$AMZN week of Feb 10 2025Sentiment -> Neutral to Bearish
Amzn holds 232 &cross prev highs 235 ->target 237, 240
Forms base at 226 ,can test 229, 232
Breaks 226-> 220, 218 NASDAQ:AMZN
AMZN trade ideas
Bullish Trade on AMZNStill in an overall bullish trend.
In the short-term, it could lower towards 225 and 215.
If it holds 215 then AMZN could return to all-time highs.
Amazon Wave Analysis – 7 February 2025
- Amazon reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 226.60
Amazon recently reversed down with the downward gap from the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 240.00 (which has stopped the previous waves iii and i), the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance area started the active short-term correction ii.
Given the strength of the resistance area near the resistance level 240.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Amazon can be expected to fall to the next support level 226.60.
Amazon Stock Plummets After Earnings ReportDuring the last trading session, Amazon's stock dropped by more than 3.5% , bringing its price below $230 per share. This sharp decline followed the company's quarterly earnings release yesterday, where it reported earnings of $1.86 per share , surpassing the expected $1.49 , and revenue of $187.79 billion , slightly above the $187.30 billion projected.
However, investors were disappointed by the company’s sales growth forecast of only 5% for the first quarter of this year, along with a warning about a negative foreign exchange impact exceeding $2 billion. This has led to a decline in confidence, reinforcing a persistent bearish bias in Amazon’s stock price.
Bearish Trend Strengthens
Currently, a significant downward trendline has been in place since the last months of 2024. But the recent sell-off has raised doubts about the buying strength seen in previous sessions. If bearish pressure continues to increase, it could pose a considerable risk to the current market structure in the short term.
Neutrality Begins to Take Over
Both the RSI and CCI indicators have quickly dropped to their respective neutral levels— 50 for RSI and 0 for CCI. This suggests that recent price movements have turned neutral, making it unclear which force is currently dominating the market. If these indicators continue to hold within neutral territory, a potential sideways consolidation could emerge on the daily chart.
Key Levels to Watch:
$240 – The most important resistance level, representing the latest highs recorded by the stock. A breakout above this zone could reignite the long-term uptrend from last year and trigger sustained buying pressure.
$228 – A critical support zone that aligns with previous lows, as well as the uptrend line. If sellers push the price below this level, the bearish bias could strengthen, leading to a deeper downside correction in the short term.
$216 – Final support level, corresponding to the January lows and the Ichimoku cloud barrier in the short term. If selling pressure drags the price to this level, it could invalidate the current bullish structure on the chart.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
$AMZN Negative Patterns May Push the Stock Down
Amazon's stock reached a historic high of $241.77 per share, aligning with a previous pattern's target that specifically aimed at this level. It then entered a corrective wave and failed on Friday to reclaim its historic levels, seemingly forming a harmonic pattern with a target of $231.2 per share.
AMZN: Sell ideaSell idea on AMZN as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the support line by a big red candle follow by a large red volume.
AMAZON -- Results of Buying before the SplitSharing some insights of when I bought Amazon before the split, It was a great decision as it has given my portfolio a great boost. It has been very bullish trending higher, and February started off on a good note so far. Ideally I would love to see it take the Previous months highs and keep pumping.
I would not be surprised if it reached MIL:1K per stock again. BUT NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and I also have no real data to support this theory yet. It is just my biased beliefs.
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Amazon (NASDAQ:$AMZN) Slides 4% Amidst Cloud Growth SlowdownAmazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares slid nearly 4% in pre-market trading on Friday, as investors reacted to a slowdown in the company's cloud growth and a subdued sales forecast for the current quarter. The dip comes despite strong performance in Amazon's retail segment and a broader technical breakout that suggests the stock may be poised for a significant upward move in the coming months. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors driving Amazon’s current market dynamics and why this dip could be a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Cloud Growth Slowdown Weighs on Sentiment
Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s cloud computing division and a key profit driver, reported a 19% year-over-year revenue increase to $28.79 billion for the quarter. While this growth is impressive, it fell slightly short of analyst expectations of $28.87 billion, according to LSEG data. This miss has raised concerns about the competitive pressures AWS faces from rivals like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, as well as emerging low-cost competitors such as China’s DeepSeek.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Amazon’s stock chart tells an intriguing story. As of Friday’s pre-market trading, AMZN was down 2.78%, but the stock recently broke out of a falling trend channel, signaling a potential reversal of its previous downtrend. While the stock has yet to capitalize on this breakout, the current dip could be interpreted as a "shakeout" before a significant upward move.
Key technical indicators support this bullish thesis:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains strong at 60, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and has room to climb.
- Moving Averages: AMZN is trading well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, a sign of strong underlying momentum and bullish sentiment.
This technical setup suggests that the pre-market dip may be a temporary pullback rather than the start of a sustained downtrend. For traders and investors, this could present an attractive entry point.
