AMD trade ideas
Negative energy in AMD - earningsI read the energy in stocks and the market with my dowsing. Short and sweet, last week I asked what might make a lot of money & to pay attention to & from a short list of stocks, I got AMD and the "crash" option.
I still have negative energy in it as of now & get to sell rallies. It may be down 16-20% over the next couple/few days. Or, I could be completely wrong, of course. We will see.
AMD 7.47RHigh probability trade idea.
I think there is a strong chance AMD is ready / almost ready for another major move up.
Stop loss is fairly wide on this one so the risk to reward ratio isn’t amazing, but I think the probability of the trade being successful makes up for that.
Trade rating 7.5/10
Probability 9/10
Risk to reward 6/10
AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**🔥 AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**
In pre-market, AMD briefly touched **$125** following earnings. You all know how this works—sooner or later, the algos will bring it back to that level. No hesitation, I’m **quadrupling my bet—going in MASSIVELY!** 🚀💰
Brief overview ahead of the $AMD earningsToday's NASDAQ:AMD earnings report, due after market close, promises to be intriguing
Historically, the movement after earnings over the last 10 years has averaged around +/-10.2%
Theoretically, NASDAQ:AMD could significantly benefit from the DeepSeek news, given that AMD has integrated the advanced DeepSeek-V3 model into its Instinct MI300X GPUs. However, this development has not yet been reflected in AMD's stock price
A drop in the stock price post-earnings could set up an interesting scenario. The bullish order block between $93-$102 on Chart 1 might offer a prime entry point for a bounce-back
Over the past five years, NASDAQ:AMD 's fundamental ratios shown in Chart 2 have generally looked solid. However, the current P/S ratio of 7.7 could ideally decrease a bit for better valuation
It's also worth noting that other chip stocks like NASDAQ:ASML and $RLCX saw positive movements post-earnings last week, though this doesn't guarantee a similar outcome for NASDAQ:AMD
Opening (IRA): AMD Feb 21st 100/105/126/131 Iron Condor.. for a 2.01 credit.
Comments: Earnings announcement (2/4) volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.01
Buying Power Effect: 2.99
ROC at Max: 67.22%
50% Max: .52
ROC at 50% Max: 33.61%
AMD After earningsAMD after earnings. My idea on how to play. I expect a fade. Don't think it will gap and go because:
1. Earnings were not that bad. AMD beat estimates but in the data center segment which is why the market is punishing it
2. Bears will take profit meaning there is a chance for a fade.
3. Initial response to earnings after hours last night was up. Algos Moved it all the way up to 126 which might be a reason to see how it will play
Why it could be a gap an go
1. There is no support. Next support could be 100 (round number) and 95 and 75 (100 Monthly SMA)
2. Big volume yesterday which could be some kind of Bull squeeze (all bulls are trap this morning and will be trying to close their positions)
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers,
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations.
However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price.
Technical Perspective
The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone.
For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth.
Key criteria:
1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100
2. The round number itself $100
3. The trendline since 2018
4. Channel projection
5. Equal waves from the top
For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website."
Regards,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
AMD PRICE ACTION FEB 5TH 2025This is the price action of AMD at its very best & exclusively for viewers on trading view.
I have discussed in depth price action of AMD and if you have any doubts feel free to leave a message or your comments below.
Ascending traingles on AMD higher time frame chartLooks like AMD will be bottoming soon (~90's)
AMD is following the ascending triangle pattern and the descent it is experiencing right now is very similar to the ABC it had before. Similar projection from the top of ABC and if the similarity continues, it will fall on the green/support trendline and bounce. The stock might hit the trendline when the price is around 90's or it might just wick down to the trendline and bounce too.
Anything in the 90's should be a BUY in my opinion. Feel free to share your thoughts.
Go long at 103I have had 103.20, lets just say 103 area, marked off on my chart for over 3 years. MASSIVE SUPPORT AREA. Great area to start building a position, if it dips below then just average down.
AMD LONGThe chart looks ready for some upside after consolidating. Previous breakouts share this same downward consolidation pattern. Strong support at the 200MA on weekly chart provides a safe floor to buy and hold shares. Earnings reported today 2/2/25 were positive.
