ArcBest (ARCB) Meteoric RiseFor the quarter ended September 2023, ArcBest (ARCB) reported revenue of $1.13 billion, down 16.5% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.31, compared to $3.80 in the year-ago quarter.
The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.14 billion, representing a surprise of -1.01%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +49.03%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.55.
While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how ArcBest performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
Asset-Light - Operating Ratio (Non-GAAP): 100.9% versus 99.8% estimated by two analysts on average.
Asset-Based - Operating Ratio (Non-GAAP): 88.8% compared to the 92.7% average estimate based on two analysts.
Revenues- Asset-Based: $741.19 million compared to the $727.41 million average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of -6.4% year over year.
Revenues- Asset-Light: $419.31 million versus $405.60 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -30.6% change.
Revenues- Other and eliminations: -$32.15 million versus -$28.50 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -27.3% change.
Operating income Non-GAAP- Asset-Based: $82.81 million compared to the $56.29 million average estimate based on two analysts.
Operating income Non-GAAP- Other and eliminations: -$4.20 million compared to the -$6 million average estimate based on two analysts.
Operating income Non-GAAP- Asset-Light: -$3.95 million versus -$0.81 million estimated by two analysts on average.
Technical Analysis
ARCB is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. The price of ARCB shares has increased $14.27 since the market last closed. This is a 16.22% rise.
What does this mean?
Investors are applying buying pressure to ARCB shares today.
ARCB trade ideas
Is $ARCB ready to start coming up on the right side of its base?Notes:
* Very strong up trend since March 2020 on all time frames
* Great consistent earnings since 2020
* Basing for the past ~9 months now
* Broke above and retested $86.7 which has acted as a pivotal area for bulls and bears
* Consolidating just above $86.7 for the past ~4 weeks with decreasing volume
* It was consolidating around the bottom of its base with decreasing volume as well; meaning sellers lost steam
Technicals:
Sector: Industrials - Trucking
Relative Strength vs. Sector: 4.04
Relative Strength vs. SP500: 5.53
U/D Ratio: 1.32
Base Depth: 86.73%
Distance from breakout buy point: -28.74%
Volume 1.77% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter this now as the price is close to its 50 day line and it's also close to the broken resistance of $86.7
* If you're looking for a better entry you can try catch one around $86.7 as that should hold as support moving forward
* This stock usually has local tops when the price closes around 27.14% above its 50 EMA
* Consider selling into strength if the price closes 26.94% to 27.34% (or higher) above its 50 EMA
* The last closing price is 7.21% away from its 50 EMA
Arcbest Freight Fractal $ARCBArkansas Best Freight or Arcbest Freight $ARCB is a stock I have owned since last dip after earnings, my cost is around $59 dollars a share. As a whole, I am confident in trucking and freight and that is due to the massive shift to ecommerce thanks to COVID. They specialize in asset based deliveries - but more importantly are trying to grow with their asset light business. Below are two blurbs on each
- An asset-light model enables a shipper to retain its fundamental capability to service core customers and tap into shared assets, partners and digital tools to dynamically fulfill incremental or fast-changing demand.
- Asset-based carriers are trucking companies that work directly with shippers and own their equipment to provide truckload services. Large asset-based carriers may own hundreds or thousands of trucks, and employ drivers to operate them.
From a fundamental perspective, I love the company. They are looking to grow there revenue to 7bn to 8bn by 2025 - - they're revenue in 2019 was 2.98bn, 2020 2.94bn, and in 2021 they reaches revenues of 4.0bn - a 36% yoy raise. They expect growth to come from new acquisitions and being a trusted partner to smaller business to help them solve logisitic needs. I am a massive fan of Judy McReynolds as their Chairman, CEO and President - loads of experience, smart, strong and tough.
Other stats from FY 2021 - Non-GAAP operating income up 149%, and a 150% increase in diluted EPS
Trades at low valuations compared to it's sector and overall market.
From a technical side, the chart I am showing has 2 crossovers on the MACD, and I think we will see a similair swing through where we will base from 84 -100 and then start breaking through resistance and cross 120 uptowards 150.
Last Earnings Deck: arcb.com
Link to Financials: www.tradingview.com
$ARCB Flat Base Breakout?I bought this yesterday, 12/30, on the pullback to both the 10 EMA and what I'm considering the base breakout area. This may be a nice play on continued opening of the economy in the transport sector. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
From the companies website:
Innovative Logistics Solutions for a World on the Move
ArcBest® helps keep the global supply chain moving. We leverage our full suite of shipping and logistics solutions to meet the critical needs of our customers each and every day, without fail.
United as ArcBest, we offer ground, air and ocean transportation through our less-than-truckload carrier ABF Freight®, the Panther Premium Logistics® fleet and a growing network of over 40,000 capacity providers across North America. We also offer fleet maintenance and repair services through FleetNet America® and household goods moving through U-Pack®.
ARCB Gapped up 3 times to get out of Falling WEdge $5 MoveFalling Wedge Break with Ceiling to the upside of $5 before it hits its first level of resistance. Gapped up 3 times as it moved out of the wedge.
If you like these types of Ideas please like follow and Tip your bartender.
by iCantw84it
11.11.21
ARCB looking BullishARCB seems to have made a 1-2-1-2* (smaller degree)* and looking for a 3th wave that could take us to 334.58$ . Would be preferable to see a retest of that parallel channel line before keep moving up but it might not happen. 50,53$ seems a strong support area and as long as we don't lose it the trend should be going upwards.
$ARCB Setting Up for a Breakout into ATHsBasing nicely just above its rising 50 MA, earnings on Tuesday and could end up the catalyst that moves the stock out of this consolidation base. $75 is the level to watch.
Arcbest Corporation (ARCB)- ENGAGED IN LESS-THAN-TRUCKLOAD MOTOR CARRIER OPERATIONS IN NORTH AMERICA VIA ITS 5 MAJOR SUBSIDIARIES.
ArcBest Corp. Swing Technical Setup Upside ~10%+ARCB
www.tradingview.com
ArcBest Corp. Ticker ARCB showing possible upside of ~10%+ Earnings 1/13/2018 Est .39.
Moving Averages: ARCB has been trading along its 20ma with a recent break out on 1/19/2018
Bollinger Bands: Bollingers start to tighten after a consolidation that had begun 12/12/2017, ARCB is currently trading along the upper bank which could signify continued momentum into earnings.
MACD(12,26,9) : MACD Showing a bullish outlook as the signal line has crossed the MACD Line at ~.30. In previous cases similar to this ARCB has responded to this technical indicator very well with increases from 33.40 to 38.60 almost a 16% increase.
RSI(14): Showing upward momentum to 60.19 in the past 3 trading sessions.
Weekly Volume shows 1.5 million shares traded week of 1/12/2018 with little price action.
FIB:
Resistance levels: 38.60 (very important price level) if ARCB breaks this level look for 41.20.
Support levels: 36.00 and 34.30