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Amazon’s financial performance in 2024 has been impressive, with revenue reaching $637.96 billion, a 10.99% increase compared to the previous year’s $574.79 billion. Earnings surged by 94.73% to $59.25 billion, reflecting the company’s ability to scale profitability even as it invests heavily in growth areas like AI and cloud infrastructure.
The company’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.3 is higher than peers like Alphabet (22.7) and Microsoft (30.1), but this premium is justified given Amazon’s diversified business model, dominant market position, and long-term growth potential.
Analyst Sentiment: Strong Buy Rating
Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on Amazon. According to 43 analysts, the average rating for AMZN stock is a "Strong Buy," with a 12-month price target of $254.3, representing a 6.48% upside from the latest price. At least seven brokerages raised their price targets following the earnings report, bringing the median target to $260.
Analysts are optimistic about Amazon’s ability to navigate near-term challenges and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities in AI, cloud computing, and e-commerce. The company’s heavy investments in AI infrastructure, while weighing on margins in the short term, are expected to pay off handsomely in the coming years.
AMAZON - Down to 200$ (or more?)After Quarter Earnings (don`t know how they went) stock dropped -5% yet we`ll see if it`s going to be more or not overnight, but for the stock it`s a healthy retracement at this moment and can go deeper down since it was on an ATH before. I don`t like stocks like Amazon they are gaining all the time with typical retracements, which is good to hold long term, but retracements are only predictable in a short time, and the stock is only slowly gaining and you have lots of opportunity costs.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$AMZN is at risky area going into the earningsAmazon's last six earnings moves:
🟢 +7.5%
🔴 -12.7%
🟢 +3.4%
🟢 +8.2%
🟢 +8.7%
🟢 +11.4%
Options market expecting a 6.6% swing for NASDAQ:AMZN
Cloud drives 70% of profits
Retail? Barely profitable.
Amazon's market cap: $2.5T
For that price, you could own:
The entire Bitcoin market 5 times over
Every billionaire in the world’s top 500 list
2/6/25 - $amzn - Buying eps tn2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMZN
Buying eps tn
- will keep it short
- consumer stuff is flying from 4Q binge
- NASDAQ:META , even NYSE:SNAP good ad #s should support healthy NASDAQ:AMZN consumer biz
- NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:MSFT cloud were flies... but honestly, NASDAQ:AMZN is the gorilla. could we see similar thing? I'd say 50/50 tbh. if anything seeing those others weaker tells me maybe 60/40 better/worse, so i'll punt
- i'm also short the Q's so IF there's a sell off, NASDAQ:AMZN miss could be a trigger. and if Q's r up tmr say another 50 to 100 bps, probability is that GETTEX:AMZ is helping drive this factor - so it's a hedge to my hedge
- feeling a bit more emboldened seeing NYSE:UBER rally back, took a bit of my LT adds from y'day off the table and now back to a comfy 20% portfolio size to weather whatever comes next, higher or lower - i love positioning to a point where i am indifferent to the move tmr.
- 40% cash, highest it's been in a while
- stuff simply looks... sus. but sus can be sus for some time. so i'll play some prints here and there. tonight i am long $amzn.
anon?
V
UPDATE Amazon Sling shot to $276.41 thanks to being different!Amazon’s stock is booming while others face AI turbulence. AWS growth (19% expected) and smart AI use boost their lead.
Instead of fearing DeepSeek, Amazon partnered through AWS. Plus, their diverse streams—e-commerce, cloud, ads, and entertainment—keep them stable when rivals like Nvidia stumble.
So it's one of the bullish tech stocks but once again it is also highly diversified in other sectors which is actually helping maintain the share price.
Price>20 and 200MA
Broken above Rounding Bottom
Target $276.41
AMZN: Sell ideaHello Traders!! As you can see this morning on AMZN on a 15 minute time frame according to the chart configuration, we have a high probability of seeing the market go lower in the event of a strong break of the support line.
$AMZN long-term TP of 388/shareThis is a weekly of AMZN. Based on the depth of the accumulation (the cup), I believe it will see 388/share. No time frame. Also noted is the bull flag mentioned a few weeks ago. If price continues the 2nd part of the measured move it will hit its TP soon. Earnings may be a catalyst for this to happen in the next week or so. Good trading everyone.
-Mr Joseph
AMZN Technical Analysis & GEX Options Trading Setup - Jan. 3Technical Analysis:
* Trend Analysis: AMZN is consolidating within an upward channel, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend if resistance levels are breached.
* Key Levels:
* Support: $232.20, followed by $225.85.
* Resistance: $241.77 (recent high) and $250.00 (psychological level).
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish divergence signals a potential short-term pullback.
* Stochastic RSI: Near overbought, suggesting momentum is waning.
* Volume: Increasing on upward moves, confirming bullish intent but needs continuation for breakout.
GEX Options Insights:
* Call Walls:
* 2nd Call Wall: $240 (88.82% gamma exposure).