Further to my previous AMD idea of managing the positionHere I am trying to further develop some ideas on how I am managing my AMD position.
Reversal on AMDI have a very simple analysis on AMD. As you see from this chart, we have seen in the past at points 1 and 2 that after a brutal bearish trend, the stock has rebounded at subsequent earnings. Assuming today's Earnings are also a beat, which I expect them to be, We will see a nice trend reversal on this stock. This stock has been beaten, kicked for a while now and I believe based on the past instances, we will see it rally up. The question is rally how much? Only time will tell, but given the Earnings are a beat, we won't see the stock go down like it happened the last earnings call.
$AMD HUGE UPSIDE POTENTIAL! AMD is down 48% from its all-time highs, yet its fundamentals and prospects remain stronger than ever. With a market cap of $190B, it’s currently valued at only ~6% of NVDA ($3T). This massive valuation gap presents a huge opportunity for long-term investors.
🔴 AI Growth is Just Getting Started – AMD’s MI300 series is gaining traction in AI data centers, with major cloud providers adopting its chips. The AI boom is still in its early innings, and AMD is positioned to capitalize.
🔴 Server Market Expansion – EPYC chips continuously gain share against Intel in the data center space. As enterprises shift workloads to more efficient solutions, AMD benefits.
🔴 Console & Gaming Strength – AMD powers the PS5, Xbox Series X, and upcoming handhelds like the ROG Ally & Steam Deck. Gaming demand remains strong, providing a solid revenue base.
🔴 Valuation is a Bargain – At current levels, AMD trades at a fraction of NVDA’s valuation. As AI demand grows and AMD executes, this discount won’t last forever.
The Setup is Clear
AMD is one of the best risk-reward plays in the market today. With AI, gaming, and data centers fueling growth, the current price is a steal for long-term believers. 🚀
Will AMD be the next to skyrocket? Let me know your thoughts! 👇🔥 #AMD #AI #Semiconductors #Investing
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 113usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $7.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMD: Looks like bottom, finally!NASDAQ:AMD : Looks like bottom, finally!
Weekly Chart Analysis:
- 200D MA
- Volume Shelf
- Bottom of Falling wedge
- S/R Zone
- Divergence on the Wr%
$135 ▶️ $165 Incoming 🎯
Not financial advice
AMD'S Technical rating indicator monthly !Still pretty high comparing with historical data all way back to IPO. Still high
even with last low ( 2 Green circles) Even though we might have a bounce big time
20%-40% up on a monthly we are still on the high side or readings comparing an
Apple for Apple all else absolute.!
AMD LongAMD has setup what looks to be a bullish flag on the 7D.
Touching support on the 0.118(115.27) buyers picking up liquidity at this area prior to JUN 2023.
Volume shows sellers running out of pressure.
If this setup is confirmed we can be looking for an upside back to the resistance level of 1(205.57).
AMD - Advanced Money DestroyerWell, YOLO/FOMO/HODL/BTD whatever your acronym, One day, this may pay!
Here is my opinion, the good, the bad, the ugly.
While actually, the ugly would be the pretty in the long run....
I'm calling AMD my large cap Spec play for 2025/26
As soon ass NVDA hits it's low, I', stacking this also
AMD - quo vadis ? Reversal ahead or down to 94 - 74$ ?AMD, some traders here call it Advanced Money Destroyer.
Certainly no stock to just buy and hold anymore.
I am confident that AMD will turn and deliver significant gains again, but the key will be to find that turning point.
Currently I can see three scenarios: turning here at 115$ trend line support after good earnings on Tuesday or down it goes to major fib supports at 94$ or 74$.
I am keeping an eye on the 30D EMA. Once that is crossed I'll start thinking about a long position.
AMD 200 WMA support, Fib retracement and MFI under 20
As stated in the title, the stock has found support at the 200 WMA and coincides with the 75% Fibonacci retracement. The Money Flow Index is also in oversold territory. If the earnings report is favorable, the stock could gain renewed momentum.
