price history, just looking at stochastic with fast settings 14, 1 (blue line) to be oversold close to zero to look for a support level.
!NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE, short trading is connected with higher risk. Always put a stop on short positions
Pull back to $61 before ascend?Looks like we had a bearish breakout below the wedge. Can see this pulling back to the .236 fibonacci. Short profit target $61.50.
*DISCLAIMER* I will say this is possibly a high risk play as it looks like price action is pinned at the .382 which can also be a reversal point like the .236. That being said, if you are long this is not a bad place to DCA but I would save most of your cash for the $61 entry.
Once this target is reached I anticipate a reversal to the upside.
Long Entry: $61-$62.
Not financial advice. Use a stoploss please.