* 3rd Call Wall: $250.
* Put Support:
* High Value Level: $190.
* 2nd Put Wall: $215.55 (-4.48% GEX).
* Options Sentiment: Gamma levels suggest bullish sentiment, but downside protection near $215 could attract sellers.
Trading Scenarios:
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $240.
* Target: $250 (3rd Call Wall).
* Stop-Loss: Below $232.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $232.
* Target: $225.85.
* Stop-Loss: Above $240.
Conclusion:
AMZN is positioned near key resistance, and a breakout or rejection will likely define the short-term trend. Gamma exposure suggests that any break above $240 could trigger momentum toward $250. However, caution is advised near $232 support.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
AMZN SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Amzn price form a supply around level of 239.69 and is likely to continue falling so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 232.84 and 226.67 . Use money management
AmznEarnings this week.. long term channel (Yellow)
Mid term channel (White)
In my last Amzn post (See link)
I said Amzn could grind at the top of it's long term channel after a pullback from 230, and it has.. from 218 - 237 and now we are at a crossroads this earnings..
Both scenarios will end in a massive correction but one scenario could give a 7% pop higher before hand .
In this scenario Amzn pops up after earnings and tags the top of secondary channel or 253.. at this 250ish area is where I would open a short positions.. target 230-234.
2nd scenario is the complete Bearish with no move higher
Price pulls back from primary channel and corrects to the 50sma.. if 50 is lost then 200.00 or 200sma is next
Let's see what happens..
Smaller levels
234 support , below 234 and 230 comes ..
20sma is at 228 , I doubt they give that up before earnings
Speculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks areSpeculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks
Some stocks aren't just overvalued—they're in full speculative bubble mode. Fundamentals? Irrelevant. When euphoria takes over, rationality disappears.
Here’s my list of bubble stocks that scream unsustainable pricing:
SBUX, T, PLTR, BMY, PYPL, NFLX, GS, ISRG, ARM, C, SHOP, BSX, SPOT, UBS, IBKR, RELX, CEG, CRWD, MSTR, MMM, DASH, COF...
And let’s not forget the obvious: TSLA, META, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, JPM, MA, V, WMT.
Honestly, the entire banking sector, brokers, and tech are in bubble territory.
What the hell is going on with this market? Why are algos just buying, buying, buying, squeezing all the shorts?! Unbelievable.
The dump will be insannnnnnnne!!! 🚨
AMZN is looking for an uptrendAMZN hits the target of double top. After reaching the target area, it will form a V-shaped bottom, and if it is maintained, it will form two double bottoms, which makes the stock set for an upward trend.
$AMZN 3 Monthly Green close to 100kThis is my CORE holding I am looking for 100k
Plan is to add more on every dip and pull back
Drop a LIKE and I will alert here!
$AMZN long to $260 measured move targetThis is a daily of AMZN. It shows an initial move into the bull flag, a breakout-pullback, and an expected measured move to a TP of $160/share. Time period 3-6 months. Best of luck and good trading.-Mr Joseph
Amazon's Tight Consolidation! Is AMZN Ready for a Breakout?Technical Analysis
Price Action Overview:
* Trend: AMZN is currently in a consolidation phase, forming a tightening symmetrical triangle pattern. This suggests a potential breakout, either upward or downward, depending on volume and market sentiment.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $241.78 (previous high) and $250 (gamma wall and psychological resistance).
* Support: $232.50 (gamma put support) and $218.93 (recent low).
Indicators:
* MACD: Slightly bearish divergence; momentum is fading, but it remains above the signal line.
* Stochastic RSI: Approaching overbought levels, indicating potential short-term resistance or consolidation.
Trading Plan
1. Bullish Scenario:
* Break above $241.78 with increased volume. Target $250 and $255.
* Entry: $242.
* Stop-Loss: $239.
* Profit Target: $250.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* Break below $232.50 with volume confirmation. Target $225 and $218.
* Entry: $232.
* Stop-Loss: $235.
* Profit Target: $225.
Options Strategy
1. Bullish:
* Call Option: Buy $245 Call (Expiration: 2/16/2025).
* Target: $250.
* Max Risk: Premium paid.
2. Bearish:
* Put Option: Buy $230 Put (Expiration: 2/16/2025).
* Target: $225.
* Max Risk: Premium paid.
GEX Analysis
* Positive Gamma: Strong resistance at $250, aligning with the highest positive NETGEX zone.
* Negative Gamma: Support at $232.50. A break below this level could trigger rapid price declines.
Conclusion and Directional Thoughts
AMZN is tightly coiled, and the direction will depend on whether it breaks the resistance at $241.78 or support at $232.50. With the current technical and gamma setup, a breakout is imminent. Bulls should watch for volume spikes above resistance, while bears should monitor breakdowns below key support.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Prices and market conditions can change; always manage risk and verify conditions before trading. PM for questions or detailed insights.
