Bulls Eye AMD: Key Breakout Levels Ahead**Brief News Update:**
AMD will host the "Advancing AI" event on October 10, 2024, where it will unveil its latest Instinct MI325X AI accelerators and 5th generation EPYC processors. These products target high-performance computing and AI applications, with the MI325X offering up to 288 GB HBM3E VRAM and 6 TB/s bandwidth. Updates for the Ryzen AI PRO 300 series chips are also expected, potentially hinting at future line-ups like Strix Halo. The event will be streamed live via AMD's website and YouTube channel. AMD is expected to announce its quarterly earnings on October 29, 2024.
**Monthly Timeframe Analysis**
Five months ago*, I highlighted the Scallop formation, which has since broken out to the downside. However, the bulls managed to push the price back into the Scallop zone, as the closing price consistently remained within the range. This suggests that the bulls are keen on keeping the price above $140. The last two white bullish candles indicate a strong move, and my DTMI indicator points to a potential trend reversal. However, keep in mind that the white dot is on a still-open candle, so it is not yet confirmed. The #stoch RSI indicates there is still room for upward movement.
**Weekly Timeframe Analysis**
Looking more closely at the regular candles, while the broader picture suggests room for further upside, the trend needs to break first. We see a lower high (LH) and a lower low (LL) printed. The $187.28 level needs to be broken to look higher. If this doesn't happen, we may print another lower high (LH), and the previous low will likely be tested again, with a possible drop toward the psychological level of $100. It's crucial to monitor the market #structure closely, as the breakout of the resistance line occurred without above-average volume. This may mean the volume is yet to come, perhaps with the event on October 10.
**4H Timeframe Analysis**
I also want to discuss the W-formation, where the price is currently closing a gap. However, we must still account for a potential pullback to the underlying mini-gap. If the $162 level holds, this formation could present a good point for a trend reversal. As mentioned earlier, the $187 level must be broken to confirm the upward structure.
**Conclusion:**
The price shows signs of a potential upward movement on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, with a few critical resistance and support levels to watch. The upcoming event on October 10 could act as a catalyst for further upward movement, but there isn't enough volume to confirm this yet. Be mindful of pullbacks and the trend.
On the Weekly timeframe 5 months ago*, since April, we’ve seen a choch forming with lower highs and lows, signaling a downtrend below the EMA 50. A bullish reversal in January 2023 led to an uptrend, reaching an ATH on March 4, 2024. The current pullback to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, supported by the EMA 50, aligns with an inverted ascending scallop, indicating a potential turning point as the stoch hits the floor.
**Resistance Levels:**
- $313 (Scallop target)
- $227 (#ath)
- $187.28
**Support Levels:**
- $162 (W-formation)
- $140
- Psychological level of $100
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and assess your risks carefully.*
